Study site and fieldwork. The Qianmutian (QMT) peatland is situated in the eastern region of China (30.4994°N, 119.4408°E), at an altitude of approximately 1300 meters above sea level (m a.s.l.) (Fig. 9a). It located within a typical warm and humid monsoon climate zone characterized by abundant insolation relative to higher latitudes, elevated mean annual temperatures, and notable summertime warmth. Winter temperatures typically remain above 0°C, with monsoon precipitation concentrated primarily in the summer season, often accompanied by frequent thunderstorms and other extreme meteorological phenomena. Specifically, the mean annual temperature in this region averages around 9.5°C, annual precipitation is 1500mm.
The QMT peatland, covering approximately 0.7 km2, is situated in a depression atop Tianmu Mountain (Fig. 9b). The surface vegetation is dominated by Sphagnum junghuhnianum and Sphagnum magellanicum (Fig. 9c). Accompanying with other plant species, such as Idesia polycarpa, Ligularia fischeri, Rubus trianthus, Rubus peltatus, Calamagrostis epigejos, Scirpus lushanensis, and Miscanthus sacchariflorus. In the surrounding upland vegetation, Cornus officinalis, Idesia polycarpa, and Viburnum opulus subsp. Calvescens are the dominant tree and shrub species.
In November 2022, we retrieved two peat cores, QMT22-1 (117 cm) and QMT22-2 (93 cm), using both box corer and Russian peat corer methods. For QMT22-1, we initially hand-excavated the surface layer from 0 ~ 47cm before employing a box corer to extract a peat core spanning 0 ~ 97 cm. Subsequently, we attempted a second drilling session using the Russian peat core method to target depths of 64 ~ 117 cm; however, drilling was halted upon encountering gravel at the bottom. Similarly, for QMT22-2, we hand-excavated the surface layer from 0 ~ 38 cm and then employed a Russian peat core to extract the first core from 20 ~ 70 cm in depth. A subsequent drilling session aiming at depths of 43 ~ 93 cm was attempted, but drilling was again halted due to encountering gravel at the bottom. Following collection, the peat cores were placed into PVC pipes and transported back to the laboratory, where they were stored at 4°C for further analysis.
14 C dating. We collected samples from the QMT peatland using a Box peat corer and a Russian peat corer, resulting in QMT22-1 (117 cm) and QMT22-2 (93 cm). Samples from QMT22-2 at depths of 24 cm (stem and leaf), 45 cm (stem), 67 cm (stem), and 93 cm (stem) underwent Accelerator Mass Spectrometry (AMS) radiocarbon (14C) dating at the 14C Chronology Laboratory of Lanzhou University. Considering the close proximity and similar climatic context of the QMT22-1 and QMT22-2 cores, their stratigraphic positioning can be readily discerned based on their Dry Bulk Densities (DBD) and Loss on Ignition (LOI) values. Based on the depth of the dating points in the QMT22-2 core, the corresponding locations of the dating points in the QMT22-1 core can be inferred accordingly. Then we constructed an age-depth model using the Bayesian age-depth modeling package BACON28 for R. The results were given in years before the present (BP), where “present” is defined as the year 1950 Common Era (CE).
Acrotelm/catotelm boundary detection. The peatland sediment layers comprise the acrotelm and catotelm. The acrotelm is rich in fresh litter and has a high organic matter content. However, due to the rapid decomposition of organic matter in this layer, the surface carbon accumulation rate, based on LOI, is higher than the earlier carbon accumulation rate. Therefore, this study will focus exclusively on the catotelm sedimentary layer. The catotelm and acrotelm represent two distinct layers distinguished by their physical properties and functions29. In QMT22-1 and QMT22-2, the differentiation between the acrotelm and catotelm is evident from lithological variations observed in the cores (Fig. 10). In QMT22-1, the upper layer spanning 1 ~ 25 cm exhibits a brown-yellow sediment with low decomposition levels, abundant plant roots, and a relatively loose structure. Water content and LOI remain stable within this layer. Beyond 25 cm, the color gradually darkens to dark brown, accompanied by increased decomposition levels, rapid declines in water content and LOI, and the presence of underlying rocks. Consequently, the upper layer (1 ~ 25 cm) is identified as the acrotelm, comprising living fresh moss, while the subsequent layer (25 ~ 117 cm) is recognized as the catotelm. Similar changes are observed in the QMT22-2 core at a depth of 35cm, where the upper layer (1 ~ 35 cm) exhibits brown-yellow sediment, dense plant root systems, and a loose structure, with stable water content and LOI levels. Below 35 cm, the color transitions from brown-yellow to black-brown, accompanied by rapid decreases in water content and LOI, increased decomposition levels, and the presence of underlying rocks. Hence, the upper layer (1 ~ 35 cm) in QMT22-2 is identified as the acrotelm, comprising living fresh moss, while the subsequent layer (35 ~ 93 cm) is classified as the catotelm.
