Many patients with advanced and metastatic PC will progress to subsequent treatment after ADT initiation9. Whether race and ethnicity are associated with the time to subsequent treatment after 1L ADT was previously unknown. To address this, we performed a population-level analysis using retrospective data from the nationwide VAHCS to compare racial differences (NHBs, NHWs, Hispanics, and Others) in time to subsequent treatment after 1L ADT. Using a cohort of over 140,000 patients, we found all races were less likely to receive subsequent treatment relative to NHWs, with NHBs having the lowest subsequent treatment rates. Whether this represents better cancer control or undertreatment of patients who do progress remains to be determined.
In patients with metastatic PC and even in certain circumstances for advanced PC (localized very high risk with radiation; biochemical recurrence with short PSA doubling time), guidelines and clinical trial data universally support intensified ADT as this improves long-term outcomes. However, despite these guidelines, a subset of patients will receive ADT alone10. Moreover, historically (i.e. the period covered during this study), intensified ADT was not routinely recommended as the seminal studies had not yet been conducted showing the benefits of intensified ADT. Typically, PC progresses to CRPC within an average of 2–3 years, necessitating subsequent treatment to effectively manage the disease7. As such, subsequent treatment can be viewed as a sign that the initial treatment is no longer effective. Subsequent treatment options include but are not limited to chemotherapy, ARPIs, or NSAAs, all with the goal of slowing cancer progression, extending survival, and improving quality of life11. In real-world studies, where capturing disease progression is challenging, time to next treatment is often used as an intermediate endpoint12,13. However, delayed subsequent treatment can reflect either better tumor control (i.e., no need for subsequent treatment) or undertreatment of patients who do progress. In large population-based claims studies, distinguishing between these possibilities is difficult. Nonetheless, subsequent treatment remains an important clinical endpoint as it signals a step-up in care with potential associated side-effects. To date, few studies examined race as a prognostic factor for subsequent treatment.
The effectiveness of ADT in managing PC may vary across races. Vidal et al examined the relationship between race and metastases development in men receiving ADT after non-metastatic biochemical recurrence following radical prostatectomy9. Outcomes were comparable between White and Black individuals, suggesting race didn’t significantly influence the risk of metastases in this population. However, the study included a modest sample size, thus findings should be interpreted with caution. Similarly, a recent systematic review of men with metastatic Castration-Sensitive Prostate Cancer (mCSPC) treated with ADT alone (with or without NSAA), found similar survival outcomes between Whites and Blacks14. Nonetheless, some studies found poorer survival in mCSPC for Black men vs. White15,16. Notably, among the patient population newly starting ADT, no studies that we are aware of, show better outcomes among Black men. As such, it is intriguing that while we found that rates of subsequent treatment were lower for NHB men, the exact causes of this are unknown. Possibly, this may reflect undertreatment of Black men when they progress, as prior studies in both Medicare and the VA populations have demonstrated 10,17,18. Alternatively, our results may reflect better tumor control in Black men relative to White men. While intriguing, there are no current data suggesting improved outcomes among Black men with PC treated with ADT alone vs. White men. However, our large sample size, allowed us to detect modest differences in subsequent treatment. Thus, prior studies assessing outcomes by race may have been underpowered to detect improved tumor control among Black men. Therefore, we cannot conclude with certainty whether our results reflect undertreatment and/or improved outcomes among Black men and this requires further study using other surrogate endpoints for tumor control.
Subsequent treatment rates were also lower among Hispanics and individuals from other racial or ethnic backgrounds compared to NHWs. We are not aware of data specifically examining ADT and tumor control across Hispanic and Other races. However, the same recent systematic review of men with metastatic PC found no significant difference in overall survival between Hispanics and NHW men with PC14. Similar to NHB men outlined above, the absence of data suggesting differences in tumor control with ADT suggests that the lower rates of subsequent treatment may reflect undertreatment of recurrent disease. Notably, prior studies, due to limited sample sizes, may not have been powered to detect the modest associations seen in our study. Intriguingly, literature suggests Black men have better outcomes with other systemic treatments for PC such as chemotherapy or novel hormonal therapies19–21. As such, future studies are needed to assess ADT efficacy across races.
One of the notable strengths of this study is its substantial sample size of all races, which enhances the statistical power and robustness of the findings. The inclusion of a large number of NHBs individuals, often underrepresented in PC studies, improves the generalizability of the results. Moreover, a notable strength of our study is the VA’s equal access setting and low-cost medications reduce socioeconomic barriers to care .
Despite these strengths, the study has limitations. First, we were unable to isolate the precise reasons for subsequent treatments. Second, we did not capture any other measures of oncological control (PSA response, time to metastasis) which could have provided evidence to support or contradict the hypothesis that the lower rates of subsequent treatments may be linked to better cancer control. Patients were included from 2001, before current therapies (e.g., abiraterone, enzalutamide) were available, which likely explains the high rate of NSAA use as the next treatment. Finally, we lacked information on PC prognostic factors (stage, grade, disease status) to include in our multivariable models.