NTDs represent a substantial health burden in Ethiopia [8], [13], [14]. A systematic meta-analysis from different countries in Africa revealed a pooled birth prevalence of 21 per 10,000 births in Africa and suggested that Ethiopia was one of the countries with highest prevalence of NTD in Africa [15]. In contrast, a systematic review of data from 75 countries with different health system and economic developmental levels found a median prevalence of NTD at birth of 1.1 per 10,000 births [6]. In general, most studies assess children after birth and are hospital based. Home deliveries are still widespread in Ethiopia and therefore many cases may be undetected. We are not aware of any previous studies investigating the intrauterine prevalence of NTD prospectively in the general population of Ethiopia [16].
In our study of 891 pregnant women, we estimated the NTD prevalence to be 166 per 10,000, which is higher than previously reported prevalence estimates from Addis Ababa. Our study was different from the previous studies in several ways that may have contributed to the differences.
Firstly, our study identified NTD-affected fetuses at 9-22 weeks of gestation by ultrasound examination of the pregnant women. One of the studies included in our review, estimated a birth prevalence of 63 per 10,000 for NTDs when considering all births after 28 weeks of gestation, and a prevalence of 128 per 10,000 when induced abortions due to NTDs from 12 weeks of gestation were included [10]. Some cases that got subsequently aborted were included in our study (Table 1). Fetuses with NTDs that were spontaneously aborted probably would have resulted in lower birth prevalence among participants in our study.
Secondly, several of the defects detected in our study were skin covered. Spina bifida was the most common type of NTD in our study (11 of the 15). Seven of those had skin covered spinal bifida suggesting that these fetuses had closed defects or spina bifida occulta, which could be the most common type of NTD in this population. The ultrasound examinations in this study were conducted focusing specifically on detecting NTDs and revealed a high prevalence of NTDs when including those lesions with skin covering. This may suggest that there are more children in the community affected with spina bifida occulta than what is known currently, and that we are not yet aware of the full burden of NTDs in this population. Other studies that we reviewed did not include spina bifida occulta [10, 11, 14, 17, 18].
Finally, our study was community based with recruitment of pregnant women from the general population. The role of selection in previous studies is difficult to assess. Women with better knowledge and resources might have selected hospitals for delivery in Ethiopia, they may have better living circumstances and thereby a lesser risk of NTD due to malnutrition. This may be another explanation for the lower prevalence of NTDs in previous hospital-based studies.
The population of Addis Ababa includes a heterogeneous mixture of inhabitant from across Ethiopia. Reports from different regions in Ethiopia have shown that the NTD prevalence may vary between regions.[9, 13, 14, 17, 18] This might be due to both genetic and environmental factors in the different regions, and this information is difficult to interpret. The prevalence of NTDs may vary between different sub-cities of Addis Ababa, but our numbers were too small for statistical comparison.
Our study showed that the number of pregnant women who came to antenatal care varied greatly between the sub-cities. We do not know how many pregnant women who did not show up for antenatal care from each sub-city during the study period, so the actual intrauterine prevalence of NTDs in the population may differ from what we found. One can speculate that the real figures for NTDs might be even higher.
A meta-analysis and systemic review that included also other parts of Ethiopia showed a pooled NTD and spina bifida prevalence of 63 and 41 per 10 000, respectively [13]. Spina bifida was the most common type of NTD in our data. Most reports, however, show anencephaly to be far more common than spina bifida. [18, 20] Another hospital-based study reported NTD prevalence at birth of 50 per 10,000 in the southwestern part of Ethiopia [20]. A recent hospital-based cross-sectional study from the Tigray region of Ethiopia estimated a high overall prevalence of NTD of 131 per 10,000 births of which 23% were live born and 77% stillborn [14].
The ultrasound equipment used is of the best available in Ethiopia; however, the resolution is not up to what is achieved using top-notch equipment, thus implying a risk of occasional false negative examinations. In addition, even though a structured checklist was used during the ultrasound examination, data were often incompletely reported.
During embryogenesis, failure of neural tube closure cranially results in anencephaly and caudal failure results in spina bifida [3]. The anatomic variations seen in spina bifida occur early in development. Ultrasound classifies spina bifida occulta as a disruption involving only bony elements, and spina bifida cystica as a saccular defect involving neural elements [19].
During ultrasound imaging, associated brain and cranial malformations with NTDs can be seen, such as flattened frontal bones, obliteration of the cisterna magna, a banana-shaped cerebellum, and ventriculomegaly [19]. Although cranial malformations are commonly associated with NTDs, we did not find cisterna magna obliteration or cerebellar tonsil herniation below the foramen magnum in any of the fetuses with spina bifida or encephalocele. This could provide some insight into the severity of the defects present in most of the fetuses in our study; probably most had a milder form of dysraphism or skin closed defects in second-trimester pregnancy. Another plausible explanation could be the quality of ultrasound examinations that did not render to detect minor changes.
The sample size of this study was limited but still included a substantial number of NTD cases. Of all the pregnant women recruited into the study, 7% did not undergo ultrasound examination and were lost to follow-up. It is difficult to know how much this could have influenced the results. However, that we were able to perform ultrasound among so many pregnant women, and that the study was prospective are still clear strengths of the study.