Between May 21 and June 21 of 2021, a total of 744 adults in Chile were interviewed via online surveys. The self-administered questionnaire was distributed through social networks. A summary of the socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents included in this study is shown in Supplementary Table 1. The questions were aimed at estimating four outcome variables related to the willingness to accept: (i) a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination (0=not, 1=maybe, 2=yes), (ii) a vaccine booster dose (1=yes), (iii) an annual vaccination (1=not willing to 4=highly willing), and (iv) the vaccination of children (1=definitively no to 4=definitely yes). The questionnaire also included, as explanatory variables, a set of variables of trust and perceptions associated with the vaccination process. These questions were aimed at describing the perception of risk and trust, and responses were also recorded on a 3 or 4-point ordinal scale of agreement or disagreement. For instance, trust in the different COVID-19 vaccine stakeholders was estimated using the scale: “No trust”, “Little trust”, “Some trust”, “High trust”. The full questionnaire is shown in the Supplementary Information. In addition, Supplementary Table 2 indicates milestones that occurred during the data collection period, according to the development of the pandemic and vaccination process in Chile.
Most of the respondents (93.4% n= 695) had received at least one dose of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine at the time of the survey (mainly CoronaVac and Pfizer), whereas 3.9% (n=29) had not yet decided if they would accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and 2.7% (n=20) affirmed they would definitely not accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. When asked if they would accept a hypothetical booster dose, 88.2% (n=656) of the respondents reported that they would accept and 57.8% (n=430) affirmed they would definitively accept a yearly vaccination if necessary, similar to the vaccine schedule for the influenza virus. When asked if, in the case of having children under 16 years old, they would accept that their children could be vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2, 62.5% (n=175) reported that they would "definitively accept" a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine for their children.
Multivariate regression models were used to estimate the association between the outcome and explanatory variables. An ordered logistic regression model was adjusted to analyze the outcome variables related to the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, an annual vaccination, and the vaccination of children, while a logistic regression model was used to analyze the willingness to accept a booster dose. Besides estimating the associations among the entire sample of individuals (n=744), we also analyzed if factors varied their associations when comparing samples of men (n=260) and women (n=484) as well as samples of young adults (18-29 years old, n=206) and adults (30-59, n=503). We excluded the sample of elderly people (>59 years old) only in this analysis because of the small sample (n=35). For each outcome variable, we selected the model with the best goodness of fit and parsimony using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Supplementary Table 3).
We computed the odds ratio for selected models, which represents the ratio of the odds that an outcome variable will occur given an explanatory variable compared to the odds of the outcome occurring in the absence of the explanatory variable. If an odds ratio is greater than 1, then an explanatory variable induces a higher level of acceptance, relative to the control of other variables used in the model. On the other hand, an odds ratio less than 1 suggests that an explanatory variable influences a lower willingness. We described only those results where the 95% confidence intervals excluded zero, which were deemed statistically credible. Although our models did not measure causal effects, log cumulative odds ratios showed how the variables related to willingness responded to variables of perception and trust or how the associations varied among genders or age groups. The access to self-reported perceptions provided correlational evidence regarding which factors explained a greater willingness to accept the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination process.
Trust in SARS-CoV-2 vaccines increased the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, booster dose, annual vaccination and vaccination of children.
People’s trust varied in relation to the vaccine in question (Kruskal-Wallis test: Chi-squared=509, d.f.=5, p<0.001) (Fig. 1A). While the reported trust did not differ between the CoronaVac and Pfizer vaccines (Dunn’s test with Bonferroni adjustment: z=-1.77, p=0.57), the trust in the both Pfizer and CoronaVac vaccines was significantly greater than that in the other four vaccines approved by Chilean authorities (Dunn’s test with Bonferroni adjustment between Pfizer vs. CanSino z=14.1, p<0.001; vs. AstraZeneca z=14.6, p<0.001; vs. Sputnik V z=16.1, p<0.001; vs. Johnson& Johnson z=14.6, p<0.001); and between CoronaVac vs. CanSino z=12.5, p<0.001; vs. AstraZeneca z=12.9, p<0.001; vs. Sputnik z=14.5, p<0.001; vs. Johnson z=13.0, p<0.001) (Fig. 1A). There were no differences in the reported trust in the AstraZeneca, CanSino, Sputnik V and Johnson & Johnson vaccines. In spite of the differences found in the trust of the aforementioned vaccines, trust in all of the vaccines was retained in one factor (Factor Analysis: Eigenvalue of Factor 1=3.6; LR test: chi-squared=2032.1, p<0.001), with a very high reliability coefficient (Cronbach’s alpha=0.89). We therefore took the average of the trust in all of the vaccines to create a variable of overall trust in vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 and used it in the multivariate regression models.
