In this retrospective analysis of 6331 live-born singletons, we present the initial evidence indicating that any alteration in EMT subsequent to progesterone administration does not exert a significant impact on the birthweight of newborns in frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. Neither a decrease nor an increase in EMT following progesterone administration is associated with elevated risks of PTB, LBW, SGA, or pregnancy-related complications in term infants. Upon adjusting for several potential confounders, both newborn gender (P < 0.001) and gestational age (P < 0.001) emerge as independent predictors of birthweight.
In recent decades, considerable attention has been devoted to investigating the impact of EMT on the success rates of in vitro fertilization (IVF). Numerous studies have consistently demonstrated that a thin endometrial lining exerts an adverse influence on pregnancy outcomes(11, 22, 34, 35). Limited research has been dedicated to exploring the potential association between EMT and neonatal birthweight. In the initial investigation conducted by Chung et al., they examined various factors influencing adverse perinatal outcomes in pregnancies following IVF treatment, revealing a twofold increased risk of adverse perinatal outcome in individuals with EMT ≤ 10 mm compared to those with EMT > 12 mm(OR: 2.04; 95% CI: 1.09–3.83)(36). Additionally, a significant protective effect on infant outcome was observed with an increase in endometrial thickness (OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.80–0.99). Specifically, for every millimeter decrease in endometrial thickness, there was a relative increase of 12% (1/0.89 = 1.12) in the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes(36). However, no statistically significant difference in risk was observed when the analysis was limited to singletons (aOR: 1.66, 95% CI: 0.73–3.81)(36). Another study revealed a positive correlation between EMT administered on the day of HCG trigger and neonatal birthweight, particularly in pregnancies complicated by obstetric factors(37). The study also revealed that the increase in EMT no longer exhibited a significant association with birth weight in uncomplicated pregnancies(37). Oron et al. demonstrated that an endometrial thickness of less than 7.5 mm was associated with a significantly increased risk for adverse obstetric outcomes (adjusted OR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.03–2.42; P = 0.04). However, no significant difference in singleton live birth weight was observed(16). Du et al. demonstrated that an EMT ≤ 7.5 mm was significantly associated with an elevated risk of LBW in 2,847 singletons resulting from fresh cycles (38). In a recent large-scale retrospective study involving 5,220 singleton newborns, it was observed that individuals with an endometrial thickness (EMT) of less than 8 mm had an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.09–2.26) for low birth weight (LBW) in frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles(39). This finding is consistent with previous research conducted at our center (21, 40).
In most of the aforementioned studies, EMT was assessed during the proliferative phase prior to progesterone administration. However, it is important to note that endometrial development exhibits distinct physiological characteristics between the follicular and luteal phases. During the follicular phase, estrogen exerts its influence on the endometrium, promoting EMT and facilitating the linear growth of both endometrial glands and blood vessels(23). Under the influence of progesterone, endometrial proliferation ceases within 2–3 days after ovulation(23). Limited research has been conducted on the association between changes in EMT following progesterone administration and pregnancy as well as neonatal outcomes.
Although a limited number of studies have assessed the changes in EMT during IVF stimulation(24, 25, 27, 41–43), their findings exhibit some conflicting conclusions. The prognostic utility of the EMT change, occurring between the third day of gonadotrophin stimulation and the day of hCG administration, in predicting pregnancy occurrence was reported to be insignificant by Zhao et al. Furthermore, their findings indicated that a combined assessment of EMT change and type failed to accurately predict clinical outcomes(27). However, unfortunately, they neglected to investigate the correlation between changes in EMT following progesterone administration and the subsequent pregnancy and neonatal outcomes. Haas, J. et al. investigated the disparity in EMT between the late estrogen phase and the day of embryo transfer in 274 FET cycles, revealing a robust inverse correlation of high significance between pregnancy outcomes and changes in EMT(41). However, there were several limitations in their study. Firstly, the EMT was assessed using different measurement methods: transabdominal ultrasound on the day of embryo transfer and vaginal ultrasound at the end of the estrogen phase. Secondly, only women undergoing the hormonal preparation protocol for the FET cycle were included. Lastly, they solely focused on evaluating ongoing pregnancy rates in the FET cycle and did not investigate any potential association between changes in EMT after progesterone administration and neonatal outcomes. Another study reported that an increased endometrial thickness following progesterone administration was associated with improved pregnancy outcomes(42). However, the relationship between changes in EMT after progesterone administration and neonatal outcomes was not investigated. Our previous study demonstrated that irrespective of any changes in epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) following progesterone administration, there was no significant impact on the clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) and live birth rate during the frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycle(31). However, our previous investigation did not explore the association between EMT alterations after progesterone administration and neonatal outcomes.
The present study, aimed at addressing the limitations of previous investigations, examined the precise impact of progesterone administration on EMT change and its association with neonatal outcomes in FET cycles. Our findings, based on a cohort of over 6000 singleton newborns conceived through FET cycles, unequivocally demonstrate that any alteration in EMT following progesterone administration does not exert a significant impact on the outcomes of term newborns in FET cycles. In this study, results from multiple linear regression analysis revealed that both newborn gender and gestational age independently predicted birthweight, which is consistent with existing literature(21, 44, 45). Male neonates have been predicted to weigh 130g higher than female neonates. Each weekly increase in gestational age has been associated with a 172g rise in birthweight. To account for potential bias related to infant gender and gestational age, Z-scores were calculated and compared across the three groups, revealing consistently lower scores in Group 3. In our cohort, significant differences were observed among the three groups regarding baseline and cycle characteristics such as parity, infertility duration, FET endometrial preparation, and number of embryos transferred. However, based on the linear regression model analysis, these aforementioned confounders did not exert any influence on neonatal birthweight. Moreover, considering that pregnancy outcomes may impact birthweight, we conducted additional analyses both including and excluding this factor; nevertheless, consistent results were obtained.
Several limitations were encountered in this study. Despite our meticulous review of the database using strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, the retrospective design constrained our findings. Additionally, to mitigate potential confounding effects of culture duration on FET outcomes, we focused exclusively on neonatal outcomes following day 3 embryo transfers(46). A major strength of this study was the use of data from a single center, ensuring consistency in practice. Endometrial preparation protocols were highly consistent throughout the study period, and endometrial thickness measurements were conducted by the same doctor at our center. While there may have been some bias due to inter-observer variability or changes over time in measurement methods, we accounted for potential confounders that could have impacted our findings.