Unmatched cohort patient and tumor characteristics
The unmatched cohorts included 307 SRS-treated patients and 110 patients that were managed with active surveillance for an asymptomatic, skull-based meningioma. The mean age of the SRS-treated group was 57.3 [Standard deviation (SD) ± 13.1) years, and that of the active surveillance group was 63.2 (SD ± 11.11) years (p<0.001). Median initial KPS was 90 [Interquartile range (IQR) 10] and 100 (IQR 10) in the SRS and active surveillance group respectively (p=0.55). The mean meningioma volume was 4.5 cm3 (SD ± 4.1) in the SRS cohort and 3.7 (SD ± 4.8) in the active surveillance cohort. The median neuroimaging and clinical follow-up periods of the SRS-treated patients were 45.5 months (IQR 43.8) and 50 months (IQR 59.5) respectively, while for the conservatively managed patients both the median radiological and clinical follow-up periods was 42 months (IQR 42.3) (p=0.001 and p=0.002).
Matched cohorts patient and tumor characteristic
After propensity score matching for patient age, tumor location, tumor volume, and duration of radiological and clinical follow-up periods, 110 patients remained in each cohort (Table 1). The mean age of the SRS-treated cohort was 62.9 (SD ± 12.3) years, while the mean age of the patients in the active surveillance cohort was 63.2 (SD ± 11.1) years (p=0.8). Median initial KPS was 100 (IQR 10) in both groups (p=0.72). Mean meningioma volume in the SRS and active surveillance cohorts was 3.9 cm3 (SD ± 3.2) and 3.7 cm3 (SD ± 4.8), respectively (p=0.72). The median neuroimaging and clinical follow-up periods of the SRS-treated patients were 46 months (IQR 36) and 50 months respectively (IQR 59.5) while for the active surveillance cohort both follow-up periods were 42 months (IQR 42.3) (p=0.4 and p=0.3).
Radiosurgical treatment parameters
In the unmatched SRS cohort (Table 2), 292 (95.1%) patients were treated with single-session SRS (sSRS). Hypofractionated SRS (hSRS) using two, three, four, and five fractions was used to treat three (1%), four (1.3%), two (0.7%) and six (2%) patients, respectively. The mean margin dose was 12.8 Gy (SD ± 2), and the median number of isocenters used in treatment was 10 (IQR 8).
In the SRS cohort after propensity score matching (Table 2), 106 (96.4%) patients were treated in with single-session SRS, while four (3.6%) patients received five-fraction hSRS. The mean margin dose was 13.1 Gy (SD ± 2.3), and the median number of isocenters used was 10 (IQR 10).
Radiologic and clinical outcomes in the unmatched cohorts
In the unmatched cohorts, tumor progression was noted in two (0.7%) patients that were treated with SRS compared to 42 (38.2%) patients in the active surveillance group (p<0.001). Tumor regression was achieved in 137 (44.6 %) SRS-treated patients, and it was noted in one (0.9 %) conservatively managed patient. Tumor stability was observed in 168 (54.7 %) of the SRS treated patients and in 67 (60.9 %) of patients managed with active surveillance (p<0.001). None of the patients in the SRS cohort developed radiation associated malignancy during follow-up.
New neurologic deficits attributable to either tumor progression or to SRS treatment, were noted in 8 (2.6 %) patients treated with SRS as compared to 6 (5.5%) patients in the active surveillance group (p=0.2). In the SRS-treated cohort three (1%) patients exhibited trigeminal nerve neuropathies, two (0.7%) patients presented with transitory vestibulocochlear nerve related symptoms, two patients (0.7%) experienced seizure due to post-treatment perilesional edema that resolved after corticosteroid treatment, and one patient (0.3%) facial nerve palsy. In the active surveillance cohort, three (2.7 %) presented with seizures, one (0.9%) patient experienced motor, one (0.9%) visual, and one (0.9%) patient cerebellar deficits. These deficits were related to tumor progression and five of these patients were managed with resection, while one was managed conservatively.
