Elevated LAR Levels Linked to Higher Risk of AKI After Cardiac Surgery.
We extracted data on 11,624 patients who underwent cardiac surgery from the MIMIC-IV database (Fig. 1). Variance inflation factor (VIF) values are displayed in Table S1, confirming the absence of multicollinearity between variables. Among these patients, 5,965 developed AKI. As shown in Table 1, there were some differences in baseline characteristics between those with and without AKI post-surgery.
Individuals who developed AKI had significantly higher LAR levels compared to those who did not (P < 0.001), indicating a statistically significant difference. Based on this observation, we further assessed the association between LAR levels and the risk of AKI in post-cardiac surgery patients through logistic regression analysis. Univariate logistic analysis revealed that the LAR index was a significant predictor of AKI in post-surgery patients (Model 1: OR 2.150, P < 0.001). However, after adjusting for confounding factors, multivariate logistic analysis showed that the LAR index was not an independent predictor of AKI (Model 3: OR 1.405, P = 0.064, Table 2). The ROC curve indicated that the LAR index had a low predictive value for identifying AKI occurrence in this population, with an AUC of 0.532 (95% CI: 0.517–0.546, Figure S1, Table S5).
Overall, although elevated LAR levels are associated with an increased risk of AKI in cardiac surgery patients, LAR cannot be considered an independent risk factor for predicting AKI occurrence.
Table 1 Baseline characteristics between patients after cardiac surgery with and without AKI
Characteristics
|
All surgical patients (n=7953)
|
surgical patients without AKI(n=1988)
|
surgical patients with AKI(n=5965)
|
P valve
|
Demographic data
|
|
|
|
|
Age, y
|
68.0(61.0-76.0)
|
66.0(58.0-73.0)
|
69.0(61.0-77.0)
|
<0.001
|
Gender, n(%)
|
|
|
|
0.024
|
Female
|
2298(28.9)
|
535(26.9)
|
1763(29.6)
|
|
Male
|
5655(71.1)
|
1453(73.1)
|
4202(70.4)
|
|
SBP, mmHg
|
112.0(102.0-123.0)
|
112.0(103.0-123.0)
|
112.0(102.0-124.0)
|
0.874
|
DBP, mmHg
|
59.0(52.0-66.0)
|
59.0(53.0-66.0)
|
58.0(52.0-65.0)
|
<0.001
|
MAP, mmHg
|
77.0(70.0-85.0)
|
78.0(71.0-85.0)
|
77.0(69.0-85.0)
|
0.002
|
HR, bpm
|
80.0(74.0-86.0)
|
80.0(73.0-86.0)
|
80.0(74.0-86.0)
|
0.338
|
RR, bpm
|
15.0(12.0-17.0)
|
14.0(12.0-17.0)
|
15.0(12.0-17.0)
|
0.136
|
SpO2, %
|
100.0(99.0-100.0)
|
100.0(100.0-100.0)
|
100.0(99.0-100.0)
|
<0.001
|
SOFA
|
5.0(3.0-7.0)
|
4.0(3.0-6.0)
|
5.0(3.0-7.0)
|
<0.001
|
Comorbidities, n(%)
|
|
|
|
|
Hypertension
|
4822(60.6)
|
1199(60.3)
|
3623(60.7)
|
0.736
|
T2DM
|
2506(31.5)
|
536(26.9)
|
1970(33.0)
|
<0.001
|
CHF
|
1831(23.0)
|
362(18.2)
|
1469(24.6)
|
<0.001
|
Stroke
|
595(7.5)
|
132(6.6)
|
463(7.8)
|
0.100
|
COPD
|
781(9.8)
|
168(8.5)
|
613(10.3)
|
0.018
|
CKD
|
894(11.2)
|
166(8.4)
|
728(12.2)
|
<0.001
|
IHD
|
5955(74.9)
|
1469(73.9)
|
4486(75.2)
|
0.243
|
Laboratory data
|
|
|
|
|
WBC, M/mcl
