3.1 Characteristics of the participants
The demographic and clinical characteristics of the genetic case-control study are summarized in Table 1. Compared to the control group, the IS group had an older age (median age 67 vs. 64, P < 0.001), a higher proportion of men (59.7% vs. 38.9%, P < 0.001), and a lower proportion of drinkers (14.3% vs. 22.3%, P < 0.001). Furthermore, in the IS group, the prevalence of hypertension (68.4%), diabetes (26.0%), and dyslipidemia (7.6%) were higher compared to the control group (41.0%, 10.6%, and 4.3%, respectively; P < 0.001). Significant differences were also found in SBP, DBP, TC, HDL-C, and GLU between the IS and control groups (P < 0.01).
In the transcriptome analysis of the case-control study, there were no significant age or sex differences between the IS and control groups. However, the IS group had lower proportions of drinkers (9.7% vs. 30.5%, P < 0.001) and smokers (15.1% vs. 33.7%, P < 0.001) compared to the control group. In the IS group, the prevalence of hypertension (62.3%) and diabetes (25.2%) was higher compared to the control group (46.0% and 15.6%, respectively; P < 0.05). Compared to the control group, the IS group had higher SBP and DBP, and lower GLU, TC, and HDL-C (P < 0.05). Table 1 also provides an overview of the cohort study participants' characteristics, while Supplementary Table 2 contains details regarding the characteristics of the prospective study related to long-term mortality after an IS.
3.2 Association analysis of tagSNPs and IS in the case‐control study
The genotype distributions of the three IGF2 SNPs were consistent with Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) in both the IS and control groups (all P > 0.1) (Supplementary Table 3). Individuals carrying the AG/GG genotypes of IGF2 rs3741211 showed a significantly higher risk of IS (Supplementary Table 3). The OR (95%CI) for the dominant model was 1.130 (1.016-1.256, P = 0.024). The rs2585 (T > C) variant was associated with an increased risk of IS, even after covariate adjustments (Fig.1). The adjusted OR (95% CI) for the dominant model was 1.151 (1.014-1.305, P = 0.047). Additionally, the rs3741211 (A>G) and rs2585 (T>C) variants were significantly associated with an increased risk of LAA, even after covariate adjustments. The adjusted ORs (95% CIs) for the dominant models were 1.196 (1.022-1.399, P = 0.025) and 1.195 (1.007-1.418, P = 0.025), respectively (F ig.1). No significant associations were observed between the rs3741211, rs10770125, and rs2585 variants and the risk of SAA (Supplementary Table 4).
In addition, stratified analysis revealed a significant association between rs10770125 (A > G) variant and an increased risk of IS in the hypertension group, and the adjusted OR (95% CI) of additive model was 1.125 (1.003-1.262) (Supplementary Table 5, 6). Moreover, heterogeneity was observed for the association of rs3741211 with IS in subgroups of men and hypertension (I2: 64.8% and 77.2%, respectively; P values: 0.013 and 0.020, respectively), and for the association of rs10770125 with IS between age groups (I2: 71.6%; P value: 0.060).
3.3 Interaction analysis
A negative interaction between IGF2 rs3741211 and sex was detected with RERI and AP values (95% CIs) of -0.248 (-0.471, -0.225) and -0.519 (-0.977, -0.127) respectively. Additionally, a positive interaction was observed between IGF2 rs3741211 and hypertension was detected, with RERI, AP, and SI values (95% CIs) of 0.824 (0.340, 1.326), 0.234 (0.100, 0.345), and 1.485 (1.161, 1.899) respectively (Table 2).
3.4 Haplotype analyses of rs10770125–rs2585 and IS
Compared to the A-T haplotype of rs10770125 and rs2585, the haplotypes of A-C and G-T showed a significantly higher risk of IS (Table 3). The adjusted ORs (95% CIs) were 1.211 (1.064-1.378) and 1.547 (1.170-2.045) respectively. Additionally, in comparison to the A-T haplotype, the haplotypes of A-C and G-T were significantly associated with the increased risk of LAA [Adjusted ORs (95% CIs): 1.593 (1.103-2.301) and 1.259 (1.060-1.495)] while the haplotype G-T was significantly associated with the increased risk of SAA [Adjusted OR (95% CI): 1.566 (1.139-2.154)] (Table 3).
3.5 Association analysis of tagSNPs and IS incidence risk in cohort study
Over an average follow-up of 11.54 years, 314 of the 4098 (7.78%) participants had an incident stroke. The rs3741211, rs10770125, and rs2585 variants were not significantly associated with the incidence risk of IS, even after adjusting for covariates [Adjusted HRs (95%CIs) for the dominant model were 0.837(0.668-1.049), 0.868(0.697-1.082), and 0.876(0.695-1.104)] (Supplementary Tables 7 and 8). Further stratification analysis did not reveal any significant associations (Supplementary Tables 9 and 10).
3.6 Association analyses of tagSNPs and the long-term death risk after IS
Carriers of the GG genotype for IGF2 rs10770125 exhibited a significantly higher risk of HS, with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 2.035 (1.038-3.990) in the recessive model (Supplementary Tables 11 and 12). Conversely, rs3741211 AG/GG carriers had a lower risk of stroke death compared to AA carriers, with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 0.744 (0.559-0.990) in the dominant model (Supplementary Table 12).
3.7 Comparison of IGF2 mRNA expression level between IS cases and controls
The mRNA expression level of IGF2 was found to be significantly lower in IS patients compared to healthy controls (0.665 vs. 0.898, FC = 0.740, P = 0.002). Additionally, within the IS subtypes, LAA (0.668 vs. 0.898, FC = 0.744, P = 0.022) and SAA (0.673 vs. 0.898, FC = 0.750, P = 0.007) showed lower IGF2 mRNA expression levels when compared to the control group (Fig.2).
Significant differences in IGF2 mRNA expression levels were observed among the rs3741211 AA, AG, and GG genotypes in the IS group (P = 0.004) (Fig.3). Additionally, significant differences in IGF2 mRNA expression levels were observed among rs10770125 and rs2585 genotypes in both the control and IS groups (all P values < 0.05). Furthermore, IGF2 mRNA expression tended to increase with the rs3741211 (A > G), rs10770125 (A > G), and rs2585 (T > C) variants in the IS group (P trends were 0.040, 0.001, and < 0.001, respectively) (Supplementary Table 13).
3.8 RCS analysis of IGF2 mRNA expression level with IS
We used RCS to flexibly model and visualize the correlation between IGF2 mRNA expression level and the risk of IS. The risk of IS exhibited a gradual decrease in correlation with the increase in IGF2 mRNA expression levels, until it reached the median value of 0.769, beyond which the risk appeared to stabilize (Pnonlinear = 0.015) (Fig.4).
3.9 Correlation analysis of IGF2 mRNA expression level with NIHSS score and mRS score
Spearman correlation analysis revealed a consistent negative correlation between IGF2 mRNA expression and NIHSS scores in IS cases at 1 month (r = -0.197, P = 0.017), 3 months (r = -0.199, P = 0.016), and 6 months (r = -0.191, P = 0.022) after discharge (Fig.5). Furthermore, a significant negative correlation was observed between IGF2 mRNA expression and mRS scores in IS cases at both 3 months (r = -0.172, P = 0.038) and 6 months (r = -0.163, P = 0.049) after discharge (Fig.5).