This study presents a detectable viral load (> 40 copies per ml) rate of 17.9%. This proportion is higher than the set limit of 5% by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), which aims to end the consequences of HIV infection including transmission and deaths from Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) by 2030. Lack of prompt viral load assessment and knowledge on detectable viral load counters global initiatives such as the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets; where 95% of those who are HIV positive should know their status, 95% of those who know they are HIV infected should be on treatment and 95% of those on treatment should be virally suppressed. From the most recent national survey on HIV findings in Kenya15, 82.7% of Kenyan women aged between 15 to 64 years who tested positive to HIV already knew their status. Among these 96.6% were already on treatment while 90.4% of those on treatment had achieved viral load suppression. This implies that despite Kenya being on the path to achieving the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets, it is yet to achieve it. This study documents higher rates of detectable viral load at delivery on pregnant HIV infected women compared to NASCOPs finding on all women (irrespective of pregnancy status) as well as the 95-95-95 UNAIDS target.
Other studies that reported higher rates of detectable viral load levels at delivery were conducted in countries within the East African Community. In a cross-sectional baseline assessment was conducted in 35 provincial health zones within Kinshasa- the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), the proportion of detectable viral load at delivery was 52%16. Although both studies used a similar viral load cut-off (> 40 copies/ml), the study conducted in Kinshasa enrolled more participants (N = 1623) from multiple (n = 35) study sites compared to the 140 enrolled in a single site in the current study. This difference in study population and sample size could have a direct effect in the overall proportion of detectable viral load eventually reported, as the relationship could be confounded by more factors than those that could be witnessed in a single national referral hospital setting. In Rwanda, the authors17, reported a proportion of 47.8% which is higher than the current study. The difference between these two studies could be attributed to methodological variance. Our study collected samples at delivery, which is at the tail end of a pregnancy journey while in Rwanda17 it was from the beginning of third trimester (28 weeks) to delivery. Many women with detectable viral load at 28 weeks would have a lower or undetectable viral load if tested at delivery assuming satisfactory adherence to ART. Labor and delivery carries the highest risk of mother to child transmission, which advised the timing of viral load testing in this study. Secondly, the study in Rwanda used a lower threshold for detectable viral load of 20 copies per ml compared to our study of 40 copies per ml. In South Africa18, 22% of the 574 women enrolled and were on HAART, were found to have a detectable viral load a relatively comparable finding to our study. Higher proportions (36.4%) of detectable viral load at delivery were reported in a second study from South Africa19 conducted among 2769 HIV infected women delivering at four tertiary obstetric units in Gauteng –South Africa between June 2018 to March 2019. The study19 adopted a relatively higher viral load cut-off (> 50 copies/ml) compared to this current study (> 40 copies/ml). When a sub-analysis on the distribution of detectable viral loads in this study was done, of the 25/140 (17.9 %) who had etectable viral load, 3/25 (12%) of them had viral loads of between 41–50 copies/ml, hence were virally suppressed. Viral suppression has been defined by the World Health Organization currently as having less than 50 copies per ml20. 5/25 (20%) had low level viremia (between 51-1000 copies/ml), and the majority 17/25 (68%) had more than 1000 copies/ml. Focusing on viral copies of more than 1000/ml, studies21,22 have shown a reduction in mother to child transmission of HIV if delivery is done through pre labour caesarean section (Elective Caesarean) for women with a viral loads of more than 1000 copies/ml. This study found that almost all 16/17 (94%) of the participants who had a detectable viral load of more than 1000 copies/ml had a vaginal delivery. According to the Kenya ART guidelines14 at the time of this study, where available a pre labour caesarean delivery was recommended for women with viral load of > 1000 copies/ml. From the findings in this study, these women 16/17 (94%) had their infants exposed to an increased risk of intrapartum HIV vertical transmission that would have been reduced by Elective caesarean section.