|
7.1(5.8-8.7)
|
7.0(5.8-8.6)
|
7.1(5.8-8.7)
|
0.148
|
PLT, K/mcl
|
142.0(114.0-177.0)
|
141.0(115.0-176.0)
|
142.0(113.0-177.0)
|
0.928
|
Hb, g/dL
|
9.5(8.4-10.8)
|
9.7(8.6-10.8)
|
9.5(8.3-10.7)
|
<0.001
|
AST
|
22.0(18.0-29.0)
|
22.0(18.0-28.0)
|
22.0(18.0-29.0)
|
0.687
|
ALT
|
20.0(15.0-28.0)
|
21.0(15.0-28.0)
|
20.0(14.0-28.0)
|
0.002
|
TBIL
|
0.5(0.4-0.7)
|
0.5(0.3-0.7)
|
0.5(0.4-0.7)
|
0.363
|
LAC
|
1.3(1.0-1.7)
|
1.3(1.0-1.7)
|
1.3(1.0-1.7)
|
0.543
|
ALB
|
4.0(3.6-4.3)
|
4.1(3.7-4.4)
|
3.9(3.5-4.3)
|
<0.001
|
LAR
|
0.3(0.2-0.4)
|
0.3(0.2-0.4)
|
0.3(0.3-0.4)
|
<0.001
|
FBG
|
100.0(90.0-115.0)
|
98.0(89.0-112.0)
|
101.0(90.0-115.0)
|
<0.001
|
HbA1c
|
5.8(5.5-6.5)
|
5.7(5.4-6.3)
|
5.8(5.5-6.5)
|
<0.001
|
BUN
|
14.0(12.0-18.0)
|
14.0(11.0-17.0)
|
15.0(12.0-18.0)
|
<0.001
|
Creatinine
|
0.8(0.7-1.0)
|
0.8(0.7-0.9)
|
0.8(0.7-1.0)
|
<0.001
|
Sodium
|
138.0(136.0-139.0)
|
137.0(136.0-139.0)
|
138.0(136.0-139.0)
|
0.043
|
Potassium
|
4.0(3.7-4.2)
|
4.0(3.7-4.2)
|
4.0(3.7-4.2)
|
<0.001
|
Calcium
|
8.3(8.0-8.6)
|
8.3(8.0-8.7)
|
8.3(8.0-8.6)
|
0.277
|
AG
|
11.0(9.0-12.0)
|
10.0(9.0-12.0)
|
11.0(9.0-12.0)
|
<0.001
|
Table 2
Logistic regression analyses regarding the association between the LAR index and the occurrence of AKI in surgical populations
LAR index | OR | 95%CI | P valve |
Model 1 | 2.150 | 1.540–3.040 | <0.001 |
Model 2 | 1.916 | 1.362–2.722 | 0.002 |
Model 3 | 1.405 | 0.985–2.024 | 0.064 |
LAR index, lactate to albumin ratio index ;OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval
Model 1: unadjusted
Model 2: Adjusted for age, gender, DBP,MAP and SpO2
Model 3: Adjusted for age, gender, DBP, MAP, creatine, sodium, potassium, calcium, Hb, SpO2, SOFA, BUN, FBG, ALT,AG, CHF, CKD, T2DM, COPD
Baseline Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes of Patients with AKI after Cardiac Surgery
Among the 5,965 patients who developed AKI, 30 died during hospitalization, and 29 died during their ICU stay. As shown in Tables S2 and S3, LAR levels were significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors, both during hospitalization and ICU stays (P < 0.001).
We divided patients into three groups based on LAR tertiles, revealing baseline characteristic differences between the groups (Table 3). As shown in Table 4, patients with higher LAR levels had significantly higher in-hospital and ICU mortality rates, as well as longer LOS-H and LOS-ICU, compared to those with lower LAR levels (P < 0.001). Figure 2 further illustrates a rising trend in LOS-H and LOS-ICU with increasing LAR tertiles. Although this trend was not observed for in-hospital and ICU mortality rates, we did find that mortality rates in Tertile 3 were substantially higher than those in Tertiles 1 and 2, with in-hospital mortality notably exceeding ICU mortality.
Overall, these findings suggest that elevated LAR may be associated with worse outcomes in patients who develop AKI following cardiac surgery.
