Design & Randomization
This study uses a parallel 2-arm, hybrid type 1 (effectiveness/implementation) cluster randomized controlled trial design. The two arms are ESDM and EBI. We will recruit a multilevel sample (Fig. 2), including 20 CBAs, 20 regional managers, 100 Regional Teams (program supervisor and technicians: average of 1 supervisor and 2 technicians per team) and 300 child/caregiver dyads (2–4 per team). Regional Managers from participating regions will complete baseline and follow-up surveys and semi-structured interviews. We will recruit as many supervisors per region as possible with an expected mean of 5 per region. We will recruit as many technicians per region as possible, with replacement to account for high turnover, with an expected mean of 2 per supervisor.
CBAs throughout the US will be recruited, through emails, presentations at conferences and social media, to increase diversity and generalizability. Interested CBA leaders will be invited to meet with the study team. Those CBAs expressing interest and meeting inclusion criteria (see below) will be enrolled in the study. The randomization unit is by region. Within each CBA, regions will be randomized to either receive training in ESDM or continue usual early behavioral intervention (EBI). We chose to randomize at the region level to prevent potential contamination across providers and children, as our community partners indicated that children often receive treatment from multiple providers within a region. Using covariate constrained randomization, regions will be randomized so each CBA is represented in both ESDM and EBI. The variables considered in the constrained randomization include insurance mix (proportion of clients with Medicaid < 0.5 or ≥ 0.5) and size (number of autistic children under age 5 < 20 or ≥ 20). The statistical consultant with generate the randomization and reveal to the appropriate members of the study team. Members of the study team involved in assessments will remain unaware of the intervention assignment.
A cascading recruitment strategy will be used to first recruit agencies and then supervisors within participating regions. Supervisors will then recruit children and families and the technicians working with those children. Recruitment at each level will be facilitated through videos and handouts explaining the study and the processes. The research team will present to interested supervisors at team meetings. Supervisors will receive a handout and link to a video to share with technicians and families. Interested technicians and families will set up a time to talk with the research team about the study to determine interest.
This study was approved by the institutional review board at the University of California, Davis, protocol number 203076-2. This study is funded by the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH; R01MH131703 and supported by the MIND Institute Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research Center (IDDRC) funded by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD; P50 HD103526).
Participants
Community-Based Agencies. Eligibility criteria for autism CBA include: (a) serve at least 10 children on the autism spectrum under age 5 annually; (2) have at least 2 regions that can be randomized, and (3) accept Medicaid or equivalent payment (e.g., funding for low-income families through public service systems).
Supervisor Participants. Supervisors will be recruited from enrolled agencies. To be eligible, supervisors must plan to be employed by the agency for at least 12 months, supervise programs for autistic children under age 5, supervise at least two technicians and have not had previous ESDM training.
Technician Participants. Technicians supervised by a participating supervisor and working with an enrolled child/family will be recruited. Inclusion criteria include planning to be employed at the agency for at least 12 months and have not had previous ESDM training.
Child / Family participants. All child clients meeting eligibility criteria with a participating supervisor will be referred to the study and randomly selected for recruitment by the research team, with an expected average of 3 (range 2–4) per supervisor. Inclusion criteria include being under age 4 at program entry, having a current diagnosis of autism or being served by the agency due to high likelihood of autism. The family must speak English or Spanish and plan to receive intervention for at least 7 months. We will confirm autism diagnosis through record review. Payors typically require that children enter treatment with a cognitive assessment and an Autism Diagnostic Observation Scale (ADOS-2).[83] For children under three who do not have a confirmed autism diagnosis we will complete the Telemedicine-based Autism Evaluation Tool for Toddlers and Young Children (TELE-ASD-PEDS)[84] found to be feasible and effective at assessing autism over telehealth.[85, 86]
Clinical Intervention and Community Training
Clinical Intervention.
