The sample at baseline numbered 558 and is described in detail elsewhere with a consort diagram of patient flow for clinical outcomes.8 Baseline clinical and demographic characteristics are shown in Table 1 and these indicate that at baseline the groups were well balanced. Around three-quarters of the participants were female and nearly all of white ethnicity. Only about one-tenth had seen a specialist for IBS symptoms even though the duration of symptoms was on average over six years. Psychiatric comorbidity, as indicated by cut-offs on the HADS scores, was relatively high, particularly for anxiety.
Table 1
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the study sample at baseline.
|
|
TCBT
N = 186
|
WCBT
N = 185
|
TAU
N = 187
|
All
N = 558
|
Age (yrs)
|
Mean (SD)
|
43·4 (12·5)
|
43·8 (13·6)
|
42·0 (13·5)
|
43·1 (13·2)
|
Gender
|
Female (%)
|
139 (74·7)
|
145 (78·4)
|
139 (74·3)
|
423 (75·8)
|
Ethnicity (%)
|
White
|
162 (87·1)
|
171 (92·4)
|
174 (93·0)
|
507 (90·9)
|
Deprivation score
(IMD 2010)
|
Mean (SD)
|
16·7 (12·0)
|
17·3 (12·3)
|
17·2 (11·8)
|
17·1 (12·0)
|
Seen a GI Consultant for IBS
|
Count (%)
|
20 (10·7%)
|
15 (8·1%)
|
22 (11·8%)
|
57 (10·2%)
|
Years of symptoms before diagnosis
|
N/ Median
|
186/3·29
|
185/3·0
|
187/3·0
|
558/ 3·0
|
Duration of IBS (yrs)
|
N/ Median
Range
|
185/6·5
1·0–65·0
|
185/8·6
0·7–45·4
|
187/6·3
0·3–49·9
|
557/7·4
0·3–64·6
|
HADS anxiety score
|
Mean (SD)
Case* N/(%)
|
10·6 (4·3)
89/186 (47·9%)
|
11·1 (4·3)
98/185 (53·0%)
|
10·5 (4·0)
96/187 (51·3%)
|
10·7 (4·2)
283/558 (50·7%)
|
HADS depression
Score
|
Mean (SD)
Case* N/(%)
|
5·5 (3·6)
47/186 (25·3%)
|
5·9 (3·8)
60/185 (32·4%)
|
5·6 (3·5)
50/187 (26·7%)
|
5·7 (3·7)
157/558 (28·1%)
|
IBS Subtype
IBS Diarrhoea
|
No. (%)
|
60 (32.3)
|
60 (32.4)
|
58 (31.0)
|
178 (31.9)
|
IBS Constipation
|
No. (%)
|
26 (14.0)
|
23 (12.4)
|
27 (14.5)
|
76 (13.6)
|
IBS Alternating
|
No. (%)
|
93 (50.3)
|
98 (53.0)
|
96 (51.3)
|
287 (51.5)
|
IBS Unclassified
|
No. (%)
|
6 (3.2)
|
4 (2.2)
|
6 (3.2)
|
16 (2.9)
|
Unknown
|
No. (%)
|
60 (32.3)
|
60 (32.4)
|
58 (31.0)
|
178 (31.9)
|
Service use
Service use and lost employment data were available for 186 TCBT, 185 WCBT and 187 TAU participants at baseline. At three-month follow-up the figures were 142 (76% of baseline number) for TCBT, 132 (71%) WCBT and 134 (72%) TAU; six-month follow-up 135 (73%) TCBT, 115 (62%) WCBT and 128 (68%) TAU; 12-month follow-up 130 (70%) TCBT, 120 (65%) WCBT and 130 (70%) TAU. During the six-month period prior to baseline assessment, over four-fifths of participants had contacts with a GP (Table 2). The use of other doctors, practice nurses and pharmacists were relatively high compared to use of other services. Few participants had inpatient stays. More than half of each group used medication related to IBS. For about three-quarters of the sample, investigations (usually blood tests) were performed. Around one-fifth of each group received care from family or friends because of health problems. In the period up to three-month follow-up, about half the participants in each group had GP contacts. Pharmacists contacts was the next most used service. There were only slight differences between groups in terms of use of services. In the next period, up to the six-month follow-up, there were similar levels of service use as observed previously. Around half the participants received GP care and around one-quarter had contacts with pharmacists. In the final six-month period, up to 12-month follow-up, the most commonly used services were GPs, other doctors, pharmacists, and practice nurses. Use of inpatient care was slightly higher than previously.
