A novel nomogram was developed and validated in this retrospective study to predict the incidence of lymph node metastasis in patients with lung adenocarcinoma, utilizing readily accessible PET/CT indicators. The analysis identified primary tumor location, tumor SUVmax, N1 lymph node SUVmax ≥ 2.5, and N2 lymph node SUVmax ≥ 2.5 as independent risk factors. Our nomogram indicated that patients with central-type lung adenocarcinoma, elevated tumor SUVmax, and N1 and N2 lymph node SUVmax ≥ 2.5 are at a higher risk of lymph nodal involvement. The model demonstrated robust discrimination and calibration. Hence, it might possess potential clinical utility to evaluate preoperative lymph nodal status in lung adenocarcinoma patients and might provide clinicians with valuable treatment guidance.
Clinicians predominantly depend on specific clinical features, particularly imaging characteristics, to assess the risk of LNM in lung cancer during routine practice. Several studies have suggested that metabolic and morphologic parameters observed in PET/CT scans, such as tumor size, tumor location, consolidation ratio, and metabolic value, may offer valuable insights into the likelihood of LNM.(Kagimoto et al. 2020; Kameyama et al. 2022; Nie et al. 2021; Zhong et al. 2023) Nevertheless, this subjective evaluation is limited in its ability to comprehensively estimate the probability of LNM due to the variability in clinicians' experiences. This limitation has direct implications for the management strategies employed for individual patients. Therefore, various models utilizing PET/CT have been developed and validated to predict lymph nodal involvement in NSCLC.(Fu et al. 2021; Lv et al. 2021; Mattes et al. 2015; Wei et al. 2023) Whereas, to the best of our knowledge, there are limited studies specifically aimed at constructing prediction models for LNM in lung adenocarcinoma. Consistent with previous studies, factors such as tumor location, the SUVmax of the primary tumor, and suspicious lymph nodes have been identified as significant risk factors for lymph nodal metastasis.(Fu et al. 2021; Kawamoto et al. 2023; Lv et al. 2021; Wei et al. 2023) Notably, central lung cancer characterized by a high SUVmax value of both the primary tumor and suspicious lymph nodes exhibits a markedly higher prevalence of lymph nodal metastasis. Given that our model was designed for lung adenocarcinoma patients, which could be confirmed by preoperative biopsy or intraoperative frozen section, we incorporated the precise SUVmax of the primary tumor into our model to minimize measurement error. However, for the suspicious lymph nodes, 2.5 was used as the cut-off value associated with positive lymph nodes, which is more pragmatic and consistent with current clinical habits.(Kaseda et al. 2016; Miyasaka et al. 2013) We exclusively utilized the lymph node station with the highest SUVmax, despite the potential inaccuracy arising from the possibility that a single individual may present with multiple lymph nodes exhibiting abnormal SUVmax. This approach is justifiable for two reasons: firstly, our study aimed to evaluate overall lymph nodal involvement rather than the risk associated with specific lymph nodal stations; secondly, distinguishing between metastatic hilar and interlobar lymph nodes and those that are non-metastatic is challenging due to their proximity to the bronchus and similar soft tissue characteristics.(Dyas et al. 2018; Fu et al. 2021) Thus, both N1 and N2 lymph node SUVmax were included in our model, with the latter demonstrating a more substantial contribution to the risk of LNM. Fundamentally, the identification of LNM and improvement of staging accuracy is determined depending on complete and en bloc resection of each lymph node station.(Darling et al. 2011; Doddoli et al. 2005)
In consideration of the importance of inflammation in tumor initiation, progression, and metastasis, Wei, Chen, and Wang reported that peripheral blood cell parameters such as NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in LNM patients.(Chen et al. 2020; Wang Y. et al. 2021; Wei et al. 2023) However, no statistical difference was found in our cohort. This may be derived from the different biological characteristics of adenocarcinoma and other types of NSCLC. Additionally, micropapillary and/or solid subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma have been demonstrated to correlate with LNM and poor prognosis.(Hung et al. 2016; Zhao et al. 2016) While the pathological subtype significantly influenced the risk of lymph node metastasis in univariable analysis, it was not identified as an independent predictor in our multivariable analysis. This may be because previous studies did not incorporate both PET/CT-related parameters and clinicopathological features simultaneously. Thus, these intriguing findings require to be validated by further studies with a larger sample size. Notably, some clinicopathologic factors such as vascular invasion, pleural invasion, and the existence of tumor spread through air spaces (STAS) were not incorporated into our prediction model, despite numerous studies reporting the potential increase of LNM in lung adenocarcinoma patients presenting with these characteristics.(Hung et al. 2016; Moon et al. 2016; Vaghjiani et al. 2020) For the moment, the determination of these pathological characteristics by preoperative biopsy or intraoperative FS is challenging for most pathologists due to limited access to the tissue and detection techniques, causing relatively low accuracy.
Nodal biopsy is considered the gold standard for lymph node staging in the preoperative setting, but the potential risk of invasive procedures cannot be ignored. It is thus necessary to balance the advantages and disadvantages of this dual-nature procedure to individualize the lymph node staging for lung cancer patients.(Czarnecka-Kujawa and Yasufuku 2017; Detterbeck et al. 2007) Besides, in surgical decision-making, sublobar resection and lobe-specific lymph node dissection are increasingly utilized for the surgical treatment of early-stage NSCLC due to more lung parenchyma preservation and less surgical trauma. However, lobectomy with systematic lymph node dissection is still the more appropriate choice if LNM occurs.(Dezube et al. 2022; Zhao et al. 2017) Therefore, it is advisable to recommend more aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for patients predicted by the model to have a high incidence of lymph node metastasis. Ultimately, our model may aid in identifying patients at high risk for lymph node involvement, thereby preventing missed opportunities for perioperative adjuvant therapy.
Several limitations of this study warrant acknowledgment. Firstly, selection bias was unavoidable in this single-center retrospective study, raising questions about the generalizability of our findings to other populations. There still exists some unknown potential biases between the groups although multivariable analysis was conducted to balance the apparent biases. Secondly, all included cases were adenocarcinomas. Different histological types exhibit distinct radiological phenotypes and tumor aggressiveness, which contribute to heterogeneity in metastatic behavior. Consequently, patients were divided into two groups based solely on lymph node metastasis status, a constraint necessitated by the small sample size. Additionally, PET/CT imaging is not a mandatory preoperative procedure for every patient within our department. Consequently, our analysis was limited to the subset of patients who had undergone this imaging modality. Despite conducting internal validation to mitigate adverse influence and calibrate the model, external validation using data from other centers is necessary to ensure the generalizability of this nomogram.
Table 1 Overview of FDG-PET/CT in diagnosing LNM (n = 132)