Treatment will be conducted in the community context of the CBAs serving autistic children under age 5. They accept payment through insurance (public or private) or contracts with public agencies (e.g., Department of Developmental Services). CBA structure typically involves treatment teams that include a supervising clinician with a Master’s degree and credentials such as a BCBA, and 2–10 technicians. Supervisors conduct assessments, develop, and monitor treatment programs, provide caregiver coaching, and train and supervise technicians. Technicians have approximately 40 hours of training in autism treatment and standardized supervision based on payor and board requirements; they conduct 1:1 intervention sessions with the child. Treatment intensity varies based on child need, family preference and payor requirements; however, most agencies provide 10–30 hours per child per week of intervention which has been shown to be effective for this age group.[87]
Early Start Denver Model (ESDM). The Early Start Denver Model[75, 88] focuses on teaching inside children’s play and care activities, carried out within a joint activity structure.[89] Adults follow children’s leads into activities, embed teaching objectives inside the activity, use the play or child’s activity goal as the reward, and build targeted skills by applying ESDM teaching strategies from developmental science and ABA principles. ESDM uses a developmental curriculum that defines the skills to be taught in each area of development based on each child’s strengths and needs. Core features of ESDM include child preferred materials and activities, use of both developmental strategies and naturalistic ABA strategies, a focus on teaching developmentally appropriate, well-generalized functional skills, caregiver involvement, and a focus on positive social interactions embedded within everyday activities. ESDM uses decision trees to determine when and how to vary the primary, child-centered teaching practices to assure child progress. ESDM Fidelity Tools measure the quality of implementation (see below). Providers in regions randomized to ESDM will receive ESDM training as described below.
Usual Early Behavioral Intervention (EBI). Treatment as usual will vary based on the agency. However, a majority of CBAs use Discrete Trial Teaching (DTT) based on the Lovaas model.[19] DTT involves 10 components described in numerous research publications[90]: capturing child physical and visual attention, adult presentation of the stimuli and instruction (antecedent), child behavior, adult reinforcement, correction procedures, 3–5 second interstimulus interval between trials, behavior-specific praise, and data recording. The use of DTT and NDBI strategies will be measured across both groups (see below) to characterize interventions delivered. Providers in regions randomized to continue EBI will continue service as usual.
Caregiver participation. Most CBAs include caregivers in some way because caregiver involvement is required by most funders. Providers in the EBI group will work with parents as usual. Providers in the ESDM condition will receive training in ESDM caregiver coaching strategies and will be asked to conduct caregiver coaching in the strategies at least monthly. Providers in the ESDM group will have training in use of “Help is in Your Hands” (HIIYH; www.helpisinyourhands.org), an online program for parents that includes 4 modules focused on video examples of families using the strategies during daily routines. Modules cover: (1) Increasing Children’s Attention to People; (2) Increasing Children’s Communication; (3) Creating Joint Activity Routines; (4) ABCs of learning. HIIYH includes the core elements of ESDM which align with the 11 essential common elements shared across NDBIs.
CBA Provider Training.
Working with our CBA partners, we determined that the best training approach for this trial would be using our experienced ESDM trainers to train CBA supervisors using a combination of synchronous and asynchronous methods. Trainer fidelity to the training model will be tracked. Technicians will receive asynchronous didactic trainings combined with coaching and feedback from their CBA supervisors (who will receive support from the project ESDM team).
Supervisor Training. Training will begin with a series of asynchronous, interactive (e.g., quizzes and activities), web-based lessons, followed by online coaching of supervisors by the project team through video review of their ESDM implementation and both technician and caregiver coaching. Supervisors will be trained to fidelity in all aspects of the ESDM model: assessment, goal development, data collection and intervention strategies. They will be trained to fidelity in ESDM coaching strategies to be used with both caregivers and technicians. Supervisors will use on-line ESDM parent training videos, Help is in Your Hands (HIIYH), and the ESDM caregiver manual[91] for caregiver coaching. After reaching ESDM fidelity with their trainer, supervisors will attend several web-based monthly peer supervision meetings with other participating supervisors that will include ongoing fidelity checks, to assure their continued development of ESDM delivery skills (see Table 1).
