Characteristics of the included studies
The initial search included 10439 citations. After screening through title and abstracts, 9828 citations were excluded initially based on the criteria outlined above. Then, after screening based on the content of full text, 272 citations were included for further assessment. Finally, 19 original reports with 2038 stroke patients were selected and judged eligible for inclusion in the meta-analysis after screening through inclusion/exclusion criteria. The selection process of the studies and specific reasons for exclusion are displayed in Fig. 1. The clinic features and demographics of the studies are outlined in Additional file 1 (Table S1).
Association between lesion location of stroke and the incidence of PSP
Firstly, we pooled all the studies together to investigate the association between lesion location of stroke and incidence of PSP. The 19 studies involved 2038 subjects including 967 patients with left hemispheric stroke and 1071 patients with right hemispheric stroke. The pooled OR with 95% CI for the association of stroke location and PSP risk was 0.95 (0.74–1.23) (I2 = 12.4%) (Fig. 2). This result suggests no significant differences in risk of PSP in relation to the lesion location of stroke.
Subgroup analyses
Next, we did the subgroup analyses of the two different types of PSP, mainly the post-stroke shoulder pain (PSSP) and the central post-stroke pain (CPSP) (Fig. 3) from the above 19 studies. Because musculoskeletal pains, spasticity-related pain and headache were not appeared in the included 19 reports, the analyses on these types of pain could not conduct. The results showed no significant association between lesion location and the incidence of PSSP or CPSP. We also did subgroup analyses by pooling the prospective studies together, but no positive result was found (RR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.84–1.25) (Fig. 4).
Quality assessment and sensitivity analyses
Quality assessment of the studies was shown in Additional file 2 (Table S2) and Additional file 3 (Table S3). All the 19 included studies scored no less than 4 based on the NOS and AHRQ. We then conducted sensitive analyses to assess the influence of each study on the pooled OR. As shown in Fig. 5, when any single study was removed, the corresponding ORs were not significantly changed, suggesting high stability of this meta-analysis.
Publication bias
Begg’s funnel plot and Egger’s linear regression were performed to assess the publication bias of the included studies. The shapes of the funnel plots did not reveal any evidence of obvious asymmetry. The results of Egger’s test also showed that there were not statistically significant differences. (total: PEgger’s test=0.732; prospective studies: PEgger’s test=0.745)
Risk of bias assessment for included studies
Bias from study design
Eight included studies are prospective studies [9, 10, 12, 13, 15, 19, 20, 22, 23], they collected baseline information of stroke patients and followed at periodic intervals to examine the incidence of PSP (Fig. 6). Other studies consist of retrospective studies and cross-sectional studies, which are less adept at proving a causal relationship and were difficult to confirm the explicit time of PSP occurrence.
Bias from inclusion criterion
Nine studies only included patients with first-ever stroke [13–15, 18–24], while 2 studies did not exclude patients with previous studies [9, 10]. Eight studies did not mention the selection criterion about stroke history [11, 12, 16, 17, 24–27]. Since different lesion site of stroke may have different effect, it is difficult to distinguish the impact of recurrent stroke with different lesion location. Similarly, three studies have not excluded patients with history of pain prior to stroke and 5 studies have not given the exclusion criterion about history of pain, which may interfere with the diagnosis of PSP (Fig. 7).
Bias from subtype of stroke
Most of the included studies have involved both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. 4 studies only included patients with ischemic stroke [13, 19, 22, 23], while 1 study [15] discussed CPSP only about hemorrhagic stroke and 1 study [18] has not given the specific stroke type. Because of the different mechanism of pathogenesis, it is better to describe the impact of hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke respectively.
Bias from PSP definition
There are several methods for pain measurement, such as Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) (5 studies [9, 17, 18, 20, 24]), numerical rating system (NRS) (5 studies [14, 15, 22, 23, 25]), Douleur neuropatathique en 4 questions (DN4) (3 studies [22, 25, 27]), The Leeds Assessment of Neuropathic Symptoms and Signs (LANSS) (2 studies [24, 25]) or combined assessment. The check of PSSP is always companied with assessment of upper-limp. Moreover, there is also part of overlap between PSSP and CPSP, which adds to the complexity of diagnosis (Fig. 8) [2].