Although the two black-tailed deer subspecies are genetically distinct, their evolutionary history is not yet fully understood. For example, previous studies of modern Odocoileus hemionus based on mitochondrial DNA and microsatellite data supported a hypothesis that both black-tailed deer subspecies survived the Last Glacial Maximum along today’s Oregon and Washington coast, and dispersed north once conditions became favorable [20, 25]. However, those previous studies were solely based on modern individuals, which only represent a portion of past diversity. As such they may incompletely describe the evolutionary history of species as multiple demographic and evolutionary events can result in the same genetic signature in modern samples. For example, the low genetic diversity observed in modern Sitka black-tailed deer could have been a consequence of a bottleneck due to refugia survival in small populations, expansion out of refugia, or both [43]. Hence, analyzing ancient samples may significantly improve the understanding of the evolution of black-tailed deer. The earliest presence of black-tailed deer in the fossil record in Vancouver Island [~ 13.5 cal kyr B.P.; 30], Haida Gwaii [~ 12.8 cal kyr B.P.; 31], and the Alexander Archipelago in Southeast Alaska [~ 9.2 cal kyr B.P.; 9] corroborate a hypothesis of LGM occupation in southern refugia, followed by a northward dispersal along the Northwest Pacific coast. However, an incomplete fossil record may have left deer undetected from those regions. Due to the considerably lower sea level following the LGM in comparison with today, refugia along outer coastal areas of British Columbia or Southeast Alaska may have existed in areas that are now submerged [2, 44], and survival in separate LGM refugia could potentially explain the distinctiveness of the two black-tailed deer subspecies.
Deer in British Columbia
Black-tailed deer have inhabited Vancouver Island since at least 13.5 cal kyr B.P. However, there is a notable gap in the fossil record from 13.5 to 5.5 cal kyr B.P., with only one sample recovered so far during this time period (VI10; ~10.4 cal kyr B.P.). Despite this gap, the close genetic relatedness of ancient samples across this time gap suggests that black-tailed deer may have been present in the region during this period, yet are unsampled. In this case, deer may have survived the Younger Dryas, a cooling period from ~ 12.8 to 11.5 cal kyr B.P. [45], in the region. Interestingly, ancient samples from Vancouver Island appear to have had higher genetic diversity than modern individuals, indicating a loss of genetic diversity over time, probably due to long-term island isolation and potentially population contractions during unfavorable periods in the Holocene.
Previous research has identified that extant Columbian black-tailed deer from Vancouver Island and Gabriola Islands belong to a different ancestral group when compared to mainland deer [25]. The island group is closely related to ancient individuals from Vancouver Island and shares a significant amount of alleles with modern Sitka black-tailed deer suggesting a possible origin through northward dispersal. During population expansions, individuals at the leading edge of dispersal are more successful in passing their alleles to future generations [46]. This phenomenon, known as gene surfing, increases the likelihood of certain alleles becoming fixed in the population. Ancestral black-tailed deer alleles may have become fixed in deer populations inhabiting the region, and due to geographic isolation, these alleles persist in the deer populations of Vancouver Island today. This process could explain the genetic distinctiveness observed in the island group compared to mainland Columbian black-tailed deer.
Our results from principal component analysis, D-statistics, and ADMIXTURE analyses show a clear trend in linear regression, where older samples from Vancouver Island are closer related to Sitka black-tailed deer than younger and modern samples are (modern VI samples share about 50% of their ancestry with each black-tailed deer subspecies). The increased sharing of VI alleles over time with Columbian black-tailed deer (CBTD) may be due to secondary dispersal waves.
All ancient samples from Haida Gwaii possess a black-tailed deer mitochondrial haplotype; however, their placement in the Bayesian and maximum likelihood phylogenetic trees is incongruent. In the Bayesian analyses, all three ancient samples from Haida Gwaii are placed in a monophyletic clade sister to a clade that encompasses modern samples from Haida Gwaii, Central coastal British Columbia, and ancient and modern samples from Alaska, whereas in the maximum likelihood tree, they were either sister to a clade that encompasses modern samples from Haida Gwaii, Central coastal British Columbia, and ancient and modern samples from Alaska, or sister to the Vancouver Island clade. These incongruences may indicate that Haida Gwaii samples were only isolated for a short period of time and did not differentiate from other black-tailed deer, or incomplete fossil record and gaps in sampling of modern inviduals.
The fossil record indicates that deer had a very short presence in Haida Gwaii. Around 13.5 cal kyr B.P. due to lower sea level, Haida Gwaii was a much larger island stretching eastwards towards the mainland. This facilitated deer to occupy the archipelago [Figure 9c; 31, 47]. Deer disappeared from the Haida Gwaii fossil record ~ 12.8 cal kyr B.P., which coincides with the beginning of the Younger Dryas period [~ 12.8 to 11.5 cal kyr B.P.; 45]. The extirpation of deer in Haida Gwaii also coincides with the extirpation of brown bears [31]. Based on the fossil record, deer never recolonized the Haida Gwaii, until the early 20th century, when a population was introduced from the British Columbia mainland coast, and it is still present there today [16].