Table 1
Structure of the Early Start Denver Model (ESDM) Training Plan
Overview | Content & Format | Hours |
ESDM Training for Supervisors |
What is the Early Start Denver Model | Introduction to ESDM theory and strategies, curriculum checklist, goal development, data collection. Format: asynchronous, interactive, video examples | 2.5 |
ESDM Techniques and Strategies | Integrating joint activity routines. How to design and conduct an ESDM session; joint activity routines Format: asynchronous, interactive, video examples | 2.5 |
Implementing Joint Activity Routines | Provider practices ESDM strategies (following child interest; sensitivity, themes etc.). Format: synchronous group video review | 2* |
Developing intervention plans | Using the ESDM Curriculum checklist for assessing learning strengths and needs. Using the checklist to create an intervention plan. | 3 |
Practice assessment and plan development | Practice conducting and coding curriculum checklist with feedback and developing goals until fidelity is met. Format: group video review, document review | 2* |
ESDM Coaching | Coaching during ESDM sessions until ESDM Fidelity is met. Format: Synchronous or video review | 2* |
Adult learning and providing coaching | Adult learning strategies to support successful coaching of technicians and caregivers in ESDM. Format: asynchronous | 1 |
Practice with technician coaching | Using strategies to coach technicians | 1* |
Caregiver Coaching | Introduction to caregiver coaching strategies incorporating Help is in Your Hands Modules. Session preparation; collaborative coaching Format: asynchronous, interactive, video examples | 7 |
Caregiver Coaching Feedback | Review of goal development and documentation; fidelity; Review of provider coaching caregiver sessions with ESDM trainer until fidelity is met. Format: Group video review | 12* |
Monthly Learning Collaborative | ESDM trainers host monthly learning collaborative for supervisors; Participants will provide case presentation, code ESDM fidelity and discuss challenges and successes. | 1 mo |
ESDM Training for Technicians |
ESDM Introduction for Practice | Introduction to ESDM strategies and data collection. Format is asynchronous and includes interactive components and video examples. | 2 |
ESDM Intervention Training | Technicians will receive coaching and feedback from supervisors in accordance with the timing of training at their agency. | varies |
Just-in-Time (JIT) Micro Trainings | Access to JIT video modules (2–5 min) featuring ESDM examples matching age and goals of their current children. Modules can be viewed prior to treatment sessions to increase fidelity. Supervisors will assign at least 1 module per week for the first 8 weeks of training. | varies |
*additional coaching provided as needed to meet fidelity |
<insert Table 1 about here>
Technician Training. Technicians will complete asynchronous didactic training that includes an introduction to ESDM principles, strategies, and data collection. Supervisors will coach them in use of ESDM strategies using their agencies’ supervision model. Technicians will also view just-in-time (JIT) microlearning modules: specific 3 to 5-minute lessons featuring a child of similar age, skill level and goals, just prior to an intervention session. Using JIT microlearning is an effective way to teach complex strategies.[92, 93] JIT learning provides immediate information when it is needed by delivering content in manageable units that fit technicians’ clinical schedules. Each JIT microlearning provides ideas for learning activities to teach a specific goal and brief information about how autistic children learn. A library of JIT videos will be made available and assigned to technicians by their supervisor. See Table 1 for the technician training plan.
Training Materials. Supervisors will receive three ESDM manuals: the core treatment manual,[94] a manual written for caregivers[91], and a manual on coaching caregivers in ESDM.[91] They will also receive access to HIIYH videos, caregiver coaching materials, a fidelity checklist for technicians, access to an ESDM goal bank, data collection tools, and access to JIT modules.
Fidelity to the ESDM Training Model. To assess fidelity to the ESDM training model, we will measure three training variables: (1) supervisor and technician completion of online training modules, JIT modules, and training activities will be tracked via the web-based training system; (2) supervisor participation in coaching and supervision activities, including receiving feedback and fidelity ratings from project staff for the curriculum assessment administration and scoring, goal development, ESDM implementation, caregiver coaching and technician coaching; and (3) trainer ESDM fidelity scores based on 25% of their ESDM Trainer coaching and supervision sessions coded by project staff. Supervisors who do not meet fidelity standards will receive supervision until they meet fidelity standards.
Treatment Fidelity Measures.
We will assess supervisor ESDM fidelity at multiple levels: child skill assessment and goal development, ESDM strategy use, data practices, and coaching others. Supervisors and technicians will be coded on ESDM Strategy Use. Scoring sheets and the fidelity measures are available from the first author.
ESDM Progress Tracking and Goal Development. Supervisors will be scored on assessment and goal fidelity (curriculum checklist described below) on the ESDM Certification Rating System (CRS). Once using ESDM, they will submit curriculum checklists and objectives for each child enrolled in the study.
Caregiver and Technician Coaching. A modified version of the Coaching Practices Rating Scale (CPRS)[95] will evaluate supervisors’ fidelity to coaching strategies. Supervisors in both groups will submit one caregiver session and one technician supervision video per month for the duration of the study to examine fidelity. Each of the 13 fidelity items will be rated on a binary scale of present or absent, and these scores will be summed for a total of 13 possible points. Intraclass correlation coefficients in prior studies indicated high reliability: ICC = 0.92 (CI: 0.71–0.98).