Multivariate models suggest that the increase of one unit value in trust of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines increased 4.1 times the willingness to accept SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (95%CI=2.0-8.2, p<0.001), 3.2 times the willingness to accept a booster dose (95%CI=1.8-5.6, p<0.001), twice the willingness to accept an annual vaccination (95%CI=1.6-2.8, p<0.001), and 1.9 times the willingness to vaccinate children (95%CI=1.4-2.6, p<0.001) (Table 1, row [a]). When comparing results between genders, women showed significant associations among all of the willingness variables with trust in SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (Supplementary Table 4). On the other hand, men showed a significant association between the willingness to accept the annual vaccination and trust in SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (Supplementary Table 4). Interestingly, it was observed, in both young adults and adults, that an increase of trust in SARS-CoV-2 vaccines induced a higher willingness to receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, booster dose, annual vaccination and the vaccination of children (Supplementary Table 5).
Trust in scientists and medical professionals increased the acceptance of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, booster dose, annual vaccination, and the vaccination of children, while trust in religious leaders reduced the willingness to accept an annual vaccination and the vaccination of children.
People’s trust in stakeholders varied significantly (Kruskal-Wallis test: 2285.9, d.f.=8, p<0.001) (Fig. 1B). Scientists received the highest score of trust among all of the stakeholders included in the study (Dunn’s test with a Bonferroni adjustment: z>6.7 and p<0.001 in all comparisons), followed by medical professionals, the Chilean Public Health Institute (ISP), and WHO professionals (Fig. 1B). The lowest scores of trusts were reported for politicians and religious leaders. For instance, 63% (n=472) and 28% (n=207) of individuals reported a “high trust” and “some trust”, respectively, in scientists, and more than 70% reported a “high trust” (43%, n=323) or “some trust” (36%, n=267) in medical professionals. On the contrary, 64% (n=479) and 45% (n=334) of the surveyed individuals reported not trusting religious leaders and politicians (Fig. 1B). Factor analysis suggests that the variability of trust in stakeholders included in the study can be explained by four groups: (a) the scientific and medical professional group, including, WHO, and ISP professionals (Retained Factor 1: Eigenvalue=2.3, LR test Chi-square=1407, p<0.001, Cronbach’s alpha=0.85); (b) the politicians group, including the authorities of the Ministry of Health (Retained Factor 1, Eigenvalue=0.8; LR test Chi-square=247.3, p<0.001; Cronbach’s alpha=0.7); (c) the relative group, including family and friends (Retained Factor 1=0.8, LR test Chi-Square=289.9, p<0.001; Cronbach’s alpha=0.7), and (d) a fourth group with religious leaders only. To incorporate trust in stakeholder groups into the multivariate regression models, we averaged the reported trust scores for all of the stakeholders included in each group.
Table 1
Associations regarding the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, third dose, annual vaccination, and to vaccinate children, with variables of trust and perception among in Chile (n=744). Columns [1], [3], and [4] show the results of the ordered logit multivariate models. Column [2] shows logit model results. For all columns, cells show odd ratio coefficients and, in parenthesis, confidence intervals at 95%. For each outcome variable, Table 1 shows the model with best goodness of fit and parsimony compared with other candidate models, which was selected using Akaike Information Criterion (see Supplementary Table 3). * and ** refer to significant levels at 5% and 1%.
