Study design and population
We employed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database, a program administered by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Centers for Health Statistics in the US. CRM disease is a constellation of conditions that includes CVD, CKD, as well as DM[19], and patients with CRM disease were included in this research. The Research Ethics Review Committee of the National Center for Health Statistics has approved the NHANES study, and all participants provided written informed consent.
The cohort included a total of 21,604 patients with CRM during 1999–2018. Patients meeting the following criteria were excluded: (1) participants with age <18; (2) receiving dialysis treatment or combining with renal failure (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<15 ml/min/1.73m2) in the past year; (3) combined with malignant tumor; (4) participants experiencing pregnancy; (5) missing information on TyG index (fasting blood glucose [FBG] or triglyceride [TG]), or LDL-C; (6) missing information on mortality or survival time. Finally, a total of 6,010 eligible patients with CRM were enrolled in the study (Figure 1).
Outcomes and exposure definitions
The main outcomes of this research were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Information about mortality status and the cause of death was gained from the NHANES Linked Mortality File, which was created by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) by linking the NHANES data to the National Death Index (NDI). NHANES used an autoanalyzer to enzymatically measure plasma TG, FPG, and LDL-C levels from fasting blood samples. The TyG index was calculated by Ln [TG (mg/dL) × FPG (mg/dl)/2].
Definition of covariates
Baseline variables, including demographic data (age, gender, educational levels, race, insurance, poverty index, and matrimony), lifestyle variables (smoking status, alcohol drinking, and physical activity), medical history(CVD, anemia, hypertension[HT], CKD, DM), drug history(glucose-lowering drugs, antihypertensive drugs, as well as lipid-lowering drugs), anthropometric measurements(height, weight, body mass index[BMI], systolic blood pressure[SBP], and diastolic blood pressure[DBP]), and laboratory variables (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c], high-density lipoprotein cholesterol[HDL-C], neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio[NLR], total cholesterol, white blood cell[WBC], blood urea nitrogen[BUN], serum creatinine, serum uric acid, eGFR, and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio[uACR]) were selected. Demographics, lifestyle variables, medical history, and drug history were collected through self-reported questionnaires. Anthropometric indicators and biochemical parameters were obtained through medical examinations and laboratory tests, respectively. Further details can be found at https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/index.htm.
Variables including smoking (current smoker, former smoker, and never smoked), alcohol drinking (none, moderate, and heavy), education (below high school, high school, and college or above), matrimony (never married, divorced/separated/widowed, and married/living with partner) and physical activity (PA) (moderate, sedentary, and vigorous) were further defined. CVD is composed of heart attack, congestive heart failure, angina, CAD, and stroke[20]. The eGFR was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation[21], and CKD was defined as eGFR ≤ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 or uACR ≥30 mg/g. Diabetes was defined as fasting glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L or HbA1c(%)≥6.5 or self-reported diagnosis history of diabetes or use of any hypoglycemic medication[22]. Anemia is defined as men with a hemoglobin level less than 130 g/L and women with a hemoglobin level less than 120 g/L according to World Health Organization standards[23].
Statistical analysis
All statistical analyses were conducted using a complex, multistage probability sampling design. The study includes data from eight distinct survey cycles over a period of 18 years, starting with the initial phase from 1999 to 2002 and continuing with biennial cycles from 2003 to 2018. Fasting sample weights were applied in accordance with the NHANES Analytical Guidelines.
Baseline characteristics between groups were compared using weighted analysis of variance (ANOVA) for continuous variables and chi-square tests for categorical variables. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis was utilized to assess the dose-response relationships of the TyG index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in LDL-C < 2.6 mmol/L and ≥ 2.6 mmol/L, respectively. Kaplan-Meier method was applied to time-to-event endpoints, with a stratified log-rank test used to compare differences among groups defined by TyG and LDL-C levels. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the individual and joint effects of the TyG index and LDL-C on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. To evaluate whether there is a linear trend in mortality risk across increasing exposure groups, we transformed the categorical exposure groups into a numerical scale. This transformation served as the primary predictor in our model. The estimated coefficient for this variable quantifies the trend in mortality risk corresponding to escalating levels of exposure. To explore the potential interaction between TyG index and LDL-C in relation to mortality, an interaction term (TyG * LDL-C) was introduced into the model. The significance of the interaction was assessed using a likelihood ratio test, comparing the fit of the model with and without the interaction term. Subgroup analyses were conducted, stratified by the presence of CVD, CKD, and DM. Missing covariates were handled using multiple imputations, and a sensitivity analysis was performed. A list of missing covariates is provided in Supplementary Table 1.
The analyses were performed using R software (Version 4.2.3), and statistical significance was determined using two-tailed tests with a threshold of P<0.05.