Literature Search
The study selection PRISMA flow diagram is presented in Figure 1 [27]. Through the initial database search, 265 relevant studies were identified, from which 51 studies were removed as duplicates. From the remaining studies, 77 studies were considered irrelevant through title/abstract screening and 137 studies were assessed for eligibility through full text screening. According to the exclusion criteria, 125 studies were removed. From the remaining 12 studies, 10 studies met the inclusion criteria [28, 17, 29-36]. Regarding the two remaining studies, one article [37] was a letter to the Editor regarding the included study by Krüttgen et al, 2021 [31] and the other article [38] was an authors’ reply to this letter and provided additional information regarding the QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Rate for the aforementioned study and therefore was included in the meta-analysis. Finally, data regarding the use of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 assay from 11 studies were included in the present systematic review and meta-analysis [28, 17, 29-35, 38].
Characteristics and Quality Assessment of Included Studies
The main characteristics of the included studies are presented in Table 1. The studies were conducted in Spain [28], Greece [17, 34], Malaysia [29], Germany [31, 30], Bulgaria [32], Switzerland [36] and Belgium [35]. Regarding the study design, eight studies were cohorts [28, 17, 30, 31, 33-35]and two studies was case-controls [32, 36].
Α total of 1115 participants were enrolled in the above studies. The participants of the studies were not exclusively mRNA vaccinated immunocompetent adults, as some studies included also unvaccinated participants [17, 32], participants immunized against SARS-CoV-2 with other COVID-19 vaccines and immunocompromised patients [e.g. patients with chronic kidney disease including kidney transplant recipients [28], patients undergoing hemodialysis [28, 35] or peritoneal dialysis [28], patients under CD20 B-cell depleting therapy [36] and participants receiving anti-cancer treatments or mycophenolate mofetil [34]]. In the included studies, the number of immunocompetent mRNA-vaccinated participants whose SARS-CoV-2-specific T-cell response was evaluated with QFN-SARS-CoV-2 assay, varied ranging from 5-75 participants. In many included studies, these participants were Health Care Workers [30, 17, 32, 34, 31].
Regarding the type of mRNA vaccine, participants of studies were vaccinated with the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine [17, 34, 32, 29] participants from four studies were immunized with the Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine [30, 31] while in four studies participants were immunized with either one of the aforementioned vaccines [33, 28, 35, 36]. Most studies assessed the virus-specific T-cell response with the use of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter Pack (Ag1, Ag2) [17, 34, 32, 30, 31, 39, 28, 35, 36], while two studies used the Starter + Extended Pack (Ag1, Ag2 and Ag3) [33, 29]. In the study by Van Praet et al [35] the QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter Pack was used and the researchers provided the results from both Ag1 and Ag2 tubes, but separately. However, because at the timepoint we were interested in the QFN T-cell response to both Ags was similar, we decided to include the study and use the results from the Ag2 in the Meta-Analysis [35].
The CASP tools for cohort and case-control studies were used to assess the risk of bias of each of the included studies (Supplementary Tables 2 and 3). All studies fulfilled at least the 60% of criteria of each CASP scale and therefore were considered of “good quality”.
Results of Individual Studies and Syntheses
Τhe results of the included studies are separately reported for each timepoint after vaccination and according to the COVID-19 infection status of the participants (COVID-19-naïve or participants with Hybrid Immunity). Τhe results of the included studies and the results of the synthesis are presented in Figures 2-8.
T-cell response after the Second mRNA vaccine dose for COVID-19-naïve participants: £3 months
The Positivity Rate of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 in in immunocompetent COVID-19 naïve participants, £3 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose was reported in 8 studies [28, 29, 31, 30, 32, 33, 35, 36]. In these studies, the time interval between the completion of the two-dose mRNA vaccination regimen and the T-cell measurement ranged from 2 weeks to approximately three months (13 weeks). The pooled positivity rate (95% CI) at this timepoint from the second mRNA dose was estimated at 91% (88% - 95%). The studies with the greatest % weight was the study by Stieber et al (2023) (45.35%) and by Van Praet et al (2021) (27.05%) [33, 35] (Figure 2a). There was a statistically significant heterogeneity (Q = 42.29; I² = 83.4%; p-value < 0.001), therefore a Random-effects model was taken into consideration Based on the random effects model, the pooled positivity rate (95% CI) at £3 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose was estimated at 81% (71% - 92%) (Figure 2b).
