Clinical effect of atezolizumab and pembrolizumab in the early-stage TNBC setting has been found in phase III trials across PD-L1 status at SP142 IC 1% and 22C3 CPS 1 thresholds, respectively (7–9). To avoid treating the wrong patients with checkpoint inhibitors, a treatment with potential harmful side-effects, and to make it more efficient, it is of clinical interest to search for TNBC responders, and non-responders, in better defined SP142 and 22C3 categories. We therefore here evaluated alternative PD-L1 levels in a population-based cohort of 237 early-stage TNBC tumors by PD-L1 IHC staining using SP142 IC and 22C3 CPS. We defined an intermediate IHC PD-L1 group (SP142 IC > 0%, < 1%; 22C3 CPS > 0, <1) that also was supported by intermediate PD-L1 (CD274) gene expression levels. The intermediate IHC groups defined by both antibody assays tended to have better prognosis than the PD-L1-zero groups and showed a tendency to prognostically resemble the PD-L1-positive groups more.
Our prognostic findings were evident despite lower median TIL abundance in the intermediate groups than the positive groups, where TIL abundance in the PD-L1 intermediate subgroup was closer to that of the PD-L1-zero groups. This is particularly interesting given that TILs are known to be a strong positive prognostic marker in TNBC (17, 21) and might suggest that the prognostic value of PD-L1 reaches beyond the association with TILs. Indeed, we found that some PD-L1 IHC expression, even though it is < 1, has a tendency for association with positive prognostic impact. It might be relevant to search for early-stage TNBC non-responders to atezolizumab and pembrolizumab in the SP142 and 22C3 IHC zero category, respectively. Searching for potential atezolizumab responders in the SP142 intermediate group is relevant in the metastatic setting since the predictive value here is SP142 IC ≥ 1% (3, 6). Finding potential pembrolizumab responders in the 22C3 CPS > 0 but < 1 category in the metastatic setting is not relevant since the predictive threshold here is CPS ≥ 10 (4, 5).
We have previously reported that PD-L1 expression at more traditional thresholds (SP142 IC < 1% versus ≥ 1% and 22C3 CPS < 1 vs ≥ 1) did not remain independently positively prognostic when adjusting for TILs in multivariable regression analyses (19). This suggested that the positive prognostic impact of PD-L1 expression might depend upon the presence of TILs. In our current study based on the same cohort, we found that cases that were low in TILs and also expressed PD-L1 < 1 tended to have poorer prognosis than cases low in TILs with PD-L1 ≥ 1, despite these groups having similar TIL abundance. Again, this indicates that the prognostic impact of PD-L1 might reach beyond the association with TILs. It might be of interest in the metastatic setting to find potential responders to atezolizumab in this TIL-low/PD-L1 < 1 group with the poorest prognosis. For example, 16 of 60 patients in this group were SP142 PD-L1-intermediate and of interest to evaluate if they might be responders.
To investigate whether the TNBC tumors clustered with unique molecular signatures, we performed GEX subtyping according to Lehmann et al (13) and found that PD-L1 positive tumors were significantly more often subtyped as IM-high and BL1-high and PD-L1-zero tumors more often as LAR-high, M-high and MSL-high. It has previously been suggested that the transcripts in the IM subtype might be contributed from TILs rather than the tumor cells (22) and the finding of PD-L1 positivity being associated with the IM subtype might be explained by the positive association of PD-L1 and abundance of stromal TILs. Our results are in line with previous findings where PD-L1 positivity has been found to be associated with the IM subtype and the BL1 subtype found to be associated with higher rate of immune cell infiltrates. Similarly, the LAR subtype has previously been associated with lower rate of immune cell infiltrates and the M subtype has been found to be associated with absence of immune cells and low PD-L1 expression (23–25). We also found by using GSEA that PD-L1 positivity was associated with enrichment of immune- or inflammatory-related signaling pathways and pathways involved in cell cycle and proliferation. PD-L1 negative tumors on the other hand were associated with pathways involved in cell growth, differentation, migration and metastatic potential. There is an overlap between the TNBC molecular subtypes and GSEA where the IM subtype has been found to be characterized by expression of genes encoding cytokines and immune antigens, BL1 by expression of genes involved in the cell cycle and DNA damage response, LAR by androgen receptor signaling and the M subtype characterized by increased expression of genes involved in EMT and growth factor pathways (13, 22). Our results are consistent with this in the context of PD-L1 status and with previously reported correlation of PD-L1 expression in breast cancer with cytotoxic immune response genes and immune-related pathways and features (e.g. IFN-α, IFN-γ, STAT3 and TNFα) (26, 27). The positive correlation of PD-L1 and TIL abundance, and the observed association of PD-L1 positivity with the IM cluster and immune- or inflammatory-related pathways, is likely mediated through tumoricidal TILs who have previously been associated with mediators, e.g. IFN-γ, that induce PD-L1 upregulation (28). Indeed, we found that the IFN-γ response pathway was one of the most enriched in PD-L1 positive tumors. The observed positive prognostic value of PD-L1 may seem paradoxical in the light of its role in tumoral immune evasion and could be explained by that it may not be an isolated immunosuppressive process but reflecting an upregulation following an ongoing cytotoxic antitumor immune response (29, 30). The observed poorer prognosis of PD-L1 negative or TIL-low TNBC tumors might be mediated through tumor associated macrophages and immunosuppressive myeloid derived suppressor cells, which are tumor promoting and involved in therapeutic resistance, angiogenesis, secretion of immunosuppressive mediators, such as TGF-β, and in inducing EMT (31–33). This is consistent with our GEX findings in the PD-L1 negative tumors. An association of EMT and PD-L1 upregulation has previously been reported, which our results are not consistent with, but might be explained through the previously described complex bidirectional regulation between these factors leading in the end to tumoral immune evasion and invasion (33).
A major caveat of our study is the limited number of patients and events in each IHC PD-L1 category and the combined TIL/PD-L1 subgroups and our results should therefore be interpreted with precaution. Another limitation is the usage of TMA cores for PD-L1 evaluation which are smaller than clinical tumor samples. Moreover, our cohort consists of patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 and administered treatment to the patients did not include checkpoint inhibitors. Our findings should therefore be investigated further in biopsies of proper size and in a clinically representable larger cohort.
TNBC tumors with zero (SP142 IC 0%; 22C3 CPS 0) and intermediate (IC > 0%, < 1%; CPS > 0, <1) PD-L1 IHC expression are traditionally grouped together as PD-L1-negative (IC < 1%; CPS < 1). In summary, our study showed that TNBC tumors with intermediate IHC PD-L1 expression were also intermediate on the PD-L1 gene expression level, did not consequently categorize with PD-L1-zero tumors on the hierarcial clustering level and tended to have better prognosis than PDL1-zero patients. Together, this suggests that the IHC intermediate PD-L1 group seems to be supported on the molecular level and that slight PD-L1 IHC expression might have positive prognostic impact. Our findings warrant further investigation of the generally accepted threshold of PD-L1 positivity in TNBC and evaluation of the treatment predictive value at the zero cut-off level in the clinical setting, with the aim of attempting to identify potential checkpoint responders, and non-responders, among cases with IHC PD-L1 staining < 1.