Table 1 presents the characteristics of the study population in children aged 36 to 59 months in Mexico in 2018 and in 2021. In 2018, 19.3% of children aged 36 to 59 months had ECD delay. In absolute numbers, this percentage translates into approximately 787,860 children. 49.38% of the study population were girls, 49.76% of the children were between 48 and 59 months, and 74.13% lived with biological father. 18.02% were children of mothers with primary education or les, 23.01% were adolescents, 81.99% were married or lived in free unión, and 65.14% presented depressive symptoms. Additionally, 69.78% of the children lived in urban areas, and 41.84% in households with low SES. Nationally, 67.55% attended early education, 47.47% of the children had support for learning at home, 40.44% had access to three or more children's books at home, 69.57% were exposed to methods of violent discipline, 6.75% had inadequate care, and 6.54% presented severe functional difficulties.
However, in 2021, 18.52% of children aged 36 to 59 months had ECD delay. In absolute numbers, this percentage translates into approximately 856,724 children. 49.87% of the study population were girls, 51.70% of the children were between 48 and 59 months, and 70.71% lived with biological father. 19.13% were children of mothers with primary education or less, 18.38% were adolescents, 77.83% were married or lived in free union, and 67.13% presented depressive symptoms. Additionally, 66.43% of the children lived in urban or metropolitan areas, and 41.26% in households with low SES. Nationally, 53.44% attended early education, 84.01% of the children had support for learning at home, 48.22% had access to three or more children's books at home, 59.11% were exposed to methods of violent discipline, 12.39% had inadequate care, and 2.57% presented severe functional difficulties.
Table 1
Characteristics of the study population in Mexico.
| 2018 n = 1,705 (N = 4,073,006) | 2021 n = 1,226 (N = 4,626,739) |
Child Characteristics | | |
Sex | | |
Male | 50.62 (46.21–55.01) | 50.13 (46.32–53.94) |
Female | 49.38 (44.99–53.79) | 49.87 (46.06–53.68) |
Age group (months) | | |
36–47 | 50.24 (46.21–54.27) | 48.30 (45.10–51.51) |
48–59 | 49.76 (45.73–53.79) | 51.70 (48.49–54.90) |
Lived with biological father | | |
No | 25.87 (22.71–29.31) | 29.29 (25.88–32.95) |
Yes | 74.13 (70.69–77.29) | 70.71 (67.05–74.12) |
Characteristics of the Mother | | |
Mother's age | | |
Adult | 76.99 (72.53–80.92) | 81.62 (78.48–84.39) |
Adolescent | 23.01 (19.08–27.47) | 18.38 (15.61–21.52) |
Mother's education | | |
Primary or less | 18.02 (15.45–20.92) | 19.13 (16.23–22.40) |
Middle School | 38.2 (34.4–42.14) | 35.41 (31.84–39.15) |
High School/College/ University | 43.78 (39.76–47.88) | 45.46 (41.31–49.68) |
Mother's marital status | | |
Free union/married | 81.99 (78.81–84.78) | 77.83 (74.4–80.93) |
Separated/divorced/widow | 11.16 (8.99–13.79) | 11.85 (9.46–14.74) |
Single | 6.85 (5.15–9.05) | 10.31 (8.35–12.68) |
Depressive symptoms | 65.14 (59.06–70.76) | 67.13 (62.69–71.29) |
Characteristics of the Home | | |
Socioeconomic status (SES) | | |
Low | 41.84 (37.79–46.01) | 41.26 (37.83–44.77) |
Middle | 36.24 (32.55–40.1) | 31.12 (27.76–34.7) |
High | 21.91 (19.02–25.11) | 27.62 (23.96–31.61) |
Indigenous ethnicity | 7.96 (6.19–10.18) | 4.24 (2.86–6.25) |
Region (2018) | | |
North | 18.13 (16.32–20.09) | |
Center | 35.54 (31.9–39.35) | |
Mexico City | 11.68 (9.31–14.56) | |
South | 34.65 (31.49–37.96) | |
Region (2021) | | |
Pacific north | | 7.45 (5.74–9.62) |
Border | | 12.19 (10.13–14.62) |