Table 2
Number (%) of participants using services at baseline and each follow-up by treatment group.
|
Baseline
|
0–3 month follow-up
|
3–6 month follow-up
|
6–12 month-follow-up
|
|
TCBT
(n = 186)
|
WCBT
(n = 185)
|
TAU
(n = 187)
|
TCBT
(n = 142)
|
WCBT
(n = 132)
|
TAU
(n = 134)
|
TCBT
(n = 135)
|
WCBT
(n = 115)
|
TAU
(n = 128)
|
TCBT
(n = 130)
|
WCBT
(n = 120)
|
TAU
(n = 130)
|
Gastroenterologist
|
29 (16)
|
28 (15)
|
37 (20)
|
6 (4)
|
5 (4)
|
12 (9)
|
4 (3)
|
2 (2)
|
10 (8)
|
7 (5)
|
8 (7)
|
15 (12)
|
GP
|
149 (80)
|
160 (86)
|
162 (87)
|
71 (50)
|
67 (51)
|
69 (51)
|
71 (53)
|
52 (45)
|
68 (53)
|
82 (63)
|
71 (59)
|
73 (56)
|
Other doctor
|
37 (20)
|
38 (21)
|
51 (27)
|
18 (13)
|
20 (15)
|
21 (16)
|
19 (14)
|
16 (14)
|
20 (16)
|
42 (32)
|
27 (23)
|
28 (22)
|
Pharmacist
|
53 (28)
|
60 (32)
|
67 (36)
|
41 (29)
|
37 (28)
|
32 (24)
|
35 (26)
|
25 (22)
|
32 (25)
|
44 (34)
|
34 (28)
|
32 (25)
|
Physiotherapist
|
18 (10)
|
19 (10)
|
24 (13)
|
14 (10)
|
9 (7)
|
15 (11)
|
19 (14)
|
8 (7)
|
14 (11)
|
16 (12)
|
12 (10)
|
12 (9)
|
Practice nurse
|
67 (36)
|
61 (33)
|
80 (43)
|
23 (16)
|
27 (20)
|
29 (22)
|
23 (17)
|
27 (23)
|
27 (21)
|
27 (21)
|
26 (22)
|
25 (19)
|
Home nurse
|
1 (1)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
1 (1)
|
0 (0)
|
2 (2)
|
Hospital nurse
|
11 (6)
|
14 (8)
|
21 (11)
|
3 (2)
|
14 (11)
|
6 (4)
|
6 (4)
|
5 (4)
|
7 (5)
|
13 (10)
|
11 (9)
|
11 (8)
|
Psychiatrist
|
5 (3)
|
6 (3)
|
0 (0)
|
2 (1)
|
0 (0)
|
1 (1)
|
0 (0)
|
1 (1)
|
2 (2)
|
2 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
0 (0)
|
Social worker
|
4 (2)
|
2 (1)
|
2 (1)
|
1 (1)
|
2 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
2 (1)
|
2 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
3 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
1 (1)
|
Other therapist
|
15 (8)
|
21 (11)
|
16 (9)
|
7 (5)
|
11 (8)
|
7 (5)
|
5 (4)
|
9 (8)
|
6 (5)
|
7 (5)
|
7 (6)
|
6 (5)
|
Acupuncturist
|
10 (6)
|
5 (3)
|
11 (6)
|
6 (4)
|
1 (1)
|
3 (2)
|
5 (4)
|
2 (2)
