Selection of studies
Through the initial search for relevant articles from international medical databases, including PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, Embase, Ovid, we found a total of 258 articles. Meanwhile, 24 studies which had been registered were found. Among the 282 studies, 36 studies were duplicated (32 removed by Endnote and 4 manually) and were subsequently ruled out, which left 246 studies. Relevancy analysis determined that 183 articles had poor relevancy, after which 63 studies remained for further screening. Among the 63 studies, 18 studies could not be retrieved. Furthermore, 19 studies were no longer considered due to irrelevant interventions. Six studies were deleted because of scare follow-up information. Eventually, seven studies were included in this meta-analysis after case reports, letters, etc were excluded. The flow diagram regarding the detailed articles inclusion and exclusion process was shown in Figure 1.
Basic characteristics of the included studies
After a strict screening process, seven original articles regarding the relative efficacy of complete uterine evacuation following misoprostol intake and MVA in first-trimester incomplete miscarriage were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Baseline characteristics of the seven studies including author, publication year, number of patients recruited, age of patients receiving misoprostol and MVA respectively, gestational age of patients receiving misoprostol and MVA respectively, patients’ marital status and educational level, patients’ parity, final diagnostic method of incomplete miscarriage, inclusion and exclusion criteria, dosage and administration route of misoprostol, diagnostic method of uterine evacuation, etc. were extracted and shown in Table 1. Two of the seven studies were published after 2020, two were published between 2010 and 2019, and three of them were published between 2005 and 2009. Three studies by Ani et al, Nwafor et al, and Ibiyemi et al were carried out in Nigeria, the remaining four studies were carried out in Egypt, Burkina Faso, Mozambique, and Uganda respectively. All seven studies were randomized controlled trials (RCT). A total of 1097 patients with first-trimester incomplete miscarriage receiving misoprostol treatment and 1079 patients with first-trimester incomplete miscarriage receiving MVA treatment were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. The largest number of patients in one single study was recorded in the study by Dabash et al, which included 349 patients receiving misoprostol treatment and 348 patients receiving MVA treatment. There was no significant difference between misoprostol group and MVA group in all seven studies in terms of age, gestational age, marital status, and educational levels. However, we observed differences regarding marital status and educational level between different studies. The highest proportion of married female was 99.7% and 99.7% in misoprostol and MVA group in the study by Dabash et al, the lowest proportion of married female was 21.5% and 19.7% in misoprostol and MVA group in the study by Bique et al. Parity of patients receiving misoprostol ranged from 1.4 to 2.2±2.1 and parity of patients receiving MVA ranged from 1.5±1.5 to 2.1±2.1 respectively. Four studies eventually determined incomplete miscarriage by disease history, physical examination, speculum examination and ultrasound. The two studies by Bique et al and Weeks et al determined incomplete miscarriage relying on disease history, physical examination, speculum examination, without the help of ultrasound. Ani et al diagnosed incomplete miscarriage relying on ultrasound directly. The main inclusion criteria were evidence of incomplete miscarriage, uterine size less than 13 weeks’ gestation. The main exclusion criteria were known allergy to prostaglandins, profuse and uncontrolled vaginal bleeding, existence of intrauterine device, suspected ectopic pregnancy, signs of pelvic infection, uterine size over 13 weeks’ gestation, severe asthma, etc. All seven studies gave misoprostol through sub-lingual route. Five studies provided 600 μg misoprostol, one study (Ani et al) provided 400 μg misoprostol, and one study (Dabash et al) provided 2200 μg misoprostol. Five studies investigated the efficiency of treatment by ultrasound one week after treatment. The study by Weeks determined the efficiency of complete uterine evacuation mostly by bimanual examination.
Quality of included studies
We used Review Manager 5.4 (Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Demark) to evaluate the quality of the included studies as well as the risk of potential bias. Through our analysis, the seven studies we included all had unclear risks in some particular aspects, but that did not affect the fact that all seven studies were considered to be high-quality studies in terms of study design, participants recruitment, statistical analysis, etc. Therefore, all seven studies were included in the final meta-analysis. The quality assessment was shown in Figure 2.
