Establishment of the ddPCR assay
Our ddPCR assay specifically detected the wild-type and mutant alleles of the TERT-p and BRAF (Fig. 1). To evaluate the quantitative performance of the assay, serially diluted mutant PCR products were mixed in wild-type PCR products to obtain various reference samples with mutation fractions of 0, 1, 5, 10, 50, and 100%. For each, four different sets of total DNA copies of 500, 1,000, 3,000 and 9,000 were prepared and analyzed. The expected and observed mut% were well correlated in all tested samples of both genes, and all coefficients of determination were > 0.989 (Supplementary Fig. S1).
Since the TERT-p mutations are C > T transitions, artificial C > T mutations during PCR caused by hydrolytic deamination of cytosine are a problem in precise detection of the TERT-p mutations, especially in stored DNAs. The cytosine deamination creates uracil, and uracil can pair with adenine during elongation, leading to the C > T mutation and causing a false positive. We used uracil DNA glycosylase to avoid the false positive; however, it was not possible to completely eliminate it. Therefore, the cutoff limit for detection of the TERT-p mutation in the ddPCR assay was statistically determined by analyzing serially diluted mutant PCR products mixed with wild-type PCR products and 100% wild-type PCR products. We determined mut% that yielded the number of mutant signals significantly exceeding the background, calculated the 95% prediction interval for those values, and used its upper boundary as the cutoff; all samples displaying TERT-p mut% above the cutoff were considered TERT-p mutation-positive. See Supplementary file 1 with Supplementary Fig. S2 for detailed calculations.
In addition, we determined the minimal DNA copy number in a reaction that was necessary to correctly distinguish the true negative samples from those showing no TERT-p mutant signals due to insufficient amount of template DNA. Under the conditions used in our ddPCR, the minimal number of TERT-p DNA copies in a reaction was more than 64 (Supplementary file 1). Samples with the total TERT-p DNA copy number ≤ 64 were considered “inadequate”.
Analysis of FNA and FFPE samples by the ddPCR
A total of 96 nodules with pathologically confirmed PTC were analyzed. Based on the cutoff limits, 19 (20%) and 4 (4%) of the FNA samples were found to carry the − 124C > T and − 146C > T mutations, respectively, 66 (69%) were wild-type, and 7 (7%) were inadequate (Fig. 2a). Of the corresponding 96 FFPE samples, 24 (25%) and 4 (4%) had the − 124C > T and − 146C > T mutations, respectively, and 68 (71%) were wild-type (Fig. 2b). All FFPE samples were successfully genotyped (Fig. 2b). Results of the TERT-p mutation analysis in FNA and FFPE samples are summarized in Fig. 3a and b, respectively. Assuming FFPE result a true condition and that of FNA a predicted condition, the area under curve in receiver operating characteristic analysis (AUC-ROC) was 0.899 (95% CI: 0.810–0.989). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were 81.5, 98.4, 95.7, and 92.4%, respectively (Fig. 3c). The Cohen’s kappa was 0.834 (p = 2.52E-15), which corresponds to “almost perfect agreement” 33. A total of 6 cases had discordant results: 1 case was FNA mut/FFPE wt and 5 cases were FNA wt/FFPE mut.
The BRAFV600E mutation was also examined by the same fashion. The BRAFV600E mutation is a T > A transversion, and we did not observe any false positive in our ddPCR assay. Of the 96 FNA samples, 85 (89%) were found to carry the BRAFV600E mutation and 7 (7%) were wild-type (Fig. 3d). There were four (4%) inadequate cases (Fig. 3d). Of the 96 corresponding FFPE samples, 91 (95%) had the BRAFV600E mutation and 5 (5%) wild-type (Fig. 3e). All FFPE samples were successfully genotyped. The AUC-ROC was 0.888 (95% CI: 0.679–1.000), and the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 96.6, 80.0, 98.8 and 57.1%, respectively (Fig. 3f). The Cohen’s kappa was 0.710 (p = 1.02E-11), corresponding to “substantial agreement” 33. A total of 4 cases displayed discordant results: 1 case was FNA mut/FFPE wt and 3 cases were FNA wt/FFPE mut. In our series, all TERT-p mutation-positive samples harbored the BRAFV600E mutation in both the FNA and FFPE samples.