|
4 (3)
|
8 (6)
|
1 (1)
|
6 (5)
|
Dietician
|
27 (15)
|
23 (12)
|
29 (16)
|
4 (3)
|
3 (2)
|
7 (5)
|
0 (0)
|
3 (3)
|
9 (7)
|
2 (2)
|
6 (5)
|
5 (4)
|
Homeopath
|
8 (4)
|
5 (3)
|
4 (2)
|
3 (2)
|
0 (0)
|
3 (2)
|
3 (2)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
4 (3)
|
2 (2)
|
2 (2)
|
OT
|
3 (2)
|
3 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
1 (1)
|
1 (1)
|
1 (1)
|
3 (2)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
0 (0)
|
2 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
Osteopath
|
12 (6)
|
15 (8)
|
12 (6)
|
7 (5)
|
6 (5)
|
8 (6)
|
9 (7)
|
8 (7)
|
7 (5)
|
7 (5)
|
5 (4)
|
8 (6)
|
Inpatient
|
13 (7)
|
11 (6)
|
18 (10)
|
3 (2)
|
2 (2)
|
2 (1)
|
3 (2)
|
1 (1)
|
3 (2)
|
8 (6)
|
5 (4)
|
7 (5)
|
A & E
|
24 (13)
|
19 (10)
|
27 (14)
|
7 (5)
|
8 (6)
|
9 (7)
|
8 (6)
|
9 (8)
|
7 (5)
|
14 (11)
|
7 (6)
|
15 (12)
|
Medication
|
99 (53)
|
109 (59)
|
108 (58)
|
50 (35)
|
56 (42)
|
64 (48)
|
45 (33)
|
39 (34)
|
58 (45)
|
48 (37)
|
46 (38)
|
60 (46)
|
Investigations
|
147 (79)
|
138 (75)
|
151 (81)
|
45 (32)
|
42 (32)
|
42 (31)
|
44 (33)
|
24 (21)
|
35 (27)
|
62 (48)
|
42 (35)
|
51 (39)
|
Informal care
|
36 (19)
|
36 (19)
|
37 (20)
|
21 (15)
|
20 (15)
|
26 (19)
|
24 (18)
|
19 (17)
|
21 (16)
|
13 (10)
|
15 (13)
|
22 (17)
|
Lost work days
|
96 (52)
|
74 (40)
|
91 (49)
|
33 (23)
|
36 (27)
|
45 (34)
|
39 (29)
|
42 (37)
|
47 (37)
|
48 (37)
|
52 (43)
|
61 (47)
|
GP – general practitioner, OT – occupational therapist, A & E – accident and emergency department |
Table 3 shows the mean number of service contacts for those participants who had at least one contact. For most services the number of is less than ten and there are few notable differences between the groups. However, for those who received informal care, the TAU group had more hours a week than the other two groups during the follow-up periods.
Table 3
Mean number of service contacts among participants with at least one contact at baseline and each follow-up by treatment group.
