Viral hepatitis is largely responsible for the incidence of HCC across the globe. The prevalence of chronic viral hepatitis (mostly HBV and HCV) has been strongly associated with the incidence of HCC in many studies across the world [2 5 18]. Therefore, it is important to understand the trends of the prevalence of HBV and HCV on the African continent in making policies and recommendations for the prevention of viral hepatitis-related HCC.
Effect of HBV
The number of studies on viral hepatitis-associated HCC began to increase from the 1990s. Increased diagnosis capacity and funding for viral hepatitis research on the continent could be responsible for this observation. Studies on HBV were fairly distributed evenly across the continent while most studies on HCV came from Egypt. HBV contributes the highest number of HCC cases in the world, especially in Africa where CHB is highly endemic [9 12]. The risk of developing HBV-related HCC is 223 times high in patients with CHB compared to non-infected individuals [26]. In the current study, the prevalence of HBV was found to decline among HCC cases between 1980 and 2020. This finding was consistent with studies conducted in Asia [27]. The decline in HBV prevalence is likely a direct result of the increased coverage of childhood HBV immunization programs implemented across the African continent [28 29]. Childhood HBV vaccination has been effective in reducing the infection rates of HBV worldwide [30] which results in fewer people developing CHB that progresses to HCC. Although the decline in HBV-related HCC cases is a remarkable achievement for the African continent, there is still a need for improvement in HBV birth dose vaccine coverage across the continent and treatment for those already infected. There are still some countries that have not fully implemented the HBV birth dose vaccine in their childhood immunization schedules [31]. HBV birth dose immunization is important because perinatally-acquired HBV infections are likely to progress to CHB, leading to the development of HCC [32]. Increased political commitment from African governments to provide resources for the implementation of the HBV birth dose immunization programs is required. This will help in the complete elimination of CHB and its sequelae that includes liver cirrhosis and HCC [9]. Other strategies that could also contribute to the control of the African HBV epidemic include increased awareness of HBV among the general population, improved safety in blood transfusions, safe tattooing, and hygienic traditional scarification [33].
Effect of HCV
HCV is the second major risk factor for HCC in Africa after HBV. Our findings showed an increase in the prevalence of HCV among HCC cases, and this is consistent with similar findings in the global liver cancer incidence by Lin et al [12]. This increase may be attributed to the inadequate awareness of transmission routes of the virus and its complications, the unavailability of a vaccine, and limited access to direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs) [18]. Studies conducted in Ghana and Egypt among barbers and HCV-infected patients respectively demonstrated limited knowledge of HBV and HCV among the studied populations [34 35]. For an improved understanding of the epidemiology of HBV and HCV-induced HCC in Africa, there is a need for screening for viral infections, especially in high-risk populations such as prison inmates, commercial sex workers, people who inject drugs, and men who have sex with men, because early detection of the infection has better treatment outcomes and helps to prevent HCC development [33]. With reduced costs for testing and treatment, improved access to antiviral drugs (DAAs), increased awareness of the virus and its complications among the general population, and education and/or support for IDUs, the burden of HCV and HCV-related HCC will decrease significantly on the African continent [36].
Effect of HDV
The prevalence of HDV in HBV-infected individuals increased gradually over the study period, although this increment was not statistically significant in the random-effect analysis. The increased prevalence of HDV is of concern owing to the synergistic effect of HDV on the progression of HBV-related HCC [37]. The increasing prevalence of HDV among HBV infected individuals means these people are at increased risk of HCC compared to HBV mono-infected individuals. As indicated in our results, decreasing the prevalence of HDV by 1% decreases the incidence of HBV/HDV-related HCC by 3.34 times. The increasing prevalence of HDV underlines the need to prevent HBV infections since HDV requires HBV for its replication and carcinogenic activities [25 24].
From the analysis, there was a steady increase in the incidence of viral hepatitis-related HCC between 1980 and 2020. Our findings showed that the incidence of viral hepatitis-associated HCC increased by 1.52% each decade, but this was not statistically significant. The incidence could be higher and probably statistically significant if African countries had a better screening and diagnostic capacity for HCC, proper data capturing systems at cancer registries, and adequate cancer registries. The increasing trend in the incidence of viral hepatitis-associated HCC could be a result of the increasing prevalence of HCV on the African continent over the last 40 years. It could also be due to the limited access to antiviral drugs against HBV and HCV; therefore, a significant number of the chronic carriers of HBV and HCV in the population have an increased risk of HCC and may eventually develop HCC later in life.
Despite the prevailing viral risk factors on the continent, there are other factors responsible for the increasing incidence of viral hepatitis-induced HCC in Africa. These factors include inadequate trained professionals such as hepatologists and radiologists in Africa [38], fewer resources committed to the fight against viral hepatitis-related HCC by African governments over the years [39].
The median age for the onset of HCC was 47 years and the male to female ratio in HCC cases was 3:1. These findings were consistent with another study by Kirk et al in the Gambia [40]. The current age of onset of HCC in Africa (47years) is the youngest in the world compared with other regions such as Japan (69years), Europe (63 – 65years), North America (62years), Korea (57years), and China (55 – 59years) [1]. The early onset of HCC in Africa would result in loss of labor-force and reduced productivity, resulting in an increased economic burden on the continent.
In contrast to the findings of the current study, studies conducted in Asia found a declining trend of HBV and HCV-related HCC over a similar study period. Factors such as improved HBV vaccine uptake, increased access to both HBV and HCV antiviral drugs, and improved diagnostic tools were stated as being responsible for the decline in the incidence of HCC [27]. To significantly reduce the incidence of viral hepatitis-associated HCC in Africa, there should be an implementation of effective screening and preventive programs for chronic viral hepatitis in Africa and increased access to antiviral treatment for HBV and HCV. Our findings reaffirm the need for increased efforts in the prevention of HBV and HCV in the fight against HCC on the African continent. There is also a need for the implementation of effective surveillance systems that will aid in the prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment of HCC in Africa. Efforts should be made to minimize the other risk factors such as alcohol abuse, diabetes, aflatoxin exposure, smoking, and obesity as these factors can hasten the development of viral hepatitis-associated HCC. These factors can also be confounding factors in the disease (HCC) development process, and therefore can affect the evaluations of interventions for the prevention of viral hepatitis-associated HCC in Africa. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) could also have an impact on the trends of HBV and HCV, and the development of HCC in Africa. With HIV, HBV infections are likely to become chronic, therefore the development of HCC may occur quicker in HIV patients with chronic viral hepatitis than non-HIV infected individuals [41].
Limitations
The current study includes only articles published in the English and French languages; this left out quality articles that were published in other languages in Africa. Changes in the incidence of viral hepatitis-associated HCC were not categorized according to the sub-regions in Africa. This could demonstrate the effect of viral hepatitis-related interventions implemented in these sub-regions, with indirect impacts on the prevalence of viral hepatitis-related HCC. Furthermore, many studies conducted in the 1980s did not clearly describe laboratory procedures, and when we contacted the authors, most of them did not respond. These studies were left out of this systematic review. Including them could probably have a different outcome in the results. Moreover, most of the studies were conducted over a longer period and therefore the year of publication did not necessarily reflect the incidence for that year. Also, none of the data was from a cancer registry of any country and this shows the fragmentation in the data gathering process in Africa, which could influence our results. Finally, the limitations of the individual studies included in the analysis will also have an impact on our findings.