A total of 7785 patients from thirty-three studies(9, 13, 23–53) reporting the outcomes of allo-HCT in t-AML and t-MDS patients were included for analysis. (Table 1) (Table 2) The age of the patients ranged from 2 to 89 years and 61.7% were females (n = 4143/6710). A total of 67.3% (n = 5241) of the patients had t-AML and 26.5% (n = 2076)) had t-MDS while the remaining 6% had a mixed presentation (n = 468). The median time from prior treatment to development of t-MN was 158 (1-498) months and the median follow-up time was 80 (0-251) months. The underlying conditions were solid malignancies 47% (n = 3182/6760), hematologic malignancies 48% (n = 3346/6760), and other neoplasms/autoimmune diseases 3.4% (n = 232/6760). Chemotherapy alone 43% (1432/3338), chemotherapy plus radiotherapy 39% (n = 1316/3338), auto-HCT 11% (n = 370/3338), and radiotherapy alone 6% (n = 203/3338) were the reported treatment modalities for underlying malignancies. The donor type was matched unrelated (MUD) 35% (n = 1864/5334), matched related (MRD) 52% (n = 2375/5334671/4266), mismatched unrelated (MMUD) 16% (n = 745/5334), mismatched related (MMRD) 3% (n = 167/5334), and haploidentical (haplo) 2.8% (n = 153/5334). The source of stem cells was peripheral blood (PBSC) 64% (n = 3867/6034), bone marrow (BM) 26% (n = 1570/6034), and cord blood (CB) 9.7% (n = 588/6034).
When classified according to the cytogenetic risk, 12% of the patients (n = 709/5966) had favorable risk while 44% (n = 2618/5966) and 44% (n = 2639/5966) had intermediate and adverse risk cytogenetics, respectively. Myeloablative conditioning (MAC) and reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) were given to 52% (n = 3203/6124) and 48% (n = 2921/6124) of the patients, respectively. Data were heterogeneous for GvHD prophylaxis. Calcineurin Inhibitor based regimen (CNI, cyclosporine or tacrolimus alone or in combination with other agents) was used in 72% (n = 28811/4028) of the patients, while T-cell depletion (TCD), Sirolimus, and Post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) was used in 5%(n = 218/4022), 1% (n = 50/4022) and 0.6% (n = 19/4022) patient, respectively. Other miscellaneous regimens constituted 21% (n = 855/4028).
The median pooled median OS for all patients was 16.9 months (95% CI: 13.7–21.1) and the estimated mean OS was 46.0 months (95% CI: 42.1–49.6) (9, 13, 23, 24, 27, 33–44, 46, 47, 49–51). The pooled OS for all patients was 71.5% (95% CI: 68.2–75.0) at 6 months, 56.3% (95% CI: 52.3–60.7) at 12 months, 39.1% (95% CI: 35.9–42.7) at 36 months, and 33.7% (95% CI: 30.1–37.1) at 60 months (Fig. 2A) (Fig. 5) (Table 3). The pooled median DFS for all patients was 8.8 months (95% CI: 7.4–11.2) and the estimated mean DFS was 37.8 months (95% CI: 33.4–41.9) (13, 24, 27, 33, 36–45, 47, 50, 51). The pooled DFS for all patients was 57.9 (95% CI: 54.1–61.9) at 6 months, 44.9% (95% CI: 41.2–48.9) at 12 months, 32.7% (95% CI: 29.4-) at 36 months, and 33.7% (95% CI: 30.7–37.1) at 60 months. (Fig. 2B) (Fig. 5) (Table 3).
