Study Setting
We will conduct the study in the Cape Town Metro (CPT; Western Cape Province) and the Buffalo City Metro (BCM; Eastern Cape Province) health districts, South Africa (Fig. 1) – two settings with a high HIV prevalence and where our team has existing strong community engagement and health facility partnerships. Of note, the Eastern Cape Province (EC) is a historically under-resourced and under-researched province.
In 2022, the estimated adult HIV prevalence in the Eastern and Western Cape Provinces, respectively, was 19.4% and 11.2% (51). That same year, an estimated 92.6% of individuals living with HIV in the Eastern Cape knew their status, 74.9% were on ART, but only 62.6% were virally suppressed (i.e., < 1000c/ml) (52). In comparison, in the Western Cape, an estimated 93.7% of PLHIV knew their status, 70.3% were on ART, but only 62.4% were virally suppressed (i.e., < 1000c/ml) (51, 52). These statistics are well below the UNAIDS global target for viral suppression of 95%by the year 2025.
Using aggregate South African National Department of Health clinic-level HIV programmatic data, we identified three clinic catchment areas per study district (N = 6) with high HIV prevalence. Study participants for Aim 1 will be recruited from communities within the catchment areas of six large government HIV treatment clinics located in the Kilpfontein and Gugulethu communities of Cape Town (n = 3), and the Mdantsane, Duncan Village and Dimbaza communities of BCM (n = 3). Study participants for Aim 2 will be recruited from within these same six ART clinics. Residents from these communities are primarily black and Xhosa-speaking. Black South Africans living in peri-urban settings (e.g., Kilpfontein, Gugulethu, Mdantsane and Duncan Village) have among the highest rates of HIV infection in South Africa, while those living in rural settings (e.g., Dimbaza) have among the poorest access to health clinics. Our peri-urban selected communities are densely populated, with a significant number of residents living in informal housing; Gugulethu is one of the oldest but fastest-growing township communities in CPT, while Mdantsane is one of the largest townships in the country. For Aim 3, we will gather quantitative implementation process measures from recruitment and refusal logs, participant sociodemographic data, tracking tools, and clinic and testing site characteristics, as well as using validated tools at the mid-point of recruitment for each Aim 1&2 at each site. We will also conduct qualitative interviews with key stakeholders to inform targets and mechanisms for implementation strategies. Recruitment for Aim 3 will occur through long-standing research collaborations and strong networks and relationships in the region; eligible participants will be sought through meeting announcements, flyers, and email outreach.
Figure 1: Map of Study Districts: Cape Town Metro (Western Cape Province) and Buffalo City Metro (Eastern Cape Province)
Trial 1: Uptake of HIV Testing & Linkage-to-Care.
Overview and Study Flow
To evaluate the impact of U = U messaging on men’s uptake of HIV and ART initiation, we will leverage our well-established mobile HIV testing vehicles (i.e., mobile Tutu Tester Trucks) and pop-up tents in the study communities (53–58). We will conduct a hybrid type 1 effectiveness-implementation randomized controlled trial, with randomization at the ‘site-day’ level (Fig. 2) (59). A site-day is defined as one day at one testing site. HTS site-days (N = 320) will be randomized to U = U or Standard-of-Care (SoC) messaging to invite men (N = 28,880) to test for HIV. This study design allows us to evaluate the impact of U = U messaging on HIV testing uptake and on ART initiation.
Cluster Randomization and Placement of Testing Services
Based on the clinic catchment area, and in consultation with local community leaders, mobile testing units or temporary testing tents (collectively referred to as community-based HIV testing services; CB-HTS) will be located at high foot-traffic sites (e.g., taxi ranks, entrance/exits to markets, shopping malls and supermarkets) in each clinic catchment area (i.e.,16 unique testing sites). Each site will be assigned a sequence of interventions for each day on which mobile testing units or temporary testing tents are located there, with SoC and U = U frequency equally balanced in blocks of 4 or 6 days. To minimize the potential for contamination (e.g., an individual receiving an intervention card one day and revisiting the site to test the following day), no site will be visited on consecutive calendar days. Randomization sequence will be determined prior to study launch and revealed to the CB-HTS team the night before each site visit.