The second major finding in this study was a statistically significant association between women presenting with a moderate or severe HAART related side effects and intrapartum detectable viral load. These women had a six-fold increased likelihood of presenting with detectable viral load at delivery. These findings suggests that there is need for additional effort to improve adherence counselling focusing on side effects to ART in this special sub-population of pregnant women who experience unique challenges of pregnancy, especially in clinical settings where both PMTCT and antenatal care services are integrated, as in our case at MTRH. The counselling offered should include ways of how to manage the side effects. It has been previously documented that ART related side effects have a negative effect on patient adherence to medications23,24. This finding is close to that reported in Rwanda17 where women who reported side effects had a higher likelihood of detectable viral load (OR = 2.63; 95% CI: 1.72, 4.03, p < 0.0001). Late diagnosis of HIV status and immunosuppression associated with pregnancy could explain the higher plasma viral load among this group of women.17,24,25 Many programs have been put in place to encourage HIV surveillance, early detection and prevention of mother to child transmission of HIV.3,26,27 Furthermore, women enrolled in this study presented with either stage I or II clinical staging of HIV according to the World Health Organization guidelines 20. Women who had stage II of the disease had a two-fold (OR = 2.400; 95% CI: 0.900, 6.401; p = 0.152) increased likelihood of having a detectable viral load compared to those with the first stage. Although this relationship was not statistically significant, a higher stage of the disease is often a result of the immune system’s inability to regulate viral replication, hence a higher plasma viral load finding.1,28
Women who are consistent with their overall HIV comprehensive care will have their regimen promptly changed when indicated to improve the clinical outcome, in the event of a treatment failure due to drug resistance. In this study, women who had never had a HAART regimen change, had an increased likelihood (OR = 1.583; 95% CI: 0.579, 4.330) of presenting with a detectable viral load compared to those who had their regimen changed at any point of their HIV treatment period. This lack of change could be attributed to either recent treatment initiation or hence a short duration of HAART use to warrant any change.29–31
Lack of partner disclosure of HIV status increased the likelihood of a woman presenting with a detectable viral load at the point of delivery, however, this relationship was not statistically significant. Contrasting findings were reported in Rwanda17 where women who had not disclosed their HIV status to their sexual partners were two times (OR = 2.11; 95% CI: 1.51, 2.95) significantly (p < 0.001) more likely to have a detectable viral load. Similarly, lack of HIV disclosure significantly increased the likelihood of detectable viral load in a study conducted in Kinshasa- Democratic Republic of Congo.32 Partner disclosure has a direct impact on HAART compliance which by extension increases the risk of treatment failure33.
In a study conducted in Kenya’s Busia County34, majority of the patients with treatment resistance were on TDF + 3TC + EFV regimen. Although majority of the patients on HAART in both this study and in the country were on this regimen, both the current study and the one conducted in Busia still reported a higher treatment failure rate for this cohort of HIV infected patients. This creates a need for routine HAART resistance testing to improve treatment outcomes. Additionally, there is need to initiate women on HAART prior to conception because of its multiple benefits. The HAART regimen should be chosen based on the woman’s pregnancy related issues, treatment tolerance as well as prior information on adherence to treatment so as to ensure continuity between pre-conception and prenatal care33,35 These medications provide additional benefit by protecting male partner in the conception attempt. The authors6 reported no perinatal transmissions in women who received preconception ART, continued throughout pregnancy and delivered with viral load of < 50 copies/ml.
In this study, when duration of HAART use was stratified, women who had been on HAART for not more than three years had an increased likelihood (OR = 1.773; 95% CI: 0.712, 4.413; p = 0.239) of presenting with detectable viral load compared to those who had been on treatment of more than three years. Although the current study did not find any statistically significant association between duration of HAART use and presenting with a detectable viral load at the time of delivery, this finding matches a retrospective study conducted among 707 women in Brazil36 enrolled between 1996 to 2006 where there was a significantly increased likelihood of detectable viral load among the women who had been on HAART for less than 12 weeks and presenting with a detectable viral load (OR = 2.51; 95% 1.72, 3.65). In Gauteng-South Africa19, there was a four-fold (OR = 4.11; 95% CI: 2.20, 7.66) increased likelihood of detectable viral load among expectant women who had a shorter duration (< 3 months) of HAART use compared to their counterparts who had been on HAART for 3 or more months. In Kinshasa- Congo32, women who had been on HAART for at least 12 months were more likely to have viral load suppression compared to their counterparts who had used antiretroviral for a shorter duration. The longer the duration of HAART use the greater the likelihood of viral suppression. However, prolonged HAART use (greater than 3 years) predisposes the women to HAART resistance, which could counter the intended benefit of viral suppression. These women have been reported to have a detectable late pregnancy (> 28 weeks) viral load17. In Benin37, women who did not have impaired HAART adherence were less likely to have a detectable viral load. The authors further noted that the probability of an undetectable plasma viral load was four times higher among those who had been on treatment for 8 weeks or more. These long durations could only be feasible if the treatment was initiated before 28 weeks of gestational37. In the United Kingdom, the authors38 reported that women with viral loads above 10,000 copies/ml at initiation of treatment, the probability of achieving undetectable viral loads (< 50copies/ml) was reduced by initiating HAART after 20.4 weeks gestation. Finally, this was a hospital-based study and findings may not be generalized to the entire population