A random effect meta-analysis of 16 studies reported the numbers of aGvHD during 90–100 days after HSCT, the pooled prevalence of aGvHD was 37% (95% CI: 0.30–0.45, I2: 91.71%, p < 0.0001, n = 1865/6371) (Fig. 8) (24, 28–30, 32, 35, 37, 38, 40, 41, 44, 46, 48, 50). A Galbraith plot demonstrated that no studies were outside the 95% CI, meaning they were not outliers (results not shown). In subclass analysis, a random effect meta-analysis of 3 studies in the t-AML group showed that the pooled prevalence of aGvHD was 34% (95% CI: 16% − 54%, n = 1365/5110).(44, 46, 48) For 3 studies in the t-MDS group, the pooled prevalence of aGvHD was 35% (95% CI: 27% − 43%, n = 46/132).(5, 24, 28, 35) Furthermore, in 10 studies in t-AML + t-MDS group, the pooled prevalence of aGvHD was 39% (95% CI: 28% − 50%, n = 454/1129) (Fig. 6). In sensitivity analysis, the elimination of any single study at a time from the meta-analysis ranged from 32% (95% CI: 26%-38%) to 39% (95% CI: 30%-48%) indicating the high robustness of the pooled prevalence estimates (29, 30, 32, 37, 38, 40, 41, 45, 50, 53). Nevill et al. reported the highest chronic GvHD incidence of 88% at 5 years, whereas Gatwood et al. reported the lowest, 21.6% at 3 years (45). Overall, Nabergoj et al. reported the lowest incidence of NRM, 22% at a 2-year follow-up (43).
The highest incidence of NRM was reported by Yakoub-Agha et al., 49% at 2-year follow-up (53). The lowest relapse rate was 17.9% at 2 years reported by Gatwood et al. whereas Maher et al. reported a relapse rate of 51% at 5-year follow-up which is the highest for the entire cohort (33, 40). Among the 47.2% (2860/6058) patients who died, relapse of the myeloid neoplasm was the most common cause of death 25.7% (n = 736), followed by infections 18.5% (n = 531), relapse of the underlying disease 18.1% (n = 518), and GvHD 10.7% (n = 307).
Two studies compared outcomes based on a conditioning regimen (33, 39). Lee et al reported that patients receiving RIC regimens had an increase in relapse incidence (HR:1.52; 95% CI: 1.02–2.26; p = 0.04), lower DFS (HR:1.52; 95% CI: 1.12–2.05, p = 0.007), and OS (HR, 1.51; CI 1.09–2.09; p = 0.012). There were no differences in NRM and GRFS for both groups (39). Gatwood et al. reported RIC regimens have a lower risk of NRM (HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.40–0.83, p = 0.00), and improved DFS (HR: 3.15; 95% CI: 1.35–7.37; p = 0.01), OS (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.53–0.89, p = 0.004) compared to MAC group (33).
In subgroup analysis for t-AML patients, the pooled median OS was 16.1 (95% CI: 11.7–21.5) months and the pooled mean OS was 43.8 months (95% CI: 38.3–48.9).(13, 33, 36, 39, 40, 42, 44, 46, 47, 51) The pooled OS at 6, 12, 36, and 60-month were 72.1% (95% CI: 66.8–77.8), 55.3% (95% CI: 49.7–61.5), 37.2% (95% CI: 32.5–42.6), and 31.3% (95% CI: 26.7–36.6), respectively. (Fig. 3A) (Fig. 5) (Table 3) The pooled median DFS was 8.9 months (95% CI: 6.3–13.1) and the pooled mean DFS was 34.4 months (95% CI: 27.3–40.8).(13, 33, 39, 40, 42, 44, 47, 51) The pooled DFS at 6, 12, 36, and 60-month were 57.9% (95% CI: 51.3–65.5), 44.6% (95% CI: 38.0 -52.4), 31.6% (95% CI: 25.9–38.7), and 25.7% (95% CI: 20.3–32.6), respectively. (Fig. 3B) (Fig. 5) (Table 3)
In subgroup analysis for t-MDS patients, the pooled median OS was 15.5 months (95% CI: 10.4–25.8) and the mean OS was 44.9 (95% CI: 36.6–52.3) months.(13, 24, 34–36, 40, 42) The pooled OS at 6, 12, 36, and 60-month were 68.4% (95% CI: 63.4–73.9), 54.6% (95% CI: 47.3–63.0), 38.6% (95% CI: 32.4–45.9), and 33.3% (95% CI: 27.4–40.5) respectively (Fig. 3A) (Fig. 4) (Table 3). The pooled median DFS was 7.9 months (95% CI: 5.3–14.4) and the mean DFS was 35.5 months (95% CI: 24.5–47.6). (13, 24, 40, 42) The pooled DFS at 6, 12, 36, and 60-month were 55.2% (95% CI: 47.8–63.7), 43.3% (95% CI: 35.7–52.6), 30.6% (95% CI: 22.6–41.5), and 25.2% (95% CI: 16.6–38.4), respectively (Fig. 3B) (Fig. 4) (Table 3).