ESDM Strategy Use Fidelity. The ESDM Fidelity Checklist[75] will assess use of ESDM practices. The ESDM Fidelity Checklist consists of 13 items: (a) management of child attention; (b) ABC teaching format; (c) instructional techniques; (d) modulating child affect/arousal; (e) management of unwanted behavior; (f) use of turn-taking/dyadic engagement; (g) child motivation is optimized; (h) adult use of positive affect; (i) adult sensitivity and responsivity; (j) multiple varied communicative functions; (k) adult language; (l) joint activity and elaboration; and (m) transition between activities.
Use of NDBI Strategies. To understand treatment differentiation between the ESDM and EBI groups we will code the use of NDBI strategies across groups. To examine differentiation between the interventions in a more valid and unbiased manner than simply using ESDM codes across conditions we will use the eight-item NDBI-Fi measure[96] developed to capture common elements across NDBI interventions. This measure has adequate reliability, sensitivity to change, and concurrent, convergent, and discriminative validity. We will use the total score and examine differences by strategy type, responsiveness, and directives, consistent with recent studies.[97]
Use of Discrete Trial Teaching (DTT) Strategies. To understand the quality of intervention in the EBI condition we will use a fidelity tool from Rogers et al., 2021 to measure correct implementation of typical EBI teaching using discrete trial strategies. The fidelity tool measures the correct implementation of 9 components using a 5-point Likert scale applied to randomly selected 20-minute sections of recorded treatment sessions (Yoder P, McEachin J, Wallace E, Leaf R, 2014, unpublished). Discrete Trial Training Fidelity of Treatment Rating). During instruction, children typically have blocks of teaching trials interspersed with short breaks that include therapist interactions. Treatment blocks will be coded with the DTT and NDBI tools. Breaks will be coded using the NDBI tool.
Providers will upload intervention and coaching videos throughout participation in the study which will be coded for the above fidelity by trained research team members naïve to study arm.
Procedures and Measures
Child and family level outcomes will be assessed at three time points by trained assessors naïve to intervention condition: Baseline (BL), 6 months, and 12 months post BL. Outcome data will be collected by administering a brief battery of measures via distance technology that includes interview and survey and assessments with caregivers and video recordings. All assessors will be experienced MA or PhD level clinicians and supervised by a licensed clinical psychologist with over 20 years of experience in assessing young autistic children. All data will be entered directly into secure computer systems. Interviewers and video coders will be naive to group status (ESDM or EBI). The primary outcome will be child social communication and language (caregiver report and observational coding). Secondary outcomes are: (1) adaptive behavior and cognitive gains, (2) progress toward goals; (3) quality of life; (3) caregiver use of NDBI strategies; (4) increases in caregiver competence. We will assess engagement of the identified treatment mechanisms: child social motivation and caregiver use of NDBI strategies. Measures, constructs, and timing are listed in Table 2. Commonly used measures are described briefly. Newer or less standard measures are described in more detail.
Participant retention will be facilitated by frequent contact with the research team, gift cards for measure completion, birthday cards sent to children and assessment reports. If child participants leave the agency we will still attempt to obtain measures at each timepoint.
Table 2. Assessments
Domain
|
Measure and description
|
Method
|
Timing
|
T1
|
T2
|
T3
|
Characterization Measures
|
Demographics
|
Family Demographic Questionnaire
|
Caregiver Survey
|
X
|
|
|
Devel Level
|
Devel. Profile -4th Ed, Cognitive
|
Caregiver Survey
|
X
|
|
|
Treatment Type and Intensity
|
Ongoing Services Survey
|
Caregiver Interview
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Primary Outcomes
|
Language & Social Communication
|
Vineland Adapt Beh Scales 3 Communication Subscale
|
Caregiver Interview
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
APPL
|
Direct Observation
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Secondary Outcomes
|
Adaptive Behavior
|
Vineland Adap Beh Scales 3
|
Caregiver Interview
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Quality of Life
|
CarerQoL; PEDSQL
|
Caregiver Survey
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Caregiver Fidelity
|
NDBI-Fi
|
Direct Observation
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Social Communication
|
Brief Observation of Social Change (BOSCC)
|
Direct Observation
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Early Intervention Support and Processes
|
Family Outcomes Survey-Revised; Measure of Processes of Care
|
Self-Report
|
|
X
|
X
|
Potential Intervention Side Effects
|
Emotion Dysregulation Inventory-Young Children (EDI-YC) short form
|
Caregiver Survey
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Treatment Mechanisms
|
Social Motivation
|
PDDBI Social Approach Scale
|
Caregiver Survey
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
JERI
|
Direct Observation
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
Caregiver Fidelity
|
NDBI-Fi
|
Direct Observation
|
X
|
X
|
X
|
T1=baseline; T2=6 months; T3=12 months.
