Viral genome sequencing data have been used to investigate viral transmission and factors associated with it, in a field known as ‘genomic epidemiology’ [18]. Several reports describe the use of genomic data to track viral transmission [19–21]. Many reports have described SARSCoV–2 genome variation and the use of complete genome data to track its transmission [8, 9, 22]. However, in the case of fasting and feasibility, using genomic regions that can identify viral clusters may be helpful to reveal patterns of epidemiology. In the current study four regions of the SARS-CoV–2 genome were sequenced to identify genetic variants.
In January and February 2020 the confirmed SARS-CoV–2 cases were identified as having been imported from China. Genetic variations of L and S types were identified during the early period of the outbreak in China [8]. One sample in the current study collected in January 2020 was closely related to the SARS-CoV–2 strain circulating in China at that time identified as type L.
The first outbreak in Thailand was evidently associated with a boxing stadium and entertainment venues in Bangkok during March 2020 [12]. All the samples associated with that outbreak analysed in the present study were type T. Type T branched off from type S, which originated from China, but type T has not been identified in other countries. This indicated local transmission in Bangkok. Interestingly, after the first outbreak in March 2020 type T was detected less frequently. This may have been a result of intervention policies such as mandatory closure of sporting and entertainment venues (Figure 1).
The mandatory closure of public places may help to control local transmission. Notably however, there were several cases of patients who had recently returned from outside of Thailand testing positive for SARS-CoV–2. They included multiple genetic variants such as types G1, G2 and O. In March 2020 the patients classified as imported cases—including returned travellers and the group who had undertaken a religious pilgrimage from the southern part of Thailand [23]—were identified as having type O. After the land border closure and suspension of all international flights, the number of cases decreased (Figure 1). These interventions may help to limit imported cases. A new cohort of imported cases identified in May 2020 included a group of migrant workers in the southern part of Thailand [24] with type G2 SARS-CoV–2. This indicated multiple introductions of SARS-CoV–2, and that there may be an outbreak in the southern part of Thailand.
In the current study no specific clinical signs were significantly associated with any specific SARS-CoV–2 types. Upper respiratory infection, fever, coughing, sore throat, and runny nose were the most common symptoms in COVID–19 patients, as has been frequently previously reported [25–28]. Clinical outcomes may associated with host factors such as age, lymphocytopenia, and cytokine responsiveness rather than SARS-CoV–2 genetic factors [29]. As at 22 May 2020 only one of the forty patients involved in the present study had been admitted to the ICU, and all had been discharged from hospital. In the 40 patients analysed in the present study the clinical course of COVID–19 was generally mild. The percentage of patients admitted to the ICU was 2.8%, the percentage with concurrent pneumonia was 22.2%, the percentage who were asymptomatic was 36.1%, and there were no fatalities, suggesting that SARS-CoV–2 does not usually lead to severe disease, unlike SARS-CoV and MERS [30, 31]. These clinical data are similar to reports derived from China in which approximately 80% of confirmed cases were considered mild, 15% of confirmed cases were diagnosed as severe with pneumonia, and approximately 5% were deemed critical cases [32].
The reported case-fatality rate of COVID–19 in Thailand (1.9%) is lower than that of SARS (22%) [30], as it is in several countries including Italy (9.3%), Iran (7.8%), Spain (6.2%), the UK (4.9%), the Netherlands (4.3%), France (4.2%), China (4.0%), and the USA (1.3%) [33]. Reports suggest that elderly COVID–19 patients are at higher risk of hospitalization, pulmonary complications, and death [25, 28, 34], as are elderly SARS and MERS patients [35, 36]. The multiple origins of SARS-CoV–2 transmission into Thailand identified in the current study via phylogenetic analysis are similar to the pattern identified in Shanghai [29].
In summary, in the present study SARS-CoV–2 tracking and sites of origin were investigated in Thailand via genetic analysis. Most patients exhibited mild febrile illness without sequelae, but multiple origins of SARS-CoV–2 were evident. Understanding viral genetic and transmission patterns may facilitate more accurate prediction of future trends, and assist the development of more informed intervention policies.