Relationship Between The Mutational Status And Clinicopathological Features
First, we analyzed the relationship between the mutational status of the TERT-p in FFPE samples and clinicopathological features. The median ages of patients with mutation-positive and wild-type PTCs were 71.5 (interquartile range: 74.8–67.5) and 64.5 (69.0–58.0) years old, respectively, and this difference was significant in both univariate (p = 1.68E-05) and multivariate (p = 5.00E-06) analysis (Table 1). The median tumor size was significantly greater in the mutation-positive cases (20.5, 27.5–16.0 mm) than in the wild-type cases (13.0, 20.0–10.0 mm) in both univariate (p = 0.002) and multivariate (p = 0.032) analysis. (Table 1). The advanced AJCC 8th edition’s pT categories were more frequently observed in the TERT-p mutation-positive PTCs (multivariate p = 0.015) (Table 1). The mutation-positive tumors displayed a significantly higher risk for extrathyroidal extension than wild-type ones (multivariate p = 0.015). The Ki-67 labeling index in the TERT-p mutation-positive tumors was significantly higher than that in the wild-type in both univariate (p = 6.41E-10) and multivariate (p = 2.00E-06) analysis (Table 1).
Table 1
Association between the TERT-p mutational status and clinicopathological features in FFPE samples. Multivariate: Adjusted for age, sex and BRAF status. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range; nc, not calculated; nd, not determined; LN, lymph node. Statistical test: aMann-Whitney test. bLinear regression model. cFisher exact test. dFisher–Freeman–Halton exact test. eOrdinal response model.
|
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
Parameter
|
All FFPE cases
|
TERT mut-
|
TERT mut+
|
p
|
β or OR
(95% CI)
|
p
|
Number of cases
|
96
|
68
|
28
|
|
|
|
Age (years old)
median (IQR, Q3-Q1)
|
67.0 (71.8–59.0)
|
64.5 (69.0–58.0)
|
71.5 (74.8–67.5)
|
1.68E-05a
|
6.485
(3.699-9.271)b
|
5.00E-06
|
(range)
|
(55-81)
|
(55-80)
|
(56-81)
|
|
|
|
Sex F/M, ratio
|
77/19 (4.1:1)
|
55/13 (4.2:1)
|
22/6 (4.1:1)
|
0.784c
|
0.487
(0.137-1.733)
|
0.267
|
Tumor size (mm)
median (IQR, Q3-Q1)
|
16.0 (11.0, 23.0)
|
13.0 (20.0–10.0)
|
20.5 (27.5–16.0)
|
0.002a
|
6.797
(0.589-13.005)b
|
0.032
|
(range)
|
(6-110)
|
(6-110)
|
(9-43)
|
|
|
|
pT3&4 vs pT1&2 (7th)
|
92 (96.8%)
|
66 (98.5%)
|
26 (92.9%)
|
0.207c
|
0.169
(0.018-1.542)
|
0.115
|
pT3&4 vs pT1&2 (8th)
|
12 (12.5%)
|
6 (8.8%)
|
6 (21.4%)
|
0.102c
|
7.543
(1.489-38.214)
|
0.015
|
pN
|
63 (65.6%)
|
42 (61.8%)
|
21 (75.0%)
|
0.400c
|
1.568
(0.411-5.984)
|
0.511
|
M
|
2 (2.1%)
|
1 (1.5%)
|
1 (3.7%)
|
0.490c
|
2.914
(0.142-59.712)
|
0.488
|
Extrathyroidal extension
(gross)
|
6 (6.3%)
|
2 (2.9%)
|
4 (14.3%)
|
0.058c
|
12.517
(1.628-96.223)
|
0.015
|
Stage (7th)
|
|
|
|
0.129d
|
1.155
(0.009-2.301)e
|
0.048
|
Not determined
|
15 (15.6%)
|
12 (17.6%)
|
3 (10.7%)
|
nc
|
nc
|
nc
|
I
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