The arrival of deer in Southeast Alaska
Southeast Alaska marks Sitka black-tailed deer’s northernmost native distribution (individuals from the Alexander Archipelago were introduced to the Kodiak Archipelago in the early 20th century [17, 29]), but the timing of its arrival is still an open question. All deer samples from Southeast Alaska younger than 6 cal kyr B.P. shared a last common ancestral Sitka black-tailed deer matriline around 12 cal kyr B.P. which could suggest the time interval that deer arrived in Southeast Alaska and became isolated in the Alexander Archipelago. However, because older samples from SE Alaska (~ 9.2–8.5 cal kyr B.P.) possessed a mule deer mitochondrial haplotype, this divergence timing is likely underestimated.
Based on paleoclimate records and climate models, Praetorius, et al. [48] suggested periods when conditions could have been favorable for human dispersal from Beringia to the south of the ice sheets along the Northwestern Pacific Coast. These periods, likely also coinciding with favorable conditions for deer dispersals from south of the ice sheet to Southeast Alaska, occurred from 24.5 to 22 cal kyr B.P., 16.4 to 14.8 cal kyr B.P., and 13 to 11.7 cal kyr B.P. Considering the estimated divergence time of maternal haplotypes, the entrance of deer in the fossil records from Vancouver Island, Haida Gwaii, and Southeast Alaska, and the history of sea levels in the Alexander Archipelago between 13.5 (Fig. 9c) and 11.5 cal kyr B.P. (Fig. 9d), it is probable that deer could have reached the Alexander Archipelago during the last period, 13 to 11.7 cal kyr B.P. Following this period, the sea level rose up to 20 meters higher than today on the outer coast [44], potentially hindering dispersal to the Archipelago.
Two distinct Sitka black-tailed deer matrilineal lineages have inhabited SE Alaska. Ancient samples dated from ~ 9.2–8.5 cal kyr B.P. share their mitochondrial genome with mule deer, whereas all samples younger than 6 cal kyr B.P. possess a modern Sitka black-tailed deer mitochondrial haplotype. Although all studied samples before 8.5 cal kyr B.P. have a mule deer haplotype, due to an incomplete fossil record and a small sample size, deer with the Sitka black-tailed deer haplotype may have also been present in the Alexander Archipelago at this time. Nevertheless, Heaton and Grady [9] reported that one of the oldest O. hemionus recovered in Southeast Alaska (SEAK3), had an unusual antler with unique protuberances at its base, and it was different from modern Sitka black-tailed deer antlers observed in the region. Moreover, the antlers did not bifurcate, they had a sinuous above the eye sockets wider than any modern Sitka black-tailed deer, and the lower jawbone was thinner than in modern individuals. It is possible that the older SE Alaska deer group had a different morphology and was part of an isolated population, as suggested by Heaton and Grady [9].
Today, Sitka black-tailed deer in the Alexander Archipelago are the Odocoileus hemionus subspecies with the lowest genetic diversity. Modern Sitka black-tailed deer possess a significantly lower heterozygosity when compared to ancient individuals, although the “old” and “young” ancient groups yield similar heterozygosity values. The individual from Haida Gwaii in our study (SBTD4) had a higher heterozygosity than extant samples from Alexander Archipelago and Kodiak Island, indicating different levels of genetic diversity within modern Sitka black-tailed deer, possibly between island and mainland populations. The lower values observed in the Alexander Archipelago and Kodiak Archipelago (introduced from the Alexander Archipelago) may be due to long-term island isolation, whereas deer in Haida Gwaii were introduced from the mainland stock and have been isolated for a shorter period, allowing them to have a higher genetic heterozigozity when compared individulas from Alaska.
Introgression has been reported among black-tailed deer and mule deer, but has particularly focused on Columbian black-tailed and mule deer [34, 49, 50]. By contrast, little discussion has centered on modern introgression between Sitka black-tailed and mule deer. This may stem from limited geographic contact between these subspecies due to the Coastal Mountains acting as a significant barrier. However, our results with ∆-statistics were able to capture introgression from Sitka black-tailed (and the CBTD_BC group) to mule deer. Even though samples from Vancouver Island did not possess mule deer alleles or the mule deer haplotype, potentially due to an incomplete fossil record and small sample size, the mule deer mitochondrial haplotype may have been present in Vancouver Island individuals at the time of glacial retreat and could have become fixed by drift once they became isolated in the Alexander Archipelago. In this case, the introgression with mule deer could have been an older event that affected ancestral black-tailed deer individuals and diminished over time. However, our QuiBL results showed that most of the incongruence present in our modern dataset arose due to incomplete lineage sorting. Hence, it is likely that the presence of mule deer ancestry in modern populations of mule deer and black-tailed deer, as well as in ancient samples from Southeast Alaska is a consequence of a combination of past introgression between those lineages and incomplete lineage sorting.
