Baseline characteristics
Data concerning 1,828 sepsis patients were retrieved from the MIMIC-IV database. The process of patient selection is depicted in Fig. 1. Table S1 provided details on the percentage of missing data for various variables included in the study, noting that some variables (e.g., PLT, AG) were missing, with the percentage of missing data ranging from 0.05–4.16%. Data that underwent multiple imputation could be found in Table 1, which consolidated baseline demographics, vital statistics, laboratory results, and patient outcomes. Among these 1,828 individuals, 1,047 (57.28%) were male and 781 (42.72%) female, with a median age of 64.6 years (IQR 53.2–75.0). The all-cause mortality rates recorded were 17.78% (325/1828) within 28 days, 17.34% (317/1828) during ICU stays, and 18.22% (333/1828) throughout the hospital stay. The median SOFA score across all patients was 7.0 (IQR 4.0–10.0). Patients were categorized into four quartiles (Q1 to Q4) based on LnIBI values. Compared to the highest quartile (Q4) of LnIBI, the other three quartiles (Q1-Q3) had higher hematocrit, lymphocyte counts, bicarbonate, serum chloride, sodium levels, DBP, temperature, and SpO2. Conversely, the Q4 group showed higher CRP, neutrophil counts, WBC, AG, serum creatinine, glucose, INR, PT, PTT, heart rate, respiratory rate, and SOFA scores than the other three quartiles (Q1-Q3). Additionally, the Q4 group demonstrated significantly higher 28-day, in-ICU, and in-hospital mortality rates compared to the other three groups (Q1-Q3) (P < 0.001).
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of the sepsis patients included in the study
|
Overall
n = 1828
|
Q1[0.31–4.99)
n = 457
|
Q2[4.99–6.33)
n = 457
|
Q3[6.33–7.49)
n = 457
|
Q4[7.49–10.44]
n = 457
|
P
|
Baseline characteristics
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gender (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male
|
1047(57.28)
|
236(51.64)
|
260(56.89)
|
271(59.30)
|
280(61.27)
|
0.021
|
Female
|
781(42.72)
|
221(48.36)
|
197(43.11)
|
186(40.70)
|
177(38.73)
|
|
Age at admission(years)
|
64.6(53.2,75.0)
|
64.5(53.5,75.5)
|
62.9(50.8,73.6)
|
64.0(53.0,75.5)
|
66.3(55.5,75.8)
|
0.056
|
Vital signs
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Heart rate (bpm)
|
87.2(75.7,99.8)
|
85.4(73.7,97.5)
|
86.0(73.5,99.5)
|
87.9(75.5,100.4)
|
89.8(79.5,100.8)
|
< 0.001
|
SBP (mmHg)
|
113.6(104.9,125.8)
|
116.8(106.9,130.6)
|
113.8(105.1,125.7)
|
112.5(104.4,123.6)
|
112.2(103.1,121.7)
|
< 0.001
|
DBP (mmHg)
|
63.3(57.5,70.2)
|
64.4(58.2,71.9)
|
64.1(58.0,71.4)
|
63.0(57.5,69.8)
|
61.8(56.3,67.6)
|
< 0.001
|
Respiratory rate (bpm)
|
20.9(18.0,24.2)
|
20.1(17.6,23.2)
|
20.3(17.6,23.1)
|
21.2(18.5,24.6)
|
22.3(19.1,25.5)
|
< 0.001
|
Temperature (℃)
|
36.9(36.7,37.3)
|
36.9(36.7,37.2)
|
36.9(36.7,37.3)
|
37.0(36.7,37.4)
|
36.9(36.7,37.4)
|
0.258
|
SpO2 (%)
|
96.8(95.3,98.2)
|
96.9(95.6,98.4)
|
97.1(95.3,98.4)
|
96.7(95.2,98.1)
|
96.5(94.9,97.8)
|
< 0.001
|
laboratory tests
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hematocrit (%)
|
32.5(27.7,37.3)
|
33.6(28.4,38.2)
|
32.1(27.1,37.7)
|
32.7(27.7,37.5)
|
32.1(27.7,36.2)
|
0.038
|
Hemoglobin (g/L)
|
10.6(8.9,12.3)
|
10.8(9.0,12.6)
|
10.3(8.8,12.3)
|
10.6(9.0,12.5)
|
10.4(8.8,11.9)
|
0.028
