We present here the results of an enhanced TIS that incorporated testing of ocular Ct infection and serology alongside an assessment of clinical signs for active trachoma in four districts of Mozambique with persistent or recrudescent TF. We found that the three recrudescent districts now had prevalence of TF below the 5% threshold for discontinuation of MDA, while the remaining district, Inhassunge, had a TF prevalence ≥ 5%, confirming it as a district with persistent TF. Triangulation, through the collection and analysis of additional trachoma biomarkers, strengthened interpretation of these TF findings.32
During the most recent TSS in 2019 in Nacala-A-Velha, Mossuril, and Ilha Mozambique, TF prevalence ranged between 5.2% and 5.6% (Fig. 1). TF prevalence typically lags behind prevalence of ocular Ct infection,12 so TF prevalences > 5% in previous surveys might have been associated with little infection and may not have been responsive to further MDA. In Ilha Mozambique, we found TF prevalence well below the 5% WHO elimination threshold, reflecting the impact of further MDA of azithromycin. The observed ocular Ct infection prevalence (1.1%) was similar to those found in districts with TF < 5% in recent trachoma prevalence surveys in the Amhara Region of Ethiopia that measured ocular Ct infection using conjunctival swabs among children aged 1–5 years.33 Our estimated Pgp3 seroconversion rate (1.9 per 100 children per year) was also similar to a preliminary operational SCR threshold of 1.5 per 100 children per year found to correspond to a TF prevalence below 5% based on modeling of data from nine trachoma-endemic populations.18 These findings support the conclusion that MDA in this district can be discontinued. Continued MDA in Inhassunge is warranted, as the observed TF prevalence of 6.0% is supported by the ocular Ct infection and serology findings. In Mossuril and Nacala-A-Velha, based on current WHO guidelines (TF prevalence < 5%), MDA should be discontinued, yet the findings from these districts are unusual. In contrast to the typically observed lag, TF prevalences in these districts remain at similar levels to prevalences of ocular Ct infection. Operational prevalence thresholds for ocular Ct infection do not currently exist, and our findings here, including SCR estimates from younger age groups, will contribute to guidance development and ongoing work to identify serological thresholds for EUs.18,29 However, SCR estimates for these districts are well above the preliminary threshold, similar to the SCR observed in Inhassunge, and suggest ongoing community transmission of ocular Ct infection. Close follow-up of these populations, with an awareness that resuming antibiotic MDA may be required in the future, may be a rational approach.
Information on household water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) facilities is routinely collected by Tropical Data and, like the additional biomarkers, provides valuable context for understanding trachoma transmission in these settings.28 In place of the earlier improved or unimproved facility type classification,34 we classified reported household WASH conditions according to more recent service ladders.31 Towards measurement of Sustainable Development Goal global targets 6.2, 6.1, and 1.4, these updated classifications highlight the proportion of the population practicing open defecation, relying on surface water, or lacking basic hygiene facilities at home. The sanitation indicator is particularly useful for evaluating the E component of SAFE.4 Communities would benefit from trachoma control programs collaborating with relevant stakeholders to help end open defecation, as human feces is a breeding medium for the Musca sorbens fly, the putative mechanical vector of trachoma.35–37 Though we have not examined the relationship at an individual level in the current analysis, lack of access to sanitation and low sanitation coverage are established factors associated with trachoma,38–40 so the extent of open defecation in Inhassunge is a likely contributor to the persistent trachoma observed in this district. Ilha Mozambique, with the lowest prevalence of TF, ocular Ct infection, and seroprevalence, had a lower proportion of households with sanitation access than Nacala-A-Velha and Mossuril. Water availability is also related to trachoma,41,42 but earlier classifications of improved or unimproved water sources only reflected characteristics impacting water quality, rather than quantity.34 Service ladders now incorporate an indicator of availability based on collection time, but only among users of improved sources.31 Alongside service ladders, the presentation of collection time, independent of water source type (see Table S3 online) revealed differences in household water availability between districts and near exact concordance between reported drinking and washing water sources. The higher coverage of nearby water sources and likely greater availability of water for hygiene in Ilha Mozambique may balance out the impacts of open defecation, but a minimum sanitation threshold in Inhassunge does not appear to have been achieved. As per current WHO guidance, evidence suggests that F, E components of SAFE should be re-emphasized in all four district to strengthen delivery of WASH services, towards the aim of sustained elimination of active trachoma as a public health problem. Here we reported on drinking water, rather than washing water, sources and have included the standard service level ladders and information on collection time by district to facilitate conversation and coordination between the NTD program and WASH department towards alignment of activities.43
Here we have demonstrated the value of incorporating testing of ocular Ct infection and serology alongside clinical grading within routine trachoma prevalence surveys. An analysis of the costs for this activity, including collection and analysis of conjunctival swabs and dried blood spots, is forthcoming (Decker et al 2024). Ct infection results were pooled, preventing analysis by age or other subgroups, and our model for seroconversion assumed homogeneity of the rate over time and age. Despite these limitations, we have confirmed that ocular Ct infection is still present and Ct transmission is likely ongoing in three of these four districts, including where TF prevalence is below the 5% elimination threshold. Analysis of household water and sanitation data furthered our understanding of likely drivers of this ongoing trachoma transmission. Subsequent prevalence surveys will confirm the importance of the levels of infection observed in these settings.
Data availability
The datasets analyzed during the current study are not publicly available but are available from the corresponding author who will submit reasonable requests for permission from the Mozambique Ministry of Health.