In this study, we discovered that absolute prediction error was larger in the phacotrabeculectomy group than in the phacoemulsification group. Longer AL and larger IOP change were the risk factors for higher absolute prediction error. Hyperopic shift (= positive value of prediction error) was associated with shallower preoperative ACD and larger IOP change, both of which were more common in ACG eyes. In the phacotrabeculectomy group, the prediction error showed an inverse correlation with AL, which means that eyes with long AL showed myopic shift while eyes with short AL showed hyperopic shift. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to compare prediction errors after phacotrabeculectomy and phacoemulsification using the Barrett Universal II formula, which incorporates both ACD and AL as measured preoperatively.
Final refractive errors can be either myopic (= negative value of prediction error) or hyperopic (= positive value of prediction error) by prediction. The phacotrabeculectomy group had larger deviations from the prediction in both myopic and hyperopic shift cases, and thus, averaging them would have concealed the actual refractive errors; this is why we used the absolute value of prediction error. Several studies also have reported worse refractive outcomes when phacoemulsification and trabeculectomy were performed simultaneously.[12, 13, 15, 17] In the current study, AL and larger IOP change were both associated with larger prediction error. We speculated that the final refractive error would be affected more in the phacotrabeculectomy group, since AL and IOP presumably would have changed more after phacotrabeculectomy.
AL is known to be shortened after either trabeculectomy[7, 9, 10, 20] or phacotrabeculectomy,[11] and extent of AL decrease is correlated with amount of IOP reduction.[7, 10, 11, 20] Although AL shortening also has been reported after phacoemulsification alone, AL shortening was more prominent after phacotrabeculectomy in that study.[11] Accordingly, postoperative AL would deviate more from preoperative AL in phacotrabeculectomy than in phacoemulsification. Since the IOL power calculation formulas were developed based on phacoemulsification data, their predictions would be less accurate in phacotrabeculectomy cases. Notably, Lee et al. reported a post-trabeculectomy association between prediction error and IOP change.[13] We speculated that large IOP change would be associated with greater AL shortening, which would result in more prediction error in phacotrabeculectomy.
Several studies, however, have reported that prediction error did not differ between phacotrabeculectomy and phacoemulsification.[11, 14, 16] These studies calculated prediction error using the SRK II formula (if AL ≤ 26mm) and SRK/T formula (if AL > 26mm)[14] or the average of the SRK/T, Holladay 1, and Hoffer Q formulas.[11] As third-generation formulas, all of them (SRK/T, SRK II, Holladay 1, Hoffer Q) use only AL and keratometry values in their IOL power calculation, under the assumption that the effective lens position is directly related to AL.[18, 21] We speculated that the non-applicatoin of ACD might have been the reason for the lack of intergroup difference in those studies. In the OAG eyes with high preoperative IOP, the preoperative ACD might have been over-measured due to stasis of aqueous humor in the anterior chamber. If so, the actual effective lens position after phacotrabeculectomy would have been more anteriorly located than the effective lens position calculated from the preoperative ACD, resulting thereby in myopic shift. Contrastingly, in ACG eyes with shallow ACD, the actual effective lens position after phacotrabeculectomy would be more posteriorly located due to anterior chamber deepening, thus resulting in hyperopic shift. To summarize, prediction errors might become greater with the use of fourth-generation formulas, since these measure not only the AL but also many other parameters, including ACD, for more accurate determination of effective lens position.
Prediction error also is dependent on the applied formula, since it is well known that the accuracy of each formula is dependent on the AL range.[21, 22] For consistency of comparison, however, it would be better to use a singular IOL calculation formula. Thus, we used the Barrett Universal II formula, which is considered to be one of the best options for covering the entire AL range.[19, 23] By this means, we demonstrated worse refractive outcomes in the phacotrabeculectomy group over the entire range of AL.
Interestingly, our phacoemulsification group also showed a myopic shift of -0.3 Diopters. One possible explanation is twofold. First, AL shortening also was noted after phacoemulsification only.[11] This change may vary among individuals, since it might be associated with tissue properties, as supported by a previous study showing that eyes with differing corneal hysteresis showed differing AL shortening after trabeculectomy.[24] Thus, comparison of populations with different tissue properties would lead to slight myopic shifts from predictions. The second part of our tentative explanation for the myopic shift in the phacoemulsification group is the difference in crystalline lens anatomy among individuals. The geometric center of the crystalline lens is located anteriorly to the exact half point along the lens thickness: that is, there is more convexity to the posterior side than to the anterior side.[25] Thus, the effective lens position might be also located more anteriorly than the calculated position after phacoemulsification. Moreover, this anterior/posterior difference of lens shape is affected by both thickness and age.[25] Further study accounting for these factors would be helpful in order to reduce refractive errors after either phacotrabeculectomy or phacoemulsification.
This study has several limitations. First, the sample size was relatively small and not evenly distributed along the whole range of AL. Second, due to the retrospective nature of the study, the applied treatment protocol in the phacotrabeculectomy group (e.g., preoperative anti-glaucoma medications) might have differed among patients. Third, we were unable to obtain postoperative AL and ACD for comparison. Further prospective longitudinal study would be helpful in order to evaluate the effect of ocular biometry changes on final refractive outcomes after phacotrabeculectomy. Fourth, the follow-up period was short: the final refractive errors were determined at postoperative one month. Although several studies have reported that refractive error was stabilized one week after phacoemulsification,[26, 27] it is unknown whether the same would be true after phacotrabeculectomy.[28] Some post-phacotrabeculectomy patients have shown unstable refractive errors when followed up for longer periods.[28] Therefore, it should be noted that refractive error could change with IOP change, especially in glaucoma patients who had undergone phacotrabeculectomy and been followed up longer. Fifth and finally, we were unable to suggest a better way to minimize prediction error. Simply, we categorized high-risk patients of worse refractive outcome. Future study should focus on such patients in order to find a means of achieving better refractive outcomes.
In conclusion, refractive prediction error was larger in phacotrabeculectomy than in phacoemulsification cases. Such inaccuracies may accrue from AL and IOP changes, both of which resulted in changes of effective lens position. Surgeons therefore should be aware of the possibility of worse refractive outcomes when planning phacotrabeculectomy in eyes with high preoperative IOP, shallow ACD, and/or extreme AL.