Of 410 patients with a blunt abdominal injury, 277 (67.5%) of them managed non-operative, and 133 (32.4%) managed surgically. Twenty–four (18%) patients who managed operative had hypovolemia when admitted, while 33 (11.9%) NOM patients were hypovolemic (p = 0.096). The mortality rate was 11 (4%) in NOM and 10 (7.5%) in the OM group without significant difference (p = 0.12). Patients with OM had higher blood transfusion rates than the NOM group (44 (33.1%) vs. 55 (19.1%), p = 0.003). Victims with multiple trauma more than solely abdomen injury underwent OM (95(71.4%) vs. 168 (60.6%), p = 0.033). Also, patients with abdomen multi-organ injuries had a higher rate of OM than single-organ injuries (47 (35.3%) vs. 36 (13%), p < 0.001). Baseline characteristics and clinical futures of the two therapeutic groups are shown in Table 1.
Table 1
Comparisons between NOM and OM in patients with blunt abdominal injury, N (%)
Variables | NOM = 277 N | OM = 133 N | P-value |
Age, mean (SD) | 31.5 (18.5) | 29.9 (15.7) | 0.35 |
Sex Male Female | 220 (79.4) 57 (20.6) | 108 (81.2) 25 (18.8) | 0.67 |
Hypovolemia | 33 (11.9) | 24 (18) | 0.096 |
Shock Index < 1 ≥ 1 | 240 (86.6) 37 (13.4) | 107 (80.5) 26 (19.5) | 0.104 |
Multiple trauma Single trauma M.T | 109 (39.4) 168 (60.6) | 38 (28.6) 95 (71.4) | 0.033 |
Multi-organ injury Single-organ injury | 36 (13) 241 (87) | 47 (35.3) 86 (64.7) | < 0.001 |
GCS Severe (3–8) Moderate (9–12) Mild (13–15) | 21 (7.6) 18 (6.5) 238 (85.9) | 15 (11.4) 14 (10.6) 103 (78) | 0.13 |
ISS 1–8 9–15 ≥ 16 | 142 (51.3) 71 (25.6) 64 (23.1) | 54 (40.6) 42 (31.6) 37 (27.8) | 0.12 |
Blood transfusion | 55 (19.9) | 44 (33.1) | 0.003 |
ICU | 183 (66.3) | 78 (59.1) | 0.15 |
LOS, median (IQR), hrs | 159 (209) | 183 (186.25) | 0.19 |
Death | 11 (4) | 10 (7.5) | 0.12 |
NOM: non-operative management; OM: operative management; GCS: Glasgow Coma Scale; ISS: Injury Severity Score, ICU: Intensive Care Unit; LOS: Length of Stay |
Between single organ abdomen injuries, liver, spleen, and kidney injuries are managed non-operative with 78 (75.7%), 101 (74.3%), and 34 (89.5%) vs. 25 (24.3%), 35 (25.7%), and 4 (10.5%) OMs (P = 0.572, 0.845, and 0.019). On the other hand, the intestine and colon are managed surgically more than observation (15 (57.7%) vs. 11 (42.3%)) p < 0.001. Figure 2.
Among multi-organ abdomen injuries, kidney injuries alongside spleen or liver injuries are managed non-operative more than operative. In contrast, other multi-organ injuries were managed surgically more than NOM significantly (p = 0.002). Figure 3.
The Standardized mean difference for all variables was less than 0.1, which shows that the matching is done well. The graph below shows this.
As can be seen from the graphs below, the median and interquartile range of the tendency scores of people in different treatment approaches after matching are completely the same. Therefore, from now on, any observed effect will be the average causal effect of that factor (average treatment effect (ATE)) on the study's result.
Univariate logistic regression model revealed moderate and severe GCS compared to mild GCS, ISS 9–15, ≥ 16 compared to ISS 1–8, hypovolemia, multiple trauma, and multi-organ injuries decreased NOM probability compared to the OM. In the multivariate logistic regression model after adjustment, multi-organ abdomen injuries increased the chance of OM 3.57 times compared to NOM [OR:0.28, 95% CI: 0.171 to 0.489, p < 0.001]. Table 2.