Figure 2: Aim 1 Trial Design and Flow
Participant recruitment and data acquisition
Following procedures developed in our pilot trial, (59) trained male peers will approach, invite and provide invitation cards for free HIV testing services (Fig. 3) to a total of 28,880 men aged ≥ 15 years who happen to be in the immediate vicinity (± 200m) of testing sites. Male peers will deliver the scripted U = U message and U = U invitation card (Fig. 3) on intervention days, and the SoC HIV testing message script along with the SoC invitation card on control days; the SoC invitation script is approximately the same length as the U = U script. Invitation cards will be pre-printed with a unique participant identification code (PID). The male peers will write the date, time of distribution and their initials on each invitation card as they are handed out. All men presenting to a HIV testing site will be asked to provide their invitation card to testing site staff. Eligible men presenting a study invitation card for HIV testing will be invited to join the study and asked to provide written informed consent and personal contact details.
Using a process successfully implemented during the pilot trial, a site receptionist will record the invitation card’s unique PID, and the date and time of presentation. Reasons for non-enrollment will be recorded. The following inclusion criteria will be applied 1) male; 2) aged ≥ 15 years; 3) presentation of a study-issued invitation card; and 4) provision of informed consent. Consenting participants will receive a unique study ID number (UID),and be asked to complete a baseline questionnaire administered by study staff prior to being directed to an HIV testing counsellor for a rapid HIV test. Men passively presenting to a testing site (i.e., not following a testing invitation) will be provided with free HIV testing but will not be enrolled in the study.
Per South African National HIV testing guidelines (59), all individuals seeking HTS (i.e., study and non-study participants) will be consented by a certified HIV testing counsellor to receive standard pre-test counselling and an HIV rapid test. Study participants who receive an HIV negative test result, regardless of treatment assignment, will receive standard post-test counselling; and will be offered HIV prevention services (Tutu Testers in Western Cape) or a referral for HIV prevention services at local government clinics (Eastern Cape). Participants in the U = U intervention arm with an HIV-positive test result will receive U = U post-test counselling (Supplemental Table 1). Participants in the SoC condition who receive an HIV-positive test result will receive standard (guidelines-based) post-test counselling about ART initiation. Community members (male or female) who passively present to any of our testing venues, or men who do not present with an invitation or do not provide consent will receive standard testing per South African national guidelines (60) including standard pre- and post-test counselling.
Figure 3: U = U and Standard messaging invitation cards for HIV testing services
Outcomes and data analysis plan
The primary outcome will be the intention to treat, which we defined as ART initiation within 30 days of receiving a positive HIV result. ART initiation will be established through participant self-report (via phone calls) and through review of laboratory records from the National Health Laboratory Service or clinic records where available.
Generalized estimating equations (GEE) with a logistic link function and an independent working correlation structure will be used to estimate the odds of ART initiation following U = U versus SoC messaging and will be averaged across sites. A significance level of 0.05 will be employed and calendar quarter will be controlled for to account for seasonal variability in behaviour.
Secondary outcomes will include HIV testing uptake, first-time testing, and test-positivity among those who receive the invitation cards as well as ART initiation among those who test positive for HIV. For this, mixed effects models will be used to estimate: 1) the difference in HIV testing uptake depending on U = U versus SoC messaging exposure, and 2) between-site and within-site HIV-testing uptake variability. Similar as for the primary outcome analyses, GEE and working correlation structure will also be used for the secondary outcomes. To better identify where in the HIV testing-linkage to care sequence U = U may specifically have an impact, we will estimate the odds ratio and 95% CI for U = U versus SoC for each subsequent outcome conditional on results for the previous outcome (i.e., the outcome of testing positive given the behaviour of presenting for testing, and the behaviour of ART initiation given the outcome of an HIV positive result). Participant groups will be characterized at each step of the sequence to assess how U = U messaging might be influencing specific groups of individuals to test or link to care. Causal methods (potential outcomes) will be used to assess if individuals who test positive following U = U versus SoC messaging are more likely to initiate ART.
Sample Size Calculations and Statistical power
A sample size of 28,880 invitation cards distributed (i.e.,14,440 per intervention message) gives us 84% power to detect a risk difference in our primary outcome (yield, or ART initiations as a percent of invitations distributed) of 0.156%, and a risk ratio of 2.57. In other words, we can detect a difference in yield of 0.1% (1 ART initiation per 1000 invitation cards) for SoC versus 0.257% (2–3 ART initiations per 1000 invitation cards) for the U = U intervention. Our sample size calculations are informed by pilot data (59), experience in the field, and recent HIV incidence.
