3.1 Elevation and species richness
The elevation of China exhibits a remarkable range, varying from 156 meters to 8424 meters above sea level. This diverse topography is crucial for understanding the distribution of Fritillaria species, which thrive in a wide elevational range from 100 to 5600 meters. The elevation map illustrates the complex interplay between altitude and biodiversity, highlighting regions where Fritillaria species are predominantly found (Fig. 1A).
The analysis of species richness in relation to elevation reveals distinct patterns. The highest species richness for Fritillaria occurs within the elevational range of 1500 to 2500 meters, where 7 to 9 species are commonly found (Fig. 1B). As elevation increases beyond 2600 meters, species richness declines, with only 4 to 6 species recorded in the 2600 to 4400 meter range. This trend suggests that mid-elevation zones provide optimal conditions for Fritillaria growth, likely due to favorable climate and habitat characteristics that support higher biodiversity. The findings align with previous studies indicating that species richness often peaks at intermediate elevations, a phenomenon known as the hump-shaped pattern (Currie et al., 2004).
To further investigate Fritillaria species distribution, China was divided into a grid of 100 X 100 km2 cells using ArcGIS (version 10.8). This grid-based analysis identified a total of 1102 grid cells, of which 145 contained at least one species of Fritillaria. The species richness within these grids varied significantly, with concentrations observed in central and southwestern China, particularly in the Sichuan and Yunnan provinces (Fig. 1C). The species richness values ranged from 1 to 38 records per grid cell, indicating that these regions are critical biodiversity hotspots for Fritillaria. The distribution patterns highlight areas where conservation efforts should be prioritized, as many of the high-richness grids overlap with regions known for their ecological significance and endemic species presence.
These results underscore the importance of elevation in shaping the distribution of Fritillaria species and provide a foundation for targeted conservation strategies aimed at preserving biodiversity in these critical regions.
3.2 IUCN categories and Red List Index
The assessment of Fritillaria species based on IUCN categories in 2020 revealed a concerning conservation status for many species. Out of the 21 species evaluated, ten were classified as EN, eight as VU, and three as NT. Notably, F. thunbergii was categorized as Not Estimated (NE), indicating insufficient data for a proper assessment. The detailed classification is presented in Table 1, which outlines the IUCN categories for each species in both 2013 and 2020. The persistence of EN and VU classifications for several species over this period underscores the ongoing threats they face, primarily due to habitat loss, over-exploitation for medicinal use, and climate change. The data indicate that the conservation status of these species has not improved, highlighting the urgent need for targeted conservation efforts.
3.3 Calculation of RLI between 2013 and 2020 assessments
The RLI was calculated to evaluate changes in extinction risk for the selected Fritillaria species between 2013 and 2020. The RLI decreased from 0.55 in 2013 to 0.54 in 2020, reflecting a slight increase in overall extinction risk over the seven-year period. This decline suggests a worsening conservation status, as indicated by the persistent threats faced by these species. The RLI is derived from the IUCN categories, where weights are assigned based on the conservation status: Critically Endangered (4), Endangered (3), Vulnerable (2), Near Threatened (1), and Least Concern (0). The calculation also considers the weight for extinct species, set at 5. The RLI serves as a critical indicator of the overall health of Fritillaria populations and highlights the need for enhanced conservation strategies to address the increasing risks of extinction
These findings emphasize the critical situation of Fritillaria species in China and underscore the importance of implementing effective conservation measures to protect these valuable plants from further decline. The ongoing assessment of their conservation status is essential for informing future conservation policies and actions.
3.4 Calculation of AOO and EOO for each species ssing GeoCAT
The AOO and EOO for each Fritillaria species were calculated using the GeoCAT tool, adhering to IUCN guidelines. The AOO values varied significantly among the species, ranging from a minimum of 2 km² to a maximum of 316 km². Notably, several species, including F. ussuriensis, F. yuminensis, F. verticillata, F. przewalskii, F. tortifolia, F. karelinii, and F. dajinensis, F. ussuriensis, F. yuminensis, F. verticillata, F. przewalskii, F. tortifolia, F. karelinii, and F. dajinensis, had an AOO of 2 km², indicating very limited distribution. In contrast, F. unibracteata and F. cirrhosa exhibited the largest AOOs, with values of 228 km² and 316 km², respectively. The EOO values, reflecting the overall geographic distribution of each species, also varied widely, with F. cirrhosa having the highest EOO at approximately 1,914,974 km², while several species did not have estimable EOO values due to insufficient data. The detailed AOO and EOO results are summarized in Table 2.