Successful complete uterine evacuation rate by misoprostol and MVA
The pooled analysis of the seven studies we recruited showed treatment by misoprostol had an incidence rate of complete uterine evacuation of 93.04%, while MVA manifested with complete uterine evacuation rate of 98.70% with an RR of 0.972 [95% CI 0.959-0.984 P<0.001], which showed that MVA outperformed misoprostol shown by higher successful complete uterine evacuation rate. The highest complete uterine evacuation rate of misoprostol treatment was 98.3% and the lowest was 81.3% in the studies included. Regarding patients treated by MVA, the highest rate of complete uterine evacuation was 100% (in 2 studies), and the lowest was 91.5% in the articles we included. Among the seven studies, five studies observed a better performance and efficiency of MVA in terms of complete uterine evacuation rate manifested by RRs less than 1, and the other two studies found a more promising treatment outcome by misoprostol. Particularly, the study by Dabash et al in 2010 had the highest number of included patients, thus its relative weight was comparatively high in this meta-analysis, which were 73.32% and 20.37% in fixed and random model respectively. Of the seven articles we included, the work by Weeks et al had an RR over 1.00, the rest 6 articles all had RRs less than 1.00, which were 0.863 [95% CI 0.798-0.935 P<0.001], 0.849 [95% CI 0.732-0.986 P=0.032], 0.839 [95% CI 0.766-0.918 P<0.001], 0.986 [95% CI 0.971-1.001 P=0.058], 0.953 [95% CI 0.921-0.987 P=0.007], 0.911 [95% CI 0.857-0.968 P=0.003]. The forest plot of complete uterine evacuation was shown in Figure 3A.
Meanwhile, according to results of pooled analysis by five studies, the pooled percentage of patients needing additional MVA was 10.3% in misoprostol treatment group and was 0.9% in MVA treatment group. The pooled RR for necessity for additional MVA was 7.112 [95%CI 2.817-17.958 P<0.001]. Of all five studies, the results were consistent with the pooled data, while one study found an RR of 8.196 [95%CI 0.447-150.370 P=0.156], which was not statistically significant. The forest plot of necessity for additional MVA was shown in Figure 3B.
Subgroup analysis
We performed a meta-analysis to determine the pooled RR (misoprostol vs MVA) of complete uterine evacuation in patients with first-trimester incomplete miscarriage after misoprostol and MVA treatment to reflect their relative curative efficiency. The pooled RR of complete uterine evacuation was 0.93 [95% CI 0.88-0.98 P=0.013] which indicated that MVA achieved higher efficiency of complete uterine evacuation in patients with first-trimester incomplete miscarriage in general. With a purpose to explore the RR (misoprostol vs MVA) in different stratification in terms of age, gestational age, parity, etc., we performed a subgroup analysis to determine whether misoprostol was able to outperform MVA in some subgroups. We chose age, gestational age, parity, marital status, and misoprostol dosage as the variables. We stratified age into three subgroups: less than 24 years old, between 24 and 26 years old, and over 26 years old. According to Figure 4A, the pooled RR for patients less than 24 years old was 1.05 [95% CI 0.98-1.14], the pooled RR for patients between 24 and 26 years old was 0.90 [95% CI 0.85-0.95 P=0.359], and the pooled RR for patients over 26 years old was 0.92 [95% CI 0.84-0.99 P<0.001]. The result indicated that patients over 24 years old were more probable to benefit from MVA in achieving complete uterine evacuation. Although the pooled RR for patients less than 24 years old was 1.05, there was only one study in this subgroup and the difference was not statistically significant, we did not conclude that patients less 24 years old were more suitable to choose misoprostol other than MVA. Based on Figure 4B, the pooled RRs in terms of different misoprostol dosage were 0.86 [95% CI 0.80-0.93], 0.93 [95% CI 0.87-0.99], and 0.99 [95% CI 0.97-1.00] when the doses of misoprostol were 400 μg, 600 μg, and 2200 μg, which indicated that MVA led to higher percentage of complete uterine evacuation than misoprostol when the latter was given with doses less than 2200 μg. In terms of gestational age, the RRs for patients with gestational age less than 9 weeks and over 9 weeks were 0.84 [95% CI 0.78-0.91] and 0.95 [95% CI 0.78-1.16] respectively, which illustrated that MVA was related with better outcomes of complete uterine evacuation regardless of gestational age (Figure 4C). According to Figure 4D, the proportion of married women was divided into three groups, less than 30%, between 30% and 60%, and over 60%, the RRs of which were 0.91 [95% CI 0.86-0.97], 0.92 [95% CI 0.81-1.03], and 0.90 [95% CI 0.74-1.08] respectively. This result demonstrated that MVA was recommended as a prior choice regardless of the marital status. The RRs of different parity were also calculated. According to Figure 4E, in misoprostol group, the pooled RR was 0.85 [95% CI 0.73-0.99] when parity<1.5, 0.92 [95% CI 0.82-1.04] when 1.5≤parity<2, 0.95 [95% CI 0.92-0.99] when parity≥2. In the meantime, Figure 4F found out that in MVA group, pooled RR was 0.93 [95% CI 0.83-1.03] when 1.5≤parity<2 and 0.91 [95% CI 0.82-1.01] when parity≥2. These data illustrated that MVA was more recommended to achieve complete uterine evacuation regardless of parity. Generally speaking, subgroup analysis demonstrated that MVA was more efficient than misoprostol regardless of age, gestational age, parity, dosage of misoprostol, and marital status. Summary of the subgroup analysis was shown in Table 2.
