Identifying the putative causal proteins on OP
An overview of the study design is shown in Fig. 1. Based on the GWAS study with the largest scale and the most comprehensive coverage, we conducted a TSMR analysis to identify the putative causal proteins that influencing the risk of OP. According to the selection criteria for instrumental variables (IVs), 11,980 proxies representing 4,253 unique proteins possessed sufficient IVs (n ≥ 3) for the MR analysis, with the number of IVs ranging from 3 to 156 (Supplementary Table S1, S2). The F-statistic of all IVs was greater than 10 (Supplementary Table S1), supporting that these cis-pQTLs are strong instruments. We employed 5 different methods (MR Egger, Weighted median, Inverse variance weighted (Ivw), Simple mode and Weighted mode) for MR analysis, and through the Ivw method, we identified 5 plasma proteins that are associated with the risk of OP (Supplementary Table S3). Given that there was only one positive result after Bonferroni correction with p < 1^10 − 5, we set the p-value threshold at p < 0.001 (Fig. 2a). As depicted in Fig. 2b, proteins CD14, LI6ST, and RUFY1 originated from chromosome 5, while TMEM38B stemmed from chromosome 9, and MGP was derived from chromosome 12. Of these 5 proteins, CD14, RUFY1, and IL6ST contribute to an increased risk of OP (with OR values of 1.249, 1.545, and 1.177, respectively, p < 0.001), while MGP and TMEM38B exert inhibitory effects on OP risk (with OR values of 0.754 and 0.767, respectively, p < 0.001) (Table 1, Fig. 2c).
Table 1
The results of TSMR and drug-target MR.
Exposure | Outcome | Method | β | β 95% CI | OR | OR 95% CI | P value |
MGP | OP | Ivw | -0.283 | -0.406 --0.16 | 0.754 | 0.667–0.852 | p<0.001 |
TMEM38B | OP | Ivw | -0.265 | -0.413 --0.117 | 0.767 | 0.662–0.889 | p<0.001 |
IL6ST | OP | Ivw | 0.163 | 0.067–0.26 | 1.177 | 1.069–1.297 | p<0.001 |
CD14 | OP | Ivw | 0.222 | 0.11–0.335 | 1.249 | 1.116–1.398 | p<0.001 |
RUFY1 | OP | Ivw | 0.435 | 0.188–0.682 | 1.545 | 1.207–1.979 | 0.001 |
OP | MGP | Ivw | -0.083 | -0.225 -0.058 | 0.920 | 0.799–1.06 | 0.248 |
OP | TMEM38B | Ivw | -0.092 | -0.23 -0.045 | 0.912 | 0.795–1.046 | 0.188 |
OP | IL6ST | Ivw | -0.024 | -0.168 -0.12 | 0.976 | 0.845–1.128 | 0.744 |
OP | CD14 | Ivw | -0.058 | -0.198 -0.083 | 0.944 | 0.82–1.086 | 0.420 |
OP | RUFY1 | Ivw | -0.097 | -0.234 -0.041 | 0.908 | 0.791–1.041 | 0.167 |
CD14 eQTL | OP | Ivw | 0.226 | 0.016–0.436 | 1.254 | 1.016–1.547 | 0.035 |
CD14 | IgD + CD38- B cell | Ivw | 0.349 | 0.349 − 0.145 | 1.418 | 1.068–1.882 | 0.016 |
CD14 | BCD38_on_IgD | Ivw | -0.268 | -0.533 --0.003 | 0.765 | 0.587–0.997 | 0.047 |
IgD + CD38- B cell | CD14 | Ivw | 0.002 | -0.002 -0.007 | 1.002 | 0.998–1.007 | 0.278 |
anti-CD14 | OP | Ivw | 0.226 | 0.016–0.436 | 0.798 | 0.646–0.984 | 0.035 |
OP indicates osteoporosis; Ivw, inverse variance weighted; MGP, matrix Gla protein; TMEM38B, transmembrane protein 38B; IL6ST, interleukin 6 cytokine family signal transducer; RUFY1, RUN and FYVE domain containing 1 |
Due to the potential influence of pleiotropy in MR analysis, several sensitivity analyses were conducted. Both Ivw MR and MR-Egger regression indicated a similar direction of effect on OP risk, as well as comparable estimates for all identified proteins. Cochrane's Q test revealed low heterogeneity in the associations between plasma proteins and OP risk (Supplementary Table S4, Table 2). MR-Egger intercept analysis provided little evidence of directional pleiotropy for all five proteins (p > 0.05) (Supplementary Table S5, Table 2).
