This study aimed to assess the relationship between endometrial thickness (EMT) on the day of hCG injection and reproductive outcomes in patients undergoing ovulation induction with clomiphene citrate (CC) combined with intrauterine insemination (IUI). Our results demonstrate that an optimal EMT of 8–9 mm is associated with significantly higher clinical pregnancy and live birth rates, suggesting that EMT could be a useful biomarker for assessing uterine receptivity in CC + IUI cycles, despite its moderate predictive accuracy (sensitivity of 49.4% and specificity of 55.3%)(Fig. 1)(14, 15). The mean EMT in cases achieving clinical pregnancy was 8.38 mm, which aligns with previous research indicating better reproductive outcomes within this range(16, 17).
As various factors affect endometrial receptivity and thus treatment outcome, the prognostic value of EMT for achieving clinical pregnancy and live birth is controversial. Studies have shown mixed results; for instance, Kolibianakis et al. found no significant difference in EMT between women who achieved ongoing pregnancy and those who did not (7.6 ± 0.3 vs. 7.6 ± 0.2; P = 0.7)(18). Similarly, Masrour et al. and Liu et al. reported no predictive value of EMT for endometrial receptivity(19, 20). A systematic review and meta-analysis, which included 3846 women, also found no association between EMT and pregnancy rates, although the studies included were of low to moderate quality(21). Furthermore, more recent studies, such as Quass et al. and Mehrjerd et al., have reported no significant relationship between EMT and reproductive outcomes, although some findings suggested higher live birth rates with increasing EMT(22, 23).
Our study observed that pregnancy rates were higher at EMT values of 8–9 mm, potentially due to the anti-estrogenic effects of CC on the endometrium and cervical mucus, which are known to impact conception rates(24–26). This is consistent with the literature, where lower EMT values in CC cycles are often associated with higher pregnancy rates compared to COH-IUI or IVF-ET cycles(27, 28). Despite this, some studies have reported high pregnancy rates even with EMT as low as 5–6 mm(22).
Additionally, our study found a negative correlation between female age and pregnancy outcome, which is consistent with findings by Ghosh et al. and Esmailzadeh et al., who reported lower pregnancy rates in women over 30 (17, 29). The adverse effect of age on treatment outcomes is likely due to factors such as follicular depletion, decreased oocyte quality, and increased aneuploidy rates (30, 31).
Finally, our study highlighted that shorter infertility duration was associated with higher clinical pregnancy rates, which aligns with other studies reporting similar findings (32, 33). However, there is no consensus on the ideal duration of infertility for achieving favorable outcomes during treatment cycles.
4.1.Strenghts and limitations
To the best of our knowledges, this study is one of the largest retrospective study which is searching only CC-IUI from the assisted reproductive technique. In addition, one of the strongest aspects of this study is that it is one of the few studies that tried to find a threshold value for EMT on the day of the hCG trigger in infertile couples who underwent CC-IUI and also gave concretely viable pregnancy and spontaneous abortion rates according to the threshold value. Inclusion of only those with unexplained infertility and WHO category 2 normogonodotropic anovulatory patients in the study resulted in a more homogeneous patient group.
There are also many limitations of this study. One of these limitations is the retrospective design. Apart from this, although this study has a sufficient sample size to give an EMT threshold value, the low sensitivity and specificity of the threshold value obtained indicate that prospective studies with larger sample sizes are needed to give a threshold value with higher sensitivity and specificity. In addition, ultrasound measurements are inherently subjective even though the technique is standardized across the reproductive endocrinology clinics as mentioned in the method section. Among the possible limitations of the present study, we can mention that the endometrial pattern was not noted in the medical records of the patients, so it was not given by this study. Another limitation of this study was that endometrial thickness was not measured in 2–3 day cycles. Perhaps midcycle endometrial thickness is related to early follicular phase thickness.