Occurrence of adverse effects
All studies we included reported at least three kinds of adverse events, and the most frequently mentioned ones were abdominal pain, bleeding, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting. The studies by Ani et al and Bique et al reported the general occurrence rate of adverse events. According to their results, 88.2% (Ani et al) and 98.2% (Bique et al) of patients treated by misoprostol experienced adverse events and for patients treated by MVA, the numbers were 57.4% (Ani et al) and 97.0% (Bique et al), with RRs of 1.5 [95%CI 1.28-1.84 P<0.001] (Ani et al), and 1.01 [95%CI 0.97-1.06] (Bique et al) respectively.
Abdominal pain was recorded in five studies, the pooled analysis of which yielded that a general 67.8% of patients treated by misoprostol and 71.7% of patients treated by MVA expressed experience of abdominal pain. The RR was 0.80 [95%CI 0.63-1.01 P=0.063], indicating that the difference of occurrence rate of abdominal pain was not statistically significant (Figure 5A). Moreover, in the pooled analysis of abdominal pain, the study by Bique et al had a high relative weight of 86.71%, which might have a comparatively decisive influence on the final analysis. Meanwhile, two of the included studies found a significantly higher rate of abdominal pain following MVA with RRs of 0.566 [95%CI 0.389-0.822 P=0.003] and 0.337 [95%CI 0.254-0.447 P<0.001]. However, one study came out with a higher probability to experience pain after misoprostol rather than MVA with an RR of 1.156 [95%CI 1.073-1.244 P<0.001]. Six studies provided patients’ own grading or rating of the pain. In the pooled analysis, 76.9% of patients receiving misoprostol classified the pain as mild-tolerable, while 65.6% of patients following MVA treatment categorized the pain as mild-tolerable. The pooled RR was 1.06 [95%CI 0.73-1.53 P=0.77] which indicated a not significant lower occurrence rate of mild-tolerable pain after misoprostol intake.
Besides abdominal pain, bleeding was acknowledged as one of the most common adverse events following miscarriage. In this meta-analysis, all seven studies have reported the incidence of mild to severe bleeding. The pooled incidence of bleeding were 50.9% for misoprostol and 30.4% for MVA with an RR of 1.91 [95% CI 1.43-2.55 P<0.001], indicating a statistically significant lower probability to experience bleeding if treated by MVA (Figure 5B). The highest RR in terms of bleeding was 5.94 [95%CI 0.73-48.47 P=0.096] reported by a study recruiting 102 patients and the lowest RR in terms of bleeding was 1.29 [95%CI 1.12-1.49 P<0.001] reported by a study recruiting 327 patients. Comparatively obvious difference in the occurrence rate of chills after treatment of misoprostol and MVA was observed according to results of four studies. The pooled occurrence rate of chills was 23.2% for misoprostol and 1.6% for MVA with an RR of 7.50 [95%CI 1.41-39.83 P=0.018] (Figure 5C). All four studies which have reported the incidence of chills concluded an RR over or equal to 1, indicating higher vulnerability of chills following misoprostol treatment. The highest RR in terms of chills was 172.13 [95% CI 10.83-2736.34] recorded by Bique et al with patients’ number of 111 and 101 respectively. Fever was also recorded as one of the most frequent adverse events, especially after oral intake of misoprostol. Based on the pooled analysis, fever occurred to 16.8% of patients taking misoprostol and 2.9% receiving MVA. The pooled RR was 4.34 [95% CI 1.82-10.36 P=0.001] (Figure 5D). All four studies with data of post-treatment fever provided an RR over 1, which portended high occurrence rate of fever after misoprostol treatment. Nausea and vomiting were also noted as important adverse events. The pooled analysis indicated lower occurrence rate of nausea after MVA treatment than misoprostol treatment (21.5% for misoprostol and 11.3% for MVA). The pooled RR was 3.13 [95% CI 1.41-6.92 P=0.005]. The pooled analysis indicated lower occurrence rate of vomiting after MVA treatment than misoprostol treatment (7.7% for misoprostol and 3.3% for MVA). The pooled RR was 2.21 [95% CI 1.23-3.94 P=0.008].