|
Baseline
|
0–3 month follow-up
|
3–6 month follow-up
|
6–12 month-follow-up
|
|
TCBT
(n = 186)
|
WCBT
(n = 185)
|
TAU
(n = 187)
|
TCBT
(n = 142)
|
WCBT
(n = 132)
|
TAU
(n = 134)
|
TCBT
(n = 135)
|
WCBT
(n = 115)
|
TAU
(n = 128)
|
TCBT
(n = 130)
|
WCBT
(n = 120)
|
TAU
(n = 130)
|
Gastroenterologist
|
1·5
|
2·8
|
2·6
|
1·2
|
1·4
|
1·2
|
2·3
|
11·0
|
1·3
|
1·3
|
1·6
|
3·7
|
GP
|
3·9
|
3·8
|
4·2
|
2·4
|
2·1
|
3·0
|
2·0
|
2·3
|
2·7
|
2·0
|
2·4
|
2·6
|
Other doctor
|
3·6
|
2·1
|
3·4
|
2·3
|
1·8
|
1·8
|
4·7
|
2·1
|
1·5
|
1·6
|
2·1
|
2·6
|
Pharmacist
|
3·6
|
4·4
|
4·4
|
3·0
|
2·7
|
2·8
|
2·0
|
2·2
|
2·0
|
2·0
|
2·1
|
2·6
|
Physiotherapist
|
3·2
|
6·5
|
6·0
|
3·4
|
3·0
|
1·9
|
3·6
|
2·9
|
3·7
|
3·9
|
4·3
|
3·2
|
Practice nurse
|
2·1
|
2·2
|
1·7
|
1·7
|
1·6
|
1·3
|
1·9
|
1·3
|
1·5
|
1·6
|
1·5
|
1·6
|
Home nurse
|
2·0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
20·0
|
-
|
2·0
|
Hospital nurse
|
2·7
|
2·0
|
1·4
|
1·7
|
1·7
|
1·2
|
2·2
|
1·6
|
1·3
|
1·8
|
1·4
|
1·8
|
Psychiatrist
|
3·0
|
2·0
|
-
|
2·5
|
-
|
1·0
|
-
|
3·0
|
2·0
|
2·5
|
2·0
|
-
|
Social worker
|
3·5
|
6·0
|
1·0
|
3·0
|
6·0
|
1·0
|
3·0
|
1·0
|
1·0
|
2·3
|
1·0
|
4·0
|
Other therapist
|
5·7
|
7·3
|
5·9
|
5·6
|
3·8
|
3·9
|
4·4
|
4·8
|
2·0
|
2·9
|
5·0
|
2·7
|
Acupuncturist
|
4·4
|
4·8
|
5·4
|
1·8
|
5·0
|
2·0
|
3·6
|
2·0
|
1·5
|
4·1
|
1·0
|
3·3
|
Dietician
|
1·7
|
1·6
|
1·8
|
1·0
|
3·0
|
1·4
|
-
|
1·0
|
1·7
|
1·0
|
2·2
|
1·4
|
Homeopath
|
2·5
|
2·4
|
11·0
|
3·3
|
-
|
1·0
|
1·7
|
-
|
-
|
1·0
|
1·0
|
2·5
|
OT
|
4·3
|
3·3
|
1·0
|
6·0
|
3·0
|
1·0
|
1·7
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
4·0
|
1·0
|
Osteopath
|
3·1
|
4·0
|
3·3
|
1·7
|
2·3
|
2·4
|
2·3
|
1·3
|
1·7
|
1·9
|
5·2
|
2·1
|
Inpatient
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
A & E
|
1·3
|
1·2
|
1·3
|
1·0
|
1·1
|
1·6
|
1·0
|
1·3
|
1·0
|
1·1
|
1·0
|
1·3
|
Medication
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Investigations
|
2·6
|
2·7
|
2·6
|
1·8
|
2·5
|
2·0
|
1·9
|
1·6
|
1·9
|
3·1
|
2·0
|
2·0
|
Informal care
|
9·6
|
11·5
|
12·9
|
6·7
|
7·5
|
10·7
|
7·2
|
4·8
|
26·0
|
5·6
|
10·0
|
16·5
|
Lost work days
|
10·3
|
10·2
|
9·8
|
8·5
|
5·1
|
5·3
|
9·9
|
3·1
|
6·9
|
7·9
|
4·3
|
11·5
|
GP – general practitioner, OT – occupational therapist, A & E – accident and emergency department |
Costs
At baseline, inpatient care, although used by few participants, had the highest costs, along with GP and contacts with other doctors (Table 4). The groups did not differ much in terms of costs of particular services. Total healthcare costs were on average £681 for TCBT, £620 for WCBT, and £802 for TAU. TAU participants had costs that were £122 more than for TCBT and £182 more than for WCBT. With informal care and lost employment costs included, the total was £1995 for TCBT, £1965 for WCBT, and £2352 for TAU. TCBT had total costs that were £357 less than for TAU and WCBT had total costs that were £387 less than for TAU.