<insert Table 2 about here>
Characterization Measures
Treatment Type and Intensity. Caregivers will complete an interview regarding intervention services received during the study period. In addition, we will track the number of CBA-provided treatment hours and caregiver coaching attendance via agency records.
Cognitive Level. The Developmental Profile-4 (DP-4)[98] Cognitive Scale is a standardized caregiver interview measure that produces norm-referenced scores for the cognitive domain. Test-retest reliability for the Cognitive scale is .83; internal consistency .82 to .94. Construct validity was verified with comparison of established measures (cognitive scale = .57).
Primary Child Outcomes: Social Communication and Language
We will examine the effect of ESDM training on children’s social-communication and language using observational coding and caregiver report.
The Assessment of Phase of Preschool Language (APPL )[99] operationalizes research-based language development stages.[100] Language phases are derived from spoken language or augmentative communication systems and standardized assessments. The APPLE characterizes expressive language domains: phonology, vocabulary, grammar, and pragmatics. For each domain, the APPL outlines the range of demonstrated skills that could meet criteria for each phase: Phase 1: Preverbal; Phase 2: First Words; Phase 3: Word Combinations, Phase 4: Sentences, or Phase 5: Complex Language. The APPL has strong interrater reliability and good construct validity A Language samples will be obtained from transcriptions of child-caregiver interactions recorded at each timepoint (see video collection). The APPL has been used to examine change in language level in multiple autism studies.
Vineland Communication Domain. The Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales-3 (VABS-3)[101] consists of four domains of adaptive behavior: communication, daily living skills, socialization, and motor skills. It has been validated with children with developmental disabilities The scales yield normative standard scores (M = 100; SD = 15) that can be used for comparison across groups. The communication domain will be used to examine overall change in communication in the natural environment. The Vineland Interview edition will be used to obtain parent report of adaptive skills.
Secondary Outcomes
Adaptive Behavior. Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales-3 (VABS-3)[101] domains of adaptive behavior: daily living skills, socialization, and motor skills will be examined as secondary outcomes.
Caregiver and Child Quality of Life. The CarerQoL [102]assesses perceived caregiver quality of life across seven dimensions. The Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory (PedsQL)[103] assesses children’s quality of life across four domains based on caregiver report and has been validated in an autism population.[104]
Brief Observation of Social Communication Change (BOSCC; [105]. The BOSCC consists of 15 items coded based on video observations on a 6-point scale ranging from 0 (the characteristic is not present) to 5 (the characteristic is present and it significantly impairs functioning). Thus, higher scores indicate more autism characteristics. Items 1–8 focus on SC, while items 9–12 capture Restricted and Repetitive Behaviors (RRBs). The BOSCC results in Social Communication (i.e., eye contact, facial expressions, gestures, vocalizations, integration of vocal and non-vocal communication, frequency/function of social overtures, frequency/quality of social responses, engagement in activities/interaction, and play with objects) and RRB domain totals (unusual sensory interests, hand/finger or other complex mannerisms, and unusually repetitive interests/stereotyped behaviors). The Core total combines the SC and RRB scores. We will not be targeting autistic characteristics in our project. We will include the BOSCC as a secondary measure of social communication to facilitate comparison across studies.
Early Intervention Support and Processes. The Family Outcomes Survey-Revised (FOS-R)[106] is a 41-item measure uses a 5-item Likert scale to assess parents’ perceived strengths and needs as they relate to the early intervention support they receive. The FOS-R has good internal consistency in English (subscales ranging from 0.73 to0.95 for Cronbach’s alpha). [106] The Measure of Processes of Care—20 (MPOC—20) [107] measures how family-centered parents perceive their child’s intervention services. The 20-item scale asks parents to rate how much people who work with their child (a) enable partnership, (b) provide general information, (c) provide specific information about their child, (d) coordinate comprehensive care for the child and family, and (e) are respectful and supportive. The scale has good internal consistency with coefficients ranging from 0.83 to 0.90 [107]
Intervention Side Effects & Harm. Emotion Dysregulation Inventory-Young Children (EDI-YC) [108] short form measures emotion dysregulation with two scales, reactivity and dysphoria. Reactivity is characterized by rapidly escalating, intense, labile negative affect and difficulty downregulating that affect. Dysphoria is characterized by poor up regulation of positive emotion. This 14-item scale has been used with children on the autism spectrum. The measure has good validity and is supported by expert review. If children have > 1sd of change in this measure over time or providers or parents report regression the research team and data safety and monitoring board will assess for discontinuing or modifying the intervention and/or study participation.
