Study area and design
We conducted a multi-year study using the Stewardship Garden at the University of St. Thomas in St. Paul, MN. Established in 2011, the research garden contains 36 raised garden beds measuring 4 m2 and 0.3 m deep (Figure S1). At the start of the current study in 2017, soil from previous projects was replaced and homogenized. Each raised bed was divided into four subplots in which the following crops were planted and rotated annually: 1) carrots; 2) bush beans; 3) bell peppers; and 4) cabbage (2017) or collards (2018, 2019). We randomly assigned each of the experimental plots to one of 6 soil amendment treatments previously described by Shrestha et al. (2020). Briefly, soil treatments consisted of a: 1) control treatment in which no compost or fertilizer was added (nofert); 2) synthetic fertilizer to meet crop N demand and P (synthetic); 3) a higher application rate of manure compost targeted to meet crop N demand (high manure); 4) a lower application rate of manure compost targeted to meet crop P demand, with supplemental N fertilizer to meet crop N demand (low manure); 5) a higher application rate of municipal compost targeted to meet crop N demand (high municipal compost); and 6) a lower application rate of municipal compost targeted to meet crop P demand, along with supplemental N fertilizer to meet crop N demand (low municipal compost). Compost properties and application rates are described in Tables S1 and S2. Mean garden soil organic matter (loss on ignition method) ranged from 8% on the no fertilizer treatment to 12.6% in the high municipal compost treatment (Table S3). For more detailed information about the study area and the experimental design see Small et al. (2018) and Shrestha et al. (2020).
Total water inputs, soil moisture, and other meteorological data
Soil moisture was measured 3-4 times per week at a depth of 5 cm, with three measurements recorded from each garden subplot, between June-August from 2017-2019, using a General DSMM 500 soil moisture meter. We used these direct measurements (data reported as %) for statistical analyses, but we converted values for the mass balance model (described below) in 2017 by collecting 16 40 mL soil cores from each soil amendment treatment and measuring water content as the difference between the initial (wet) mass and the mass after drying for 48 hours at 40°C (Fig. S2). Soil moisture readings are presented as % by volume ([mL water/mL soil] x 100).
Meteorological data was collected at hourly intervals in the research garden beginning in June 2017. Rainfall was measured using a ECRN-50 rain gauge (Part # 40655, METER); solar radiation was measured using a PAR sensor (Part # 40003, METER); temperature and relative humidity were measured using a VP-4 sensor (Part # 40023, METER); and wind speed was measured using a Davis Cup anemometer (Part #40030, METER). Data was recorded using an Em50 data logger (Part 40800, METER).
Throughout the growing season, soil moisture was maintained at > 15% in our study plots through a combination of rainfall and irrigation. When irrigation was required, we watered evenly over the 4 m2 raised beds for a set time (30, 45, or 60 seconds) and estimated the volume of water added by measuring the amount of time it took to fill an 11 L bucket at that flow rate. All garden study plots received equal irrigation inputs. Total water inputs for each weekly interval were calculated as the sum of ambient rainfall and irrigation inputs. Reference turfgrass plots located adjacent to the garden received ambient rainfall but did not receive supplemental irrigation.
Leachate collection
Prior to the beginning of the experiment in 2017, we installed lysimeters in the center of each of the 128 garden subplots, plus five additional turfgrass reference plots. Lysimeter construction, installation, and data collection were previously described in Small et al. (2018) and Shrestha et al. (2020). Briefly, we constructed lysimeters by attaching plastic funnels with diameter of 11.8 cm to 1 L polyethylene bottles fitted with Tygon tubing for sampling. We buried the lysimeters at a depth of 0.3 m. We collected and recorded leachate volume from the lysimeters weekly throughout the growing season by emptying the collection bottle with a 50 mL syringe.
Statistical analysis
We tested for differences in soil moisture and leachate volume among soil treatments using general linear models. For mean weekly soil moisture, our models included four predictor variables: soil treatment, weekly total water inputs (rainfall and irrigation), crop type, and year. Because the relationship between weekly water inputs and soil moisture was nonlinear above inputs of 5 cm/week, weeks exceeding this total were excluded from the statistical model (a total of 7 out of 41 weeks).
