Clinical characteristics of patients with ILDs
Of the 672 ILD patients, 66 were excluded: 55 patients had LC at the time of the initial diagnosis of an ILD, 8 patients had acute ILDs, and 3 patients did not have HRCT images available (Fig. 1). The 606 patients with ILDs were divided into 6 groups based on aetiology: 161 with IPF, 133 with non-IPF IIPs, 160 with chronic HP, 87 with CTD-ILDs, 19 with pulmonary sarcoidosis, and 46 with other ILDs. Among the 46 patients with other ILDs, 15 had ILDs with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis, 9 had suspected or diagnosed drug-induced ILDs, 7 had suspected or diagnosed asbestosis, 4 had suspected or diagnosed radiation pneumonitis, 3 had chronic EP, 3 had suspected but undiagnosed pulmonary sarcoidosis, 2 had pulmonary alveolar proteinosis, 2 had suspected but undiagnosed CTD-ILDs, and 1 had Castleman’s disease.
The characteristics of the ILD patients are summarized in Table 1. The group of patients with CTD-ILDs had a higher proportion of female patients than IPF, non-IPF IIPs, chronic HP, and other ILDs. The group with non-IPF IIPs had a higher proportion of female patients than IPF. No differences were seen in age at the time of initial ILD diagnosis among the groups. The number of pack-years at the time of initial ILD diagnosis was higher in the group with IPF than non-IPF IIPs, chronic HP, CTD-ILDs, and pulmonary sarcoidosis. The IPF group had a higher proportion of patients with radiological UIP pattern at the time of initial diagnosis than any other groups, and the chronic HP group had the second highest proportion among the groups. The IPF, chronic HP, and CTD-ILD groups had lower FVC values than the non-IPF IIP and pulmonary sarcoidosis groups. The groups of chronic HP and CTD-ILD groups had lower FVC values than the group of other ILDs. The IPF and non-IPF IIP groups had lower FVC values than chronic HP groups. The other ILD group had a lower FEV1/FVC value than the IPF, non-IPF IIP, and CTD-ILD group. The chronic HP group had a higher serum KL-6 and SP-D levels than any other groups.
Characteristics of ILD patients who developed LC
The characteristics of the ILD patients who developed LC are summarized in Table 2. The median observation period of ILD patients was 45 (range, 4-60) months. Of the 606 ILD patients, 28 developed LC during the observation period. The median interval between diagnosis and the development of LC was 32 (range, 4-60) months. Among the 28 ILD patients who developed LC, 12 had IPF, 10 had chronic HP, 3 had non-IPF IIPs, 2 had CTD-ILDs, and 1 had pulmonary sarcoidosis. Of the 28 ILD patients with LC development, 25 (89%) were male smokers. 24 patients (86%) had radiological UIP pattern at the diagnosis of ILDs, and 17 (71%) had LC lesion adjacent to honeycombing. Squamous cell carcinoma was the most frequent cell histological type (n = 13 [46%]), followed by adenocarcinoma (n = 17 [25%]). Of the 14 patients performed surgery on, all 11 excluding 3, whose pathological findings were not available, had pathological UIP pattern.
Cumulative incidences of LC in ILD patients
The cumulative incidences of LC at 1, 3, and 5 years were 1.9, 5.7, and 12.3% in the IPF group; 0.8, 0.8, and 4.0% in the non-IPF IIPs group; 2.0, 4.6, and 11.0% in the chronic HP group; and 1.1, 1.1, and 2.9% in the CTD-ILD group (Fig. 2). As a result of comparing the four groups together, no significant difference was found in the cumulative incidence of LC among the IPF, non-IPF IIP, chronic HP, and CTD-ILD groups (p = 0.074). The incidence densities of LC in the IPF, non-IPF IIPs, chronic HP, and CTD-ILD groups were 2.36, 0.70, 1.98, and 0.64 per 100 person-years, respectively. When each two groups were compared, IPF patients had a higher incidence of LC than non-IPF IIP patients (p = 0.036) (Fig. 2). Cox proportional regression hazards models showed that IPF was also significantly associated with the development of LC compared to non-IPF IIPs (hazard ratios 6.042, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.284-28.440, p = 0.023).
Factors predictive of LC development in ILD patients
To determine the factors in ILD patients that were predictive of LC development at the time of the initial ILD diagnosis, nine factors were first assessed with univariate Cox proportional regression hazards models. Male sex, pack-years, radiological UIP pattern, and FVC value were significantly associated with the development of LC (Table 3). Whereas, age, and serum KL-6 and SP-D levels were not associated with LC development. Multivariate Cox proportional regression hazards models, which included the factors that were significant in the univariate analysis, showed that a radiological UIP pattern, FVC value, and pack-years were independent predictive factors for the development of LC (Table 4). Focusing on the IPF and chronic HP groups, univariate Cox proportional regression hazards models showed that a FVC value and pack-years were significantly associated with the development of LC in IPF patients and in chronic HP patients, respectively (Tables 5 and 6).