Pacific center | | 11.65 (9.38–14.38) |
Center north | | 13.59 (12.07–15.25) |
Center | | 10.36 (8.4–12.73) |
Mexico City | | 5 (4.22–5.9) |
State of Mexico | | 13.04 (11.05–15.33) |
Pacific South | | 15.79 (13.54–18.32) |
Peninsula | | 10.94 (9.16–13) |
Residence area | | |
Urban | 69.78 (66.36–72.99) | 26.19 (23.28–29.33) |
Rural | 30.22 (27.01–33.64) | 33.57 (30.7–36.57) |
Metropolitan | | 40.24 (37.13–43.43) |
Well-being Indicators | | |
Early education attendance | 67.55 (63.65–71.23) | 53.44 (49.46–57.38) |
Learning support | 47.47 (43.47–51.49) | 84.01 (81–86.63) |
Access to three or more children's books at home | 40.44 (36.81–44.18) | 48.22 (44.79–51.67) |
Domestic violence | 69.57 (66.13–72.81) | 59.11 (55.66–62.47) |
Inadecuate care | 6.75 (5.08–8.93) | 12.39 (10.04–15.19) |
Severe functional difficulties | 6.54 (4.87–8.75) | 2.57 (1.76–3.75) |
ECDI | | |
With delay | 80.66 (76.54–84.20) | 81.48 (78.53–84.12) |
Without delay | 19.34 (15.80–23.46) | 18.52 (15.88–21.47) |
The percentage of ECD delay was 20.44% in females and 18.28% in males in 2018; in 2021, the percentage decreased in females (17.12%) and increased in males (23.77%) (Table 2). The percentage of ECD delay also increased among children who did not live with their biological father (21.69%), children in households with high SES (14.37%), children belonging to an indigenous household (27.67%), and children without support for learning at home (30.71%) in 2021 compared to 2018 (16.79%, 10.66%,18.37%, and 21.49%, respectively). However, the percentage of ECD delay decreased in children who lived in households with low SES (22%), children who were exposed to violent disciplinary methods (18.56%), and in children of adolescent mothers (12.47%) compared to 2018 (25.75%, 22.50%, and 25.75%, respectively).
Table 2
Prevalence of ECD delay in children aged 36 and 59 months by survey.
| ECD delay, 2018 | ECD delay, 2021 |
| n = 312 (N = 787,860) | n = 220 (N = 856,724) |
| % (CI 95%) | P-value | % (CI 95%) | P-value |
Child Characteristics | | | | |
Sex | | | | |
Male | 18.28 (14.46–22.83) | 0.606 | 23.77 (19.66–28.42) | < 0.001 |
Female | 20.44 (14.44–28.11) | 13.24 (10.27–16.9) |
Age group (months) | | | | |
36–47 | 19.90 (16.17–24.23) | 0.8 | 17.24 (13.87–21.23) | 0.435 |
48–59 | 18.79 (12.72–26.86) | 19.71 (15.56–24.65) |
Lived with biological father | | | | |
No | 16.79 (12.85–21.65) | 0.318 | 21.69 (16.1–28.56) | 0.19 |
Yes | 20.21 (15.72–25.6) | 17.2 (14.45–20.36) |
Characteristics of the Mother | | | | |
Mother's age | | | | |
Adult | 17.6 (14.72–20.91) | 0.168 | 19.66 (16.45–23.32) | 0.046 |
Adolescent | 25.75 (15.16–40.23) | 12.47 (8.30–18.33) |
Mother's education | | | | |
Primary or less | 18.18 (13.21–24.49) | 0.852 | 17.48 (12.03–24.70) | 0.229 |
Middle School | 20.49 (16.02–25.81) | 21.42 (17.53–25.9) |
High School/College/ University | 18.98 (12.19–28.34) | 16.07 (11.70–21.67) |
Mother's marital status | | | | |
Free union/married | 20.35 (16.12–25.36) | 0.039 | 17.77 (15.05–20.87) | 0.327 |
Separated/divorced/widow | 19.56 (13.37–27.7) | 24.5 (14.79–37.75) |
Single | 6.97 (3.09–14.98) | 16.35 (10.36–24.82) |
Depressive symptoms | | | | |
No | 15.34 (10.52–21.83) | 0.018 | 15.88 (11.12–22.15) | 0.181 |
Yes | 28.68 (19.47–40.07) | 21.56 (16.36–27.86) |
Characteristics of the Home | | | | |
Socioeconomic status (SES) | | | | |
Low | 25.57 (18.9–33.62) | 0.005 | 22 (18.44–26.02) | 0.129 |
Middle | 17.32 (12.47–23.55) | 17.58 (13.24–22.97) |
High | 10.66 (7.21–15.5) | 14.37 (9.18–21.79) |
Indigenous ethnicity | | | | |
No | 19.5 (15.66–24.01) | 0.827 | 18.01 (15.36–21.01) | 0.083 |
