Study design and participants
This is a cross-sectional study that is based on data from a type 1 survey of the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-Based Cohort Study (TMM CommCohort Study). The TMM CommCohort Study is an ongoing prospective cohort study conducted since 2013 in the Miyagi and Iwate Prefectures, Japan. It was launched to achieve creative reconstruction and solve medical problems in the aftermath of the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) and the resulting tsunami that occurred on March 11, 2011, causing devastating damage to the Pacific coast of the Tohoku region. Details of the study design have been previously published (19–21). Both men and women were recruited in the TMM CommCohort study, and only women were included in this study. Women participants who fulfilled the following criteria were included in this study: (1) those who were aged ≥ 20 years and < 75 years and were living in Miyagi Prefecture and Iwate Prefecture between May 2013 and March 2016 when the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-based Cohort Study Baseline survey was conducted; and (2) those who agreed to join the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-based Cohort Study during the municipal health checkup. Written informed consent was obtained from all the participants. This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Tohoku University School of Medicine (approval numbers:2021-1-608, 2022-1-069, 2022-1-216, and 2022-1-825).
A total of 40,712 women were included in this study. Since menopause is a risk factor for increased fasting plasma glucose levels (22, 23) and the possibility of conception in the future differs depending on menopausal status, women were divided into two groups: premenopausal women and postmenopausal women in our study.
Data collection
Parity
Parity is an exposure of interest in this study. Information on the number of children was obtained from self-reported questionnaires. In this study, we defined the number of children as parity. Parity was classified as nulliparous (i.e., parity = 0), one, two, three, and ≥ four, respectively. Neither the number of stillbirths nor the number of multiple pregnancies were collected in this study.
Definition of T2DM in this study
The outcome of this study is T2DM. The participants’ medical information was collected using self-reported questionnaires. Venous blood samples were collected from the municipal health checkup venues. Information on whether venous blood was drawn in the fasting state was collected. In this study, participants were diagnosed with T2DM if any of the following conditions were met: (1) participants who answered ‘yes’ in the self-reported questionnaire for having T2DM, (2) participants who answered ‘under treatment of DM’ in the self-reported questionnaire on lifestyle diseases, (3) plasma glucose (PG) level ≥ 126 mg/dl if venous blood was drawn in the fasting status, (4) PG level ≥ 200 mg/dl if venous blood was drawn in the non-fasting status, and (5) glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (the National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program: NGSP) level ≥ 6.5%. PG and HbA1c levels were measured using enzymatic methods (20). As the outcome was T2DM, participants with type1 DM were excluded from this study.
Clinical history of GDM
Information on the clinical history of GDM was obtained using a self-report questionnaire. GDM was diagnosed according to the Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology criteria of 1984, if two or more of the following values during a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) were met: fasting PG level ≥ 100 mg/dl, 1-h PG level ≥ 180 mg/dl, and 2-h PG level ≥ 150 mg/dl, regardless of gestational age (24).
Definition of premenopausal and postmenopausal women
Both premenopausal and postmenopausal women were identified using a self-recorded questionnaire. Participants answered about current menstrual status by choosing from the three options: "I have menstruation,” "Menstruation is disappearing,” and "No menstruation for more than a year.” In this study, premenopausal women were defined as those who answered "I have menstruation" or "Menstruation is disappearing." Postmenopausal women were defined as those who answered "no menstruation for more than a year”.
Collection method for other variables
Details of collection methods for other variables are described in the Supporting Information.
Statistical analysis
After the women were divided into two groups, we performed all statistical analyses in each group separately.
The linear association between parity and T2DM prevalence was tested using the Cochran-Armitage test. We used a multiple logistic regression model to investigate the association between parity and T2DM prevalence. Nulliparous women (parity = 0) were set as the reference category. Model 1 was adjusted for age. Model 2 was adjusted for the following covariates: height, physical activity, marital status (married or widowed, unmarried, and divorced), smoking status, alcohol consumption, own birth weight, highest educational level, family history of T2DM, family history of hypertension, breastfeeding experience, use of oral contraceptives, use of hormone replacement therapy, thyroid dysfunction (25), endometriosis, mental disease, menstrual cycle, age at menarche (< 15 years or ≥ 15 years), age at last delivery (< 35 years or ≥ 35 years), sleeping time, nap time, year of study participation, prefecture (Miyagi or Iwate), and number of relocations after the GEJE, in addition to Model 1. When postmenopausal women were analyzed, menopausal age (age at menopause < 40 years or ≥ 40 years) was further included in Model 2 with reference to a previous study (26). Model 3 was adjusted for clinical history of GDM in addition to Model 2. Model 4 was adjusted for BMI at 20 years of age, as per the 1-SD increase, in addition to Model 3. With reference to a previous study, Model 5 was adjusted for weight gain from the age of 20 years, as per 1 kg increase, in addition to model 4 (27). No strong multicollinearity was observed. The linear association between parity and T2DM prevalence was tested in each model.
Considering the missing data on covariates, we applied multiple imputation using a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. After 20 datasets were created by multiple imputations, each dataset was analyzed. Finally, 20 results were combined and are described in the manuscript. The details of the additional analyses are described in the Supporting Information.
Statistical analysis was performed using SAS software version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina, USA) and R version 4.1.1 (28).