GDM has emerged as a significant global public health concern due to its rising prevalence. A recent systematic review indicated that the global standardized prevalence of GDM is approximately 14%, based on the criteria established by the International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group [3]. In China, the situation regarding GDM is equally concerning, the latest meta-analysis suggests that the country may have the highest number of GDM cases worldwide [5]. GDM not only heightens the immediate risks of adverse pregnancy and infant outcomes but is also associated with an increased long-term risk of T2DM, metabolic syndrome, and premature cardiovascular disease for both mothers and their offspring [21–24]. Therefore, it is crucial to actively prevent and manage GDM, as PA has been identified as an effective and cost-efficient strategy for its prevention [25].
In this study, consistent with previous research [26–28], we found that the proportion of pregnant women of advanced age in the GDM group was statistically significantly higher than in the control group. It is widely acknowledged that advanced age is positively correlated with insulin resistance, and the age-related decline in mitochondrial function may serve as an underlying mechanism [29, 30]. Additionally, during pregnancy, concentrations of maternal insulin-antagonistic substances increase, ultimately leading to decreased insulin sensitivity and the development of GDM [31]. Regarding educational level, our research indicated that the proportion of participants in the GDM group with lower education levels was significantly higher than that in the control group. A plausible explanation for this finding is that individuals with higher education levels tend to possess a better understanding of the disease, which may encourage them to prioritize personal health management and collaborate closely with healthcare professionals to prevent complications during pregnancy. Furthermore, we investigated the relationship between pre-pregnancy BMI and GDM. Our findings revealed that the proportion of participants classified as overweight or obese (BMI ≥ 24 kg/m2) was significantly higher in the GDM group compared to the control group. Maternal pre-pregnancy overweight or obesity is a well-established risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcomes. Recent studies conducted in China have shown that pre-pregnancy BMI not only independently contributes to the risk of GDM but also interacts with advanced maternal age [32, 33]. The underlying mechanism suggests that maternal overweight or obesity leads to fat accumulation in various organs, including the pancreas and liver. Ectopic fat storage in these organs is associated with impaired β-cell function and insulin resistance, which ultimately results in GDM [34–37]. Consequently, it is reasonable to anticipate that managing BMI during the preconception period may help reduce the risk of GDM.
This study examined the relationship between PA and the risk of GDM. There is substantial scientific evidence supporting the benefits of PA at all stages of life. Pregnancy is a unique period characterized by significant biochemical and physiological changes in maternal metabolism, increased nutritional demands, and safety concerns regarding exercise, all of which can heighten the risk of hyperglycemia during pregnancy. Our research indicates that PA levels, irrespective of intensity, were significantly lower in the GDM group compared to the control group. A recent meta-review study corroborates our findings, highlighting that PA during pregnancy is associated with an elevated risk of GDM [25]. Currently, PA (and exercise) is recognized as an effective behavioral strategy for the prevention and treatment of disease, and it has been explicitly recommended in national guidelines for the prevention and management of GDM [38–40]. In 2022, the Chinese Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology published guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of hyperglycemia in pregnancy, stating that regular exercise both pre-pregnancy and during pregnancy significantly reduces the risk of GDM, particularly in normal-weight pregnant women, as well as in those who are overweight or obese [41]. However, Previous guidelines for GDM have primarily concentrated on exercise therapy while overlooking the preventive role of PA. Furthermore, these guidelines lack precise recommendations regarding the optimal amount of PA. The American Diabetes Association recommends engaging in exercise for 20–50 minutes per day, 2–7 days per week, at a moderate intensity [39], In contrast, the Chinese Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology suggests a minimum of 30 minutes of moderate intensity exercise per day, 5 days per week [41]. Consequently, our research aimed to investigate the dose-response relationship between PA and GDM risk. Results from the RCS model indicated a significantly non-linear relationship between total PA, MVPA, walking PA levels, and GDM. A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis revealed a significant inverse association between PA before and during early pregnancy and GDM risk [42]. Additionally, our previous research identified a dose-response relationship between PA levels during the first and second trimesters and GDM risk [43]. In this study, we recognized L-shaped curve relationships between various PA levels and GDM risk. Furthermore, we expanded upon previous findings regarding the cut-off values for total PA, MVPA, and walking PA levels in GDM prevention. For instance, a cut-off value of 1714 MET-min/week for total PA suggests that engaging in walking, the most accessible form of exercise for most pregnant women, for more than 74.20 minutes per day can significantly reduce the risk of developing GDM. The rationality of these results was further corroborated by subsequent logistic regression analysis. These findings imply that the risk of GDM diminishes as PA levels increase, with effective prevention achievable only upon reaching a specific threshold of PA.
Strengths and limitations
The primary strengths of this study lie in its application of the RCS model to investigate the dose-response relationship between PA and GDM during the second trimester of pregnancy. The PA levels of participants were quantified in MET based on the Compendium of Physical Activities. Comprehensive analyses, including overall association assessments, nonlinearity tests, and dose-response curve fitting, were conducted using the optimally selected RCS model. Furthermore, the optimal cut-off value of PA for GDM prevention was determined and subsequently validated through logistic regression analysis. The scientific design and rigorous logical framework of this research contribute to the robustness of the findings, ultimately offering more quantified and precise recommendations for the prevention of GDM.
This study has several limitations. Firstly, the data were collected using a cross-sectional survey design, which restricts the ability to draw causal inferences. Additionally, this research focused solely on PA levels during the second trimester of pregnancy and did not systematically examine the role of PA in GDM throughout the entire pregnancy. Finally, as a single-center study with a limited sample size, the generalizability of the findings is constrained. Therefore, a large-sample longitudinal study is necessary to further explore the results of this research.