For the U = U intervention arm, we estimated that 15% would present for testing, 3.5% of those who test would test HIV-positive, and 49% of those receiving a positive test result would initiate ART, for a yield of 0.257%. For the SoC arm, we estimated that 10% would present for testing, 2.5% of those who test would test HIV-positive and 40% of those testing positive would initiate ART, for an overall yield of ART initiation among those invited to test of 0.10%. The sample size calculation assumed a within-site-day intraclass correlation (ICC) of 0.01 for subjects sampled on the same day at a single site, and a between-site-day ICC of 0.009 for subjects sampled on two consecutive sampling days at a site. A discrete-time decay correlation structure using an exponential decay function of the time ‘j’ between site days allowed the correlation between subjects sampled at longer intervals apart to decrease over time. Power calculations were conducted by uploading a design matrix generated in R(V4.2.2) to Shiny CRT (61). To achieve this sample size, we will distribute 90 invitation cards per site day for a total of 320 site days (160 for U = U intervention and 160 for SoC).
Trial 2: Retention in Care and Viral Suppression
Overview and Study Flow
To evaluate the impact of U = U messaging on retention in care and viral load (VL) suppression among HIV-positive men who initiate ART, we will conduct a hybrid type 1 effectiveness-implementation randomized controlled trial. Randomization will be stratified by the 6 study clinics, to account for differences in baseline viral loads of the catchment area populations initiating ART within each clinic. Individual-level randomization will be used with random block sizes of 4 to 8. The study staff counsellors will recruit men who are either newly initiating or re-initiating ART at study clinics in Cape Town (n = 3) and BCM (n = 3). Inclusion criteria for trial 2 are as follows: 1) male 2) aged ≥ 15 years 3) newly initiating ART or re-initiating ART after 6 months of being lost-to-care; 4) live in Buffalo City or Cape Town Metro Health Districts; and 5) provision of written informed consent. Participants (N = 1100) will be individually randomized to receive either U = U messaging (intervention group; n = 550) or SoC messaging (control group; n = 550) as part of ART initiation counselling and during routine HIV care and treatment. Our trial design allows evaluation of both shorter-term impact and longer-term durability of the U = U messaging for ART adherence and treatment retention.
Participant recruitment and data acquisition
All participants will receive standard ART initiation and adherence counselling from a DoH clinic nurse per South African National Guidelines (Fig. 4) (60). Thereafter, study staff counsellors will either (1) deliver U = U initiation messaging, or (2) reinforce SoC messaging through a guidelines-based script of comparable length (Fig. 4). Additionally, participants will also receive a small business-sized card either re-emphasizing the U = U or the SoC message (62). At enrolment, participants will be informed that they have the option to receive monthly SMS messages (Supplemental Fig. 1). A mid-month U = U or Attention Matched Control one-way text message will be sent to participants opting to receive SMS messages (Supplemental Fig. 1). Monthly text messaging is not part of the SOC protocol in South Africa, thus our decision to employ an attention matched control message for the SoC participant group. SMS paradata will be collected to track message delivery and receipt. Study staff counsellors will in addition verbally deliver U = U or reinforce SoC adherence messaging (Fig. 4) to participants during routine medication refill visits, which are scheduled monthly. Paradata from SMS messages and number of clinic visits attended will be recorded to enable mediation analysis (63, 64). In accordance with South African ART clinical and adherence guidelines(65, 66), clinic nurses provide patients on ART with feedback based on VL test results. Study participants in the U = U condition with a suppressed VL (< 50 copies/mL) will receive Basic U = U messaging, while those with an unsuppressed VL (≥ 50 copies/mL) will receive Enhanced U = U messaging (Fig. 4). Participants allocated to SoC will receive guidelines-based reinforced SoC adherence messaging based on their VL. (67)
Figure 4: Aim 2 Trial Design and Flow
Outcomes and data analysis plan
The primary outcome will be the proportion of MLHIV who are virally suppressed at 6 months (impact) and will be analysed using logistic regression with clinic fixed effects. The secondary outcome will be the proportion of MLHIV retained care at 12 months (durability) and will be analysed using logistic regression with clinic fixed effects with outcomes as (1) the number of clinic visits attended prior to six months, and (2) presentation for VL testing at 12 months. VL testing is conducted at 6 months, 12 months and annually thereafter by the Department of Health in accordance with South African national HIV care and treatment guidelines. Should a VL not be recorded in a participant’s medical record, we will consult the SA-NHLS laboratory information system to determine if and when VL testing was performed and record the participant’s VL should it be available. At the 6- and 12-month mark, each participant’s clinic-based medical records will be abstracted for: 1) ART refill and clinic attendance history, and 2) VL results.