Generally speaking, there was no significant difference in terms of the occurrence rate of abdominal pain or mild-tolerable pain between patients of first-trimester incomplete miscarriage receiving misoprostol and MVA treatments. However, we found a statistically lower occurrence rate of bleeding, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting in patients of first-trimester incomplete miscarriage receiving MVA compared with those receiving misoprostol, which indicated a generally lower incidence rate of adverse events following MVA other than misoprostol.
Subjective evaluation from the patients
The studies we included also collected some subjective evaluation indicators from patients who have received either misoprostol or MVA. These subjective evaluations included general satisfactory rate, possibility of recommending misoprostol or MVA to relatives or friends, the worst adverse event, etc. In terms of general satisfactory rate, 90.9% of patients receiving misoprostol and 87.0% of patients receiving MVA expressed their feeling as satisfactory. The RR rate for general satisfaction (misoprostol vs MVA) was 0.989 [95%CI 0.969-1.010 P=0.319], which indicated there was no significant difference regarding patients’ satisfactory degree between misoprostol and MVA group. Among the five studies which have reported the satisfactory rate, the study by Dao et al found a statistically higher satisfactory rate in patients who received MVA with an RR of 0.919 [95%CI 0.848-0.995 P=0.036]; the study by Bique et al found a statistically higher satisfactory rate in patients who received misoprostol with an RR of 2.361 [95%CI 1.808-3.083 P<0.001]. An approximate 89.4% of patients receiving misoprostol and 73.7% of patients receiving MVA would recommend corresponding treatment to their relatives and friends respectively, with an RR of 1.146 [95%CI 1.105-1.189 P<0.001], which indicated a higher probability of recommendation in patients receiving misoprostol. When asked about the worst adverse event, 22.3% of patients receiving misoprostol and 24.6% of patients receiving MVA considered pain as the worst adverse event with an RR of 0.925 [95%CI 0.756-1.132 P=0.448]. Therefore, the proportion of patients considering pain as the worst treatment-related adverse event did not differ significantly between misoprostol and MVA group. Meanwhile, 11.8% of patients receiving misoprostol and 3.6% of patients receiving MVA considered bleeding as the worst adverse event with an RR of 3.073 [95%CI 2.006-4.708 P<0.001]. Based on the data, we found a higher proportion of patients receiving misoprostol considered bleeding as the worst adverse event compared with patients receiving MVA.
Meta-regression
We performed a meta-regression to determine the potential heterogeneity among included studies and to look for items which might have contributed to the general heterogeneity in terms of complete uterine evacuation by misoprostol and MVA in first-trimester incomplete miscarriage. Indicators including year of publication, country where the study was carried out, age, gestational age, marital status and parity of patients receiving misoprostol or MVA, as well as dosage of misoprostol were considered. The meta-regression manifested that publication year (t=1.53, P=0.16), country where the study was initiated (t=2.16, P=0.08), age (t=-1.14, P=0.037), gestational age (t=1.13, P=0.375), percentage of patients who were married (t=-0.14, P=0.895), parity of patients in misoprostol group (t=0.94, P=0.415), parity of patients in MVA group (t=0.32, P=0.767) and dosage of misoprostol (t=1.26, P=0.263) were probably not potential contributors to the general heterogeneity of RR of complete uterine evacuation in treating first-trimester incomplete miscarriage. The details of meta-regression analysis were shown in Table 3.
Publication bias
We generated funnel plots to intuitively observe the potential publication bias based on the symmetry of the funnel plot. The funnel plots of RRs regarding complete uterine evacuation (Figure 6A) and necessity for additional MVA (Figure 6B) were considered roughly symmetrical, which reflected low possibility of publication bias. Meanwhile, we applied Egger’s test to investigate the existence of publication bias in a quantitative manner. The result of Egger’s test showed there was no sign of publication bias with t=-2.18 and P=0.081 in terms of RR of complete uterine evacuation. Egger’s test also indicated low probability of publication bias in terms of RR of necessity for additional MVA with t=1.08 and P=0.359. The plots for Egger’s tests were shown in Figure 6C-D. Therefore, we generally considered that there was no publication bias regarding RRs of both complete uterine evacuation and necessity for additional MVA.