In this multicentric study, we showed that 53% of the patients hospitalized outside the PICU received HFNC. Among them, 20% were finally transferred to the PICU within 6 days. In France, 53.3% of hospital used HFNC in acute bronchiolitis outside the PICU [5]. A similar rate of use is reported in other countries with variation related to indications, flow rate, feeding, and protocol use [24, 25]. Over the last two decades, PICU admissions for bronchiolitis multiplied by 10 [26]. The burden of bronchiolitis for the PICU is concerning and even more aggravated by the difficulties faced by the public hospital system due to a lack of hospital beds and a shortage of human and material resources. From this point of view, the results of the clinical trial of Franklin et al. showing a lower rate of escalation of care due to treatment when HFNC was used early during the hospital admission compared to standard oxygen therapy in general paediatric ward were promising [4]. However, the cost-effectiveness of this approach remains challenging, as well as safety, especially regarding the appropriate monitoring of patient requiring HFNC in the paediatric ward. Even though, several studies have shown that the use of HFNCs in a general ward was safe, with very few adverse events described [27–28], most of these studies were conducted with a favourable high nurse to patient ratio, which questioned the external applicability of their results. However, although reassuring about procedural safety and promising about the need for NIV, most studies have shown that HFNC, compared with standard oxygen, does not prevent patients from being admitted to the PICU, even when used early in the emergency department [3, 4].
To this regard identifying the patients who will require transfer to the PICU because of a higher risk of HFNC failure or other complications is mandatory. The question of identifying non-responders to HFNC has already been raised several times [3–6, 9–13]. In this context, this multicentre study in conventional paediatric wards in France, confirmed that prematurity, young age (< 3 months old), high respiratory score, and hypoxemia were risk factors of HFNC failure and PICU requirement, in adequation with data from the literature [3–6, 9–13].
Although these results are useful in guiding practitioners in their decision to transfer patients to the PICU, we note that a reliable indicator is lacking. ROXI has been identify as a good predictor of HFNC success in adult patients with lower respiratory tract infections [14] and recently some teams have assessed the feasibility of extending this to the paediatric population, in the PICU and in the paediatric ward as-well [16–18]. Regarding patients with bronchiolitis, Kannikeswaran et al. observed an association between ROXI and the need of positive pressure ventilation in children < 2 years old on HFNC in the paediatric emergency department [20]. Lately, in the PICU, Milesi et al. concluded that ROXI, calculated at H0 and H1 on 286 patients, had no early discriminatory capacity to predict HFNC failure [16]. They concluded that ROX-HR (= 100x (ROX/Heart Rate)) performances were better but poorly discriminant with a value at H1 4.07 (3.17; 5.41), and their result conforms with Webb et Al. [18]. In contrast, Nascimento et al., in a prospective and multicentric cohort of 102 infants in the PICU, observed that the ROXI at 12h from HFNC initiation was a discriminant tool to difference HFNC failure from success (5.8 (95% CI 4.7– 7.1) vs 7.7 (95% CI 7.2–8.2), p = 0.005), with an area under the curve of 0.716 (p = 0.016) [17]. In our cohort, we found that ROXI was significantly higher in the group of patients that were not transferred to the PICU. We identified that by applying to our population, the thresholds proposed by Kannikeswaran et al, patients with a ROXi > 6.67 have up to a 6-fold and 5-fold greater odds of transfer to the PICU or HFNC failure, respectively. Unfortunately, we were not able to record ROXI variation at different time points, nor to evaluate the ROX-HR. Nevertheless, further validation on a larger scale is mandatory. Multimodal evaluation of these patients seems mandatory and the development of a clinical score combining ROXI and m-WACS as well as other factors (Age, term of birth) is to be considered [29].
For patients who were not referred to the PICU, our study shows that their median duration of HFNC support was 2 times longer than those admitted to the PICU, and 4 times longer when considering all types of ventilatory support. These results are even more problematic given that these patients are hospitalized during the epidemic season, when paediatric care capacity is exceeded. In this context, it is important for PICU teams to provide remote support to the paediatric teams in charge of those patients, using modern day communication tools and telemedicine [30].
This study has several limits. First, this is an observational and retrospective study with no control group, so we could not assess outcomes in children not treated with HFNC and we may face information and confusion bias. Even if multicentric character, it was not a national scale, so our population may not reflect general population. Thus, given the limited sample size, further evidence is required to extrapolate these results and conclusions. Besides, in the absence of protocol for the use of HFNC and for PICU transfers, these decisions were left at the discretion of the medical team and consequently not entirely uniform. Unfortunately, we were not able to perform dynamic evaluation of ROXi and were limited regarding other risk factors. This dynamic assessment at different time points is important in daily practice and should be considered in future studies [11]. Finally, in comparison with Milesi et al. study [6], our patients appeared to be less ill according to Wang's severity score, with a third classified as "mild", a lower mean PCO2, and ventilatory escalation for only 19% of our cohort. This result could indicate that HFNC is mainly an alternative tool in less severe bronchiolitis.