All participants lost to follow-up at 6 months will be contacted by study staff using the contact information provided at study enrolment to assess self-reported treatment engagement and invited to return to the clinic to complete a study questionnaire. At 12 months, all participants will also be asked to complete an RedCap administered endline questionnaire in the same manner as the baseline questionnaire. A causal mediation analysis will be conducted to explore direct and indirect effects of the U = U intervention on VL suppression with number of visits as the mediating variable. Pre-specified subgroups for the analyses of the primary and secondary outcomes (the proportion of MLHIV retained in care at 12 months) are those participants: (1) initiating ART for the first time vs. re-initiating ART and (2) Eastern Cape versus Western Cape. For secondary analyses the primary analysis will be repeated using as outcomes:
Sample Size Calculations and Statistical Power. Trial 2 is powered to detect an 8% difference in the primary outcome. For a two-sided Type I error rate of 0.05, and using a two-sample proportions test as the basis of the calculation, we have 80% power to discern between 70% (U = U intervention) versus 62% (SoC intervention) viral suppression at 6 months.
Implementation Assessment
Overview and Study Flow
We will use the RE-AIM and Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) frameworks, and informed by behavioural economics (68–73), and behavioral design (74) to identify implementation barriers and facilitators of the U = U interventions. Perceptions and intervention mechanisms will be explored to inform how the U = U interventions could be implemented and scaled in the future. RE-AIM will inform the identification, collection, and analysis of quantitative indicators related to the U = U interventions over the course of the two sequential trials. CFIR will guide a qualitative exploration of the conditions and contexts shaping successful implementation through interviews with key stakeholders (i.e., participants, research/clinic staff, health department managers, policy makers).
Participant recruitment and data acquisition
We will recruit and consent HTS providers (n = 20), ART nurses (n = 24), clinic operation staff (n = 12) and clinic service managers (n = 12) representing both the Cape Town and Buffalo City Metro health districts (n = 68 total); this sample size is sufficient to generate stakeholder preferences for provide a signal about implementation outcomes within and across study sites and districts for both trials, without putting undue burden on clinic or testing site staff. We will also purposively recruit, consent and interview 30 individuals from seven key stakeholder groups for each interview round (N = 60 total interviews). Key stakeholder groups will include: 1) MLHIV who attend the testing sites (trial 1) or clinics (trial 2) where our trials are conducted (n = 10); 2) health care providers (i.e., nurses or physicians) at the clinics where the retention and viral suppression trial is conducted (n = 10); 3) lay health workers and counsellors (n = 10); 4) clinic leads (n = 10); 5) district, provincial and national departments of health National Department of Health (NDOH) (n = 10); 6) PEPFAR implementing partner leads (n = 6); and 7) South Africa HIV Task Force members (n = 4). Recruitment will occur through long-standing research collaborations and strong networks and relationships throughout South Africa; eligible participants will be sought through meeting announcements, flyers, and email outreach.
To describe intervention effectiveness and inform future implementation efforts, we will gather quantitative implementation process measures from recruitment and refusal logs, participant sociodemographic data, tracking tools, and clinic and testing site characteristics. These data will be collected throughout the implementation of trials 1 and 2. To identify key, multi-level contextual factors that may block or facilitate implementation of a U = U intervention within HIV service delivery, we will conduct 1) in-depth qualitative interviews with key stakeholders to inform targets and mechanisms for implementation strategies, and 2) validated quantitative implementation measures. Data will be collected at the mid-point of recruitment for each trial at each site.
Data Analysis Plan
Passively and actively collected process indicators informed by the RE-AIM framework will be synthesized and summarized iteratively over the course of the two trials. Descriptive statistics and comparisons by study site, provider type, and trial will be used to assess implementation success, interpret trial results, and identify implementation targets and mechanisms. Verbatim transcripts of semi-structured interviews will be entered into NVivo qualitative analysis software (QSR international, Burlington MA) for data management and analysis. Two separate qualitative analyses will be conducted. First, a hybrid inductive-deductive thematic analysis (75) will be conducted using both a priori codes related to CFIR domains and constructs, as well as de novo codes that emerge from the data.
Two team members will code the first three interviews by consensus, then the next three interviews independently and review them together to ensure consensus. Thereafter, all interview transcripts will be coded by two team members independently, with double-coding of 20% of interviews to ensure inter-rater reliability. Outstanding coding questions and disagreements will be resolved by consensus of the team. We will qualitatively analyze themes across interview rounds and stakeholder types to identify key opportunities and challenges for implementation of the U = U interventions. Second, the NUDGE framework (74, 76, 77) will be employed to uncover specific barriers to implementation of evidence-based interventions through the application of behavioral insights to rich contextual data such as in-depth interviews. Behavioral barriers to intervention adoption, adaptation, fidelity, and maintenance identified through this process will inform future implementation strategies and policy recommendations.
