Connectivity Relative Presence correlation (CRPc) was used as a proxy to represent the species success based on the connectivity degree between patches. More than half of the selected species in the wet meadow suffered from fragmentation due to lack of connectivity between patches (positive CRPc), i.e. were less successful in more isolated patches (Table S4). The rest of the species were not significantly affected. Interestingly, no species displayed negative CRPc, i.e. was affected positively by less connectivity. Our findings are similar to those of Aguilar et al. (2006) which also showed a negative effect of habitat fragmentation on plant reproduction in grassland biome. Similarly, comparison of recent data with historical ones, in Estonian grasslands showed a loss of 29% of species populations, corresponding to an average loss of 21% of the studied species per site (Saar et al. 2012). Another finding showed that in less connected fragments, in open areas of gypsum habitats, the studied species had significantly less viable seeds and a lower seed set (Matesanz et al. 2015). However, fragmentation has not always consistently yielded adverse outcomes; for example, in fragmented Scandinavian agricultural areas, low degree of connectivity did not influence the seed set of Viscaria vulgaris, which was pollinated by bumblebees (Nielsen and Ims 2000). Other instances where plant species exhibited a favourable reaction to fragmentation, primarily involved tree species (e.g. Ballal et al. 1994; Smith-Ramírez et al. 2007). Consequently, considering different types of pollinator groups and vectors could help to shed more light on species-specific extinction risks of particular plants.
The results of Conditional Permutation Importance were quite consistent between the two models (Fig. 2a, Fig. 2b). Floral colour appeared as the most important predictor trait in both importance models (Fig. 2). The role of corolla colour in plants is connected to the effective attraction of suitable pollen vectors (Fenster et al. 2004; Briscoe and Chittka 2001; Chittka et al. 1994). More particularly, the species less affected by lack of connectivity belonged to the “UV, yellow/bright” flower colour group, displaying a “human yellow” or “UV-green” bee colour (Chittka et al. 1994) (Fig. 3a). This group included all four species from the genus Ranunculus sp. (buttercup) in the studied community assemblage, namely: Ranunculus acris, R. auricomus, R. flammula, R. repens, as well as the species Tephroseris crispa, Hypericum maculatum, Crepis paludosa, and Potentilla erecta (Fig. S2). This result emphasizes the importance of UV floral colour reflectance for pollinator attraction (Briscoe and Chittka 2001; Klomberg at al. 2019) which is highly visible to all pollinators (Briscoe and Chittka 2001), particularly to bees (Chittka et al. 1994). Moreover, especially buttercups’ flowers (Ranunculus sp.) hold cells with special structural patterns which act as strong diffuse reflectors and give them an extra glossy display (van der Kooi et al. 2017). This, in combination to UV reflectance, probably contributes to higher visitation rates and successful reproduction. On the contrary, species with “yellow, white/non-bright” and “dark red /non-bright” flower colour represented the least successful species in isolated patches (Fig. 3a). It seems that brightness, the sum of the flowers reflecting frequencies (e.g. Athira et al. 2019), plays an important role in attracting pollinators, and thus, in the success of plant species in the non-well connected fragments.
Flowering duration was the second most important trait in predicting species success in less connected patches (Fig. 2). More specifically, species with a two-month flowering period showed higher CRPc (lower success) compared to species with longer flowering period, from 3 to 5 flowering months, which exhibited similar success rates (Fig. 3b). Similarly, Janečková et al. (2017) found higher relative frequencies of species displaying longer flowering phenology in isolated meadows compared to more connected ones, studying the flora in the same study area. A longer duration of flowering phenology has previously been associated with higher probabilities for pollination success (Olesen et al. 2008) and increased interaction strengths (Encinas-Viso et al. 2012), though not specifically in fragmented habitats. It seems that wet meadow species invest in long temporal niches in order to overlap with larger assemblages of pollinators and assure higher reproductive success and temporal niche aggregation strategies are preferred whereas, specialised short temporal phenologies, which would target specific pollinators, are likely avoided.
The third most important selected trait was rewards accessibility, which was a quite strong predictor (Fig. 2). More particularly, species holding flowers with easy access to both rewards (nectar and pollen), presented considerably lower CRPc than species with easy access to only one reward, whereas species with both rewards hidden, presented even higher CRPc than the above values (Fig. 3c). Species with nectar guides present, and high amounts of nectar per individual plant presented high CRPc values (Fig. 3d, e). This, in combination with the low success of species with hidden rewards, indicates that phenotypically specialised species are more vulnerable than phenotypically generalised species. Contrary to theories on resource importance for species persistence (Kunin 1997; Minckley and Roulston 2006), resources for pollinators, i.e. nectar production per plant, did not drive plant species success in the wet meadows assembly. Possibly for plants to ensure higher reproductive success, easily accessible rewards seems to be preferable, addressing to a large pollinator spectrum, such as hoverflies and other taxa of flies with short proboscises, which were the most frequent visitors in our study (Table S2).
We found marginally weak but still important evidence for the susceptibility of interaction specialists compared to that of generalists in the fragmented habitats (Fig. 2). This is contrasting to previous results of Aizen et al. (2002) and Aguilar et al. (2006), which showed no difference between specialised and generalised species in fragmented habitats (reviewed in Ashworth et al. 2004). Specifically, species visited by less than three pollinator functional groups presented higher CRPc than species visited by four to eight groups which depicted constantly higher success (Fig. 3f). Our results corroborate other studies, in which specialised species were found to be more easily lost in smaller fragments (Aizen et al. 2012; Burkle and Knight 2012), and where, overall, species interactions were found to be more negatively affected in smaller fragments than in larger ones (Sabatino et al. 2010; Aizen et al. 2012; Burkle and Knight 2012). It is worth noting that, although the number of pollinator functional groups predicted species success, primary pollinator identity did not show any particular trend. A possible explanation is that the majority of plant species’ flowers in the local community of wet meadows are accessible to the majority of pollinator functional groups, i.e. they are relatively generalists, and that visitation rates play a more important role than species trait matching. Dichogamy was one of the weakest predictor traits revealing more homogamous species to hold higher CRPc values (Fig. 2, Fig. 3g). Dichogamy is the temporal separation of pollen presentation and stigma receptivity within and between flowers on a plant (Cruden and Hermann-Parker 1977). The presence of homogamous breeding strategies can have adverse consequences on gene flow and result in worse thriving in the next generations.
All the above considered, the wet meadow successful species select for less specialised life-history, interaction, and floral phenotypic trends. This is in accordance with the general notion that generalised species can survive better in fragmented habitats (Steffan-Dewenter et al. 2006; Aguilar and Galetto 2004; Fischer and Lindenmayer 2007). The specialist species susceptibility is mainly attributed to the narrow range of pollinators addressed by plants, which can be even more constrained in small fragments (e.g. Aizen et al. 2002; Bond 1994). Our study represents a large-scale landscape investigation examining plant species-specific relative success in response to fragmentation via reproductive success and pollination-related traits and their particular importance. We suggest that combinations of carefully chosen trait guilds are required to reveal the underlying mechanisms of a species’ ability to persist under risky conditions such as in small, not well-connected patches of suitable vegetation. As it was stressed before, it is unlikely to unravel species susceptibility regarding reproductive declines withoutcombining ecological data along with a suite of particular traits (Aizen et al. 2002).