Our data confirmed that GnRH antagonist protocol with analogue trigger represents a valid and safe therapeutic option for women considered more at risk of developing severe OHSS. The present study improves clinicians’ awareness when choosing between a fresh ET or a freeze-all strategy. Indeed, it showed that for women in which a fresh ET is performed firstly following the OS, after a dual triggering or a rescue protocol (Group A), such an approach can be easily adopted as it guarantees the same efficacy, in terms of pregnancy and delivery rate, and safety as a first frozen ET, in case of freeze-all strategy, but with a lower dropout rate. The modality of first embryo transfer (fresh versus frozen in case of freeze-all strategy) determined in this study the allocation of performed cycles in two groups, which resulted to be very homogeneous in terms of baseline characteristics of the population. As seen in Table 1, in fact, the only variables that resulted to be significantly different were the AMH value and the basal AFC (p < 0.001). In particular, they were found to be significantly higher in Group B. AMH and AFC are both related to the ovarian reserve and both directly correlate with the number of oocytes retrieved after ART procedures [25], which was one of the parameters taken into account for addressing patients to a freeze-all strategy due to the high risk of OHSS. On the other hand, oocytes and embryos characteristics resulted to be significantly different between the two groups (p < 0.001). In particular, the number of oocytes retrieved, inseminated or injected, fertilized and cryopreserved, and the number of embryos cryopreserved resulted to be higher in Group B versus Group A. This difference could be explained by the inclusion criteria of the groups: Group B comprises patients that, for Humanitas Fertility Center’s protocol, are candidates to elective embryo cryopreservation (freeze-all strategy) as an additional preventive tool to avoid the occurrence of OHSS. As said before, one of the characteristics for adopting such strategy is the number of oocytes retrieved (more than 20), and therefore the higher values observed in Group B for oocytes and derived embryos can be justified. The difference in the number of cryopreserved oocytes and embryos observed in the study can be also explained considering the Italian Legislation. Although less restrictive as compared to the original formulation, the current law is still limiting the total number of oocytes that can be injected or inseminated for each ART cycle. In May 2009, indeed, the Italian Constitutional Court modified the law regulating ART that had been approved in 2004 by the Italian Parliament. Some of the initial restrictions were removed, in particular allowing an individualized definition of the optimal number of embryos to be obtained to give the best chance of achieving a pregnancy while limiting the number of cryopreserved embryos to the minimum feasible [26]. As a consequence, it is not surprising that the number of cryopreserved embryos is higher in Group B considering that, in fresh transfer, some of the obtained embryos are immediately used. A variable that was found to be higher in Group A is the number of embryos transferred per procedure, being 1.8 ± 0.5 in Group A and 1.3 ± 0.4 in Group B, with a p value of < 0.001. This fact is due to the internal Fertility Center guidelines which suggest transferring more than one embryo in case of cleavage stage, while one embryo only in case of blastocyst stage. Indeed, the average percentage of embryos transferred at blastocyst stage was significantly higher in Group B (71.7 ± 40.1) as compared to Group A (37.1 ± 40.0; p < 0.001). Previous studies highlighted the fact that compared to hCG, GnRHa trigger results in similar proportion of mature oocytes (MII), ongoing pregnancy and live birth rates [18]. Oocyte maturity rate is generally related to nuclear maturity and represents the potential value of being a marker of the efficiency of ovarian stimulation and triggering. In the current study, an overall median MII rate of 0.75 was found, which is in line with what has been reported by the Vienna Consensus of 2017 [27]. However, a significant difference in MII rate was observed between the two groups. This could be potentially explained by the larger number of yielded oocytes in Group B, which could have impacted the full development of all the oocytes. Such an observation is in line with the findings of an Israelian study [28].where oocyte maturation rate was found to be significantly lower in the high ovarian response patients’ group. However, this study showed comparable implantation and clinical pregnancy rates to the normal ovarian response patients’ group. These findings confirm that, as already reported in the literature [29], an impaired maturity score has no impact on live birth rate, so also the difference documented in the current study can be considered negligible for the purposes of our analysis. Despite the observed differences in terms of oocytes and embryos characteristics, both groups in the present study share a favorable prognosis in terms of pregnancy and delivery outcomes even at the first ET, as documented in Table 2, and in terms of safety, considering the severe OHSS occurrence rate, as documented in Table 3. In particular, the positive results for Group A confirm the appropriateness of the luteal phase support routinely adopted at Humanitas Fertility Center, in the absence of which the rate of success for ART is significantly reduced. Many studies have documented the influence of luteal phase support to sustain implantation after GnRHa trigger, which is essential to prevent implantation failure and increased miscarriage rate due to luteal phase deficiency [15]. Benadiva and Engmann in 2018 reported that the administration, on top of estradiol and progesterone supplementation, of a low-dose hCG bolus (1,500 IU) on the day of trigger (dual trigger) or on the day of retrieval (rescue protocol) is in both cases effective in maintaining