|
PLT (K/µL)
|
165.0(63.8,259.5)
|
164.5(69.5,252.5)
|
178.5(77.5,265.5)
|
159.0(46.0,258.5)
|
161.5(59.0,265.0)
|
0.179
|
CRP (mg/L)
|
64.1(17.0,154.4)
|
7.4(3.7,15.6)
|
38.7(19.7,68.6)
|
99.8(63.3,162.0)
|
184.5(136.6,238.4)
|
< 0.001
|
Neutrophil counts (K/µL)
|
9.6(6.3,14.6)
|
7.3(4.9,11.1)
|
8.9(5.8,13.2)
|
9.8(6.5,14.7)
|
13.2(9.2,17.9)
|
< 0.001
|
lymphocyte counts (K/µL)
|
0.960(0.584,1.457)
|
1.265(0.830,1.900)
|
1.080(0.690,1.570)
|
0.950(0.590,1.394)
|
0.635(0.380,0.950)
|
< 0.001
|
WBC (K/µL)
|
12.0(8.4,16.8)
|
10.1(7.4,14.1)
|
11.7(7.9,15.6)
|
12.1(8.3,16.4)
|
14.8(10.6,19.3)
|
< 0.001
|
AG (mmol/L)
|
14.5(12.5,17.0)
|
14.5(12.5,17.0)
|
14.5(12.0,17.0)
|
14.5(12.0,17.5)
|
15.0(13.0,17.5)
|
0.022
|
Bicarbonate (mg/dL)
|
22.0(19.0,25.0)
|
22.0(19.5,24.5)
|
22.0(19.5,25.0)
|
22.0(19.0,25.0)
|
21.0(18.5,24.0)
|
0.005
|
BUN (mg/dL)
|
24.0(14.5,42.3)
|
20.5(13.5,33.5)
|
23.5(14.0,40.0)
|
24.5(14.5,42.5)
|
30.5(19.0,51.0)
|
< 0.001
|
Serum calcium (mg/dL)
|
8.25(7.75,8.70)
|
8.35(7.85,8.90)
|
8.25(7.80,8.70)
|
8.25(7.85,8.70)
|
8.10(7.60,8.50)
|
< 0.001
|
Serum chloride (mg/dL)
|
102.5(98.5,106.5)
|
102.5(98.5,107.0)
|
103.0(99.5,107.0)
|
102.0(97.5,106.5)
|
102.0(97.5,106.0)
|
0.026
|
Serum sodium (mg/dL)
|
138.0(134.5,141.0)
|
138.0(135.5,141.0)
|
138.0(135.0,141.0)
|
138.0(134.5,141.0)
|
137.0(134.0,140.0)
|
0.001
|
Serum potassium (mg/dL)
|
4.20(3.80,4.65)
|
4.20(3.80,4.55)
|
4.20(3.80,4.65)
|
4.20(3.80,4.55)
|
4.20(3.85,4.75)
|
0.603
|
Serum creatinine (mg/dL)
|
1.15(0.80,2.00)
|
1.00(0.75,1.70)
|
1.10(0.80,2.00)
|
1.10(0.80,1.95)
|
1.40(0.90,2.50)
|
< 0.001
|
Serum glucose (mg/dL)
|
134.5(111.5,178.3)
|
131.0(106.5,178.5)
|
131.0(112.0,170.5)
|
139.0(114.0,179.5)
|
139.5(113.0,183.5)
|
0.040
|
INR
|
1.30(1.15,1.55)
|
1.25(1.10,1.45)
|
1.30(1.20,1.60)
|
1.30(1.20,1.55)
|
1.35(1.20,1.65)
|
< 0.001
|
PT
|
14.4(12.8,16.9)
|
13.7(12.1,15.9)
|
14.4(13.0,17.3)
|
14.4(12.9,17.0)
|
14.8(13.5,17.9)
|
< 0.001
|
PTT
|
31.6(27.8,39.6)
|
31.1(27.0,37.1)
|
31.5(27.9,39.1)
|
31.9(28.1,41.6)
|
32.1(28.5,41.1)
|
0.001
|
SOFA score
|
7.00(4.00,10.00)
|
6.00(3.00,9.00)
|
6.00(4.00,10.00)
|
7.00(4.00,10.00)
|
7.00(5.00,11.00)
|
< 0.001
|
28-day mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
325(17.78)
|
58(12.69)
|
80(17.51)
|
76(16.63)
|
111(24.29)
|
< 0.001
|
No
|
1503(82.22)
|
399(87.31)
|
377(82.49)
|
381(83.37)
|
346(75.71)
|
|
In-ICU mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
317(17.34)
|
55(12.04)
|
74(16.19)
|
81(17.72)
|
107(23.41)
|
< 0.001
|
No
|
1511(82.66)
|
402(87.96)
|
383(83.81)
|
376(82.28)
|
350(76.59)
|
|
In-hospital mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
333(18.22)
|
59(12.91)
|
78(17.07)
|
83(18.16)
|
113(24.73)
|
< 0.001
|
No
|
1495(81.78)
|
398(87.09)
|
379(82.93)
|
374(81.84)
|
344(75.27)
|
|
Notes: Data were presented as median (Q1, Q3), or n (%).
Abbreviations: Q, Quartile; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; SpO2, pulse oxygen saturation; PLT, platelet; CRP, c-reactive protein; WBC, white blood cell; AG, anion gap; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; INR, international normalized ratio; PT, prothrombin time; PTT, partial thromboplastin time; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; ICU, Intensive Care Unit.
