To the best of our knowledge, this is the first prospective, observational and controlled trial that directly compares the long-term efficacy and clinical outcomes after catheter ablation using RMN or CRYO in patients with PersAF. Moreover, this is one of the longest follow-ups available for an RMN study regarding either PAF or PersAF ablation. Our main findings are as follows: First, there is no significant difference in the freedom from ATs at 5 years between the two groups. Cox regression analysis demonstrates that LAV is an important prognostic factor, significantly correlated with the risk of AF recurrence. Second, there are no significant differences in the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular rehospitalizations, rates of ECs and repeat ablations, incidences of new-onset neurological events and major bleeding, as well as the change in CHA2DS2-VASc score at the 5-year follow-up. Finally, despite guideline recommendations advocating for continued OAC use in patients at risk of stroke, OAC discontinuation after ablation is common, 48.4% of patients with a CHA2DS2 VASc score ≥ 2 stopping OAC after ablation. However, the cumulative 5-year incidence of stroke is extremely low (2.2%), with an annual rate of 0.4%, despite the high rate of OAC withdrawal.
4.1 Long-term efficacy and clinical predictors for AF recurrence
In the present study, we demonstrated a comparable long-term efficacy in terms of freedom from ATs by directly comparing the two different ablation techniques in patients with PersAF. The 5-year event-free rate after an initial procedure off Class I/III AADs was 40.7% in the CRYO group, which was in line with that of other investigations. They reported a single-procedure 5-year clinical success rates of 46.9%18 and 41.4%19 respectively following a second-generation CRYO ablation for treatment of PersAF. However, the long-term success rate of RMN-guided ablation in this trial was 47.3%, which seemed higher than that from earlier studies. Notably, our study demonstrated the longest mean follow-up of RMN-guided ablation for PersAF with a medium number of patient cohort. The freedom rate of AF was only 13% after a mean follow-up of 2.3 ± 2.3 years20. Likewise, another trial reported that AF-free rates was 42% at 3.5 years post ablation21. There might be some explanations for the difference in long-term efficacy by using RMN. Firstly, previous studies used earlier generations of the RMN system, non-irrigated or first generation irrigated-tip ablation catheters. Secondly, the patients enrolled in our study were younger with a mean age of 59.1 years and smaller mean LA diameter (43.1 mm), which might significantly improve the ablation effect. Although no difference in overall ATs recurrence was observed between the two groups, the proportion of AF recurrence in persistent form was higher in the CRYO group. The lesion size, depth, durability, and even lesions covering the posterior wall of the LA created by CRYO might differ from RMN-guided ablation and lead to different presenting patterns of AF22. These issues demanded further investigation.
Recent studies and meta-analyses have highlighted that an increase in LAV is associated with an increase in therapeutic ineffectiveness in both CRYO and RF ablation for AF23–25. We also identified LAV as a risk factor remarkably predicting AF recurrence, which was consistent with previous findings. Regarding the probability of recurrence in a given patient, the LAV should therefore be considered one of the most important factors in this prediction. In addition, Ikenouchi26 et al. first reported the impact of LA size on selection of catheter ablation methods for AF. The results showed that the efficacy was comparable between the two methods without LA enlargement, but CRYO was inferior to RF ablation in patients with LA enlargement. Likewise, we found that RMN-guided ablation might favor patients presenting with a larger LAV (when LAV ≥ 143ml) by performing a pairwise subgroup analysis.
4.2 Long-term clinical outcomes and the change in CHA2DS2-VASc score
In the present trial, the cumulative all-cause rehospitalizations were nearly 50% and the cumulative cardiovascular rehospitalizations rates were more than 30% following AF ablation, with 12% readmission due to early AF recurrences requiring ECs within a 90-day blanking period, 13% underwent repeat ablations and 15% resuming Class I/III AADs outside the blanking period. However, very similar rates were found across the entire study for all-cause rehospitalizations, cardiovascular rehospitalizations, rates of ECs and repeat ablations over 5 years, suggesting the two different ablation techniques were comparable in PersAF patients. FIRE AND ICE trial have shown that all-cause rehospitalizations rate is 32.6% (CYRO) and 41.5% (RF) respectively throughout the 30 months of follow-up. Moreover, there were significant differences in favor of CRYO ablation with respect to fewer reinterventions, lower all-cause and cardiovascular rehospitalization rates27. In contrast, the CIRCA-DOSE study demonstrated the incidence of rehospitalization within 1 year was 14.5%. Additionally, no difference between CRYO and RF is observed on health care utilization (emergency department visits, rehospitalizations, ECs, AADs use, and repeat ablations)28,29. By comparison, the rate of all-cause and cardiovascular rehospitalizations were lower compared previous studies mainly due to younger age, lower rates of concomitant diseases and CHA2DS2-VASC score in our trial, hence, they might be healthier and have lower incidences of hospital admissions. Moreover, the lower incidence of repeat ablations might relate to the patients’ unwillingness to receive second procedures considering economic costs.
Moreover, our study revealed a trend towards low incidence of new-onset neurological events and major bleeding events during follow-up. Additionally, there were 38.6% of patients whose differences of CHA2DS2-VASc score increased by ≥ 1 at 5 years compared with baseline. We found five risk factors contributing to the differences in CHA2DS2-VASc scores, mainly due to increasing age, new-onset cardiovascular and neurological events.
4.3 The status of OAC therapy after ablation in real-world
In the present observational study, the rate of discontinuation of OAC after AF procedure was 68.5% at 5 years, probably according to doctor's prescription or on their own decision, thus reflecting real clinical practice. Among those stopping OAC, 48.4% of patients were at risk of stroke with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2. The high rate of OAC withdrawal led to no major bleeding event. However, at the same time, the cumulative 5-year incidence of stroke was 2.2%, with annual rate of 0.4%. Similarly, Kawaji30 et al. reported 10-year clinical outcomes after AF ablation, in which they showed the incidence of ischemic stroke was also extremely low (4.2%) with an annual incidence of only 0.3%. A previous study has revealed that the risk of ischemic stroke on the assumption of no-OAC population was estimated about 2.0% per year based on the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2.031. Thus, the rate of stroke in our study was low considering the high rate of OAC discontinuation. On the other hand, in our study, all the patients who experienced new-onset ischemic stroke suffered from AF recurrences, though they remained on OAC before stroke. Catheter ablation of AF could be useful not only to relieve patients' symptoms but also to prevent cardiogenic stroke by maintaining sinus rhythm32. Hence, we postulated that the risk of stroke was highly relevant to arrhythmia recurrence despite OAC use. Therefore, our findings have shown that recommendations are commonly not being followed in clinical practice, reflecting a lack of randomized trial data to guide practice and equipoise with regards to the appropriate stroke prevention strategy after AF procedure. This suggests a critical need to further evaluate the association between OAC discontinuation after AF ablation and subsequent outcomes.
4.4 Study limitations
There are several limitations in the present study. Firstly, our study is a prospective, observational design, but not a randomized control trial. Patients are assigned to groups based on their own preferences. However, consecutive patients are enrolled and clinical features are similar in both groups. All baseline characteristics between the two groups are revealed not to affect the endpoints. Secondly, AF recurrence rate and asymptomatic episodes might have been underestimated since no continuous or long-duration monitoring for detecting arrhythmia recurrence is systematically used. Thirdly, our study further strengthens that the two different ablation techniques are comparable in PersAF patients; however, with a limited size in a single center. These findings still show the real outcomes of daily ablation practice and confirm the results of previous trials. Large-scale randomized clinical trials are demanded to further confirm the conclusions of this study.