Table 4
Mean cost of service contacts at baseline and each follow-up by treatment group (2015/16 £s).
|
Baseline
|
0–3 month follow-up
|
3–6 month follow-up
|
6–12 month-follow-up
|
|
TCBT
(n = 186)
|
WCBT
(n = 185)
|
TAU
(n = 187)
|
TCBT
(n = 142)
|
WCBT
(n = 132)
|
TAU
(n = 134)
|
TCBT
(n = 135)
|
WCBT
(n = 115)
|
TAU
(n = 128)
|
TCBT
(n = 130)
|
WCBT
(n = 120)
|
TAU
(n = 130)
|
Gastroenterologist
|
32
|
57
|
69
|
7
|
7
|
14
|
9
|
26
|
14
|
9
|
15
|
59
|
GP
|
106
|
110
|
122
|
39
|
36
|
50
|
34
|
35
|
47
|
42
|
47
|
48
|
Other doctor
|
97
|
57
|
124
|
39
|
36
|
37
|
90
|
39
|
32
|
70
|
65
|
77
|
Pharmacist
|
26
|
36
|
40
|
22
|
19
|
17
|
13
|
12
|
13
|
17
|
15
|
16
|
Physiotherapist
|
15
|
33
|
38
|
16
|
10
|
11
|
25
|
10
|
20
|
24
|
21
|
14
|
Practice nurse
|
11
|
11
|
11
|
4
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
Home nurse
|
< 1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
1
|
Hospital nurse
|
7
|
7
|
7
|
2
|
8
|
2
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
8
|
5
|
7
|
Psychiatrist
|
11
|
9
|
0
|
5
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
0
|
Social worker
|
3
|
3
|
< 1
|
1
|
4
|
< 1
|
2
|
1
|
< 1
|
2
|
< 1
|
1
|
Other therapist
|
36
|
66
|
40
|
22
|
25
|
16
|
13
|
30
|
7
|
12
|
23
|
10
|
Acupuncturist
|
12
|
6
|
16
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
13
|
< 1
|
8
|
Dietician
|
20
|
16
|
22
|
2
|
6
|
6
|
0
|
2
|
9
|
1
|
9
|
4
|
Homeopath
|
5
|
3
|
12
|
4
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
OT
|
6
|
4
|
< 1
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
5
|
1
|
Osteopath
|
10
|
16
|
10
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
8
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
11
|
7
|
Inpatient
|
163
|
71
|
156
|
56
|
121
|
13
|
24
|
17
|
17
|
202
|
36
|
103
|
A & E
|
23
|
16
|
27
|
7
|
9
|
14
|
8
|
14
|
8
|
17
|
8
|
20
|
Medication
|
23
|
28
|
36
|
6
|
12
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
12
|
11
|
15
|
20
|
Investigations
|
98
|
99
|
108
|
35
|
52
|
32
|
36
|
22
|
21
|
81
|
55
|
43
|
Total health cost
|
681
|
620
|
802
|
271
|
346
|
227
|
280
|
224
|
206
|
519
|
325
|
393
|
Informal care
|
759
|
915
|
1048
|
203
|
232
|
423
|
261
|
161
|
873
|
230
|
510
|
1144
|
Lost work days
|
556
|
430
|
502
|
208
|
145
|
186
|
299
|
118
|
265
|
307
|
195
|
566
|
Total cost
|
1995
|
1965
|
2352
|
682
|
723
|
836
|
840
|
503
|
1344
|
1055
|
1029
|
2103
|
GP – general practitioner, OT – occupational therapist, A & E – accident and emergency department |
In the period up to three-month follow-up the costs again were relatively high for GP and other doctor contacts. Inpatient costs for the WCBT group were higher than for the other groups. The average healthcare costs excluding the intervention were £271 for TCBT, £346 for WCBT, and £227 for TAU. Adjusting for baseline, the TCBT group had healthcare costs that were £54 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£61 to £174) and WCBT had costs that were £151 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£71 to £510). Mean societal costs (including informal care and lost employment) were £682 for TCBT, £723 for WCBT, and £836 for TAU. Adjusting for baseline, TCBT had mean total costs that were £25 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£321 to £386) and WCBT had mean total costs that were £218 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£236 to £665).
