The findings of the four sero-epidemiological surveys conducted among the community population of Shandong Province revealed a decline in the prevalence of HBsAg, from 6.40% in 1992 (1–59 years)[12], to 3.39% in 2006 (1–59 years)[10], to 2.49% in 2014 (1–59 years)[10], and to 2.25% (the entire population aged over 1 year) in 2023. Our findings highlight the fact that the province remains an area of intermediate endemicity of HBV infection, yet it is undergoing a gradual transition towards a low-prevalence status (< 2%). In comparison to the prevalence of HBsAg among individuals younger than 30 years in the pre-vaccine era of 1992, the 2023 survey revealed a marked reduction in this metric, falling to a prevalence of only 0.28%. Of note, the prevalence among children aged 1–14 years had declined from 8% in 1992, to 1.36% in 2006, to 0.21% in 2014, and further to less than 0.1% in 2023. If the province is taken as a unit, this represents a great advance towards the WHO’s goal of eliminating viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030. A model estimation indicates that the HBsAg positivity rate among children aged < 5 years in China is anticipated to fall below 0.1% by 2025[15]. The observed decline in HBsAg prevalence should be attributed primarily to the beneficial impact of universal childhood vaccination policies begining in 1992 and had covered all the population under 30 years of age by 2023. Additionally, the program for integrating the prevention of MTCT of HIV, syphilis, and HBV has had a positive impact since 2011, which provided HBsAg screening for pregnant women and free HBIG for infants born to all HBsAg-positive mothers. The Chinese government plans to achieve the goal of eliminating MTCT of the three diseases by 2025, with one of the aims of reducing the rate of HBV transmission to less than 1%. A national evaluation and validation of the Shandong Province's elimination program is scheduled to be completed in the second half of 2024.
In the 2023 survey, the higher prevalence of HBsAg was present in individuals aged ≥ 30 years, similar to the results of other seroepideniology studies conducted in China[16, 17]. Subsequent analysis indicated that the peak prevalence of HBsAg was seen in the population aged 30–49 years, consistent with the results of the 2020 survey in Beijing[18]. With the improvement of routine hepatitis B immunization, the shift in the age of HBV infection, and the improvement of socio-economic levels, it is becoming increasingly evident that an emphasis on hepatitis B immunization for populations beyond eligible children is is also essential for accelerating hepatitis B elimination. The administration of HepB to healthy adults has been shown to be good at inducing the production of protective antibodies and providing a long-lasting immune memory[19–22]. However, in recent years, only a limited number of pilot areas in Shandong Province have implemented a free HepB policy for certain high-risk adults, whereas the province as a whole still adopts a voluntary, self-paid model of HepB immunization for adults. The deficiencies in this strategy, coupled with other factors, has resulted in suboptimal HepB coverage in the province, especially in rural areas[23]. Thus, HepB immunization for susceptible adults should be intensified so as to reduce the incidence of hepatitis B in adults and the whole population.
Consistent with previous findings[9, 16, 17], the results of our study in 2023 indicated that the prevalence of anti-HBs was highest among children aged 1–4 years, with a subsequent decline in prevalence with increasing age under 20 years of age. Currently, it is generally not recommended to provide booster immunizations for immunologically completent individuals who have received a full primary series due to the presence of immune memory[24, 25]. Nevertheless, a minority of researchers hold the view that the booster immunization should be administered when anti-HBs levels decreased < 10 mU/ml, as this may result in the loss of immune memory and an increased difficulty in stimulating the memory response[26, 27]. Additional studies is needed to offer insights into the optimal vaccination strategies for ensuring durable protection against HBV. In addition, the prevalence of anti-HBs rebounded in the 20–29 and 30–39 age groups in comparison to that observed in the 10–19 age group, and then kept below 43% in subsequent age groups. The observed increase in the 20–29 age group might be primarily attributed to the implementation of a booster dose of HepB to college freshmen with negative or weakly positive serological results[28]. The rise in the 30–39 age group is likely the result of a combination of factors, including vaccination and an increase in natural HBV infection.
