CA19-9 was an independent risk factor for RFS and OS
In Cohort 1, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates for CA19-9 (+) patients were 80.3%, 37.7%, and 34.4%, respectively, and were 90.3%, 62.7%, and 51.4%, respectively, for the CA19-9 (-) patients (Fig. 1a). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates for the CA19-9 (+) patients were 45.9%, 14.8%, and 13.1%, respectively, and were 67.1%, 40.4%, and 33.5%, respectively, for the CA19-9 (-) patients (Fig. 1b). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates for AFP (+) patients were 84.0%, 47.1%, and 38.3%, respectively, and were 94.2%, 72.4%, and 60.9%, respectively, for the AFP (-) patients (Fig. 1c). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for the AFP (+) patients were 54.9%, 29.1%, and 24.8%, respectively, and were 74.7%, 44.8%, and 37.4%, respectively, for the AFP (-) patients (Fig. 1d).
In multivariate analysis, tumor size > 5 cm, presence of MaVI, AFP > 20 ng/ml, and CA19-9 ≥ 39 U/ml were independent risk factors for RFS. Meanwhile, tumor size > 5 cm, presence of MaVI, AFP > 20 ng/ml, CA19-9 ≥ 39 U/ml, and albumin ≤ 35 g/L were independent risk factors for OS (Tables 1 and 2).
Table 1
Univariate and multivariate analysis for RFS in Cohort 1.
Recurrence-free Survival | Comparison | Univariate | Multivariate |
Variable | P-value | P-value | Hazard Ratio (95.0% CI) |
Gender | Male vs. female | 0.268 | | |
Age | ≤ 50 vs.>50 years | 0.957 | | |
Tumor size | ≤ 5 vs.>5 cm | < 0.001 | 0.001 | 1.569(1.204–2.045) |
number | Solitary vs. multiple | 0.075 | | |
MaVI | Yes vs. no | < 0.001 | 0.023 | 1.586(1.065–2.361) |
Differentiation | I/II/III/IV | 0.482 | | |
MiVI | Yes vs. no | 0.025 | | |
IHM | Yes vs. no | 0.022 | | |
Cirrhosis | Yes vs. no | 0.588 | | |
HBeAg | Yes vs. no | 0.142 | | |
PT | ≤ 11 vs.>11seconds | 0.338 | | |
AFP | ≤ 20 vs.>20 ng/mL | < 0.001 | 0.012 | 1.373(1.071–1.759) |
CA19-9 | ≥ 39 vs.<39 U/ml | < 0.001 | 0.014 | 1.507(1.087–2.091) |
ALT | ≤ 40 vs.>40 U/L | 0.046 | | |
AST | ≤ 40 vs.>40 U/L | < 0.001 | | |
Albumin | ≤ 35 vs.>35 g/L | 0.114 | | |
NLR | ≤ 5 vs. >5 | 0.019 | | |
PLR | ≤ 300 vs. >300 | 0.072 | | |
TB | ≤ 19 vs.>19 µmol/L | 0.975 | | |
ALP | ≤ 130 vs. >130 | 0.210 | | |
rGT | ≤ 60 vs.>60 U/L | < 0.001 | | |
HKLC | 0/1/2/3 | < 0.001 | NA | |
BCLC | A/B/C | < 0.001 | NA | |
Note: MaVI, Macroscopic Vascular Invasion. |
MiVI, Microscopic Vascular Invasion. |
IHM, Intrahepatic Metastasis. |
HBeAg, Hepatitis B virus e Antigen. |
PT, Prothrombin Time. |
AFP, α-fetoprotein. |
CA19-9, Carbohydrate Antigen 19 − 9. |
ALT, Alanine Aminotransferase. |
AST, Aspartate Aminotransferase. |
ALP, Alkaline Phosphatase. |
rGT, Gamma-glutamyl Transpeptidase. |
TB, Total Bilirubin. |
APRI, Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index. |
NLR, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio . |
PLR, Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio. |
NA, Not Applicable. |
Table 2
Univariate and multivariate analysis for OS in Cohort 1.
