Baseline patient characteristics
A total of 208 patients with HCV infection who received IFN-free DAA therapy between October 2014 and July 2016 and were regularly followed-up at Hokkaido University Hospital were screened. Of these, 110 patients with all FibroScan examination data at baseline, SVR24, and SVR96, complete clinical information, and preserved serum samples obtained at baseline and after treatment were included in this study (Figure S1). Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics of these 110 patients and a comparison of LSM-based liver fibrosis stages F0–2 and F3–4. The median age of patients was 66 years (range, 22–87 years), and 69 patients (62.7%) were female. The baseline median aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were 39 IU/L (range, 16–180) and 38 IU/L (range, 6–273), respectively, and the median platelet count was 16.2 × 104/μL (range, 2.6–37.3 × 104/μL).
In total, 19, 47, 39, and 5 patients were treated with daclatasvir plus asunaprevir, sofosbuvir plus ledipasvir, sofosbuvir plus ribavirin, and ombitasvir plus paritaprevir, respectively. Additionally, 62, 19, 8, and 21 patients had liver fibrosis stages based on LSM of F0–1, F2, F3, and F4, respectively.
Rate of non-regression at 96 weeks after successful HCV eradication by DAA therapy and associated factors
Figure 1 summarizes the changes in LSM-based liver fibrosis stage at 96 weeks after successful HCV eradication by DAA therapy. As the baseline liver fibrosis stage increased, the rate of non-regression at 96 weeks after DAA therapy increased. Among patients with baseline F4 stage, 33% (7/21) showed non-regression based on LSM, whereas 11% of all patients (12/110) showed non-regression based on LSM at 96 weeks after DAA therapy.
We further analysed the baseline predictive factors associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis at 96 weeks after DAA initiation. Table 2 provides a comparison of various factors in patients with or without non-regression of liver fibrosis stage based on LSM at 96 weeks after DAA initiation. A univariate analysis revealed that baseline liver fibrosis stage (F0–2 vs. 3–4, P = 0.002), FIB-4 index (P = 0.005), angiopoietin-2 (P = 0.004), HCV-RNA (P = 0.025), and AST (P = 0.029) were significantly associated with non-regression at 96 weeks after DAA initiation. Subsequently, we included significant factors identified in the univariate analysis (P ≤ 0.005) in a multivariate logistic regression analysis (i.e., the liver fibrosis stage, FIB-4 index, and Ang2 levels). As shown in Table 2, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that baseline fibrosis stage (odds ratio 4.56, 95% confidence interval, 1.13–18.3; P = 0.033) and Ang2 level (odds ratio 1.004, 95% confidence interval, 1.00–1.01; P = 0.039) were significantly associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis stage based on LSM at 96 weeks after DAA initiation.
Table 3 summarizes the results of a subgroup analysis of patients with baseline fibrosis stage of F3/4. In this group, high Ang2 at baseline was significantly associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis stage based on LSM at 96 weeks after DAA initiation (P = 0.024).
Rate of non-regression of LSM-based liver fibrosis stage between 24 and 96 weeks after successful HCV eradication and associated factors
Subsequently, we analysed the rate of non-regression between SVR24 and SVR96 and associated factors. As shown in Figure 2, as the fibrosis stage increased at SVR24, the rate of non-regression at 96 weeks after DAA therapy increased. Among patients with stage F4 at SVR24, 58% (7/12) showed non-regression of liver fibrosis stage based on LSM, compared with 15% (17/110) for all patients.
As shown in Table 4, subsequent univariate analyses revealed that liver fibrosis stage at SVR 24 (F0-2 vs. 3–4, P < 0.001), platelet count at SVR24 (P = 0.004), history of hypertension (P = 0.006), AST level at SVR24 (P = 0.003), γGTP level at SVR24 (P = 0.019), FIB-4 index at SVR24 (P < 0.001), and post-treatment Ang2 level (P = 0.001) were significantly associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis stage between SVR24 and SVR96. Subsequently, we conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis using significant factors (P ≤ 0.001) in the univariate analysis (i.e., liver fibrosis stage, FIB-4 index, and Ang2 levels). As shown in Table 4, fibrosis stage at SVR24 (odds ratio 12.35, 95% confidence interval, 3.86–39.6; P < 0.001) alone was significantly associated with non-regression between SVR24 and SVR96.
Next, we conducted a subgroup analysis of patients with liver fibrosis stage F3/4 at SVR24 (Table 5). A high Ang2 level post-treatment and high CAP value at SVR24 were significantly associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis stage between SVR24 and SVR96.