|
|
Outcome variables
|
Explanatory variables
|
|
Willingness to receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination
|
Willingness to receive a third dose vaccination
|
Willingness to receive an annual vaccination
|
Willingness to vaccinate children
|
|
|
[1]
|
[2]
|
[3]
|
[4]
|
Trust in vaccines
|
[a]
|
4.1**
|
3.2**
|
2.1**
|
1.9**
|
|
|
(2.0 - 8.2)
|
(1.8 - 5.6)
|
(1.6 - 2.8)
|
(1.4 - 2.6)
|
Trust in scientists and medical professionals
|
[b]
|
2.4*
|
2.8**
|
2.2**
|
2.6**
|
|
|
(1.2 - 5.0)
|
(1.5 - 5.0)
|
(1.6 - 3.1)
|
(1.8 - 3.6)
|
Trust in politicians
|
[c]
|
2.5*
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
|
|
(1.1 - 5.6)
|
(0.8 - 2.6)
|
(0.9 - 1.6)
|
(0.9 - 1.7)
|
Trust in religious leaders
|
[d]
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.7*
|
0.7**
|
|
|
(0.5 - 1.8)
|
(0.4 - 1.0)
|
(0.6 - 1.0)
|
(0.5 - 0.9)
|
Trust in relatives
|
[e]
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
|
|
(0.9 - 3.3)
|
(0.8 - 2.1)
|
(0.8 - 1.4)
|
(0.9 - 1.6)
|
Trust in social media
|
[f]
|
0.9
|
0.4**
|
1.0
|
0.7*
|
|
|
(0.4 - 1.9)
|
(0.2 - 0.7)
|
(0.7 - 1.3)
|
(0.5 - 1.0)
|
Trust in press
|
[g]
|
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
|
|
(0.3 - 1.7)
|
(0.8 - 2.6)
|
(0.8 - 1.5)
|
(0.8 - 1.6)
|
Perceived effectiveness of prevention practices
|
[h]
|
2.1*
|
2.4**
|
2.4**
|
2.4**
|
|
|
(1.0 - 4.5)
|
(1.3 - 4.5)
|
(1.6 - 3.4)
|
(1.6 - 3.5)
|
Perceived risk of infection
|
[i]
|
2.0*
|
1.5
|
1.4*
|
1.2
|
|
|
(1.1 - 3.7)
|
(0.9 - 2.3)
|
(1.1 - 1.8)
|
(0.9 - 1.5)
|
Preoccupation regarding side effects of vaccines
|
[j]
|
0.6**
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.8*
|
|
|
(0.4 - 0.9)
|
(0.6 - 1.2)
|
(0.8 - 1.1)
|
(0.7 - 1.0)
|
Perceived comprehension of vaccines
|
[k]
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
|
|
(0.4 - 1.2)
|
(0.4 - 1.0)
|
(0.8 - 1.4)
|
(0.8 - 1.4)
|
Perceived prevention of severity due to vaccines
|
[l]
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.8**
|
|
|
(0.9 - 1.9)
|
(0.7 - 1.3)
|
(0.8 - 1.1)
|
(0.7 - 0.9)
|
Perceived relaxation of prevention practices thanks to vaccination
|
[m]
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.7**
|
1.0
|
|
|
(0.8 - 2.3)
|
(0.5 - 1.1)
|
(0.6 - 0.9)
|
(0.8 - 1.3)
|
Perceived pandemic stopping thanks to vaccination
|
[n]
|
1.3
|
1.4*
|
1.4**
|
1.3**
|
|
|
(0.9 - 2.0)
|
(1.0 - 1.9)
|
(1.2 - 1.7)
|
(1.1 - 1.5)
|
Perceived impact on quality of life
|
[o]
|
0.6*
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
|
|
(0.3 - 1.0)
|
(0.6 - 1.6)
|
(0.7 - 1.1)
|
(0.6 - 1.1)
|
COVID-19 infection in family
|
[p]
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
|
|
(0.3 - 1.7)
|
(0.5 - 1.7)
|
(0.7 - 1.4)
|
(0.5 - 1.1)
|
Age
|
[q]
|
1.1*
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
1.0**
|
|
|
(1.0 - 1.1)
|
(1.0 - 1.0)
|
(1.0 - 1.0)
|
(1.0 - 1.1)
|
Gender (Women=1)
|
[r]
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
|
|
(0.5 - 3.2)
|
(0.4 - 1.7)
|
(0.8 - 1.6)
|
(0.9 - 1.9)
|
Schooling
|
[s]
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
|
|
(0.7 - 1.2)
|
(0.8 - 1.2)
|
(0.8 - 1.0)
|
(0.8 - 1.0)
|
Multivariate model
|
|
Ordered logit
|
Logit
|
Ordered logit
|
Ordered logit
|
We found evidence that individuals with higher trust in scientists and medical professionals significantly increased (by 2.4 times) their acceptance of SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations (95% CI=1.2-5.0, p=0.01), as well as their willingness to accept a booster dose (by 2.8 times) (95% CI=1.5-5.0, p=0.001) (Table 1, row [b] of the columns [1]-[2]). Similarly, an increase of trust in scientists and medical professionals also increased 2.2-fold the willingness to accept an annual vaccination (95% CI=1.6-3.1, p<0.001) and 2.6 times the vaccination of children (95% CI=1.8-3.6, p<0.001) (Table 1, row [b] of the columns [3]-[4]). Interestingly, some groups responded differently in relation to their trust in scientists and medical professionals and thus showed comparatively different associations with the willingness variables. For instance, women did not vary their willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and booster dose when they