This study demonstrated that age was a stronger prognostic factor than WFNS grading for patients with low-grade SAH (WFNS grade I/II) undergoing microsurgical clipping. Using 70 years as a cutoff, the study developed a clinically applicable risk evaluation method, dividing the patients into three groups (favourable, intermediate, and poor) based on age and postoperative adverse events.
Initially, this study investigated the association between background factors related to patients, disease, and surgery with favourable outcomes (mRS 0–2 at discharge). The age at onset was the sole prognostic predictor, highlighting its importance in the prognosis of low-grade SAH. The WFNS grading system has been widely used since its introduction in 1988 to classify prognoses based on the level of consciousness at SAH onset [34], but some studies have reported no significant prognostic difference between WFNS grades [27, 32, 38]. Low-grade SAH (WFNS grades I and II) is generally considered to have a favourable prognosis, but distinguishing between grades can be challenging in older patients with pre-existing cognitive decline. Zijlmans et al. identified age as a background factor associated with unfavourable outcomes (mRS 3–6) at 6 months after treatment in 132 patients with WFNS grade I aneurysmal SAH [44]. Conversely, Hori et al. found no background factors, including age, associated with unfavourable outcomes (Glasgow Outcome Scale 1–3) at discharge in 171 patients with WFNS grade I and II SAH, making the findings controversial [13]. These studies included both surgical and endovascular treatments and had heterogeneous cohorts. In our study, age was a stronger prognostic factor for the surgical cohort, suggesting that the higher invasiveness of open surgery may be more impactful on the outcomes of older patients.
Using the age of 70 years as a partitioning factor, the RPA in this study showed optimal partitioning based on surgical-related complications in patients younger than 70 years and epileptic seizures in those older than 70 years for the prediction of favourable outcomes. This indicates that surgical complications critically affected the mRS of younger patients, while postoperative seizures significantly impacted the outcomes in older patients. The association between poor outcomes and epilepsy at discharge has been reported, suggesting the need for careful surgical techniques to minimise complications [3, 8, 11, 12, 14, 19, 25, 35]. Prophylactic antiepileptic drug administration to patients with SAH without seizures is debated [43], but it warrants consideration in older patients due to its potential impact on prognosis. Secondary hydrocephalus is a known predictor of poor outcomes for aneurysmal SAH, and this study confirmed its significance in patients under 70 years with low-grade SAH [1, 29, 41]. Previous studies have identified age as a risk factor for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus and its correlation with poor outcomes [1, 29]. The association between hydrocephalus and prognosis in younger patients in this study is noteworthy, although the outcome measurement was mRS at discharge, which may not fully capture long-term recovery.
This study has a few limitations. Firstly, it was a single-centre retrospective study, and selection bias may have occurred. Secondly, the outcome measurement was mRS at discharge, and long-term follow-up could not be conducted. Thirdly, the classification model has not been validated in a separate cohort. Multicentre prospective studies with long-term follow-up data are needed for further validation.
Conclusion: Age was a more significant prognostic factor than WFNS grading in patients with WFNS grade I/II aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage undergoing microsurgical clipping. The developed prognostic model with an age cut-off of 70 years and postoperative complications provides a practical tool for predicting outcomes and guiding treatment strategies. In that model, precise microsurgeries with fewer complications determined favourable outcomes beyond the WFNS grade for younger patients, while postoperative intensive seizure management could be meaningful to avoid poor outcomes for older patients.