Summary of findings
This single-center study investigated PICS occurrence in 20 patients who were hospitalized in the ICU for severe COVID-19 during the first wave of the pandemic in Tokyo. At 4 months after ICU discharge, the occurrence rates of physical, mental, and cognitive PICS were 78%, 45%, and 55%, respectively. Moreover, 80% and 40% of patients had at least one and all PICS components, respectively. At 6 months after ICU discharge, there was an improvement tendency in most questionnaire scores.
Comparison with other studies
To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the long-term outcomes (PICS occurrence) among COVID-19 survivors. Martillo et al. investigated COVID-19 survivors of the ICU at 1 month from hospital discharge to discover a 91% prevalence of overall PICS, which was predominated by physical impairments seen in 87% of the patients[6]. Mental and cognitive impairments were seen in 22% and 8% respectively. The overall prevalence of PICS and physical impairments was higher than our study, which may be because patients were evaluated briefly after hospital discharge. In contrast, three previous studies have investigated all three PICS components in a non-COVID population after at least 3 months of discharge. All three studies used different methods to assess each component. In these previous studies, physical impairments were investigated using the physical components of the 36-item Short Form (SF-36) [8], Katz Index of Independence in Activities of Daily Living [20], and Euro-QOL [21], with reported prevalence rates of 31%, 23%, and 42%, respectively. In the present study, we used the mMRC and PCFS since the mMRC is appropriate for assessing post-COVID breathing problems [2]; moreover, PCFS is valid for assessing mobility and the capability of usual activities [19]. Regarding the mental component, the SF-36 [8], Beck Depression Inventory-II [20], and combination of HADS and Post-Traumatic Stress Symptom-10 [21] were used, with prevalence rates of 15%, 33%, and 58%, respectively. We used the HADS and IES-R, which conform to the consensus of the Society of Critical Care Medicine [22] The use of HADS was consistent with the study by Maley et al. [21]; moreover, it may have attributed to the comparable occurrence rates of mental PICS. Finally, cognitive impairment was assessed using the Short Memory Questionnaire [8], Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status [20], and self-assessment questions [21], with prevalence rates of 37%, 37%, and 56%, respectively.
Among the three studies, the occurrence of at least one PICS domain ranged from 64–84%; moreover, the rates of having all three PICS types were 2%, 6%, and 33% in each study [7, 19, 20]. Our occurrence rates were most comparable with those reported by Maley et al. who studied the youngest patients (mean age: 59 years) and used the HADS and self-assessment questions for assessing mental and cognitive impairments [21]. Kawakami et al. reported a lower prevalence, which could be attributed to the authors comparing SF-36 scores with baseline scores that were reported by patients’ proxy recalling the status at 4 weeks before the acute illness. Additionally, Marra et al. excluded patients with preexisting physical, mental, and cognitive impairments, which could explain the lower PICS frequency. Contrastingly, our findings were based on one-point evaluation. However, none of our included patients had preexisting physical, mental, or cognitive impairments; moreover, the evaluations employed were suitable for assessing long-term consequences in ICU-treated COVID-19 survivors.
Mechanisms
The observed high PICS prevalence in COVID-19 survivors could be attributed to several reasons. First, we only included COVID-19 survivors. The included patients were overall younger than the general ICU-treated population [8, 23, 24]; moreover, patients with PICS impairments tended to use systemic steroids or benzodiazepines, which are known factors for mental and physical PICS [25]. Additionally, long-term health effects across all severities have been recognized in numerous COVID-19 survivors [2, 3]. Second, our patients were victims of a new and obscure disease and also a phenomenal pandemic. Media influence and COVID-19-related celebrity deaths may have triggered mental impairments in our patients [26]. Finally, our results were based on one-point evaluations and were not compared to the baseline status, which could have led to a higher prevalence.
Clinical implementations
We observed a high prevalence rate of PICS in COVID-19 survivors, which indicates the importance of acute follow-up for ICU patients. Our patients showed various long-term consequences; therefore, there is a need to evaluate all three domains to allow comprehensive care. Furthermore, although we did not observe significant differences, there were tendencies of more frequent use of systemic steroids and continuous benzodiazepine in each PICS subgroup compared with the corresponding non-PICS groups.
Given that the aforementioned drugs are known risk factors for PICS [25], physicians should acknowledge their long-term disadvantages in patients. Moreover, substituting either drug for another may be considered [27]. For instance, while steroid administration for COVID-19 is controversial, most studies have favored using interleukin-6 (IL-6) inhibitors [28]. Additionally, there is accumulating evidence regarding the effectiveness of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy for COVID-19 [29]. There is a need for more studies on both IL-6 and TNF inhibitors and their role in COVID-19; however, they may be an alternative for steroids and also protect against PICS development.
Limitations
This study had several limitations. First, this study was conducted by the ICU staff; therefore, 1- or 3-month post-ICU evaluation could not be performed owing to the heavy workload persistent during the pandemic. Second, we could not perform comparisons with the baseline status. Third, selection bias may have occurred since this was a mailed survey requiring responses from participants. Patients with severe impairments or illness were less likely to provide consent or responses to the survey. Fourth, this study had a small sample size and the 6-month survey response rate was low. Fifth, we could not perform statistical comparisons between the 4- and 6-month questionnaire results. Finally, the PICS definition remains unclear; moreover, our evaluation methods were limited to questionnaires answerable via postal mail. However, the mMRC was used in accordance with the study by Huang et al. [2]; furthermore, the PCFS is appropriate for physical PICS examination since it is mainly associated with the capability of mobility and usual activities [19]. Additionally, the usage of HADS and IES-R conformed with the consensus of the Society of Critical Care Medicine for evaluating mental PICS [22]. Our most significant limitation was that the evaluation of the cognitive component relied on self-assessment.