reported a higher or lower level of trust in scientists and medical professionals. In contrast, men showed that a higher trust in scientists and medical professionals increased 46.1 and 4.2 times their willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (95% CI=2.5-862.1, p=0.01) and booster dose (95% CI=1.3-13.1, p=0.02), respectively (Supplementary Table 4). In the case of the willingness to accept an annual vaccination and the vaccination of children, both women and men showed a similar positive impact of trust in scientists and medical professionals (Supplementary Table 4). We found evidence that young people and adults differed in terms of how their trust in scientists and medical professionals impacted the variables of willingness. For instance, young people did not vary their willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, booster dose, annual vaccination, and the vaccination of children as their levels of trust in scientists and medical professionals increased (Supplementary Table 5). On the contrary, adults showed that a higher level of trust increased their willingness to receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, booster dose, annual vaccination, and the vaccination of children by around three-fold (Supplementary Table 5). In contrast, our results showed that willingness to accept both an annual vaccination (95%CI=0.6-0.9, p=0.02) and the vaccination of children (95%CI=0.6-0.9, p=0.004) decreased by 30% with a one unit increase of trust in religious leaders (Table 1, row [d] of the columns [3]-[4]). However, when comparing between genders, the trust in religious leaders decreased the willingness to accept the booster dose only among men. Both women and men decreased their willingness to vaccinate children as their trust in religious leaders increased (Supplementary Table 4). Trust in religious leaders impacted the willingness scores differently between age groups. For instance, only adults showed a decrease in their willingness to accept a booster dose as trust in religious leaders increased, while only young individuals with greater trust in religious leaders decreased their willingness to accept an annual vaccination and the vaccination of children. Lastly, people’s trust varied between social media (Fig. 1C). Multivariate analyses showed that an increase of trust in social media was associated with a lower willingness to accept a booster dose (OR=0.4, 95%CI=0.2-0.7, p=0.001) and the vaccination of children (OR=0.7, 95%CI=0.7-1.0, p=0.03) (Table 1, row [f] of the columns [2] and [4]).
A higher perceived risk of infection and effectiveness of prevention practices as well as less concern regarding side effects of vaccines increased the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine.
People’s perceptions of the effectiveness of prevention practices varied according to the practice (Kruskal-Wallis test: Chi-squared=591.1, d.f.=7, p<0.001) (Fig. 1D). For instance, the vaccination was perceived as more effective compared to lockdown (Dunn’s test with Bonferroni adjustment: z=10.2, p<0.001), but less effective than the use of a mask (z=-6.22, p<0.001), hand-washing (z=-10.1, p<0.001), physical distance (z=-9.3, p<0.001), avoid social gatherings (z=-7.1, p<0.001), and quarantine (z=-3.9, p=0.001). Also, the use of a mask was perceived as less effective than hand-washing (z=-4.8, p<0.001) and physical distance (z=-3.3, p=0.011). The lockdown was perceived as the least effective practice to prevent the infection of SARS-CoV-2 among all of the practices included in the study (Fig. 1D). Notwithstanding the different perceptions of effectiveness across practices, results suggest that the variability of perceptions can be retained in one factor (factor analysis: eigenvalue of factor 1=3.0; LR test: chi-squared=1292.1, p<0.001), with the set of variables showing a high internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha=0.81). We calculated the overall perceived effectiveness of the prevention practices for each individual as the average value of perceived effectiveness among all practices, and used this new variable in the multivariate analysis.
