In this retrospective, single-center, observational study with inpatients with COVID-19 in Madrid, Spain, a better outcome, in terms of lower risk to moderate or severe ARDS, was observed among a cohort of patients with non-severe immunosuppression as compared to non-IS. A trend toward a shorter time to moderate-severe ARDS and a shorter hospitalization were also observed. After stratifying by source of IS, the protective effect seemed to be mainly driven by AD. However. no differences in time to moderate-severe ARDS, need for MV/NIV, or a composite of MV/NIV and death were detected between IS and non-IS despite lower proportions for the first cohort. A comparison of both groups showed no differences in the death ratio.
Immunosuppression has been widely considered a risk factor for infections, with a higher incidence and a worse outcome, including those caused by a respiratory virus9. For example, influenza infection was observed to be associated with a higher risk of more hospitalizations, a longer length of virus shedding, a more severe disease, and complications requiring intensive care and MV10. Additionally, several studies consider immunosuppression to be a risk factor of a more severe disease in MERS-CoV infection11-14. Previous works have already described risk factors predicting a worse outcome in COVID-19 patients, such as older age3, 15-17, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, or vascular diseases)3, 15, 17, -and laboratory findings, with special attention paid to those indicating hyperinflammation or cytokine storm syndrome18, 19, like elevated serum D-dimer, ferritin, C-reactive protein, or interleukin (IL)-6 levels3, 15-17. Nevertheless, none of these works has specifically assessed immunosuppression as a risk factor in COVID-19 patients. A population-based study in China evaluated cancer patients with recent surgery or chemotherapy, and found a higher risk of severe events20. In addition, recent data about patients with moderate or severe immunosuppression associated to haematologic malignancy21, 22 and solid organ transplant recipients23, 24 detected higher death ratios compared to general population. In line with these results, a large population-based study with over 17 million subjects developed in UK found a higher mortality among organ transplant, immunosuppression, haematological malignancies, and several autoimmune diseases25. However, limitations to interpret these results are that all national COVID-19 inpatients are compared to about 40% of general population (with a potential selection bias) and no description about treatments and baseline characteristics of these groups is reported.
In our study, a lower proportion of IS patients developing moderate-severe ARDS was observed. We decided to assess this variable as a primary endpoint due to its higher specificity in detecting more inflammatory patients. This contrasts with previous data21-25 about immunosuppression, but differences might reside in the grade of immunosuppression, being less severe in our cohort. To delve into a possible condition explaining these results, we further differentiated IS patients between those with an AD and those with other diseases (such as cancer or an organ transplant). A lower proportion was only observed for IS-AD patients but not for IS-NAD. In line with this result, a trend toward a lower proportion of MV/NIV or a composite of the need for MV/NIV was also detected, probably due to the lower risk of ARDS.
This data might be explained by pathophysiological findings about COVID-19, such as the three-stage classification model of SARS-CoV-2 infection proposed by Siddiqi et al.4, with two distinct but overlapping subsets. The first triggered by the virus itself and the second, occurring in a minority of patients, host-mediated and based on an excessive immune response, leading to ARDS, the need for MV, and, potentially death3, 16-18. Pathophysiology similar to that of SARS-CoV has been hypothesized for SARS-CoV-2 infection26, in which a marked elevation of cytokines of the Th1 cell-mediated immunity (such as interferon (IFN)-g, IL-1, IL-6, and IL-12) and hyperinnate (neutrophil chemokine IL-8, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and Th1 chemokine IFNg-inducible protein-10 [IP-10]) inflammatory response27 have been observed. In COVID-19, both innate immune hyperactivation and adaptive immune dysregulation have been hypothesized to be responsible of ARDS28. For this reason, several immunomodulatory drugs, such as corticosteroids, intravenous immune globulin, and cytokine inhibitors with a mild effect over immune system have been proposed depending on whether the hyperinflammation stage is suspected18, 19, 22. Preliminary data suggest a potential benefit of methylprednisolone in terms of the risk of death after the development of ARDS3, though clinical trials are required before recommending this therapy. All these results support the notion that immunosuppression, at least if non-severe might confer a protective effect in the most severe stages of the disease. We found that the lowest risk of moderate-severe ARDS was detected in IS-AD patients. This contrasts with evidence of an increased risk of infections observed in AD, through the presence of neutralizing autoantibodies against pro-inflammatory cytokines. These autoantibodies may have the ability to interfere with key cytokine such as IL-6, IFN-g, granulocyte/macrophage–colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF), IL-17, and IL-22 resulting in a lower Th1 and Th17 inflammatory response29. We have not assessed the risk of infection by SARS-CoV-2 in IS patients. But it could be hypothesized that a complex interaction between AD and a non-severe immunosuppression in COVID-19 could exert a protective effect of severe outcomes related to an innate immune hyperactivation.