There is a gap of deer in the fossil record from 8.5 to 6 cal kyr B.P. in Southeast Alaska, after which a matrilineal lineage turnover may have occurred, and a different lineage of Sitka black-tailed deer appeared. It is important to note that fossils from other species have been recovered from this gap, such as black bears and otters [9], suggesting that an incomplete fossil record may not be the only explanation for this gap. Furthermore, around the same period, brown bears disappeared from the fossil record on the southern islands [8, 9]. Wilcox, et al. [51] reconstructed the paleoclimate in the region during the last 13.5 cal kyr B.P. using δ18O concentrations in speleothems from caves in the Alexander Archipelago. δ18O is used as a proxy to understand past climate changes, as higher concentrations indicate colder periods whereas lower concentrations indicate warmer periods. The transition from the Bølling-Allerød warming period, around 12.9 to 12.7 ka, to the Younger Dryas period was marked by a rapid increase in δ18O concentration, which indicates a decrease in temperature. The δ18O remained constant until around ~ 9.5 cal kyr B.P. when a relatively rapid drop in δ18O was reported, suggesting an increase in temperature. However, at 8.5 ka, the δ18O rapidly increased, indicating a rapid cooling event. It is important to note that this was the most abrupt change in δ18O since 12.5 cal kyr B.P. [51]. This rapid cooling could have affected the deer population inhabiting the area, causing a bottleneck or a complete extirpation of deer from the region, followed by later recolonization. Southeast Alaska marks the northernmost native distribution of Sitka black-tailed deer, and even today, winter remains an important limiting factor for the species in the region [52, 53].
A postglacial northwards stepping-stone dispersal of black-tailed deer
Although prevous studies identified genes potentially involved with the functional divergence of white-tailed and mule deer [27] and mule and black-tailed-deer [54] it was suggested that selection may have played a relatively small role in deer speciation [27]. We were not able to identify candidate genes that may have been associated with an adaptive divergence of the Sitka and Columbian black-tailed deer lineages. Some enrichment of genes related to sensory perception and immune response was found, but such genes are generally found enriched in mammals and vertebrates [55, 56]. Signatures of positive selection may be confounded by modern gene flow and the recent split of Columbian and Sitka black-tailed deer that most likely occurred soon after the Last Glacial Maximum. Therefore, future scans of genes associated with functional differentiation between the two subspecies warrant more detailed analysis including a denser sampling of populations, including introgressed individuals between the two subspecies. For example, we just compared Columbian black-tailed deer from Oregon and denser sampling along the Northwest Pacific Coast is needed to fully understand the differentiation of the two black-tailed deer subspecies.
Modern Columbian black-tailed deer from Oregon, Washington, and southern British Columbia (CBTD) possess the highest genetic diversity of black-tailed deer, followed by Vancouver Island individuals, and Southeast Alaska. The decrease in genetic diversity along the Northwest Pacific Coast supports the hypothesis that an ancestral population of the two subspecies survived in a single refugium, likely around today’s Oregon and Washington coasts. This is coupled with the fact that deer from Vancouver Island, Central Coast of British Columbia (CBTD_BC), and Alaska (SBTD) are closely related to each other, and the timing of deer entrance in the fossil record corroborates this hypothesis. Once deglaciation began, and conditions became favorable, deer may have dispersed northwards in one main migration wave. Based on a mitochondrial molecular clock, this initial dispersal could have happened as early as ~ 21 cal kyr B.P., which is comparable to dates obtained by previous studies [19 cal kyr B.P.; 20]. However, the presence of the Cordilleran Ice Sheet along the coast during this time may have impacted their dispersal northwards.
The Cordilleran Ice Sheet reached its maximum southwestern extent (Puget Lowland, Washington) around 17 cal kyr B.P., which was followed by a fast retreat [57, 58]. However, coastal areas along outer Vancouver Island and parts of the Haida Gwaii Archipelago were likely already ice-free by 18.5–17 cal kyr B.P. [Figure 9a,b; 7, 31, 47], whereas deglaciation only began in Southeast Alaska around 16 − 15 cal kyr B.P. [2, 6]. Such temporally asymmetric deglaciation along the Northwest Pacific coast might have delayed black-tailed deer in their initial postglacial migration wave moving north as the ice sheet could have acted as a barrier during the dispersal. Until approximately 17 cal kyr B.P. (Fig. 9b), the Cordilleran Ice Sheet is thought to have covered most of the Northwest Pacific Coast; however, the lower sea level at the beginning of deglaciation on the outer coast beginning at least as early as 14,500 cal kyr B.P. may have provided ecologically viable areas along the coast for deer and other mammalian species in this period. This unique deglaciation pattern may have created temporary ice-free refuges surrounded by unsuitable habitat and ice, similar to a “stepping-stone” landscape [59]. Hence, the initial dispersal northward along the Northwest Pacific Coast may be characterized as stepping-stone migration, with temporary genetic isolation along the British Columbia coast until black-tailed deer reached Southeast Alaska. Due to gene surfing during population expansion, ancestral alleles present in black-tailed deer that were at the front edge of the dispersal wave could have been fixed by genetic drift during isolation. Such a stepping-stone style of dispersal, associated with expansion out of a postglacial refugium, may explain the cline observed with PCA and the decrease of genetic diversity as a result of northward dispersal along the coast, as well as the higher allele sharing between deer from British Columbia (Vancouver Island and Central British Columbia) and modern Sitka black-tailed deer.