Table 2
Summary results of pleiotropy test
Outcome | Exposure | Egger intercept | Estimate | P value |
OP | RUFY1 | -0.005 | 0.035 | 0.89 |
OP | MGP | -0.014 | 0.009 | 0.159 |
OP | TMEM38B | 0.005 | 0.015 | 0.761 |
OP | IL6ST | -0.002 | 0.007 | 0.771 |
OP | CD14 | -0.016 | 0.036 | 0.672 |
OP | CD14 eQTL | 0.1 | 0.148 | 0.623 |
IgD + CD38- B cell | CD14 | 0.035 | 0.053 | 0.553 |
BCD38 on IgD | CD14 | 0.023 | 0.034 | 0.537 |
OP indicates osteoporosis; Ivw, inverse variance weighted; MGP, matrix Gla protein; TMEM38B, transmembrane protein 38B; IL6ST, interleukin 6 cytokine family signal transducer; RUFY1, RUN and FYVE domain containing 1 |
To exclude the influence of OP on the causal relationship of plasma proteins, we conducted a reverse MR analysis next. Based on the criteria for selecting IVs, 15 SNPs were finally included in the MR analysis (Supplementary Table S11). The Ivw method was utilized for this analysis. The results showed no significant association between OP and these five plasma proteins (p > 0.05) (Table 1). In summary, these findings indicate that OP did not cause changes in the levels of these five proteins in circulating plasma, suggesting that abnormalities in these proteins in plasma may be risk factors for OP.
To validate the reliability of the results, we further conducted a validation using whole blood eQTL data. Eventually, we selected 3 SNPs representing CD14, 4 SNPs representing RUFY1, and 2 SNPs representing TMEM38B for the MR analysis (Supplementary Table S6). However, there were no valid SNPs for MGP and IL6ST to conduct the MR analysis. The results showed that CD14 significantly increased the risk of OP (OR = 1.254, 95%CI 1.016–1.547, p = 0.035) (Table 1, Fig. 2c). We also analyzed the GEO dataset GSE230665 and similarly discovered a significantly elevated expression of CD14 in the bone tissue of osteoporotic patients compared to that of healthy individuals (P < 0.05) (Fig. 2d). Therefore, CD14 was chosen for further investigation.
Examination of the causal relation of immunophenotypes on OP
Since many studies have shown that immune factors play an important role in the occurrence and development of OP, we next explored the impact of immune phenotypes on the risk of OP. According to the mentioned criteria for selecting instrumental variables, a total of 728 immune phenotypes were included in the MR analysis, with IVs ranging from 3 to 237 (Supplementary Table S7). We employed five methods (MR Egger, Weighted median, Ivw, Simple mode, and Weighted mode) for the MR analysis. Generally, the standard error of the Ivw method is smaller than that of the MR-Egger method45. Therefore, in the absence of heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy, the Ivw results, serving as the gold standard for MR analysis, are prioritized. According to the IVW results, 62 immune phenotypes were found to be associated with the risk of OP. (Supplementary Table S8). Among them, 42 immune phenotypes might increase the risk of OP, while 20 immune phenotypes had a protective effect against OP (Fig. 3). Furthermore, for all four associations, the MR-Egger intercept tests dismissed the likelihood of horizontal pleiotropy (Supplementary Table S9). Sensitivity analyses offered robust evidence to substantiate the robustness of the identified causal relationships (Supplementary Table S10). The stability of the data was further validated through scatterplots (Supplementary Figure S1).
Exploring the Impact of Plasma CD14 Protein on Immunophenotypes
Since plasma proteins are closely related to various immune responses in the body, we further investigated the impact of CD14 on the aforementioned 62 immunophenotypes through TSMR analysis. Similarly, 5 methods were employed for the MR analysis (Supplementary Table S12). The findings indicated that plasma CD14 protein exerted an influence on two distinct immune phenotypes of B cells: IgD + CD38- %B cells and CD38 + IgD + B cells (Table 1). Specifically, CD14 stimulated the proliferation of IgD + CD38- %B cells, whereas it exhibited an inhibitory effect on CD38 + IgD + B cells (Fig. 4). Specifically, using the Ivw method, the ratio of CD14 to IgD + CD38- %B cells (OR) was found to be 1.418 (95% CI: 1.068–1.882, p = 0.016; Table 1). In contrast, the ratio of CD14 to CD38 + IgD + B cells (OR) was 0.765 (95% CI: 0.587–0.997, p = 0.047; Table 1). Since the Egger intercept of MR-Egger showed no statistical significance when compared to 0 (p > 0.05, Table 2), we can infer the absence of horizontal pleiotropy. Our sensitivity analysis further strengthened the credibility of the causal relationships derived from this analysis (Table 3).