II
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
III
|
53 (65.4%)
|
40 (71.4%)
|
13 (52.0%)
|
0.129c
|
0.315
(0.100-0.991)
|
0.048
|
IV
|
28 (34.6%)
|
16 (28.6%)
|
12 (48.0%)
|
0.129c
|
3.174
(1.009-9.980)
|
0.048
|
Stage (8th)
|
|
|
|
0.263d
|
1.013
(-0.019-2.045)e
|
0.054
|
Not determined
|
1 (1.0%)
|
0
|
1 (3.6%)
|
nc
|
nc
|
nc
|
I
|
31 (32.3%)
|
25 (36.8%)
|
6 (22.2%)
|
0.227c
|
0.429
(0.138-1.332)
|
0.143
|
II
|
56 (58.3%)
|
39 (57.4%)
|
17 (63.0%)
|
0.651c
|
1.236
(0.447-3.416)
|
0.683
|
III
|
6 (6.3%)
|
3 (4.4%)
|
3 (11.1%)
|
0.347c
|
6.687
(0.923-48.311)
|
0.060
|
IV
|
2 (2.1%)
|
1 (1.5%)
|
1 (3.7%)
|
0.490c
|
2.914
(0.142-59.712)
|
0.488
|
Total thyroidectomy
|
70 (72.9%)
|
47 (69.1%)
|
23 (82.1%)
|
0.218c
|
2.223
(0.669-7.384)
|
0.192
|
LN dissection
(more than central)
|
25 (26.0%)
|
15 (22.1%)
|
10 (35.7%)
|
0.203c
|
2.895
(0.928-9.030)
|
0.067
|
Ki-67 labeling index
|
|
|
|
6.41E-10d
|
3.159
(1.867-4.451)e
|
2.00E-06
|
0–5%
|
70 (72.9%)
|
62 (91.2%)
|
8 (28.6%)
|
1.72E-09c
|
0.045
(0.012-0.166)
|
3.00E-06
|
5–10%
|
20 (20.8%)
|
6 (8.8%)
|
14 (50.0%)
|
2.20E-05c
|
11.093
(3.011-40.973)
|
2.99E-04
|
> 10%
|
6 (6.3%)
|
0
|
6 (21.4%)
|
4.06E-04c
|
23.124
(1.306-409.375)
|
0.032
|
FFPE
BRAFV600E mutation
|
91 (94.8%)
|
63 (92.6%)
|
28 (100%)
|
0.317c
|
4.018
(0.194-83.221)
|
0.368
|
Next, we analyzed the clinicopathological correlations with the TERT-p mutation in FNA samples. The median ages of patients with mutation-positive and wild-type PTCs were 71.5 (74.3–67.0) and 65.5 (69.0-58.3) years old, respectively; the difference was significant in both univariate (p = 5.61E-04) and multivariate (p = 4.53E-04) analysis (Table 2). The median tumor size was significantly greater in the mutation-positive cases (22.0, 28.3–14.0 mm) than in the wild-type cases (13.0, 20.8–10.3 mm) in univariate analysis (p = 0.011) (Table 2). In multivariate analysis, this significance was lost, although the effect size was still high (b = 6.732, p = 0.056) (Table 2). The advanced AJCC 8th edition’s pT categories were more frequently observed in the TERT-p mutation-positive PTCs (multivariate p = 0.05) (Table 2). Extrathyroidal extension was more common in the mutation-positive cases than in the wild-type cases (univariate p = 0.035 and multivariate p = 0.009) (Table 2). The Ki-67 labeling index in the mutation-positive PTCs was significantly higher than in the wild-type tumors in both univariate (p = 3.46E-05) and multivariate analyses (p = 0.002) (Table. 2).
Table 2
Association between the TERT-p mutational status and clinicopathological features in FNA samples. Multivariate: Adjusted for age, sex and BRAF status. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range; nc, not calculated; nd, not determined; LN, lymph node. Statistical test: aMann-Whitney test. bLinear regression model. cFisher exact test. dFisher–Freeman–Halton exact test. eOrdinal response model.