Overall Survival | Comparison | Univariate | Multivariate |
Variable | P-value | P-value | Hazard Ratio (95.0% CI) |
Gender | Male vs. female | 0.222 | | |
Age | ≤ 50 vs.>50 years | 0.246 | | |
Tumor size | ≤ 5 vs.>5 cm | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 1.931(1.430–2.607) |
Number | Solitary vs. multiple | 0.029 | | |
MaVI | Yes vs. no | < 0.001 | 0.003 | 1.871(1.230–2.847) |
Differentiation | I/II/III/IV | 0.216 | | |
MiVI | Yes vs. no | < 0.001 | | |
IHM | Yes vs. no | 0.002 | 0.009 | 1.483(1.104–1.992) |
Cirrhosis | Yes vs. no | 0.158 | | |
HBeAg | Yes vs. no | 0.798 | | |
PT | ≤ 11 vs.>11 seconds | 0.615 | | |
AFP | ≤ 20 vs.>20 ng/mL | < 0.001 | 0.003 | 1.558(1.163–2.089) |
CA19-9 | ≥ 39 vs.<39 U/ml | 0.001 | 0.007 | 1.646(1.146–2.366) |
ALT | ≤ 40 vs.>40 U/L | 0.142 | | |
AST | ≤ 40 vs.>40 U/L | < 0.001 | | |
NLR | ≤ 5 vs. >5 | < 0.001 | | |
PLR | ≤ 300 vs. >300 | 0.004 | 0.029 | 2.920(1.118–7.624) |
ALP | ≤ 130 vs. >30 | 0.026 | | |
Albumin | ≤ 35 vs.>35 g/L | 0.174 | | |
rGT | ≤ 60 vs.>60 U/L | < 0.001 | | |
TB | ≤ 19 vs.>19 µmol/L | 0.056 | | |
HKLC | 0/1/2/3 | 0.011 | NA | |
BCLC | A/B/C | < 0.001 | NA | |
Note: MaVI, Macroscopic Vascular Invasion. |
MiVI, Microscopic Vascular Invasion. |
IHM, Intrahepatic Metastasis. |
HBeAg, Hepatitis B virus e Antigen. |
PT, Prothrombin Time. |
AFP, α-fetoprotein. |
CA19-9, Carbohydrate Antigen 19 − 9. |
ALT, Alanine Aminotransferase. |
AST, Aspartate Aminotransferase. |
ALP, Alkaline Phosphatase. |
rGT, Gamma-glutamyl Transpeptidase. |
TB, Total Bilirubin. |
APRI, Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index. |
NLR, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio . |
PLR, Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio. |
NA, Not Applicable. |
Positive CA19-9 predicted worse prognosis in both AFP (+) and AFP (-) HCC patients
The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS for patients with CA19-9 (-) and AFP (-) were 95.4%, 74.5%, 61.4%, respectively, whereas they were 83.3%, 50.0%, and 45.8%, respectively, for patients with CA19-9 (+) and AFP (-) (p < 0.05, Fig. 1e). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for patients with CA19-9 (-) and AFP (-) were 77.1%, 47.1%, and 39.2%, respectively, whereas they were 45.8%, 20.8%, and 16.7%, respectively, in CA19-9 (+) and AFP (-) patients (p < 0.05, Fig. 1f). These results showed that CA19-9 (+) predicted worse OS and RFS in AFP (-) patients.
The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS for patients with CA19-9 (-) and AFP (+) were 84.7%, 52.8%, and 42.9%, respectively, and were 77.5%, 27.5%, and 22.5%, respectively, for patients with CA19-9 (+) and AFP (+) (p < 0.05, Fig. 1e). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for patients with CA19-9 (-) and AFP (+) were 58.9%, 34.4%, and 28.8%, respectively (p < 0.05, Fig. 1f), whereas they were 40.0%, 10.0%, and 7.5%, respectively, for patients with CA19-9 (+) and AFP (+) (p < 0.05, Fig. 1f). These results indicate that CA19-9 (+) predicted worse OS and RFS in AFP (+) patients. In summary, CA19-9 (+) predicted worse OS and RFS in both AFP (+) and AFP (-) HCC patients.
CA19-9 was associated with higher incidence of MaVI and a trend toward multiple tumors
CA19-9 was not associated with tumor size (6.1 ± 4.8 cm vs. 5.6 ± 3.8 cm, p = 0.404), MiVI (62.3% vs. 54.9%, p = 0.225) and AFP (5488.9 ± 28616.1 ng/ml vs. 5401.4 ± 40162.5 ng/ml, p = 0.987). However, CA19-9 was related to higher incidence of MaVI (23.0% vs. 7.2%, p = 0.002), and a trend toward more multiple tumors with marginal significance (23.0% vs. 13.8%, p = 0.068) (Table 3).
Table 3
Comparison of clinicopathological factors between patients with CA19-9 (+) and CA19-9 (-).
