From 1 April 2015 to 31 March 2020 Gifu University Hospital had 2387 cases. We excluded 873 cases due to transport between hospitals for advanced medical care; 1043 cases due to trauma, other external factor diseases, and mass casualty incidents; and 19 cases because we judged them as being unsuitable for analysis, such as cases with congenital diseases affecting decision making and data insufficiency. Details are shown in Fig. 1. As a result, 451 cases were included for emergency call analysis, and 376 cases were included for emergency call analysis. Demographic data are shown in Fig. 1.
1: Analysis of validity for HEMS orders
We evaluated validity from three viewpoints: needs emergency intervention, needs admission to hospital, and the validity of the suggested diagnoses. Details are shown in Table 2. a) analysis for Emergency call (451 orders)
In the analysis of all emergency calls, 235 (52.11%) needed emergency intervention, 300 (64.4%) needed admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 261 (57.87%) cases.
When we evaluated the suggested disease group, in the analysis of suggested cardiovascular diseases (222 cases), 102 (45.95%) needed emergency intervention, 137 (61.71%) needed admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 124 (55.86%) cases. For suggested strokes (135 cases), 82 (60.74%) needed emergency intervention, 98 (72.59%) needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 74 (54.86%) cases. For suggested CPA (54 cases), 41(75.93%) needed emergency intervention, 44(81.48%) needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 43 (79.63%) cases.
For other suggested internal emergencies (40 cases), 10(25%) needed emergency intervention, 21 (61.71%) needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 20 (50.00%) cases.
2: Analysis after the first assessment by an EMT
After the first assessment by an EMT, 75 cases were removed from the analysis. Subsequently, we conducted a second analysis. Details are shown in Table 2.
The analysis results show that for all emergency calls, 52.31% required emergency intervention, 70.26% needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 69.41% of cases. When we evaluated the suggested disease group, cases of suggested cardiovascular diseases (195 cases), 52.31% needed emergency intervention, 70.26% needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 63.59% of cases. For suggested strokes (108 cases), 76.85% needed emergency intervention, 91.67% needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 74 (69.44%) cases.
For suggested CPA (45 cases), 91.11% needed emergency intervention, 97.78% needed hospital admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 43 (95.56%) cases. For other suggested internal emergencies (28 cases), 35.71% needed emergency intervention, 75.00% needed admission, and the suggested diagnosis was valid for 71.43% of cases.
3: List of initial diagnoses in hospital
The list of suggested cardiovascular disease cases and the results are presented in Table 3.
3a) Cardiovascular diseases
In the analysis of emergency calls, 55.9% of all cases were cardiovascular diseases. ACS was diagnosed in 51 cases, 23.0% of all suggested cases, and 40% of diagnosed cardiovascular cases. In addition, 27 cases (12.7% of all suggested, 21.7% of all diagnosed cases) were aortic diseases.
In the analysis after the first assessment by an EMT, 63.6% were cardiovascular diseases. ACS accounted for 26.2% of all suggested cases, and 13.8% of all suggested cases were aortic diseases.
3b) Stroke
In the analysis for emergency calls, 55.6% of all suggested cases were strokes. Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) occurred in 30 cases, 22.2% of all suggested cases, and 40% were diagnosed stroke cases. In addition, 29 cases (21.4% of all suggested, 38.6% of all diagnosed cases) were ischemic stroke, and 13 cases (9.6% of all suggested, 17.3% of all diagnosed cases) were subarachnoid hemorrhages (SAHs). In the analysis after the first assessment by an EMT, 69.4% were stroke cases. ICH accounted for 27.8% of all suggested cases. In addition, 26.8% of all suggested cases were ischemic strokes (12% of all diagnosed cases) and were SAHs.
4. Risk analysis
In this study, we analyzed the factors that affect clinical decisions and outcomes. To
reveal which phrases correspond to which complaints/symptoms, affecting clinical results such as emergency interventions, we analyzed various phrases from medical and operation records.
We performed a multivariate logistic regression analysis which included predictor variables: some phrases from order summaries (in particular, age, gender, situation, symptoms, and other characteristics), and dependent variables: needing emergency intervention, hospital admission, and validity of the suggested diagnoses.
In the analysis of the emergency calls, the risk factors for emergency intervention were years old, the situation was under sports, and the symptom was gasping. For hospital admission the risk factor was only years old. Validity for suggested diagnosis was only situations: under sports.
In the analysis of the first assessment by an EMT, the risk factors for emergency intervention were years old, being male, situation: under sports, and gasping for air symptoms. For hospital admission the risk factors were years old, being male, having stroke symptoms or experiencing disturbance of consciousness. For validity of suggested diagnoses the risk factors was only situations under sports. The details are shown in Table 4.
We also analyzed suggested disease groups for cardiovascular diseases and strokes. a) Analysis for cardiovascular diseases
In the analysis of emergency calls, the risk factors for emergency intervention were years old and situation: under sports, for hospital admission they were only years old and being male, and for validity of suggested diagnoses the only risk factor was only situations: under sports only.
In the second analysis, the risk factors for emergency intervention were years old, situation: under sports, for hospital admission they were years old and being male, and for validity of suggested diagnoses the only risk factor was situations: under sports. Details of the analysis are shown in Supplementary Table 1.
b) Analysis for stroke
In the analysis of emergency calls, the risk factors for emergency intervention were gasping for air, and downgrade factors were disturbance of consciousness and an emergency call from a family member. The risk for hospital admission was only gasping for air. The validity of the suggested diagnosis was also only gasping for air. The downgrade factor for validity of the suggested diagnoses was only a disturbance of consciousness.
After the first assessment by an EMT, there were no risk factors for emergency intervention and hospital admission. The downgrade factor for validity of the suggested diagnoses was only a disturbance of consciousness. Details of the analysis are shown in Supplementary Table 2.