In the three months up to the six-month follow-up, costs were highest for GPs and other doctors. Average non-intervention healthcare costs were £281 for TCBT, £224 for WCBT, and £206 for TAU. After adjusting for baseline costs TCBT had £86 higher costs than TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£33 to £234) and WCBT had costs that were £39 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£68 to £155. Informal care costs were very different between groups during this period. Average societal costs were £840 for TCBT, £503 for WCBT, and £1344 for TAU. Adjusting for baseline resulted in TCBT having costs that were on average £343 less than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£266 to £1022) and WCBT having costs that were £420 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£57 to £1009).
In the six months up to the 12-month follow-up, average healthcare costs (excluding the intervention) were £519 for TCBT, £325 for WCBT, and £393 for TAU. After adjusting for baseline, TCBT had non-intervention healthcare costs that were on average £144 more than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£119 to £499) and WCBT had costs that were £42 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£124 to £210). The higher level of informal care costs for TAU continued during this period. The TAU group also had higher lost employment costs than the other groups. Mean societal costs (including informal care and lost employment) were £1055 for TCBT, £1029 for WCBT, and £2103 for TAU. After adjusting for baseline, TCBT had costs that were £873 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£223 to £2153) and WCBT had costs that were £751 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£180 to £1885).
Mean (SD) total healthcare costs, with ACTIB CBT costs included, over the whole one-year follow-up period were £1650 (£1931) for TCBT, £943 (£955) for WCBT, and £715 (£884) for TAU. Adjusting for baseline, TCBT had costs that were on average £943 higher than for TAU which was statistically significant (bootstrapped 95% CI, £572 to £1363) and WCBT had costs that were £278 higher than for TAU which was also significant (bootstrapped 95% CI, £11 to £514). Cost differences for participants where EQ-5D-5L data were available (which is relevant for the complete case analysis) were £956 (bootstrapped 95% CI, £601 to £1435) for TCBT and £224 for WCBT (bootstrapped 95% CI, -£11 to £448).
The mean (SD) societal costs over the one-year follow-up period, again including ACTIB CBT costs, were £3065 (£5179) for TCBT, £2094 (£3069) for WCBT, and £4374 (£11,843) for TAU. After adjusting for baseline, TCBT had costs that were £866 lower than TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£1133 to £2957) and WCBT had costs that were £1028 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, −£448 to £2580).
Quality-adjusted life years
Response to the EQ-5D-5L was relatively low (Table 5). Utility scores were high for each group at each time point. Improvements were greater for the TCBT and WCBT groups compared to TAU. After adjustment for baseline EQ-5D-5L utility scores, it was shown that TCBT resulted in 0.0414 more QALYs than TAU (95% CI, 0.0194 to 0.0635) and WCBT resulted in 0.0269 more QALYs than TAU (95% CI, 0.0041 to 0.0497). Differences in QALYs for those with follow-up cost data were 0.0429 (95% CI, 0.0205 to 0.0653 and 0.0290 (95% CI, 0.0063 to 0.0518) respectively. Table 5 also reveals that there was a substantial amount of missing EQ-5D-5L data. Reasons for this are addressed in the Discussion.