Table 2
Odds Ratio (OR) and 95% Confidence Interval (CI) of NOM predictors
Variables | Uni-variate OR (95% CI) | Multi-variate OR (95% CI) | P-value |
GCS Mild (13–15) Moderate (9–12) Severe (3–8) | Reference 0.556 (0.267 to 1.161) 0.606 (0.3 to 1.222) | 0.586 (0.257 to 1.337) 0.971 (0.424 to 2.221) | 0.204 0.944 |
Single trauma Multiple trauma | 0.617 (0.394 to 0.964) | 0.733 (0.4 to 1.343) | 0.314 |
Single-organ abdomen injury Multi-organ abdomen injury | Reference 0.273 (0.166 to 0.45) | 0.289 (0.171 to 0.489) | < 0.001 |
ISS 1–8 9–15 ≥ 16 | Reference 0.643 (0.392 to 1.053) 0.658 (0.394 to 1.097) | 0.94 (0.503 to 1.759) 1.161 (0.575 to 2.345) | 0.848 0.676 |
Hypovolemia | 0.614 (0.347 to 1.089) | 0.772 (0.402 to 1.483) | 0.438 |
NOM: Non-Operative Management; GCS: Glasgow Coma Scale; ISS: Injury Severity Score |
The results of the multiple logistic regression are significant. They reveal that hypovolemia at the initial visit to the emergency increases the chance of mortality by 1.66 times, with a p-value of 0.029. Similarly, severe GCS increases mortality 2.89 times compared to mild GCS, with a p-value of 0.001. These findings are detailed in Table 3.
Multiple logistic regression showed moderate and severe GCS compared to mild GCS increased ICU admission 1.82 and 1.42 times, respectively, p = 0.021, p = 0.035. Also, ISS ≥ 16 compared to the 1–8 ISS increased ICU admission 1.06 times, p = 0.021. Another predictor was NOM, which decreased ICU admission by 0.70 times, p = 0.014. Table 4.
Table 3
Determining the effect of variables on the outcome of death
| Simple logistic regression | Multiple logistic regression |
Variable | Estimate (S.E) | P-value | Estimate (S.E) | P-value |
Transfusion No yes | - 0.213 (0.534) | - 0.690 | - | - |
Trauma Single Multiple | - − 0.268 (0.559) | - 0.632 | - | - |
Hypovolemia No yes | - 2.284 (0.547) | - < 0.001 | - 1.663 (0.759) | - 0.029 |
GCS Mild Moderate Severe | - 1.357 (0.891) 3.229 (0.636) | 0.128 < 0.001 | - 0.570 (1.051) 2.895 (0.903) | - 0.588 0.001 |
Age | 0.057 (0.015) | < 0.001 | 0.071 (0.020) | < 0.001 |
ISS 1–8 9–15 ≥ 16 | - − 0.078 (0.779) 1.034 (0.620) | 0.921 0.096 | - − 0.437 (0.919) − 0.398 (0.855) | - 0.635 0.641 |
Treatment OM NOM | - − 0.543 (0.532) | 0.307 | - | - |
GCS: Glasgow coma scale; ISS: injury severity score; OM: operative management; NOM: non-operative management |
Table 4
Determining the effect of variables on the hospitalization in ICU
| Simple logistic regression | Multiple logistic regression |
Variable | Estimate (S.E) | P-value | Estimate (S.E) | P-value |
Transfusion No yes | - 0.860 (0.302) | 0.004 | - 0.433 (0.338) | - 0.200 |
Trauma Single Multiple | - 0.898 (0.289) | 0.002 | - − 0.154 (0.404) | - 0.703 |
Hypovolemia No yes | - 0.580 (0.374) | 0.121 | - 0.042 (0.434) | - 0.924 |
GCS Mild Moderate Severe | - 2.153 (0.748) 1.824 (0.625) | 0.004 0.003 | - 1.822 (0.786) 1.428 (0.676) | - 0.021 0.035 |
Age | − 0.009 (0.008) | 0.259 | - | - |
ISS 1–8 9–15 ≥ 16 | - 0.989 (0.319) 1.622 (0.349) | 0.002 < 0.001 | - 0.995 (0.410) 1.069 (0.462) | - 0.015 0.021 |
Treatment OM NOM | - 0.665 (0.265) | 0.012 | - 0.706 (0.288) | - 0.014 |
GCS: Glasgow coma scale; ISS: injury severity score; OM: operative management; NOM: non-operative management |