|
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
Parameter
|
All FNA cases
|
TERT mut-
|
TERT mut+
|
p
|
β or OR
(95% CI)
|
p
|
Number of cases
|
86
|
64
|
22
|
|
|
|
Age, median (years old)
(IQR, Q3-Q1)
|
67.0 (72.0–59.0)
|
65.5 (69.0-58.3)
|
71.5 (74.3–67.0)
|
5.61E-04a
|
5.469
(2.412–8.525)b
|
4.53E-04
|
(range)
|
(55–81)
|
(55–81)
|
(56–77)
|
|
|
|
Sex F/M, ratio
|
69/17 (4.1:1)
|
53/11 (4.8:1)
|
16/6 (2.7:1)
|
0.356c
|
0.244
(0.060–0.986)
|
0.048
|
Tumor size, median (mm)
(IQR, Q3-Q1)
|
15.5 (23.3–11.0)
|
13.0 (20.8–10.3)
|
22.0 (28.3–14.0)
|
0.011a
|
6.732
(-0.165–13.626)b
|
0.056
|
(range)
|
(6–110)
|
(6–110)
|
(9–43)
|
|
|
|
pT3&4 vs pT1&2 (7th)
|
84 (97.7%)
|
64 (100%)
|
20 (90.9%)
|
0.063c
|
0.060
(0.003–1.199)
|
0.066
|
pT3&4 vs pT1&2 (8th)
|
12 (14.0%)
|
6 (9.4%)
|
6 (27.3%)
|
0.068c
|
14.138
(2.231–89.613)
|
0.005
|
pN
|
55 (64.0%)
|
39 (60.9%)
|
16 (72.7%)
|
0.441c
|
1.256
(0.280–5.640)
|
0.766
|
M
|
1 (1.2%)
|
1 (1.6%)
|
0
|
1.000c
|
0.910
(0.043–19.496)
|
0.952
|
Extrathyroidal extension
(gross)
|
6 (7.0%)
|
2 (3.1%)
|
4 (18.2%)
|
0.035c
|
24.586
(2.229–271.212)
|
0.009
|
Stage (7th)
|
|
|
|
0.261d
|
0.829
(-0.358–2.016)e
|
0.171
|
Not determined
|
14 (16.3%)
|
11 (17.2%)
|
3 (13.6%)
|
nc
|
nc
|
nc
|
I
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
II
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
III
|
47 (54.7%)
|
37 (57.8%)
|
10 (45.5%)
|
0.261c
|
0.436
(0.133–1.431)
|
0.171
|
IV
|
25 (29.1%)
|
16 (25.0%)
|
9 (40.9%)
|
0.261c
|
2.291
(0.699–7.510)
|
0.171
|
Stage (8th)
|
|
|
|
0.332d
|
0.847
(-0.255–1.950)e
|
0.132
|
Not determined
|
1 (1.2%)
|
0
|
1 (4.5%)
|
nc
|
nc
|
nc
|
I
|
29 (33.7%)
|
24 (37.5%)
|
5 (22.7%)
|
0.298c
|
0.546
(0.163–1.828)
|
0.326
|
II
|
49 (57.0%)
|
36 (56.3%)
|
13 (59.1%)
|
0.8c
|
0.943
(0.309–2.880)
|
0.918
|
III
|
6 (7.0%)
|
3 (4.7%)
|
3 (13.6%)
|
0.157c
|
12.680
(1.240–129.713)
|
0.032
|
IV
|
1 (1.2%)
|
1 (1.6%)
|
0
|
1.000c
|
0.676
(0.033–13.716)
|
0.799
|
Total thyroidectomy
|
60 (69.8%)
|
41 (64.1%)
|
19 (86.4%)
|
0.062c
|
3.969
(0.977–16.129)
|
0.054
|
LN dissection
(more than central)
|
22 (25.6%)
|
15 (23.4%)
|
7 (31.8%)
|
0.572c
|
1.611
(0.486–5.336)
|
0.435
|
Ki-67 labeling index
|
|
|
|
3.46E-05d
|
1.825
(0.680–2.970)e
|
0.002
|
0–5%
|
62 (72.1%)
|
54 (84.4%)
|
8 (36.4%)
|
4.30E-05c
|
0.107
(0.033–0.343)
|
1.74E-04
|
5–10%
|
19 (22.1%)
|
9 (14.1%)
|
10 (45.5%)
|
0.006c
|
5.868
(1.780–19.346)
|
0.004
|
> 10%
|
5 (5.8%)
|
1 (1.6%)
|
4 (18.2%)
|
0.014c
|
12.244
(1.184–126.591)
|
0.036
|
FNA BRAFV600E mutation
|
80 (93.0%)
|
58 (90.6%)
|
22 (100%)
|
0.331c
|
2.293
(0.119–44.335)
|
0.583
|
Correspondence analysis demonstrated that the mutational status of TERT-p and BRAF determined by FNA and that by FFPE were highly correlated. Other parameters showing high correlation with the mutational status were higher Ki-67 labeling index and age > 69 years old (Supplementary Fig. S3).
The clonality of the TERT promoter mutation
The allelic frequency of the TERT-p mutation does not accurately tell us the clonality of the TERT-p mutation in cancer cells because tumor tissue contains not only tumor cells but also stromal, endothelial, and blood cells. Therefore, we used the allelic frequency of the BRAFV600E mutation as an indicator of tumor purity since the BRAFV600E mutation has been reported to be a clonal event in PTCs 28,34, and our immunohistochemical staining using specific antibody for BRAFV600E also demonstrated homogeneous staining in PTC cells in the FFPE specimens (data not shown).