Yes | 18.37 (10.92–29.24) | 27.67 (17.26–41.22) |
Region (2018) | | | | |
North | 14.72 (9.22–22.67) | 0.024 | | |
Center | 13.2 (10.58–16.36) | | |
Mexico City | 23.82 (11.56–42.8) | | |
South | 26.59 (19.38–35.3) | | |
Region (2021) | | | | |
Pacific North | | | 10.62 (7.34–15.11) | 0.162 |
Border | | | 24.13 (15.58–35.39) |
Pacific Center | | | 15.35 (8.24–26.8) |
Center North | | | 14.48 (10.51–19.63) |
Center | | | 22.84 (12.46–38.11) |
Mexico City | | | 10.67 (5.39–20.05) |
State of Mexico | | | 17.24 (11.15–25.69) |
Pacific South | | | 20.26 (15.05–26.71) |
Peninsula | | | 24.52 (18.24–32.11) |
Residence area | | | | |
Urban | 19.97 (15.22–25.75) | 0.513 | 21.57 (17.08–26.85) | 0.404 |
Rural | 17.89 (14.67–21.65) | 17.42 (13.88–21.63) |
Metropolitan | | | 17.45 (12.92–23.13) |
Well-being Indicators | | | | |
Early education attendance | | | | |
No | 21.06 (16.19–26.93) | 0.548 | 21.23 (17.54–25.45) | 0.103 |
Yes | 18.5 (13.58–24.68) | 16.26 (12.58–20.77) |
Learning support | | | | |
No | 21.49 (17.56–26.01) | 0.317 | 30.71 (24.45–37.76) | < 0.001 |
Yes | 16.95 (11.01–25.2) | 16.2 (13.48–19.35) |
Access to three or more children's books at home | | | | |
No | 23.55 (18.65–29.27) | 0.005 | 23.94 (20.1–28.25) | < 0.001 |
Yes | 13.09 (9.02–18.63) | 12.7 (9.05–17.53) |
Domestic violence | | | | |
No | 12.18 (8.63–16.93) | 0.003 | 18.46 (14.08–23.82) | 0.974 |
Yes | 22.50 (17.76–28.07) | 18.56 (15.51–22.05) |
Inadecuate care | | | | |
No | 18.82 (15.17–23.1) | 0.293 | 18.42 (15.52–21.72) | 0.681 |
Yes | 26.42 (14.12–43.94) | 20.04 (14.02–27.81) |
Severe functional difficulties | | | | |
No | 17.24 (13.68–21.50) | < 0.001 | 17.85 (15.25–20.77) | < 0.001 |
Yes | 49.26 (34.94–63.70) | 43.93 (27.94–61.28) |
Factors associated with ECD: before and after pandemic results
Figure 1 shows the variables associated with ECD delay in 2018. Children who lived in households with high SES had lower odds of ECD delay than those in households with low SES (OR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.35, 0.90). Children with support for learning at home had lower odds of ECD delay (OR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.90) than those without support. Children who were exposed to violent disciplinary methods and/or with functional difficulties had greater odds of presenting ECD delay (OR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.36, 3.10, and OR = 2.51, 95% CI: 1.79, 3.50, respectively).
Variables associated with ECD delay in 2021 were presented in Figure 2. Girls had a lower risk of ECD delay than boys (PR = 0.60; 95% CI: 0.44, 0.83), and children aged 48 to 59 months had a greater risk than those aged 36 to 47 months (PR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.06, 1.98). Children living in the Border, Center, Pacific South, and Peninsula regions had a higher risk of ECD delay compared to those in the Pacific North region. Children with functional difficulties had greater odds of experiencing ECD delay (PR = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.55, 3.30). Finally, it was observed that children who had support for learning at home (PR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.87), had access to three or more children's books at home (PR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.44, 0.91), who attended early education (PR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.49, 0.93), and children of adolescent mothers (PR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.87) were negatively associated with ECD delay.