Treatment Mechanisms Variables
Social Motivation and Caregiver NDBI Fidelity. Social motivation will be measured in two ways and those assessments will be used to examine proximal and distal changes to the intervention mechanism and its role as a moderator.
Pervasive Developmental Disorder Behavior Inventory (PDDBI)[109] examines characteristics of autism in children between 18 months and 12.5 years through caregiver reports. It has high internal consistency (0.84–0.97), inter-rater reliability (ICC = 0.75–0.93), and good construct validity. The Social Approach subscale will provide a distal measures of social motivation (treatment mechanism) and includes 36 items representing all three behavioral manifestations of social motivation. Studies using the Social Approach subscale report good consistency (α = 0.94) and test–retest reliability of 0.93.[110, 111]
Joint Engagement Rating Inventory (JERI )[112] will be a proximal, objectively rated measure of child social motivation during adult/child interactions. The JERI is widely used to examine child behavior in autism studies and has high validity and reliability. One score per code will be assigned to each CPP observation (see below) and averaged across the 3 activities for analyses.
Caregiver NDBI Fidelity. Caregiver-child interaction videos (see below) will be coded using the NDBI-Fi Checklist (see Fidelity measures and video collection).
Video Data Collection.
Video data will be collected for outcomes at three time points using the Communication Play Protocol (CPP).[113] The CPP produces video records of three 5-minute semi-structured scenes that focus on requesting, social interacting, and shared commenting. We will collect two CPP videos at each time point, one with the caregiver and one with a provider that does not know the child and is naïve to condition. Video data will be coded using the (1) APPL for children language outcomes; (2) JERI to assess social motivation; and (3) and NDBI-fi to examine caregiver use of ESDM/NDBI strategies.
Video Coding Procedures
Trained coders naïve to group, timepoint, and study aims will code video measures to avoid bias. Each coder will be trained in one scoring system to reliability (80% agreement over 3 videos). For each measure, a random sample of 20% of sessions will be double coded for inter-rater reliability throughout coding. If agreement drops below 80%, training will be provided until agreement is achieved.
Analytic Plan
In this trial, there are several levels of clustering: repeated observations are nested within the child/caregiver, the child/caregiver is nested within the team, teams are nested within the region, and regions are nested within CBAs. Therefore, we will use a modeling strategy that includes random intercepts for region and/or CBA, team, and random child/caregiver effects (intercept, slopes, as appropriate). All primary analyses will be conducted on an intent-to-treat basis using a generalized linear mixed-effects models framework [109], which can accommodate continuous, binary, and count outcomes through an appropriate choice of link function. Preliminary analyses will involve examining the outcomes and covariates to verify their appropriateness, identifying patterns of missing data, and conducting a multivariate outlier analysis. Model validation will be carried out using both analytical and graphical techniques to check core assumptions such as linearity, distribution, and homoscedasticity. Transformations of outcome variables will be considered if suggested by the model validation analyses. All analyses will include available relevant biological variables, including child or caregiver sex and age and baseline characteristics if there is any evidence of randomization imbalance in them. Randomization should produce intervention and control groups that are comparable and balanced. As a first-order check on confounding, we will examine the success of randomization by comparing baseline characteristics of children, caregivers, and providers assigned to the two study arms. Where clinically significant differences are apparent, child-, caregiver-, and provider-specific covariates will be added to the statistical models as fixed predictors to examine whether the intervention effect is robust in their presence.
Primary and Secondary Outcomes. The analytic approach for each primary and secondary outcome measure will follow the same general model-building strategy. For outcomes assessed at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months, the models will include fixed effects for time (baseline, 6-, and 12-months), group, and their interaction, as well as covariates (e.g., child/caregiver sex, age, etc.) and random effects for child/caregiver, team, or region to account for clustering. The interaction between time and group will directly test the hypothesis that participants in the ESDM group show greater improvement than those in the EBI group. In all models, we will consider adding relevant covariates related to child/caregiver or provider-level characteristics if randomization at the region level did not ensure comparability between the two groups.