successful pregnancy outcomes. The same authors suggested that the number of follicles the day of trigger could be used as a potential indicator to proceed with the administration of low dose hCG or to perform freeze-all strategy [30]. Overall, the secondary analysis of this study showed that GnRH antagonist stimulation protocol with GnRH agonist trigger is effective also in terms of cumulative pregnancy and delivery rates (69.79% and 63.04%, respectively), as shown in Supplementary Table 1. Moreover, significant differences between Group A and B were observed. Since GnRHa trigger has proven to be effective in achieving a successful cumulative delivery rate, the study subsequently aimed at investigating if there were any variables that could have decreased or increased the probability of reaching such outcome. The fact that the adoption of freeze-all strategy per se positively influenced the achievement of an effective delivery (as shown in Supplementary Table 2) is fully supported by literature data especially in patients at risk for OHSS [31–33], indeed it has been reported that freeze-all strategy could be more advantageous than fresh embryo transfer in terms of pregnancy rate and live birth rate if high numbers of oocytes are collected. However, when pregnancy is achieved, the median time to first live birth is very similar between the two groups, namely 9.24 months in Group A and 9.44 months in Group B as shown in Supplementary Fig. 1. The survival analysis was performed after removing patients who underwent a single ET which did not result in live birth from both groups and considering as starting time for Group B the date of thawing process. This was done to reduce the potential bias of the difference in time between the two groups linked to the time interval needed to perform ET after freeze-all which, according to Humanitas Fertility Center’s protocol, is performed after the second menstrual cycle following the oocyte retrieval procedure. Moreover, the curves also suggest that the majority of live births occurred after the first (most of the cases) or second ET performed, since most (50th centile) events were located around 9 months. After having assessed that freeze-all strategy had an impact on the probability of delivering, the study further progressed to investigate if other characteristics could have determined a higher or lower probability on its achievement. The logistic regression analysis (shown in Supplementary Table 2) highlighted the fact that the presence of primary infertility and higher AMH level were associated to increased probability of achieving an effective delivery; while female and male partner’s age, duration of infertility and previous miscarriages were associated with a decreased probability. Rather than suggesting that primary infertility could lead to an increased probability of delivery, it is the strong association with a significant lower age of mothers with this diagnosis in the study sample (p = 0.001) which could explain the observed positive effect. AMH level resulted to be correlated with a higher probability of delivery, and this, as already reported, is correlated with the known association between AMH values and number of oocytes retrieved after an ART procedure, which is associated with increased cumulative live birth rate, as reported in the literature [25].The inverse relationship between female and male partner’s age, with the probability of an effective delivery is well known and largely reported in the literature [34–37]. The findings of this study are therefore fully aligned with this evidence. Also the inverse correlation of duration of infertility and previous miscarriages with the probability of conception could be explained by the known negative effect of these characteristics on the likelihood of an effective delivery [35, 38–39]. In summary, the GnRHa trigger in combination with GnRH antagonist stimulation protocol resulted to be effective in achieving a successful delivery and none of the factors that have been assessed seemed to have had a novel or unexplained impact on the delivery outcome. As already described, the novelty of the present study is the primary analysis of the study focused on the assessment of potential differences in pregnancy and delivery outcomes based on the first embryo transfer procedure adopted in the two groups. The clinical equivalent effectiveness of both procedures has been proven by the analysis of the pregnancy outcomes, as defined by ongoing pregnancy rate and delivery rate. In fact, 41.37% of cycles in Group A and 42.92% in Group B led to an ongoing pregnancy, and 35.43% versus 33.20% respectively led to delivery (Table 2). These results are aligned with previous studies reported in the literature [13, 40–41]. The subsequent analysis of pregnancy outcomes and delivery distribution reported in Table 2 further corroborated the clinical equivalence of the concerned strategies. No differences have been observed in terms of ectopic pregnancy rate between the two groups, although miscarriage rate resulted to be significantly higher in Group B as compared to Group A (20.24% vs 11.17% respectively; p = 0.008). This could be explained by the fact that the selection protocol adopted in our center allocated to Group B most of the patients with polycystic ovary. By definition, polycystic ovary is characterized by an increased AFC at ultrasound investigation [42]. The higher prevalence of polycystic ovary in Group B is supported by the significantly higher AFC values (p < 0.001) reported in Group B, as shown in Table 1. As reported in the literature [43], the higher prevalence of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in Group B could justify the significantly increased miscarriage rate that was observed in our study. Indeed, whether or not a freeze-all strategy could lead to a different miscarriage rate compared to fresh ET is still controversial and also a recent meta-analysis could not reach a final conclusion [44]. On the other hand, the delivery distribution (singleton, twins and triplets) was significantly different between the two groups (p < 0.001). In Group A, the multiple birth rate was higher than in Group B, regarding both twins (21.05% Group A vs 4.67% Group B) and triplets (0.66% Group A vs 0.31% Group B). The fact that women undergoing fresh embryo transfer tended to deliver a larger proportion of twins or triplets could be explained by the fact that such transfers were mostly performed at an earlier stage of embryo development than for thawed transfers, as confirmed by the lower average percentage of transfers at blastocyst stage in Group A (Table 1). To compensate for the lower probability of implantation associated to transfers at cleavage stage [45], the routine protocol adopted at Humanitas Fertility Center suggests the transfer of 2 embryos instead of one, which is the number recommended for the blastocyst stage. This has been clearly demonstrated by the fact that the number of embryos transferred in Group A is significantly higher than the one in Group B (1.8 ± 0.5 vs 1.3 ± 0.4 respectively; p < 0.001). Transferring more than one embryo, indeed, increases the probability of having multiple pregnancies as described in the literature [46]. This should be kept in mind since multiple pregnancy is the most frequent iatrogenic complication in ART procedures [47]. Multiple pregnancy indeed increases the number of maternal and fetal complications [48–49]. Since the clinical effectiveness of the two approaches could be considered almost equivalent, the analysis progressed in assessing if also their relative safety could be considered comparable. Overall, the two approaches resulted to be associated with a very low incidence of severe OHSS, as it was observed in 19 cases only over 1,396 cycles of stimulation (1.36%), as shown in Table 3. Such a positive outcome was related to the adoption of GnRH agonist as trigger in all the patients. The lack of a direct stimulation of intraovarian release of vasoactive factors such as vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) associated with the GnRHa trigger as compared to hCG trigger is the explanatory cause of the low incidence of OHSS that was observed. The adoption of GnRHa as trigger also causes a FSH mid-cycle surge associated with a LH surge. This mid-cycle hormonal modulation is more consistent with the physiological mechanism since it mimics the natural cycle which is relevant for oocyte maturation. Additionally, LH has a much shorter (6 to 8 times) half-life compared to hCG, resulting in an earlier luteolysis which is essential for preventing OHSS [2–3. 5, 11, 50–51]. Overall, the incidence of OHSS in the moderate risk population clustered in Group A turned out to be very low (1.17%), thus confirming the suitability of the adopted fresh transfer strategy for these patients. The adoption of a freeze-all strategy in Group B, which clustered patients at severe risk of OHSS only, further protected them from the occurrence of OHSS, as demonstrated by the not significant difference recorded in the current study. In conclusion our study confirmed the clinical efficacy and safety of the GnRH antagonist protocol with agonist trigger for women at risk of developing OHSS, in both groups, though the dropout rate resulted significantly higher in cycles where freeze-all approach was set. Such a result, explained probably by the badly tolerated interval period between the ovarian stimulation and the first embryo transfer that may discourage couples, should be considered when the clinician is in doubt whether or not to freeze-all in borderline OHSS-risk patients. This observational study has one of its key strengths in its representativeness of real-world, single-center experience. The Humanitas Fertility Center treats a large number of patients every year, and this is reflected by the large population recruited for the study and their relatively long follow-up period. Another strength of the study is the novelty of the focus on the very first ET outcomes between the two approaches since it has not been investigated thoroughly in literature as far. On the other hand, concerning possible limitations, at the time of oocyte retrieval, on the basis of number of retrieved oocytes, age of the patient, patient’s clinical history, risk factors assessment and couple’s desires, the physician could have decided to proceed with fresh ET or to cryopreserve embryos overruling the indications of the standard protocol. The long period of observation (2012–2020) is also a potential bias for the study. Some factors, indeed, have changed in key aspects of the applied procedures over time, such as the reduced number of transferred embryos per procedure and the increased rate of embryos transferred at the blastocyst stage, as well as advances in technologies and knowledge. Also the inter-operator variability should be taken into account considering the high number of physicians and biologists performing the concerned procedures at our center. Finally, retrospective data from a single center cannot be easily generalized to other populations or countries. In addition, it should be considered that the Italian legislation, which limits the number of embryos that can be obtained by fertilization, could have impacted some of the outcomes of the study. This could be relevant when the results have to be extrapolated to countries where the existing legislation is less restrictive. New prospective studies on broader populations are probably needed to clarify and validate some findings of the current research. The actual reasons for the observed risk of miscarriage rate with freeze-all strategy, possibly related to issues of the population characteristics, or the final understanding if the adoption of a standard elective freeze-all strategy in all patients at risk of OHSS would increase the dropout rate, are questions which still lack a final answer. The current study found that fresh ET approach was associated with an increased multiple birth rate, for which women should be clearly informed upfront.