Climate data integration. In investigating past climate changes over the last millennium in the subtropical monsoon region, researchers have leveraged various archives and proxies. These include solar radiation30, temperature24, 31–33, To indicate humidity changes, we collected several indicators, including a*/L*18, Rb/Sr19, mean size21, TOC34, and DPC-120 from lake sediments; SIRM22 and precipitation35 from peatland sediments; Total organic carbon (TOC)36 and freshwater species37 from offshore sediments; and a humidity index17 based on instrumental stations and historical records in southern China (Table 2). The climate data used in this paper are published and peer-reviewed. When analyzing the correlation between humidity data and the NCB, we integrated the z-score values of these humidity records (Supplementary Fig. 5).
Table 2
Site information on the sediment records used in climate data synthesis in this study
Location | Latitude | Longitude | Elevation/m | Sediment type | Indicator | Reference |
Nvshan | 32.996° | 118.124° | 12 | Lake | a*/L* | Wang et al.45 |
Nanyi | 31.079° | 118.944° | 2.2 | Lake | Rb/Sr | Liu et al19 |
KET | 24.095° | 122.378° | -2893 | Sea | TOC | Wang et al36 |
Wangdongyang | 27.682° | 119.637° | 1300 | Peatland | SIRM | Zhou et al22 |
Gaoyou | 32.84° | 119.375° | 4 | Lake | Mean size | Li et al21 |
Cuifeng | 24.5° | 121.6° | 1850 | Lake | TOC | Selvaraj et al34 |
Cuifeng | 24.5° | 121.6° | 1850 | Lake | DPC-1 | Wang et al20 |
Southern Okinawa | 24.80067° | 122.4892° | -1275 | Sea | Freshwater species | Li et al37 |
Southern China | - | - | - | Historical and station records | Dry-humidity index | Zheng et al17 |
Dajiu | 31.47° | 109.98° | 1730 | pealand | Precipitation | He et al35 |
Carbon measurements and modeling. The cores QMT22-1 and QMT22-2 were sliced into contiguous sections each 1cm thick and subsequently measured. These samples underwent drying at 105°C for 12 hours to ascertain their DBD, defined as the ratio of dry weight to volume. A subset of the dried subsamples underwent combustion at 550°C in a muffle furnace for 4 hours to determine the LOI, serving as an indicator of Organic Matter content (OM)38. To calculate the Organic Carbon content39, the OM was multiplied by 50%40. Based on the chronologies and the measured DBD (g cm3) and OC 41, the peat aCAR was calculated as:
\(aCAR=\frac{h}{t} \times DBD \times OC \times 100\)
where t (yr) is the time experienced by peat thickness h (cm).
Upon obtaining the LOI data from the QMT peatland, we apply the decomposition model proposed by Clymo42 to derive the peat-addition rate (ρ) and peat decomposition rate (α), where M represents the organic matter and t signifies time.
\(M=\frac{\rho }{\alpha } \times (1 - {e^{ - \alpha t}})\)
Subsequently, employing the "super-peatland" methodology, we determine the net carbon fluxes of the QMT22-1 and QMT22-2 cores, encompassing net carbon uptake (NCU), net carbon release (NCR), and net carbon balance (NCB), with α derived from the modeled decomposition43. The observed carbon pool (NCP) enables the calculation of NCU for each 20-year interval, treating NCU as the initial mass and NCP as the remaining mass after time t. This equation is formulated as follows:
\(NC{U_t}=\frac{{NC{P_t}}}{{{e^{ - \alpha t}}}}\)
At a specific 20-year interval (k), the NCR is calculated. Therefore, the NCR at time t comprises the cumulative carbon release during that period from all peat cohorts older than time t. The carbon release during the 20-year period at time t can be determined by subtracting the potential NCU at time t from that at time t − 1. The equation can be expressed as follows:
\(NC{R_t}=\sum\nolimits_{{k=t}}^{{initiation age}} {(\frac{{NC{P_k}}}{{{e^{ - \alpha t}}}} - \frac{{NC{P_k}}}{{{e^{ - \alpha \times (t - 1)}}}})}\)
NCB was calculated as the difference between NCU and NCR as derived above
\(NCB=NCU - NCR\)
Regression models. Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) is a type of regression model that utilizes smoothing splines instead of linear coefficients for covariates44. The aim of using GAMs is to establish the connection between NCB and climate factors in the QMT peatland. The ultimate model was selected based on the lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC).