Our results show that 10% of patients who present to ED with TBI had a clinically significant injury identified on CT scan, and 1% required neurosurgical intervention. The majority of head injuries occurred in males, were mild and due to isolated head trauma. Those with a reduced GCS and focal neurology were more likely to sustain an intracranial injury. Interestingly, one in four patients with a positive CT had a GCS 15, no focal neurology and were not on anticoagulation therapy.
NICE guidelines were adhered to in 86% of cases. Importantly, all significant injuries were identified with the use of NICE criteria in our study and those who did not meet criteria had negative head CT scans. This implies the guideline is relevant, valid and its clinical application is supported by ED doctors. A systematic review16 investigating the adherence to guidelines in TBI showed that internationally compliance was quite variable between 18-100%. Adherence was highest in centres using guidelines based on strong evidence. Adherence to the NICE CT-scan guidance was highest, reaching 70-100% in the five studies referenced.16
Despite high compliance, this study does not prove that the NICE guideline is always clinically safe. In a larger study17 2.4% of patients with a positive CT scan did not meet NICE criteria. It is reasonable for clinicians to sometimes deviate from guidelines if their clinical judgement compels them to. However, one could argue that patients with negative CTs who did not meet NICE criteria had unnecessary exposure to radiation. This could be true for 14% of patients in this study which also has an impact on radiology use and ED length of stay.
Ninety percent of CT head scans performed in this study were negative. It is unlikely improving guideline compliance to 100% will significantly reduce the proportion of scans that are negative. Looking only at those patients meeting guideline indications, 11.2% were positive compared to 9.6% in the total cohort, so there would be a very small difference. Additional tools beyond guidelines would therefore be needed to significantly reduce the need for CT scans to exclude a clinically significant injury.
One in ten scans (10%) performed revealed a clinically significant injury. Prevalence of significant injury in Europe and Australasia has been reported at 8-9%.17,18 The slightly higher incidence in this study may represent better selection of patients for CT in our study or conversely it could mean that the doctors were being over cautious and under ordering scans. It is not possible to determine this from our study and further prospective analysis would be required. Both departments included in this study have a high level of Emergency Medicine Specialist supervision which could result in better risk stratification. To the authors’ knowledge, no significant injuries were missed during the study period. The most common injury identified on CT scan were skull fractures followed by intracranial bleeding, similar to findings in other studies.17,19,20
Unsurprisingly, it was significantly more likely for those who had lost or may have lost consciousness, had a GCS <13 and those with focal neurology to have a significant injury on CT scan. Remarkably, 40% of patients with a significant CT finding had a GCS of 15 with no focal neurology. Furthermore, half had no headache and 80% were classed according to GCS scores as having a mild head injury. This is not an anomalous outcome as other research supports these findings; for example, studies from Europe and the UK show that between 58-64% of patients with significant intracranial injuries seen on CT scan had a GCS 15.17,20 Clinically this makes risk stratification without the aid of clinical tools and guidelines difficult and means that clinicians cannot be reassured when a patient appears clinically unharmed. Significant intracranial pathology cannot be excluded based solely on clinical history, examination and GCS determination, again exposing the limitations of this approach and justifying the ongoing use of the NICE guidelines despite the low yield of injuries seen following CT head scanning.
CT head scans remain a vital diagnostic tool for ED clinicians. They are widely available, easily interpreted and able to detect life-threatening injuries rapidly.21 However, in mild TBI particularly, finding the balance that minimizes unnecessary radiation exposure and economic costs whilst ensuring that patients with potentially dangerous intracranial hemorrhages are identified remains challenging.21 Because of the current limitations excluding TBI clinically in ED, research into the detection and use of objectively measured clinical biomarkers has increased exponentially over the last decade. Evidence supports the use of biomarkers as negative predictors of acute TBI detected on CT scans.5,22 In Scandinavia and other areas of Europe, guidelines are in use that include biomarkers as objective tests to aid decisions regarding which patients require CT scans as part of their management.22,23 It has decreased CT rates by 32% and is estimated to save 71 euros per patient.23
This study highlights some key learning points for ED clinicians as displayed in Table 6. The limitations of this study relate to the data collection process and retrospective design. The method used to identify patients for this study is likely to have missed patients who did not have the words ‘injury’ or ‘trauma’ in the CT head indication field. Given our baseline demographics and presenting features are similar to international literature its likely our sample can still draw valuable conclusions. Furthermore, compliance with guidelines was measured based on documentation rather than knowing specifically what the clinician asked and identified. However, it is largely accepted that clinical documentation including key decisions should be recorded as standard. Future prospective studies reviewing all TBI presentations including those who do not undergo CT scan would be useful to further review guideline adherence.