Cohort 1. Variable | CA 19 − 9 < 39 U/ml (n = 319) | CA 19 − 9 ≥ 39 U/ml (n = 61) | P-value |
Gender (Male/Female) | 255/64 (78.0%) | 48/13 (78.7%) | 0.824 |
Age (year) (Mean ± SD) | 55.4 ± 10.6 | 58.4 ± 10.4 | 0.048 |
Tumor size (Mean ± SD) | 5.6 ± 3.8 | 6.1 ± 4.8 | 0.404 |
Number (Solitary vs. multiple) | 275/44 (13.8%) | 47/14 (23.0%) | 0.068 |
MaVI (Yes vs. no) | 23/296 (7.2%) | 12/49 (23.0%) | 0.002 |
MiVI (Yes vs. no) | 175/144 (54.9%) | 38/22 (62.3%) | 0.225 |
IHM (Yes vs. no) | 111/208 (34.8%) | 24/36 (39.3%) | 0.440 |
AFP (ng/mL) (Mean ± SD) | 5401.4 ± 40162.5 | 5488.9 ± 28616.1 | 0.987 |
HBeAg(Yes vs. no) | 45/274 | 12/49 | 0.265 |
Cirrhosis (Yes vs. no) | 179/140 (56.1%) | 43/18 (70.5%) | 0.037 |
APRI (Mean ± SD) | 0.72 | 1.51.61 | P < 0.001 |
Ascites (Yes vs. no) | 32/287 | 7/54 | 0.733 |
rGT (Mean ± SD) | 81.4 ± 99.4 | 147.1 ± 162.4 | 0.003 |
ALP (Mean ± SD) | 95.7 ± 52.9 | 117.5 ± 70.2 | 0.006 |
ALT (U/L) (Mean ± SD) | 43.9 ± 59.5 | 75.4 ± 77.3 | 0.004 |
AST (U/L) (Mean ± SD) | 41.5 ± 46.0 | 75.1 ± 69.0 | < 0.001 |
PT (seconds) (Mean ± SD) | 11.3 ± 1.2 | 12.1 ± 1.0 | < 0.001 |
Albumin (g/L) (Mean ± SD) | 42.0 ± 5.3 | 39.8 ± 5.5 | 0.002 |
TB (µmol/L) (Mean ± SD) | 18.5 ± 9.8 | 26.4 ± 37.8 | 0.109 |
NLR (Mean ± SD) | 2.3 ± 1.5 | 2.1 ± 1.4 | 0.388 |
PLR (Mean ± SD) | 134.3 ± 368.7 | 95.5 ± 47.8 | 0.412 |
CA19-9 was associated with more severe liver cirrhosis and liver inflammation but not with systemic inflammation
Comparison of clinicopathological factors between CA19-9 (+) and CA19-9(-) patients revealed that CA19-9 (+) patients tend to be older (mean age: 58.4 ± 10.4 years vs. 55.4 ± 10.6 years, p = 0.048), have higher incidence of liver cirrhosis (70.5% vs. 56.1%, p = 0.037), higher APRI (1.53 ± 1.61 vs. 0.72 ± 0.96, p < 0.001), longer PT (12.1 ± 1.0 vs. 11.3 ± 1.2, p < 0.001), elevated ALT (75.4 ± 77.3 U/L vs. 43.9 ± 59.5 U/L, p = 0.004), elevated AST (75.1 ± 69.0 U/L vs. 41.5 ± 46.0 U/L, p < 0.001), increased rGT (147.1 ± 162.4 U/L vs. 81.4 ± 99.4 U/L, P = 0.003), higher level of ALP (117.5 ± 70.2 ng/ml vs. 95.7 ± 52.9 ng/ml, p = 0.006), and lower level of albumin (39.8 ± 5.5 g/L vs. 42.0 ± 5.3 g/L, p = 0.002) (Table 3). All the factors except MaVI are related to liver cirrhosis.
To exclude the confounding effect of MaVI, we excluded patients with MaVI. The results showed that CA19-9 was still correlated with liver cirrhosis, APRI, ALT, AST, rGT, ALP, and albumin (data not shown). Furthermore, multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9 (+) and MaVI (+) were both independent risk factors for RFS.
In the current study, CA19-9 was not correlated to NLR or PLR, indicating that CA19-9 was not correlated to systemic inflammation.
Immunohistochemical staining
To determine the source of CA19-9, we examined its expression in TMA samples of HCC patients. Immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 in both tumor tissue and non-tumor liver parenchyma specimens from HCC patients was also assessed. The results showed that none of the HCC tumor cells express CA19-9, and CA19-9 was expressed in non-tumor liver parenchyma in all patients.
Immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 in both tumor and non-tumor liver parenchyma samples from Cohort 3 revealed that CA19-9 was expressed in 64% (87/136) of ICC tumors and 4.4% (6/136) of non-tumor liver parenchyma. Serum CA19-9 was positive (≥ 39 U/ml) in 58.1% and negative (< 39 U/ml) in 41.9% of the patients with ICC. The results that immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 was positive only in 4.4% of ICCs indicate that serum CA19-9 mainly derives from the tumor tissue of patients with ICC, which is distinct from the dominant expression of CA19-9 in the background liver in HCC patients.