We calculated the proportion of the TERT-p mutation-positive cancer cells (TP) by dividing the allelic frequency of the TERT-p mutation by that of the BRAFV600E mutation. In the 28 FFPE samples that harbored the TERT-p mutation, the TPs varied from 51–136% (Fig. 4), although in most cases they were 80–120%, suggesting that the TERT-p mutation may be nearly clonal in most PTCs. Two cases had higher TPs (135.0% and 135.5%), and three cases had lower TPs (51.1, 52.8 and 65.7%) (Fig. 4), which could be due to copy gain and low clonality, respectively. We also analyzed the association of the TP with clinicopathological characteristics. As shown in Table 3, the higher TP was significantly associated with the higher pT category of both the 7th (multivariate p = 0.023) and 8th (multivariate p = 0.005) editions of AJCC TNM classification and extrathyroidal extension (univariate p = 0.015 and multivariate p = 0.05).
Table 3
Linear association between the proportion of TERT-p positive cancer cells and clinicopathological features in FFPE samples. Multivariate: Adjusted for age and sex. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; nd, not determined. Statistical test: a Pearson correlation coefficient. b Linear regression model. c Mann-Whitney test. d Kruskal-Wallis test. e Ordinal response model. f Kruskal-Wallis test with Dunn's post hoc test.
|
proportion of TERT-p positive cancer cells
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
Parameter
|
Regression coefficient (95% CI)
|
p
|
β or OR (95% CI)
|
p
|
Age
|
0.633 (-0.483–1.749)a
|
0.254
|
0.067 (-0.037–0.171)b
|
0.210
|
Sex
|
|
0.236c
|
1.025 (0.976–1.076)
|
0.329
|
M
|
0.862 (0.828–0.871)
|
|
|
|
F
|
0.950 (0.823–1.066)
|
|
|
|
Tumor size
|
0.461 (-0.124–1.046)a
|
0.303
|
0.117 (-0.048–0.283)b
|
0.164
|
pT (7th)
|
|
0.059d
|
1.070 (1.010–1.134)e
|
0.023
|
1
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
nd
|
2
|
0.849 (0.657–1.040)
|
0.640f
|
0.982 (0.927–1.041)
|
0.544
|
3
|
0.875 (0.823–0.977)
|
0.100f
|
0.969 (0.922–1.019)
|
0.223
|
4
|
1.100 (1.045–1.251)
|
0.015f
|
1.105 (1.000–1.222)
|
0.05
|
3&4 vs 1&2
|
0.886 (0.828–1.052)
|
0.640c
|
1.018 (0.961–1.078)
|
0.544
|
pT (8th)
|
|
0.028d
|
1.075 (1.023–1.129)e
|
0.005
|
1
|
0.828 (0.800–0.910)
|
0.013f
|
0.944 (0.890–1.002)
|
0.059
|
2
|
0.891 (0.859–1.043)
|
0.746f
|
0.982 (0.942–1.025)
|
0.411
|
3
|
1.052 (0.960–1.201)
|
0.248f
|
1.093 (0.979–1.220)
|
0.112
|
4
|
1.147 (1.088-–.251)
|
0.032f
|
1.190 (0.986–1.435)
|
0.069
|
2&3&4 vs 1
|
1.029 (0.878–1.066)
|
0.013c
|
1.059 (0.998–1.123)
|
0.059
|
3&4 vs 1&2
|
1.100 (1.029–1.350)
|
0.010c
|
1.221 (1.008–1.479)
|
0.041
|
pN
|
-0.463 (-20.788–19.862)
|
0.963c
|
0.984 (0.920–1.052)
|
0.629
|
M
|
0.915 (0.828–1.052)
|
0.444c
|
0.996 (0.938–1.057)
|
0.883
|
Extrathyroidal extension (gross)
|
1.100 (1.041–1.251)
|
0.015c
|
1.105 (1.000–1.222)
|
0.050
|
Stage (7th)
|
|
0.052d
|
1.071 (0.999–1.149)e
|
0.054
|
Stage (8th)
|
|
0.159d
|
1.025(0.984–1.068)e
|
0.240
|
Ki-67 labeling index
|
|
0.390d
|
1.032 (0.991–1.075)e
|
0.129
|
0–5%
|
0.850 (0.676–0.990)
|
0.182f
|
0.976 (0.932–1.021)
|
0.288
|
5–10%
|
0.920 (0.857–1.052)
|
0.401f
|
1.001 (0.962–1.042)
|
0.951
|
> 10%
|
0.920 (0.840–1.119)
|
0.682f
|
1.045 (0.975–1.119)
|
0.216
|