Table 5
EQ-5D-5L utility scores by time period and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).
|
TCBT (n = 186)
|
WCBT (n = 185)
|
TAU (n = 187)
|
|
N (%)
|
Mean (sd)
|
N (%)
|
Mean (sd)
|
N (%)
|
Mean (sd)
|
Baseline
|
185 (99)
|
0·8191 (0·1283)
|
185 (100)
|
0·8016 (0·1651)
|
187 (100)
|
0·8101 (0·1468)
|
0–3 month follow-up
|
147 (79)
|
0·8499 (0·1253)
|
133 (72)
|
0·8392 (0·1657)
|
132 (71)
|
0·8083 (0·1547)
|
3–6 month follow-up
|
134 (72)
|
0·8761 (0·1128)
|
112 (60)
|
0·8563 (0·1404)
|
128 (68)
|
0·8251 (0·1438)
|
6–12 month follow-up
|
120 (65)
|
0·8799 (0·1425)
|
113 (61)
|
0·8459 (0·1513)
|
123 (66)
|
0·8265 (0·1497)
|
QALYs
|
106 (57)
|
0·8786 (0·0786)
|
92 (50)
|
0·8525 (0·1244)
|
102 (55)
|
0·8254 (0·1313)
|
Cost-effectiveness results – complete case analyses
Data were available on healthcare costs and QALYs for 99 (53%) TCBT participants, 92 (50%) WBT participants, and 100 (53%) TAU participants. Dividing incremental healthcare costs by incremental QALYs differences for those with both cost and QALY data results in the following incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs): TCBT v TAU £22,284 and WCBT v TAU £7724. The ICER for TCBT compared to WCBT was £52,662.
Uncertainty around the ICERs is illustrated in Figs. 1–3. Each point on the cost-effectiveness planes represent a pair of incremental costs and QALYs from 1000 bootstrapped samples. From Fig. 1 we see that TCBT compared to TAU is certain to result in higher healthcare costs and to produce more QALYs. Comparing WCBT to TAU (Fig. 2), there is a 96.2% likelihood that WCBT has higher healthcare costs than TAU and produces more QALYs, a 3.2% likelihood of lower costs and more QALYs, a 0% likelihood of lower costs and fewer QALYs, and a 0.6% likelihood of higher costs and fewer QALYs. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curves show that at very low values placed on a QALY gain, TAU is likely to be the most cost-effective option (Fig. 3). When higher values are placed on a QALY, WCBT becomes the most likely to be cost-effective. The likelihood that TCBT is the most cost-effective option does increase but only exceeds the probability of WCBT at around £55,000 per QALY. At a £20,000 threshold (commonly used in evaluations in England), WCBT is most likely to be cost-effective, followed by TAU and then TCBT.
Sensitivity analyses
After multiple imputation for missing EQ-5D-5L-based utility scores and costs it was found that TCBT had an ICER of £27,436 per QALY compared to TAU. WCBT resulted in an ICER of £17,388 per QALY. When therapy costs were reduced by 25% and 50% the ICERs from the healthcare perspective compared to TAU were reduced for both groups and the ICER for TCBT was now well below the £20,000 threshold (Table 6). When therapy costs were increased the WCBT option was still well below the £20,000 threshold.
Table 6
Sensitivity analyses based on different therapy costs.
|
Incremental costs and ICERs (£s) following reductions/increases in therapy costs
|
|
Therapy 50% less
|
Therapy 25% less
|
Base case
|
Therapy 25% more
|
Therapy 50% more
|
TCBT incremental cost
|
614
|
785
|
956
|
1126
|
1297
|
ICER
|
14,312
|
18,298
|
22,284
|
26,247
|
30,233
|
WCBT incremental cost
|
97
|
160
|
224
|
288
|
352
|
ICER
|
3345
|
5517
|
7724
|
9931
|
12,138
|
When the minimum wage was used to value informal care and lost work days, mean societal costs reduced to £2362 for TCBT, £1520 for WCBT and £2518 for TAU. After adjusting for baseline, TCBT had costs that were £45 higher than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, -£1145 to £1124) and WCBT had costs that were £389 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, £391 to £1283). When the cost of a homecare worker was used to value informal care, the mean societal costs were £3281 for TCBT, £2275 for WCBT and £5098 for TAU. After adjusting for baseline, TCBT had costs that were £1228 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, £1061 to £3917) and WCBT had costs that were £1241 lower than for TAU (bootstrapped 95% CI, £498 to £3351).