[114]
Moderation Analyses. Moderation analyses will explore the differential effectiveness of the two interventions by maternal level of education (as a proxy for SES), child race/ethnicity, and technician ESDM fidelity. We will build upon the primary models with treatment group by time effects by incorporating interaction terms for moderators of interest and conducting sub-group analyses. For each target moderator (e.g., maternal education), we will add the 3-way treatment group by time by moderator interaction term (and all lower-order 2-way and main effects) to determine whether differences between treatment groups in change over time for a given outcome variable are modified by target moderators. A significant 3-way interaction effect will indicate the presence of treatment effect heterogeneity between subgroups. Following this, we will conduct simple effect analysis to estimate treatment effect differences (i.e., difference in changes over time between arms) within each subgroup. For adherence to ESDM fidelity at the technician level, we expect substantial differences between treatment groups, and plan to investigate this as a moderator of all child outcomes.
Mediation Analyses. Conceptually, social motivation (measured by PDDBI and JERI) and caregiver NDBI fidelity can be viewed as an intermediated outcome (mediator, M). The intervention may affect the primary outcomes indirectly through a pathway of the mediator (M). To test the mediated effect (or mechanism of change), we will conduct a mediation analysis by extending the generalized mixed effects models specified for assessing treatment group differences in primary outcome variables by adding continuous ratings of social motivation and parent fidelity, respectively, as predictors to the model describing language improvement. The mediation analysis will follow a standard series of steps: (1) Test for the direct effect of the treatment group on the primary outcome variable as represented by the time by treatment group interaction effects (i.e., the primary model); (2) Test for the time by treatment group interaction effect using the measure of social motivation (or parent fidelity, respectively) as the dependent variable in an analogous mixed effects model to assess the coefficient for group differences in change over time in the target mediator; (3) Return to the model in step 1 and add the main effect of time-varying social motivation scores (or parent fidelity, respectively) in predicting outcome scores to assess the direct relationship between the target mediator and outcome while controlling for the time by treatment group effect on outcome; (4) Calculate the degree and significance of the indirect effect using Monte Carlo simulations of the estimated coefficients and their respective standard errors.
Missing Data. Our protocols include numerous provisions to minimize the amount of missing data, and our team has achieved high retention rates in previous work. However, some data will inevitably be missing. We will use standard methods to evaluate missing data assumptions and to determine alternative analytic strategies if needed. One of three approaches will be used: First, if the proportion of missing data is small and there is evidence that data are missing at random (MAR), all available data will be analyzed using the maximum-likelihood estimation procedures described above. Second, if the proportion of missing data is nontrivial with evidence that data are MAR, multiple imputations for repeated measurements will be used to generate complete data. Third, if there is evidence of a non-MAR mechanism for missing data, pattern mixture models will be used to evaluate and control for the missing data pattern.
Power Considerations. Given that the proposed analyses for primary outcomes will employ mixed effects modeling of clustered data to assess differences in changes from baseline between treatment groups, power analyses were conducted using Monte Carlo simulations of multi-level models in SAS. Expected fixed effect values for effects of interest (e.g., treatment group by time interactions) were obtained from prior research on ESDM treatments and developmental change. We assumed a range of plausible intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) values for the random effects of child/caregiver dyad (0.3 to 0.5), team (0.1 to 0.25), and region (0.05 to 0.1) based on previous community intervention studies and pilot data and accounted for a 10% dropout rate. We used a type I error level of 5%.
Under each scenario, our proposed sample size of 300 children/caregivers, 100 teams, and 20 centers would provide at least 80% power to detect a standardized improvement in children’s social communication and language of d = 0.6. We assumed that 10% of children would not contribute any data; however, the participants who dropped out would have provided some data and will contribute to the analyses. Therefore, our calculations are conservative.
Procedures and Measures Addressing our Exploratory Implementation Aim
We will measure implementation during the three EPIS phases: adoption (recruitment), implementation (ESDM training and delivery), and predicted sustainment (after the research study). We will measure acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility of the intervention, and provider, family, and organizational characteristics to identify determinants of ESDM implementation. We will use a combination of surveys and structured interviews (see Table 3).
<insert Table 3 about here>
Acceptability of Intervention Measure (AIM), Intervention Appropriateness Measure (IAM), & Feasibility of Intervention Measure (FIM)[115] determine the extent to which a participant believes an intervention is acceptable, appropriate, and feasible and have strong internal consistency (AIM α = .89; IAM α = .87; FIM α = .89). All participating providers and caregivers will complete these scales every six months during participation. Total score on each scale will be used.
