The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) is the only country to have conducted nuclear tests in the 21st century with six declared nuclear events in 2006, 2009, 2013, 2016 (January and September) and 2017. The size of the explosions has continuously increased to reach in September 2017 a body-wave magnitude (mb) of 6.1 recorded by worldwide distributed seismic stations (Table 1, Fig. 1a). This last event was located similarly to the others in the direct vicinity of the North Korean experimentation test site of Punggye-ri. It was strong enough to trigger a significant collapse of the Mantap mountain within a few minutes after its occurrence, as well as a dense and long-lasting near-by seismic activity (Pabian and Coblentz, 2018; Tian et al., 2018; Wang et al., 2018).
Table 1
Source parameters of the six North Korean nuclear tests (DPRK 1 to 6), and of the collapse that followed the last explosion, reported in the Reviewed Event Bulletin (REB) of the International Data Centre (IDC).
Event | Origin time | Latitude (°N) | Longitude (°E) | Depth (km) | mb |
DPRK 1 | 2006/10/09 01:35:27 | 41.3119 | 129.0189 | 0 | 4.1 |
DPRK 2 | 2009/05/25 00:54:42 | 41.3110 | 129.0464 | 0 | 4.5 |
DPRK 3 | 2013/02/12 02:57:50 | 41.3005 | 129.0652 | 0 | 4.9 |
DPRK 4 | 2016/01/06 01:30:00 | 41.3039 | 129.0481 | 0 | 4.8 |
DPRK 5 | 2016/09/09 00:30:00 | 41.2992 | 129.0491 | 0 | 5.1 |
DPRK 6 | 2017/09/03 03:30:01 | 41.3205 | 129.0349 | 0 | 6.1 |
Collapse | 2017/09/03 03:38:32 | 41.3206 | 129.0615 | 0 | 4.1 |
Figure 1 : The DPRK nuclear explosions: timeline (a) and observed waveforms at station MDJ, China, about 370 km away from the experimentation site (b, c). a) Time occurrence and corresponding body wave magnitudes (mb) reported by the IDC for the six nuclear tests between 2006 and 2017 in North Korea. The size of the stars is proportional to the magnitude mb of the events. b) Observed unfiltered velocity records on the vertical channel of station MDJ. The traces’ colors match those in a). The amplitude scaling for DPRK 1 to 5 is the same, and is different to the one for DPRK 6. c) Filtered (0.033–0.066 Hz) vertical velocity seismograms from b) for the six nuclear tests and for the collapse (purple) that immediately followed DPRK6 (orange). The traces are plotted with the same scale, except for DPRK6 whose amplitudes are divided by a factor of 10.
Figure 1 shows the seismic traces of the six DPRK nuclear tests recorded at the Chinese station MDJ, located at about 370 km to the north of the test site. The unfiltered seismograms (Fig. 1b) and the long period filtered data (Fig. 1c) of the six events show that their waveforms are highly correlated despite their size difference. This observation corroborates their similar source location and type. Moreover, even though the compressional waves (Pn and Pg phases) are very impulsive at station MDJ and there is a relative lack of shear (S) waves for all explosions, significant surface waves emitted by the events are clearly identified, such as the Rayleigh waves observed in Fig. 1b and c.
In the framework of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) verification, the national data centre (NDC) role is to rapidly detect and characterize any event of interest by using seismic, infrasound, hydroacoustic, and/or radionuclide records. For the seismic point of view, the need is linked to the rapid detection, location, and magnitude estimation of the event using seismic waveforms recorded at all distance ranges: from local to teleseismic (i.e., > 3000 km) including regional distances (i.e., < 2000 km). Source discrimination, meaning the capability to distinguish a natural tectonic earthquake from an anthropogenic event (i.e., explosion, mining activity, etc.) remains critical for the CTBT organisation and NDCs. Many studies done since the first nuclear tests conducted in the world in the second half of the 20th century proposed a variety of seismic discriminants. Nonetheless, a great majority of them are either empirically derived from, or relative to, other near-by explosions and earthquakes. Among them, one can cite the rapid mb:MS approach that helps differentiate seismic sources based on the specificities of the radiation of body and surface waves recorded at regional and teleseismic distances (Stevens and Day, 1985; Bonner et al., 2006; Russel, 2006). The P to S amplitude and spectral ratio calculated at regional and teleseismic distances, and in several frequency bands, can also be used (Walter et al., 1995; Kim et al., 2017). These very commonly considered methods were proposed based on the interpretation that an explosive mechanism predominantly emits compressional waves (P) and very limited shear (S) and surface waves. However, this representation is oversimplified for several past events, including the DPRK nuclear tests. Indeed, Fig. 1 illustrates that regional seismic records of explosions, especially high-yield and shallow sources, are complex and enriched not only in P-wave energy but also in surface waves. This leads to incorrect event discrimination for the DPRK explosions as their properties may not fit with generalized empirically screening laws (Fig. 2, Selby et al., 2012).
As opposed to these traditionally empirical approaches, it has been shown that seismic event discrimination could be obtained thanks to the use of a physics-based method describing the forces at play at the source. This one, based on seismic waveform inversion for the determination of the moment tensor, can indeed provide information about the sense of fault motion for the analysis of a given earthquake, or about the explosive degree of the origin for a natural or anthropic isotropic event (Vasco and Johnson, 1989; Teyssoneyre et al., 2002; Ford et al., 2009a; Guilhem and Walter, 2015).
In this paper, we show that moment tensor inversions can help NDCs to rapidly and automatically detect, locate, and provide full seismic source information (magnitude, mechanism), and thus be included in their near-real time operational procedures. Such approach is illustrated for the seismic monitoring of North Korea with an emphasis on superficial non-natural sources. With the use of a fixed grid of virtual sources covering a region of interest it becomes possible to propose a rapid tool for the seismic analyst. We show that the results obtained for the DPRK nuclear tests are in agreement with more refined inversions. Moreover, thanks to the thousands of moment tensor inversions computed per time step, this technique also provides some incomparable information relative to the uncertainties of the source derived from rapid waveform analysis.