For weekly volume of leachate collected, our models included weekly total water inputs (rainfall and irrigation), crop type, year, and weekly mean soil moisture (on a volume basis). To identify the best fit and most parsimonious models for both weekly soil moisture and weekly volume of leachate collected, we used multimodal inference and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) approach to model selection in R. We tested assumptions of normal distribution using the diagnostic plots in R; we used residual vs. fitted plots to test for equal variance and the Q – Q plot to assess normality. We also evaluated variance inflation factors and confirmed they were low (< 3), indicating insignificant collinearity between our variables. Including four predictor variables in our models generated a total of 15 models. To select the best fit model, we evaluated the 15 models from a R2, adjusted R2, AIC, DAIC, and model weight perspective.
Mass balance hydrology model
We created a simple mass-balance hydrology model to test assumptions about underlying processes by comparing model output with observed data. We modeled soil moisture (SM) as L of water within a 1m x 1m x 0.3m (300 L) experimental garden plot:
dSM/dt = precipitation + supplemental irrigation - water leachate – evapotranspiration
Daily precipitation and supplemental irrigation (mm/d, or L/m2/d) were inputs to the model as described above. Water leachate (mm/d, or L/m2/d) was modeled based on the difference between modeled soil moisture and soil water capacity. Water capacity was modeled as a function of soil % organic matter, based on the relationship between the mean %OM for each soil amendment treatment and the maximum observed soil moisture in that treatment (R2 = 0.57). Water storage in excess of water capacity was assumed to be exported as leachate.
We calculated evapotranspiration (mm/d, or L/m2/d) based on the Penman-Monteith equation (Zotarelli et al. 2010), using mean daily solar radiation, maximum and minimum relative humidity, maximum and minimum temperature, and mean wind speed as inputs. The calculated reference evapotranspiration rate (representing turfgrass) was converted to potential crop evapotranspiration using seasonally varying crop coefficients ranging from 0.55-1.2, with maximum values in the middle of the growing season (based on values reported in Satler 2016). Potential crop evapotranspiration was multiplied by a correction factor, ks, that is a function of soil moisture (Zotarelli et al. 2010), adjusting ET downward in drier soil. Between soil moisture values of 6% and 21%, ks increases linearly from 0 to 1. During the parameterization process, we adjusted calculated ET using a correction factor of 2 to achieve a good correspondence between modeled and observed soil moisture and cumulative leachate values.
The simulation was run from 27 May 2017 - 25 October 2019 (881 days), spanning three growing seasons, with dt = 1 day. The model was run using Stella Architect (1.5.2) using the Euler integration method. Modeled values for soil moisture and cumulative leachate were compared against observed values for 2017 and 2018 in the garden-municipal compost (high application rate), garden-no compost, and reference turfgrass plots. Model equations and parameter values are found in the appendix.
The model was used to compare cumulative evapotranspiration and leachate from ambient precipitation (Scenario 0) with three alternative climate scenarios. In Scenario 1, we simulated a 30% increase in annual rainfall (Easterling et al. 2017) by multiplying daily observed rainfall totals by 1.3. Scenario 2 simulates elevated rainfall only during the spring and fall (Easterling et al. 2017), achieved by multiplying daily rainfall for Juliann days 80-172 and 264-355 by a factor of 1.3. Scenario 3 simulates an increase in magnitude of extreme precipitation events (Hayhoe et al. 2010) achieved by multiplying any daily rainfall total greater than 5.08 cm (2 inches) by a factor of 1.25. Supplemental irrigation was maintained at ambient levels (no irrigation for turfgrass) in these scenarios. For each scenario, we also calculated cumulative leachate and ET fluxes into water derived from precipitation and water derived from irrigation. To do this, we separately modeled stocks of soil water derived from precipitation and soil water derived from irrigation, with inflows being the known daily inputs from each source, and outflows were partitioned by multiplying the calculated total flux of leachate or ET by the relative composition of the total soil water stock.