Anopheles species distribution
A total of 4255 adult mosquitoes were obtained from rearing of the immature stages that were collected from breeding ponds (Table S1). Mosquito counts did not differ between the sampling years (Chi-square: 𝜒2 = 20, df = 16, P = 0.22) but their proportions per site relative to the total number of mosquitoes collected were different between study sites (Kruskal test: 𝜒2 = 66.44, df = 9, P < 0.0001). Nine confirmed and distinct Anopheles species were identified (Fig. 2). These included minor species; An. coustani, An. pharoensis, An. pretoriensis, An. rufipes and An. squamosus which together represented 2.9% of mosquitoes analysed. The predominant An. gambiae s.s (38.6%) and An. coluzzii (37.4%), and An. arabiensis (5.4%) were mostly identified through SINE PCR and RFLP while the other species were distinguished with the ANOSPP algorithm. About 3.7% of the samples were determined as Anopheles gambiae s.l, and 1.6% were identified broadly as belonging to the genus Anopheles but could not be further distinguished. About 10% of mosquito samples remained unidentified. Zebilla had the highest species richness and Dodowa, the least (Fig. 2). Mosquito species distribution showed marginal significance by ecological zones (Kruskal test: 𝜒2 = 10.81, df = 5, P = 0.05).
MB prevalence and distribution
Overall prevalence of Microsporidia MB infection was 2.2% (92/4255), detected in 6 groups of mosquitoes including the unspecified Anopheles species and mosquito samples that were unidentified. Approximately 53% of the infected were An. gambiae s.s and 32% were An. coluzzii (Fig. 3A). Only one An. arabiensis (1/92) was positive for MB, representing 1.1% of the total number of mosquitoes infected with the fungus. Despite these, MB positivity did not show significant association with mosquito species (Chi-square: 𝜒2 = 12.27, df = 11, P = 0.34).
MB positivity was associated with the study site (Chi-square: 𝜒2 = 43.83, df = 9, P < 0.0005) and ecological zones (Chi-square: 𝜒2 = 39.66, df = 5, P < 0.0005) suggesting that infections were more likely to be found in mosquitoes from some sites than others. However, the data showed no differences in the observed MB prevalences among sites and ecological zones (Kruskal test: P > 0.05), implying that higher numbers of mosquitoes are probably required to observe significant MB prevalences between sites. A higher number of males were MB positive (59% males vs 40% females; 𝜒2 = 8.432, P = 0.004) (Fig. 3B).
Prediction of MB positivity in study sites, mosquito sex and species
Given the study site, mosquito sex and species, the model that best explained the occurrence of MB was with study site and mosquito sex as multivariate non-interaction terms (Additional file: Table S2). In this model, study site and mosquito sex, but not mosquito species, were significant factors that correlated with MB positivity (Additional file: Table S3). Male mosquitoes demonstrated the highest odds ratio (OR) for MB infection [OR (95% CI) = 1.85 (1.22, 2.85); P = 0.004] with probability of MB infection ~ 85% higher than in females (Table 1). With reference to Zebilla which recorded 12% of the total MB prevalence, Sawla was the only site with significant odds for finding mosquitoes with MB infection [OR (95% CI) = 3.78 (2.04, 7.68); P < 0.001] with 275% higher probability. The model was 71% accurate (Fig. 4A), and predicted that overall, a male mosquito has 3.23% chance of MB infection while a female has 1.61%. Each study site, however, showed varied probabilities with highest in Sawla and almost non-existing in Nkoranza, Dodowa, and Aveyime (Fig. 4B, Additional file: Fig S2).
Table 1
Summary characteristics of regression model results for MB positivity in study sites and sex of mosquito.
Characteristic | OR1 | 95% CI1 | P-value |
site | | | |
Zebilla | — | — | |
Sawla | 3.78 | 2.04, 7.68 | < 0.001 |
Nkoranza | 0 | 0.00, 5.9E1 + 18 | > 0.9 |
Kade | 1.4 | 0.39, 4.14 | 0.6 |
Prestea | 1.43 | 0.55, 3.56 | 0.4 |
Tarkwa | 1.14 | 0.26, 3.68 | 0.8 |
Dodowa | 0 | 0.00,2.26E + 22 | > 0.9 |
Aveyime | 0 | 0.00, 263 | > 0.9 |
Ada | 1.6 | 0.71, 3.67 | 0.3 |
Afife | 0.32 | 0.02, 1.65 | 0.3 |
sex | | | |
female | — | — | |
male | 1.85 | 1.22, 2.85 | 0.004 |
1 OR = Odds Ratio, CI = Confidence Interval |
Breeding water physicochemical parameters among study sites
A few measured water parameters were below the detectable limits, and to allow plotting and further analyses, such values were replaced with the next smallest positive number (Table S4). All the parameters showed significant differences among the study sites except, biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), ammonium-nitrogen (NH4-N) and manganese (Mn) (Fig. 5). Nkoranza differed most with Ada and Afife, being only similar in the PO4-P, DO concentrations and temperature (Table S5). Salinity was the most variable parameter, followed by sulphate (SO4) generally higher as one moves from the north to the south (Fig. 5).
Correlation of MB positivity with breeding water physicochemical parameters
We visualised the correlation between the water parameters and the proportion of MB-infected mosquitoes using PCA biplots. The first two axes explained ~ 65% of the total variance observed in the data, with calcium (Ca) ions, sulphate (SO4) and salinity contributing most to the first principal component (Fig. 6A). Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), phosphate-phosphorus (PO4-P), ammonium-nitrogen (NH4-N), dissolved oxygen (DO), manganese ions (Mn) and temperature positively correlated with MB. The remaining parameters tested, except pH, SO4, Ca, and salinity, had a negative relationship with the prevalence of the fungus (Fig. 6A).
Based on the best model (Additional file: Table S6), which incorporates turbidity, PO4-P, SO4, NH4-N, BOD, Mn, Cu, Zn, DO and site as explanatory variables for MB status, the odds for detecting MB increases by a factor of 1.04 with every unit increase in BOD [OR (95% CI) = 1.04 (1.02, 1.10); P = 0.02] and decreases marginally with increasing units of NH4-N and Mn (Table 2). With 94% accuracy (Fig. 6B), the model predicts varied probabilities for MB infection at the sampled sites which appears dependent on a site-related interaction between the BOD, Mn and NH4-N (Fig. 6C, TableS5).
Table 2
Summary characteristics of regression model results for MB positivity explained by some breeding water parameters.
Characteristic | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | P-value |
TURB | 1.00 | 1.00, 1.00 | 0.4 |
PO4-P | 1.43 | 0.59, 9.03 | 0.5 |
SO4 | 0.99 | 0.98, 1.00 | 0.2 |
NH4-N | 0.79 | 0.57, 0.96 | 0.048 |
BOD | 1.04 | 1.02, 1.10 | 0.016 |
Mn | 0.33 | 0.05, 0.81 | 0.083 |
Cu | 1.77E + 04 | 0.00, 3.36E + 31 | 0.8 |
Zn | 0.00 | 0.00, 1.37E + 06 | 0.2 |
DO | 1.16 | 0.93, 1.53 | 0.2 |
Site | | | |
Ada | — | — | |
Afife | 1.42 | 0.02, 95.1 | 0.9 |
Aveyime | 0.00 | | > 0.9 |
Dodowa | 0.00 | | > 0.9 |
Kade | 4.91E + 07 | 0.00, NA | > 0.9 |
Nkoranza | 0.00 | | > 0.9 |
Sawla | 0.30 | 0.00, 23.1 | 0.6 |
Zebilla | 0.04 | 0.00, 2.94 | 0.2 |