To assess heterogeneity a leave-one-out analysis was performed. The study that influenced heterogeneity the most was the study by Krüttgen et al, (2021 & 2022) [31, 39]. When the analysis was repeated excluding this study, still based on the Random-Effects model, the pooled Positivity Rate (95% CI) £3 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose was 86% (76% - 95%). The heterogeneity was smaller than before but still statistically significant (Q= 28.54; I² = 79.0%; p-value < 0.001). After removing the study by Krüttgen et al (2021 & 2022) [31, 39] from the analysis, the study that influenced heterogeneity the most was the study by Arias-Cabrales et al, 2023 [28]. After removing both studies from the analysis, there was no heterogeneity (Q = 2.02; I² = 0.0%; p-value = 0.731). Based on the meta-analysis of the remaining studies, the pooled positivity rate (95% CI), at £3 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose was estimated at 88% (83% - 93%) (Figure 2c).
For this timepoint after the second dose, out of 188 vaccinees tested with QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter Pack (Ag1, Ag2), 149 were positive (79.3%), whereas out of 51 vaccinated individuals tested QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter plus Extended Pack (Ag1, Ag2, plus Ag3), 47 were positive (92.2%). The Positivity Rate of the assay differed statistically significantly between studies that used the Starter Pack and studies that used the Extended Pack (Fisher’s exact test, p-value = 0.039). Therefore, a stratified analysis by the type of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 assay (Starter or Starter plus Extended Pack) was conducted. The results of the Stratified analysis per type of assay are presented in Figure 3. The pooled Positivity Rate (95% CI) at £3 months from the second mRNA vaccine 76% (63% - 89%) for QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter Pack and 88% (83% - 93%) for QFN-SARS-CoV-2 Starter plus Extended Pack.
The funnel plot for the assessment of possible publication bias for £3months from the second mRNA vaccine dose, showed signs of possible publication bias (Figure 4). To address possible publication bias formally, Egger’s test was performed. The test confirmed that there are signs of publication bias (p-value = 0.017).
T-cell response after the Second mRNA vaccine dose for COVID-19-naïve participants: 3-6 months and >6 months
Two studies reported the Positivity Rate (95% CI) at 3-6 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose in COVID-19 naïve adults [28, 34]. The pooled Positivity Rate (95% CI) of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 at 3-6 months following the administration of the second dose was 59% (45% - 72%). There was no significant heterogeneity in the analysis (Q=1.45; I² =31.2%; p-value=0.228) (Figure 5).
Two studies reported the Positivity Rate (95% CI) at >6 months from the second dose [33, 29]. The pooled Positivity Rate (95% CI) at >6 months from the second mRNA vaccine dose was 79% (66% - 92%). There was no significant heterogeneity in the analysis (Q = 0.00; I² = 0.0%; p-value = 0.965) (Figure 6).
At £3 months after the administration of the second mRNA vaccine dose, a positive response was detected in 196 out of 239 individuals (82.0%), at 3-6 months 29 out of 51 individuals were positive (58.0%), while at >6 months 30 out of 38 individuals had a positive T-cell response (78.9%). The Positivity Rate differed statistically significantly between the three timepoints (Pearson’s chi-square test, p-value < 0.001).
T-cell response after the Third mRNA vaccine dose for COVID-19-naïve participants: ³3 months
Through the databases search, we identified three studies [17, 28, 29] that reported the Positivity Rates of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 after the administration of the third mRNA vaccine dose in COVID-19 naïve participants. Each of these studies belonged to a different Timepoint group [study [28]: 4 weeks after vaccination, study [17]: median (IQR) time from vaccination: 8.08 months (6.97−8.97), study [29]: 3 months post-booster]. Therefore, we conducted a metanalysis in the two of the tree studies categorizing them as ³3 months from vaccination [17, 29]. The pooled Positivity Rate (95% CI) of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 at ³3 months from the receipt of the third mRNA dose was 66% (50% - 82%). There was no significant heterogeneity between the two studies (Q = 2.95; I² = 66.1%; p-value = 0.086) (Figure 7).
T-cell response after the Third mRNA vaccine dose for participants with Hybrid Immunity: ³ 6 months
Among the included studies, we identified five studies that provided results regarding the Positivity Rate of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 for participants with Hybrid Immunity. From these studies, three studies [34, 31, 30] reported the Positivity Rates of the assays after the administration of the second mRNA vaccine dose, for a very limited number of convalescent participants (n£2), so the data for the Positivity Rates of QFN-SARS-CoV-2 were not considered for synthesis of results. The remaining two studies [17, 29] provided results for convalescents for ³6 months after the administration of the third mRNA vaccine dose [study [17]: median (IQR) time from vaccination: 9.55 (7.93−10.14) months, study [29]: 6 months post-booster]. For this specific timepoint, the Positivity Rate (95% CI) of the assay was 81% (67% - 92%). There was significant heterogeneity between these two studies (Q = 4.56; I² = 78.1%; p-value = 0.033) (Figure 8).