The number of SNPs as instrumental variables for the six exposure factors associated with lipid metabolism varied from 3 to 299 (HDL: 290, LDL: 140, TG: 249, ApoA-1: 299, ApoB: 149, Leptin: 3), The number of SNPs for the instrumental variables of BMI and AS was 138 and 27, respectively. Sample size, ethnicity, literature source, and GWAS ID of the selected instrumental variables are summarized in Supplemental Table S1. The genome-wide significant SNPs extracted as instrumental variables were summarized in the Supplementary Table S2-9, and SNPs with F statistic < 10 were excluded from each instrumental variable
In univariate MR Analysis (Fig. 1, 2), disc degeneration was classified into 2 categories: cervical disc degeneration (CDD) and non-cervical disc degeneration (NCDD). Data from the primary method IVW showed that HDL and ApoA-1 were protective against CDD (HDL: OR 0.87, 95%CI 0.79–0.96, P = 3.40E− 03;APOA-1: OR 0.86, 95%CI 0.78–0.95, P = 3.49E− 03). BMI can promote CDD (BMI: OR 1.28, 95%CI 1.06–1.53, P = 9.60E− 03). LDL, ApoB, TG, leptin and AS were not significantly associated with CDD (LDL: OR 0.92, 95%CI 0.82–1.03, P = 1.52E− 01༛TG: OR 1.04, 95%CI 0.94–1.16, P = 3.99E− 01༛ApoB: OR 0.93, 95%CI 0.84–1.02, P = 1.09E− 01༛Leptin: OR 1.30, 95%CI 0.98–1.74, P = 7.33E− 02; AS: OR 1.04, 95%CI 0.96–1.13, P = 3.01E− 01), No horizontal pleiotropy was observed in sensitivity analyses. HDL, TG, ApoA-1, AS and BMI have protective effects on NCDD (HDL: OR 0.93, 95%CI 0.87–0.99, P = 2.16E− 02༛APOA-1: OR 0.93, 95%CI 0.87–0.99, P = 3.00E− 02༛TG: OR 1.08, 95%CI 1.01–1.15, P = 1.98E− 02; AS: OR 1.07, 95%CI 1.02–1.12, P = 8.26E− 03; BMI: OR 1.26, 95%CI 1.12–1.42, P = 1.59E− 04). LDL, ApoB, and leptin were not significantly associated with NCDD (LDL: OR 0.99, 95%CI 0.92–1.07, P = 8.44E− 01༛ApoB: OR 1.03, 95%CI 0.97–1.10, P = 3.26E− 01༛Leptin: OR 1.07, 95%CI 0.77–1.36, P = 8.68E− 01). The results of MR-Egger were preferentially accepted because horizontal pleiotropy of IVs of TG was observed in the sensitivity analysis (TG: OR 0.96, 95%CI 0.87–1.06, P = 4.58E− 01), Therefore, we concluded that TG was not significantly associated with NCDD.
The IVW, WME, MR-Egger, WM and MR-PRESSO results of CDD and NCDD, as well as the sensitivity analysis results of Cochran's Q and MR-Egger intercept are shown in Supplementary Table S10-11.
The results of two-sample MR Showed that BMI, AS, ApoA-1 and HDL were closely related to NCDD, Meanwhile, BMI, HDL and ApoA-1 were closely related to CDD. To verify whether BMI or AS played a mediating role in the relationship between HDL, ApoA-1 and disc degeneration, we first examined the causal relationship between HDL, ApoA-1, BMI and AS and NCDD by multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR), The results of MVMR showed that after adjusting for the effects of other exposures, HDL and ApoA-1 were no longer closely associated with NCDD (HDL: OR 0.87, 95%CI 0.70–1.09, P = 2.30E− 01; ApoA-1: OR 1.09, 95%CI 0.87–1.37, P = 4.66E− 01), instead, BMI and AS were still strongly associated with the incidence of NCDD (BMI: OR 1.23, 95%CI 1.09–1.39, P = 8.43E-04; AS: OR 1.07, 95%CI 1.02–1.13, P = 1.05E-02), indicating that BMI and AS were independent risk factors for NCDD. Next, we examined the causal relationship between HDL, ApoA-1, BMI and CDD by MVMR, The results of MVMR showed that HDL, ApoA-1 and BMI were no longer closely related to CDD after correcting the interaction between the three factors (BMI: OR 1.12, 95%CI 0.93–1.35, P = 2.24E-01; HDL: OR 1.19, 95%CI 0.86–1.66, P = 2.92E-01; ApoA-1: OR 0.73, 95%CI 0.52–1.03, P = 7.61E-02). In conclusion, BMI and AS mediate the relationship between HDL, ApoA-1 and NCDD.
Mediation Mendelian randomization was used to assess the mediating effect of non-independent risk factors on outcomes through other independent risk factors, The mediating effect of BMI and AS on the relationship between HDL, ApoA-1 and NCDD was further verified by mediating Mendelian randomization (Fig. 4). Our analysis showed that the BMI-adjusted OR for HDL on NCDD decreased from 0.92 (95%CI 0.87–0.98) to 0.94 (95%CI 0.87–1.01), The mediating effect of BMI on the relationship between HDL and NCDD was 15.49% (95%CI 3.23%-27.71%). The effect of ApoA-1 on NCDD decreased from 0.93(95%CI 0.87–0.99) to 0.94 (95%CI 0.87-1.00) after adjustment for BMI, BMI accounted for 17.65% (95%CI 2.78%-32.03%) of the mediating risk factors between ApoA-1 and NCDD. The effect of HDL on NCDD decreased from 0.92 (95%CI 0.87–0.98) to 0.95 (95%CI 0.89–1.01) after adjustment for AS, AS accounted for 32.58% (95%CI 14.29%-46.43%) of the risk factors mediating between HDL and NCDD. The effect of ApoA-1 on NCDD decreased from 0.93(95%CI 0.87–0.99) to 0.94 (95%CI 0.88-1.00) after adjustment for AS, The proportion of AS in the mediating risk factors between ApoA-1 and NCDD was 19.35% (95%CI 1.64%-38.78%). Multivariate MR Analysis data are summarized in Supplementary Table S12-16. The calculation data of the proportion of intermediaries are summarized in the Supplementary Table S17-18.