Table 3
Summary results of sensitivity and heterogeneity analyses
Exposure | Outcome | Method | Estimate | P value |
RUFY1 | OP | MR Egger | 5.572 | 0.35 |
| | Ivw | 5.595 | 0.47 |
MGP | OP | MR Egger | 13.324 | 0.501 |
| | Ivw | 15.542 | 0.413 |
TMEM38B | OP | MR Egger | 7.199 | 0.515 |
| | Ivw | 7.298 | 0.606 |
IL6ST | OP | MR Egger | 21.128 | 0.513 |
| | Ivw | 21.215 | 0.568 |
CD14 | OP | MR Egger | 11.731 | 0.816 |
| | Ivw | 13.761 | 0.745 |
| | MR-PRESSO (raw) | 15.555 | 0.778 |
CD14 eQTL | OP | MR Egger | 0.059 | 0.808 |
| | Ivw | 0.512 | 0.774 |
Anti-CD14 | OP | MR-PRESSO (raw) | 8.292 | 0.399 |
CD14 | IgD + CD38- B cell | MR Egger | 2.472 | 0.48 |
| | Ivw | 2.915 | 0.572 |
CD14 | BCD38 on IgD | MR Egger | 3.483 | 0.323 |
| | Ivw | 4.043 | 0.400 |
OP indicates osteoporosis; Ivw, inverse variance weighted; MGP, matrix Gla protein; TMEM38B, transmembrane protein 38B; IL6ST, interleukin 6 cytokine family signal transducer; RUFY1, RUN and FYVE domain containing 1 |
Besides, upon a further analysis of single-cell sequencing data in bone tissue, it was revealed that the content of B cells in bone tissue derived from osteoporosis patients (16.23%) was significantly higher than that in non-osteoporosis bone tissue (4.71%), which indirectly reaffirmed B cells as one of the risk factors for osteoporosis (Fig. 5a).
Previous studies have shown that CD14 can promote the growth and differentiation of B cells46–48, thus the promotional effect of CD14 on IgD + CD38- %B cells is more in line with previous research results. Since CD14 protein is also an immune factor, we further investigated the impact of IgD + CD38- %B cells on plasma CD14 protein using reverse MR analysis. Based on previous criteria, 5 IVs representing IgD + CD38- %B cells were used for the MR analysis. Through 5 analytical methods, the results showed that IgD + CD38- %B cells had no significant impact on plasma CD14 protein levels (p > 0.05) (Table 1 and Supplementary Table S14). In summary, plasma CD14 protein exerts a distinct unidirectional promoting effect on IgD + CD38- %B cells.
Mediating effect of IgD + CD38- %B cells in the association between CD14 and OP
A harmful causal link was identified between CD14 and OP risk, utilizing the Ivw model as the standard method. Specifically, the Ivw β coefficient stood at 0.222, with a 95% confidence interval ranging from 0.110 to 0.335, indicating statistical significance (P < 0.05), β3 = 0.222. A positive causal link between plasma CD14 protein and IgD + CD38- %B cells was identified, utilizing Ivw analysis as the primary method (Ivw β = 0.349, 95% CI: 0.066–0.633, P < 0.05), β1 = 0.349. In addition, after excluding SNPs in the MR analysis between plasma CD4 and immune phenotypes, the OR analysis indicated a significant positive causal relationship between IgD + CD38- %B cells and OP risk (Ivw β = 0.074, 95% CI: 0.020–0.129, P < 0.05), β2 = 0.074 (Fig. 5b). Then, the indirect effect mediated by the intermediate of plasma CD14 and OP risk was 0.026. This suggests that IgD + CD38- %B cells mediates 12% of the effect (Supplementary Table S14). In addition, Bayesian colocalization analysis revealed that plasma CD14 had an effect on OP risk with PP.H4 < 0.8 (Supplementary Table S15). Similarly, plasma CD14 influenced IgD + CD38- %B cell phenotypes, and IgD + CD38- %B cells also had an impact on OP risk (Fig. 5c).
The causal effect of CD14 inhibition on OP risk
IC14 (atibuclimab) is a monoclonal antibody against CD14, which was once used to treat sepsis and has been adopted to treat COVID-19 and ALS in recent years49–51. We intend to explore the potential of using IC14 targeting CD14 for the treatment of OP. Screening based on CD14's chromosomal location information and IV criteria revealed that only rs5744454 in the GWAS data of plasma CD14 from the deCODE database met the criteria but was not suitable for MR analysis. Therefore, we further screened the whole blood eQTL data in the GTEx database and ultimately selected rs1862176, rs9688094, and rs778587 as the three IVs for MR analysis. The results of the Ivw method showed that inhibiting CD14 has a significant protective effect against OP (OR = 0.798, 95%CI 0.646–0.984, p = 0.035) (Fig. 5d). This indicates that IC14 could serve as a potential drug candidate for the treatment of OP.
Phe-MR analysis for the associations between CD14 and 1640 phenotypes
We conducted a MR-PheWAS scanning to comprehensively assess the influence of CD14 on the risk of 1640 non-osteoporosis phenotypes, aiming to uncover its potential side effect profiles. However, in the Phe-MR analysis using the IVW method, seven associations (Acute appendicitis, Dysplastic lesion of cervix uteri, vagina or vulva, Persistent delusional disorders, Third [oculomotor] nerve palsy, Bell's palsy, Haemorrhagic disorder due to circulating anticoagulants, Arterial embolism and thrombosis) were less than the FDR-corrected significance threshold P = 0.05 (Fig. 5e and Table S15). Among these seven associations, CD14 was also a risk factor for five of the diseases (Acute appendicitis, Dysplastic lesion of cervix uteri, vagina or vulva, Persistent delusional disorders, Haemorrhagic disorder due to circulating anticoagulants, Arterial embolism and thrombosis).