DATA MANAGEMENT
Participant Identification
All eligible study participants that provide informed consent will be assigned a Participant Identification Number (PIN) by REDCap. This PIN composition will allow us to identify participants at the community and clinic level, thus ensuring convenient integration of various datasets to carry-out various level-based analysis approaches. Participants’ allocated PIN will be used for the duration of the study at each data collection point. Results from other data sources such as the South African electronic TB register (ETR.net) and District Health Information Systems (DHIS), as well as laboratory databases and clinic registers will be back captured onto REDCap, therefore making REDCap the primary data collection and storage platform for this study. A secure link-log (linking participant identifiers such as names, date of births, etc. and the PIN) database will be developed and stored in a separate REDCap database accessible only to the Principal Investigators (PIs) and those study staff granted access upon approval by the PIs.
Data Storage
All study databases will be hosted on secure cloud-based platforms. Datasets will be merged using primary identifiers and stored in a secure, password-protected, web-based database which will only be accessible to authorized project staff. Paper records of participants will be kept in lockable filing cabinets. Paper records, excluding informed consent forms, will only contain PINs. Qualitative data including audio files and password-protected transcripts will be stored on a secure, access-controlled cloud-based database (Sharepoint).
Data Quality
Data quality will be assured by automated data quality checks and skip patterns in REDCap, field-based data quality clerks and office-based data administrators. Quality checks will be performed daily, with inconsistencies rectified using our data query resolution platform. Scheduled and unscheduled quality inspections will be performed on a randomly selected 10% of participants.
Communication with participants
No active follow-up activities are required for Aim 1; however, should individuals referred for ART initiation not be identified within one of these three data sources within 31 days of receiving their HIV positive test result, study staff will work to actively contact, trace, and link these individuals to HIV care and treatment.
For Aim 2, to ensure follow-up of participants for the purpose of data collection/verification activities, we will employ two follow-up methods that we have successfully used in previous studies:
Method #1) Participants will be asked to provide detailed personal contact information, including their phone number(s) and home addresses for themselves, a family member, or a friend/neighbour. If a participant has a personal cell phone, the cell number will be verified by calling the phone in front of the participant. Method #2) A green sticker will be discretely placed in a participant’s medical file. This green sticker will alert clinic ART nurses that the patient is a participant in our study. When a study participant returns to the clinic for routine ART refills or VL testing, clinic pharmacists or ART nurses will be asked to refer the study participant to a RC for study activities, including booster and VL result report-back messaging.
Retention: To observe the impact of U = U messaging on viral suppression and retention in care, no additional active follow-up activities or retention planning other than those described will be conducted. If a participant misses a clinic visit at months 6 or 12, RCs will make up to three contact attempts via phone to invite the participant to return to the clinic. If phone follow-up is not successful, research staff will work with clinic-based community tracers to contact the participant. Community tracers will not be told about the participants’ Involvement in our study.
Given that we want to observe the impact of our U = U messaging on ART adherence, viral suppression and retention in care, no additional active follow-up activities, or retention planning, other than those described, will be conducted. Should a participant be missed upon clinic attendance at months 6 or 12, RCs will make up to three attempts to make contact via phone and invite a participant to return to the clinic and complete a study questionnaire. Should follow-up by phone not be successful, research staff will work with clinic-based community tracers to contact the participant. To ensure our participants’ confidentiality, community tracers will never be told of an individual’s participation in our study. Community tracers will only know to communicate that the clinic is trying to follow up with them and to please return to the clinic.
Data and safety monitoring
All research staff will be trained to identify, probe for and report adverse events (AEs) and social harms (SHs). Occurrence of AEs and SHs, will be collected at every visit. All AEs and SHs reported outside of research visits/activities will also be documented and reported. An AE list will be compiled and reviewed by the Data Safety and Monitoring Board (DSMB) which is set up be set up for this study and has ultimate ability to terminate the trial should interventions prove to have unacceptable risk. All DSMB members will have no direct association with this study or the study sponsors.
DISSEMINATION
The results of the study will be analysed for publication in scientific journals and presentation at relevant scientific conferences. All presentations, abstracts, or manuscripts will be submitted to the study PIs for review and approval prior to submission and no professional writers will be used. The study's results be communicated to key stakeholder groups, such as the South African local, provincial and the national health departments. The study's results will also be presented to study participants, community members, and clinic staff through town hall style meetings and 1-pager flyers. Key interim results, (HIV testing, linkage, and retention in care among men), will be shared with provincial and district stakeholders on a bi-annually basis. The lessons learned from implementation will also be shared with them.