Most people perceived that the probability of becoming infected with COVID-19 was “little probable” (n=423, 56.8%) or “some probable” (n=239, 32.1%) (Fig. 1E). Only 49 of the surveyed individuals (6.6%) reported that getting COVID-19 was “highly probable”. In turn, people reported being “little worried” (n=306, 41%) or “not worried” (n=190, 25.5%) about the side effects of vaccines. A total of only 79 individuals of the sample reported being “highly worried” about the side effects of vaccines (n=79, 10.6%) (Fig. 1E). In turn, people’s trust varied between types of press media (Fig. 1F).
When the perceived effectiveness of infection prevention practices was a score unit higher, the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine increased by 2-fold (95%CI=1.0-4.5, p=0.05), the booster dose by 2.4 times (95%CI=1.3-4.5, p=0.005), an annual vaccination by 2.4 times (95%CI=1.6-3.4, p<0.001), and the vaccination of children by 2.4-fold (95%CI=1.6-3.5, p<0.001) (Table 1, row [h]). Moreover, when the perception of infection risk increased by one unit value, the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doubled (95%CI= 1.1-3.7; p=0.02) and the willingness to accept an annual vaccination increased by 1.4 times (95%CI=1.1-1.8; p=0.01) (Table 1, row [i] of the columns [1] and [3]). In contrast, when preoccupation regarding the side effects of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines increased by one unit value, the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine decreased by 40% (95% CI=0.4-0.9; p=0.01) and the willingness to vaccinate children decreased by 20% (95% CI=0.7-1.0; p=0.02) (Table 1, row [j] of the columns [1] and [4]).
Moreover, we found that associations of willingness variables with the perceived effectiveness of prevention practices, perceived infection risk and preoccupation regarding side effects, varied among genders and cohorts. For instance, when comparing results between genders, women showed significant associations among all willingness variables with the perceived effectiveness of prevention practices (Supplementary Table 4). On the other hand, men showed a significant association between the willingness to accept the annual vaccination and the perceived effectiveness of prevention practices (Supplementary Table 4). Analyses across age groups suggest that only adults increased their willingness to accept a booster dose as their perceived effectiveness of prevention practices increased. Both adults and young people with a higher perceived effectiveness of prevention practices showed a greater willingness to accept an annual vaccination and the vaccination of children (Supplementary Table 5). Also, perception of infection risk was positively and significantly associated with the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (OR=2.4; 95%CI=1.1-5.1; p=0.02) and booster dose (OR=1.7; 95%CI=0.9-3.1; p=0.08) among women, but not among men (Supplementary Table 4). Preoccupation regarding the side effects of vaccines decreased the willingness to accept SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in both women (OR=0.5; 95% CI=0.3-0.8, p=0.008) and men (OR=0.2; 95%CI=0.0-0.9; p=0.03), but only men decreased their willingness to vaccinate children as their preoccupation regarding side effects increased (OR=0.7; 95%CI=0.5-0.9; p=0.02) (Supplementary Table 4). Similarly, increased worry about side effects decreased the willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (OR=0.3, 95%CI=0.1-0.6, p=0.002) and booster dose (OR=0.3, 95%CI=0.1-0.8, p=0.01) only among young people. Instead, adults showed that a higher preoccupation regarding side effects decreased their willingness to vaccinate children (OR=0.7, 95%CI =0.6-0.9, p=0.01) (Supplementary Table 5).
Interestingly, when individuals perceived that vaccines reduce the severity of COVID-19, their willingness to vaccinate their children also increased by 20% (OR=0.8, 95%CI=0.7-0.9, p=0.002) (Table 1, row [l] of the column [4]). When respondents showed an increased perception that prevention practices could be relaxed thanks to vaccination, a reduction in the willingness to accept an annual vaccination was observed (OR=0.7, 95%CI=0.6-0.9, p=0.001) (Table 1, row [m] of the columns [3]). Individuals who reported a higher agreement that vaccination would stop the pandemic showed a higher willingness to accept a booster dose (OR=1.4, 95%CI=1.0-1.9, p=0.03), annual vaccination (OR=1.4, 95%CI=1.2-1.7, p<0.001), and the vaccination of children (OR=1.3, 95%CI=1.1-1.5, p=0.001) (Table 1, row [n] of the columns [2]-[4]). Lastly, individuals who reported that the pandemic positively impacted their subjective well-being showed less willingness to accept a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (OR=0.6, 95%CI=0.3-1.0, p=0.04), but did not vary their willingness to accept a booster dose, annual vaccination, and the vaccination of children (Table 1, row [o]).