Radiologic and clinical outcomes in the matched cohorts
In the matched cohorts (Table 1), tumor progression was noted in two (1.8 %) patients that were treated with SRS compared to 42 (38.2%) patients in the active surveillance group (p<0.001). Tumor regression was achieved in 39 (35.5%) SRS-treated patients and was noted in one (0.9 %) conservatively managed patient. Tumor stability was observed in 69 (62.7 %) SRS treated patients and in 67 (60.9 %) patients that were managed with active surveillance (p<0.001).
New neurologic deficits attributable to either tumor growth or SRS treatment were noted in three (2.7%) SRS-treated patients and in six (5.5%) patients managed with active surveillance (p=0.89).
Radiological progression-free survival was in favor of the SRS group, while neurological progression-free survival was not appreciably different (Figure 1).
Risk factors for tumor progression and emergence of new neurologic deficits in the combined cohorts
Univariate and multivariate analysis for tumor progression in the unmatched, combined cohort of 417 patients revealed that upfront SRS treatment was strongly associated with local tumor control (p<0.001, HR=0.01, 95% CI=0.003-0.05). In the matched, combined cohort of 220 patients, univariate analysis also revealed that early SRS treatment was a strong prognostic factor associated with local tumor control (p<0.001, HR=0.02, 95% CI=0.003-0.15), while increasing age was a risk factor for tumor progression (p=0.03, HR=1.03, 95% CI=1-1.06). In the multivariate analysis only SRS treatment reached statistical significance (p<0.001, HR=0.01, 95% CI=0.002-0.13). (Table 3)
Univariate analysis for emergence of new neurologic deficits in the unmatched, combined cohort of 417 patients revealed that increasing tumor volume was associated with a higher risk for the emergence of new neurologic deficits (p<0.001, HR=1.2, 95% CI=1.1-1.3), while SRS treatment conveyed statistically significant protective effect (p<0.02, HR=0.21, 95% CI=0.06-0.79). Multivariate analysis revealed that the tumor volume (p<0.001, HR=1.2, 95% CI=1.1-1.3) and SRS management (p<0.02, HR=0.21, 95% CI=0.06-0.79) were statistically significant risk and protective factors for new neurologic deficits, respectively. In the matched, combined cohort of 220 patients, no factors were found to be predictive of neurological morbidity. (Table 4)
Risk factors associated with post-SRS adverse radiation effects and neurologic deficits
In the unmatched cohort of patients that were treated with SRS for an asymptomatic skull-based meningioma, we sought to identify risk factors that were associated with neurological morbidity and asymptomatic, adverse radiation effects (AREs) at last follow-up. The suggestive cutoff value calculated using the Youden index for tumor volume and margin dose was 3.5ml and 13.5 Gy, respectively.
Univariate analysis for post-SRS, asymptomatic AREs revealed that tumor volume >3.5ml (p=0.003, HR= 4.5, 95% CI= 1.7-12), margin dose >13.5 Gy (p=0.02, HR= 2.6, 95% CI= 1.2-5.6), an increasing number of isocenters used (p=0.002, HR=1.1, 95% CI=1-1.1) were all significant risk factors for post-treatment AREs. In multivariate analysis, tumor volume >3.5ml (p=0.02, HR= 3.24, 95% CI= 1.16-9.03) and margin dose >13.5 Gy (p=0.04, HR=2.36, 95% CI=1.02-5.5) were factors that were associated with the emergence of new asymptomatic AREs. (Table 5)
Univariate analysis for neurological deficits following SRS-treatment revealed that an increasing number of isocenters (p<0.001, HR=1.1, 95% CI=1-1.1) and treatment in multiple fractions (p=0.02, HR=6.7, 95% CI=1.3-33) were associated with post-SRS new neurological deficits. In multivariate analysis, increasing number of isocenters reached statistical significance (p=0.008, HR=1.05, 95% CI=1.01-1.09). Tumor volume and margin dose were not associated with new neurological deficits. (Table 5)