As expected, the 2023 survey revealed that the prevalence of anti-HBc was markedly higher in individuals aged ≥ 30 years than in those aged 1–29 years, which was in accordance with the HBsAg findings of this study. Notably, children aged 1–4 years showed a higher prevalence of anti-HBc compared to that in 2006 and 2014. In light of the fact that none of these children had HBsAg positivity, it is speculated that the higher prevalence of anti-HBc might be due to maternal transmission across the placental barrier. This warrants investigation of maternal HBV serologic markers[29]. Also, the relatively small sample size of this age group in the 2023 survey might lead to potential biases in the study. Additionally, it was observed that a greater prevalences of anti-HBc was present in individuals residing in urban areas than in those in rural areas, possibly due to the fact that high-risk behaviors, such as unsafe sexual behavior and intravenous drug use, were more common in urban settings[30].
The study found that the prevalence of HBsAg, anti-HBs, and anti-HBc among different occupational groups in 2023 varied considerably, with relatively high HBsAg prevalence observed in public service workers, farmers, and workers. This finding aligns with results from prior studies conducted in the province and in other regions[10, 18, 31]. The high prevalence in these groups was likely due to a combination of factors, including frequent interpersonal contact, limited knowledge about HBV infection and prevention, and low awareness of proactive HepB vaccination. It is recommended to publicize and popularize the knowledge of hepatitis B for these occupational groups. Concurrently, efforts should be made to elevate the coverage of HepB for them.
As a country with the greatest burden of HBV infection worldwide, China will play a pivotal role in the global eradication of hepatitis B by 2030[32]. However, the current situation is such that there are still large gaps in achieving the goals of reducing HBV mortality and elevating the coverage of diagnosis and treatment[33]. The current high prevalence of HBsAg in older adults represents a substantial risk factor for HBV transmission and chronic complications. Furthermore, the majority of chronic HBV-infected individuals were unaware of their HBV infection status, with a previous study showing that more than 80% of adults with HBV infection was unable to receive treatment due to a lack of awareness about their illness[34]. A delayed diagnosis can result in a delayed detection of cirrhosis, liver failure, and hepatocellular carcinoma due to the asymptomatic nature of these conditions until the onset of end-stage liver disease[35]. Consequently, the implementation of optimal hepatitis B screening and management strategies, along with the early initiation of treatment, will be a critical step towards the goal of eliminating hepatitis B in China.
Some limitations of the study should also be taken into consideration. Firstly, the sampling population for the survey was derived from the serosurvey of anti-SARS-Cov-2 antibodies rather than a standard study design of hepatitis B sero-survery. Moreover, the 10 survey counties selected in 2023 differed from those surveyed in 2006 and 2014 ( both in the same 12 counties)[10, 11]. These discrepancies may weaken the representativeness of the surveyed population in Shandong Province. Secondly, the testing methods used in the 2023 survey differed from those used in 2006 and 2014, potentially resulting in certain observational bias in the prevalence of HBV serological markers. The 2006 and 2014 surveys utilized enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), whereas the 2023 survey used CMIA assay. The CMIA assay represents the pinnacle of technological advancement, offering the benefits of high sensitivity and specificity[36, 37]. Hence, it may be more effective than ELISA methods in in detecting positive serologic indicators of HBV. However, specimens with indeterminate results in the 2006 and 2014 surveys were also reconfirmed through the use of the CMIA assay with Abbott reagent[10]. Consequently, we believe that the detection results of this survey were still sufficiently comparable to those of 2014 and 2016. Lastly, the 2023 survey failed to gather additional detailed information from the study participants, including the history of hepatitis B immunization and other HBV infection risk factors, thus preventing the conduct of a more comprehensive analysis.
In conclusion, our study demonstrated that 30 years after the implementation of the neonatal vaccination program, Shandong Province has achieved a substantial success in controlling the prevalence of HBV infection among young people. However, the prevalence of HBV infection remains relatively high among persons older than 30 years. In order to improve the efficacy of the ongoing efforts to combat hepatitis B, more attention should be paid to the implementation of comprehensive interventions for HBV-susceptible adults and the improvement of screening and standardized treatment rates for chronically HBV-infected individuals. Such actions have the potential to facilitate the province and the country as a whole in achieving the WHO's target of hepatitis B elimination by 2030.