No differences in death rate were observed in our cohort. The reasons for these results might be explained by the smaller sample size of patients with a final outcome, the short follow-up, or unknown confounding factors. For example, during cytokine storm syndrome, ARDS is not the single inflammatory complication observed, as evidence of multi-organ dysfunction, with acute cardiac injury30 and liver and renal impairment3, 16, 17, 31 , has been described. This might be attributable to the widespread distribution of angiotensin converting enzyme 2 —the functional receptor for SARS-CoV-2— in multiple organs32. In addition, the results may be biased by the fact that IS patients may never get to MV/NIV, being considered too disabled, so they are more likely to die than non-IS patients. Also, several factors related to the development of ARDS that were not associated with death have been described3, which indicates that different pathophysiological changes –from hospital admission to the development of ARDS and from the development of ARDS to death- may exist.
Thus, our results might have relevance in terms of establishing recommendations for IS patients. Discontinuation of immunosuppressive drugs can be considered or suggested by either asymptomatic patients or treating physicians concerned about possible a worse course if a SARS-CoV-2 infection develops. But this may have implications with respect to diminishing the underlying disease control, with potential fatal outcomes in either cancer or organ transplant patients or the reactivation33 or even rebound34 of disease activity among autoimmune disorders. Taking this data into account, careful individual decision-making about maintaining immunosuppressive drugs must be performed in non-infected or even mild COVID-19 patients. Second, less aggressive anti-inflammatory management among IS patients might be contemplated, lowering the risk of bacterial co-infections. Third, social and preventive care recommendations might be reconsidered for these patients.
This study has several limitations. First, a potential selection bias might have occurred, as only a part of hospitalized patients (those attended by the treating physicians reported) were evaluated and IS might be admitted more easily by its own condition than non-IS. For this reason, patients directly admitted to ICU from the emergency room were not included. Second, this study was conducted at a single center with a limited sample size. Third, the cohort of IS patients is heterogeneous regarding diseases and immunosuppressive drugs, which may limit external validity to all type of IS patients. In addition, small sample size limits subgroup analyses by source of immunosuppression. Fourth, due to the lack of evidence-based treatment protocols, the treating physicians took different management approaches (especially with anti-viral drugs or corticosteroids), which could have altered the development of the outcomes. And finally, the retrospective character of the study and the short follow-up time warrant caution in interpreting the data. Further studies with a prospective design and a larger sample size, including outpatients, might gain a better understanding of the role that immunosuppression plays among COVID-19 patients.
In conclusion, in our cohort non-severe immunosuppression was associated with a lower risk of moderate-severe ARDS, a trend toward a reduced need for MV/NIV, a shorter hospitalization, and a longer time before moderate or severe ARDS occurs. We found the mortality rate was not increased in IC patients. This reinforces that there is a potential protective effect of immunosuppression against a possible hyperinflammation host response observed in SARS-CoV-2 infection and warrants reconsideration of discontinuing systematically immunosuppressive drugs in patients with severe underlying diseases.