The AOO and EOO values for the 21 Fritillaria species are presented in Table 2. This table highlights the disparities in both AOO and EOO, emphasizing the varying conservation statuses and habitat availability for each species. The results illustrate that while some species have a broad geographic range, others are severely restricted, underscoring the need for tailored conservation strategies.
3.5 Identification of top 5% hotspots based on species richness
The analysis identified the top 5% hotspots for Fritillaria species richness across China, revealing significant concentrations in central and southwestern regions, particularly in Sichuan and Yunnan provinces. These hotspots exhibit species richness values ranging from 14 to 38 records per grid cell, indicating areas of exceptional biodiversity. The results highlight that these regions are critical for conservation efforts due to their high levels of species richness and the presence of numerous endemic species.
The spatial distribution of species richness hotspots is illustrated in Fig. 3. The map shows a clear gradient of species richness, with darker areas indicating higher concentrations of Fritillaria species. The highest richness values are concentrated in specific locales within Sichuan and Yunnan, emphasizing the ecological significance of these regions. This spatial analysis not only underscores the importance of these hotspots for biodiversity conservation but also provides a framework for prioritizing conservation actions in areas where Fritillaria species are most at risk. The findings from the AOO and EOO calculations, alongside the identification of species richness hotspots, underscore the urgent need for targeted conservation strategies to protect Fritillaria species and their habitats in China.
3.6 Weighted endemism hotspots
The analysis identified the top 5% hotspots based on weighted endemism, revealing significant concentrations in central and southwestern China, particularly in Sichuan and Yunnan provinces. The weighted endemism values ranged from 0.018 to 1.263, with the highest values indicating regions rich in endemic Fritillaria species. The scale bar illustrates a gradient from lower to higher endemism, emphasizing areas of critical conservation importance. The spatial distribution of weighted endemism hotspots is presented in Fig. 4. The map highlights the central and southwestern regions of China, where the highest weighted endemism values are concentrated. These areas are crucial for the conservation of endemic species, as they harbor unique genetic diversity and contribute to the overall biodiversity of Fritillaria.
3.7 β-Diversity hotspots
The β-diversity hotspots, representing the turnover of Fritillaria species across different regions, were identified and mapped. These hotspots are predominantly located in central and southwestern China, with significant clusters in Sichuan, Yunnan, and Guizhou provinces. The β-diversity values ranged from 0.217 to 1.000, indicating varying levels of species turnover across these regions. Higher β-diversity values suggest greater ecological complexity and variation, making these areas critical for biodiversity conservation. The spatial distribution of β-diversity hotspots is illustrated in Fig. 5. The map shows regions with significant species turnover, emphasizing the ecological diversity present in central and southwestern China. The identified hotspots highlight areas where conservation efforts should focus to maintain and enhance biodiversity.
3.8 Combined hotspots (complementary algorithm)
The combined hotspots, identified using a complementary algorithm, encompass regions with high species richness, weighted endemism, and β-diversity. These combined hotspots are primarily located in central and southwestern China, with significant overlap in Sichuan and Yunnan provinces. The integration of these metrics provides a comprehensive view of biodiversity hotspots, indicating areas of utmost conservation priority. The spatial distribution of combined hotspots is depicted in Fig. 6. The map illustrates regions where all three metrics converge, highlighting areas with significant biodiversity and conservation value. The scale bar for species richness aids in visualizing the areas of highest priority for conservation actions. These results collectively underscore the importance of central and southwestern China as critical regions for Fritillaria conservation, emphasizing the need for targeted strategies to protect these biodiversity hotspots. The identification of weighted endemism, β-diversity, and combined hotspots provides valuable insights for conservation planning and prioritization in these ecologically significant areas.