Adaptations to Evidence-Based Practices Scale (AES) [116] is a 6-item scale assessing provider adaptations to EBPs delivered. Providers rate six items using a 5-point Likert scale (0 “not at all,” 4 “a very great extent”) to indicate the extent to which they made each type of adaptation when delivering a specified EBP, including (a) modifying the presentation of EBP strategies, (b) shortening or condensing the pacing of the EBP, (c) lengthening or extending the pacing of the EBP, (d) integrating supplemental content or strategies, (e) removing or skipping components, and (d) adjusting the order of sessions or components.
Table 3
Construct | Measure/Indicator |
Adoption | Decision to participate in effectiveness study (yes/no) |
Implementation | ESDM provider adherence measures [ESDM Fidelity; NDBI Fidelity]; Adaptations to Evidence-Based Practice Scale |
Sustainment | Ongoing use of ESDM [PRESS; interviews with managers and providers] |
ESDM Appropriateness, Feasibility, Acceptability | Perceived fit of ESDM with agency, provider, and family [AIM; interviews] Caregiver engagement in intervention [session attendance] |
Provider Characteristics | Perceived self-efficacy [Autism Self-Efficacy Scale] Provide background experience, previous EBP training |
Organization Characteristics | Financing structure and reimbursement; # autistic clients under age 5; Implementation Climate Survey |
Provider Report of Sustainment Scale (PRESS)[117] captures provider report of continued use of an intervention. The PRESS has good psychometric properties across multiple interventions and service systems and strong construct validity.
Autism Self-Efficacy Scale for Teachers (ASSET)[118] is a 30-item self-report measure of providers’ beliefs about their ability to implement appropriate teaching strategies when working with autistic children. We adapted the measure for use with community providers who rate their efficacy in carrying out several different assessment, intervention, and evidence-based practices relevant to autism early intervention. Providers rate their self-efficacy using a scale from 0 (cannot do at all) to 100 (highly certain can do). The total score is calculated as the mean score across the 30 items. Scale internal consistency is .96.
The Implementation Climate Scale (ICS)[119, 120] measures employees’ shared perceptions of the policies, practices, procedures, and behaviors that are expected, rewarded, and supported to facilitate effective EBI implementation. The ICS has good psychometric properties across several settings including good internal consistency and good construct validity.
Implementation Interview
Semi-structured interviews will be conducted with regional managers, supervisors, technicians, and caregivers to gather additional information on ESDM feasibility, usability, acceptability, fit (including cultural fit with family needs) and plans for sustainment. We will conduct interviews with a subset of participants until we reach saturation (approximately 30 in each group). Facilitators will follow a semi-structured interview guide.[121, 122]
Data Analysis (exploratory). Descriptive data regarding feasibility, acceptability and fit and qualitative interview data will be examined every 6 months. These data will be used iteratively through the implementation phase of the trial to make culturally relevant adaptations to the intervention. Adaptations will be carefully logged and tracked and resulting outcomes monitored using recommended methods. We will explore descriptive statistics for the various measures of organizational and provider characteristics and participation and will use predictive models (with multi-level modeling as above) to understand appropriateness, feasibility, and acceptability in the ESDM treatment group. Given that measures of implementation (e.g., provider fidelity) are important for understanding the feasibility of scaling ESDM to CBAs, we will analyze such implementation measures as dependent variables and examine other variables in Table 3 (e.g., organization characteristics,
perceived fit) as predictors of individual provider variability in fidelity.
Qualitative Data analysis. NVivo QSR 11[123] will be used for qualitative analyses. A framework-driven analytic approach will guide the coding process.[124, 125] Coders will use an iterative coding and review process informed by grounded theory. [126]
Integration of Qualitative and Quantitative Analyses. A sequential Quan > QUAL mixed method design will be employed.[127] The primary functions of the mixed-methods analyses will be convergence and expansion.
Power Analysis. Given that all proposed analyses will employ complex multi-level modelling to measure differences in rates of change between treatment groups, power analyses were conducted using Monte Carlo simulations of multi-level models in SAS and Mplus. Expected fixed effect values for effects of interest (e.g., treatment group by time interactions) were obtained from our prior research of ESDM treatments and developmental change. We assumed a range of plausible ICC values for the random effects of participant dyad (based on pilot data), team, and region (based on prior community intervention studies)[128, 129] and accounted for 10% dropout. provides in depth details showing that for primary outcome variables proposed in Aim 1, the proposed sample size of 270 (accounting for 10% attrition) will provide adequate power to detect standardized group differences between the active intervention (ESDM) and treatment as usual (EBI) at the primary endpoint (12 months) as small as d = 0.6. We show via simulations that the study is adequately powered to test the mediation models for social motivation and parent fidelity (see Statistical Design and Power).