Table 2
Relationship between LnIBI and 28-day mortality, in-ICU mortality, and in-hospital mortality in septic patients
Exposure
|
Non-adjusted
|
|
Model Ⅰ
|
|
Model Ⅱ
|
|
Model Ⅲ
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P
|
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P
|
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P
|
|
OR (95% CI)
|
P
|
28-day mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ln IBI
|
1.177(1.097,1.266)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.168(1.087,1.256)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.115(1.036,1.201)
|
0.004
|
|
1.093(1.014,1.179)
|
0.021
|
Q1
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
Q2
|
1.46(1.014,2.112)
|
0.043
|
|
1.515(1.047,2.204)
|
0.029
|
|
1.487(1.021,2.177)
|
0.039
|
|
1.424(0.972,2.095)
|
0.071
|
Q3
|
1.372(0.95,1.991)
|
0.093
|
|
1.391(0.958,2.029)
|
0.084
|
|
1.237(0.845,1.816)
|
0.276
|
|
1.136(0.771,1.679)
|
0.520
|
Q4
|
2.207(1.563,3.143)
|
<0.001
|
|
2.155(1.518,3.084)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.778(1.24,2.57)
|
0.002
|
|
1.638(1.135,2.382)
|
0.009
|
P for trend
|
<0.001
|
|
|
<0.001
|
|
|
0.008
|
|
|
0.032
|
in-ICU mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ln IBI
|
1.194(1.111,1.285)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.185(1.102,1.275)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.129(1.049,1.218)
|
0.001
|
|
1.106(1.025,1.195)
|
0.010
|
Q1
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
Q2
|
1.412(0.971,2.064)
|
0.072
|
|
1.447(0.992,2.122)
|
0.056
|
|
1.422(0.969,2.097)
|
0.073
|
|
1.358(0.918,2.02)
|
0.127
|
Q3
|
1.575(1.09,2.289)
|
0.016
|
|
1.591(1.098,2.32)
|
0.015
|
|
1.416(0.97,2.078)
|
0.073
|
|
1.299(0.881,1.925)
|
0.188
|
Q4
|
2.234(1.573,3.205)
|
<0.001
|
|
2.18(1.53,3.137)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.79(1.243,2.6)
|
0.002
|
|
1.635(1.126,2.393)
|
0.010
|
P for trend
|
<0.001
|
|
|
<0.001
|
|
|
0.003
|
|
|
0.018
|
in-hospital mortality
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ln IBI
|
1.189(1.108,1.277)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.18(1.1,1.268)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.124(1.046,1.21)
|
0.002
|
|
1.1(1.022,1.187)
|
0.012
|
Q1
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
Q2
|
1.388(0.964,2.008)
|
0.079
|
|
1.419(0.983,2.059)
|
0.063
|
|
1.399(0.962,2.043)
|
0.080
|
|
1.344(0.917,1.978)
|
0.131
|
Q3
|
1.497(1.044,2.158)
|
0.029
|
|
1.51(1.05,2.182)
|
0.027
|
|
1.339(0.924,1.95)
|
0.125
|
|
1.234(0.844,1.813)
|
0.280
|
Q4
|
2.216(1.573,3.148)
|
<0.001
|
|
2.164(1.532,3.082)
|
<0.001
|
|
1.775(1.243,2.553)
|
0.002
|
|
1.621(1.126,2.35)
|
0.010
|
P for trend
|
<0.001
|
|
|
<0.001
|
|
|
0.004
|
|
|
0.020
|
Notes: Non-adjusted models: None; Model Ⅰ adjusted for: age; Model Ⅱ adjusted for: confounders in the minimally adjusted (Model Ⅰ) + temperature, respiratory rate, DBP, and SpO2; Model Ⅲ adjusted for: confounders in the moderately-adjusted (Model Ⅱ) + WBC, AG, BUN, serum creatinine, serum glucose, and PTT. |
Abbreviations: Q, Quartile; OR, odds ratios; CI, confidence intervals; IBI, inflammatory burden index; ICU, intensive care unit; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; SpO2, pulse oxygen saturation; WBC, white blood cell; AG, anion gap; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; PTT, partial thromboplastin time;
The restricted cubic spline regression model, adjusting for age, temperature, respiratory rate, SpO₂, DBP, WBC, AG, BUN, serum creatinine, serum glucose, and PTT, demonstrated that the risks of 28-day, in-ICU, and in-hospital mortality increased linearly with rising LnIBI levels, as depicted in Figure 2 (D-F).
To verify the association between LnIBI and mortality within 28 days, during ICU stays, and throughout hospitalization further, stratified analyses considering age, gender, and SOFA scores were performed, as depicted in Figure 3 and Table S4. The outcomes of these subgroup analyses aligned closely with those obtained from the logistic regression analysis. In every sub-population examined, these analyses consistently revealed a similar relationship between LnIBI values and mortality rates within 28 days, during ICU stays, and throughout hospitalization, independent of the outcome variable assessed. Furthermore, the interaction analysis revealed no significant interactions across the subgroups.
Patients in the lowest quartile of LnIBI (Q1) exhibited a significantly higher 28-day survival probability compared to those in the highest quartile (Q4) (P < 0.0001), as illustrated in Figure 4.