Table 3
Baseline characteristics of patients with AKI after cardiac surgery stratified based on the tertiles of the LAR index
Characteristics | Tertile 1 (n = 1980) | Tertile 2 (n = 2027) | Tertile 3 (n = 1958) | P valve |
Demographic data | | | | |
Age, y | 69.0(61.0–77.0) | 69.0(62.0–77.0) | 70.0(62.0–77.0) | 0.546 |
Gender, n(%) | | | | 0.068 |
Female | 619(31.3) | 566(27.9) | 578(29.5) | |
Male | 1361(68.7) | 1461(72.1) | 1380(70.5) | |
SBP, mmHg | 113.0(102.7–125.0) | 112.0(103.0-124.0) | 112.0(101.0-123.0) | 0.051 |
DBP, mmHg | 58.0(52.0–65.0) | 58.0(52.0–66.0) | 58.0(52.0–65.0) | 0.588 |
MAP, mmHg | 77.0(769.0–85.0) | 77.0(69.0–85.0) | 77.0(69.0–85.0) | 0.206 |
HR, bpm | 80.0(74.0–86.0) | 80.0(73.0–86.0) | 80.0(74.0–86.0) | 0.338 |
RR, bpm | 14.0(12.0–16.0) | 15.0(12.0–17.0) | 15.0(12.0–17.0) | 0.003 |
SpO2, % | 100.0(100.0-100.0) | 100.0(99.0-100.0) | 100.0(99.0-100.0) | <0.001 |
SOFA | 5.0(3.0–7.0) | 5.0(3.0–7.0) | 5.0(4.0–7.0) | <0.001 |
Comorbidities, n(%) | | | | |
Hypertension | 1187(59.9) | 1240(61.174) | 1196(61.083) | 0.679 |
T2DM | 552(27.9) | 668(33.0) | 750(38.3) | <0.001 |
CHF | 439(22.2) | 512(25.3) | 518(26.5) | 0.006 |
Stroke | 151(7.7) | 162(8.0) | 150(7.7) | 0.892 |
COPD | 198(10.0) | 203(10.0) | 212(10.8) | 0.619 |
CKD | 237(12.0) | 254(12.5) | 237(12.1) | 0.851 |
IHD | 1428(72.1) | 1546(76.3) | 1512(77.2) | <0.001 |
Laboratory data | | | | |
WBC, M/mcl | 6.8(5.5–8.2) | 7.1(5.9–8.7) | 7.4(6.2–9.1) | <0.001 |
PLT, K/mcl | 140.0(112.0-177.0) | 140.0(113.0-174.0) | 145.0(115.0-180.0) | 0.059 |
Hb, g/dL | 9.4(8.2–10.7) | 9.5(8.4–10.7) | 9.6(8.3–10.8) | 0.037 |
AST | 22.0(18.0–28.0) | 22.0(18.0–29.0) | 23.0(18.0–30.0) | 0.003 |
ALT | 19.0(14.0–26.0) | 19.0(14.0–28.0) | 21.0(15.0–30.0) | <0.001 |
TBIL | 0.5(0.4–0.7) | 0.5(0.4–0.7) | 0.5(0.4–0.7) | 0.558 |
LAC | 0.9(0.8-1.0) | 1.3(1.2–1.5) | 1.8(1.6–2.1) | <0.001 |
ALB | 4.1(3.8–4.4) | 3.9(3.6,4.3) | 3.8(3.2–4.1) | <0.001 |
FBG | 98.0(88.0-111.0) | 101.0(90.0-115.0) | 104.0(93.0-120.0) | <0.001 |
HbA1c | 5.7(5.4–6.2) | 5.9(5.5–6.5) | 6.0(5.6–6.8) | <0.001 |
BUN | 15.0(12.0–19.0) | 15.0(12.0–18.0) | 15.0(12.0–18.0) | 0.827 |
Creatinine | 0.8(0.7-1.0) | 0.8(0.7-1.0) | 0.8(0.7-1.0) | 0.473 |
Sodium | 138.0(136.0-139.0) | 137.0(136.0-139.0) | 138.0(136.0-139.0) | 0.097 |
Potassium | 4.0(3.7–4.2) | 4.0(3.8–4.2) | 4.0(3.7–4.3) | 0.580 |
Calcium | 8.3(8.0-8.6) | 8.3(8.0-8.7) | 8.3(8.0-8.6) | 0.573 |
AG | 10.0(9.0–12.0) | 11.0(9.0–13.0) | 11.0(10.0–13.0) | <0.001 |
Table 4
Clinical outcomes of patients with AKI after cardiac surgery stratified based on the tertiles of the LAR index
Outcomes | Tertile 1 | Tertile 2 | Tertile 3 | P value |
Primary outcomes, n(%) |
In-hospital mortality | 5(0.3) | 1(0.1) | 24(1.2) | < 0.001 |
ICU mortality | 6(0.3) | 2(0.1) | 21(1.1) | < 0.001 |
Secondary outcomes, days |
LOS-H | 6.7(5.2–8.9) | 7.0(5.3–9.9) | 7.6(5.6–10.9) | < 0.001 |
LOS-ICU | 2.1(1.3–3.1) | 2.1(1.3–3.3) | 2.2(1.3–3.5) | < 0.001 |
Elevated LAR Associated with Increased Mortality in Post-Cardiac Surgery AKI Patients
To further evaluate the association between LAR levels and survival outcomes, we performed logistic regression analysis (Table 5). Univariate logistic regression showed a significant correlation between mortality and the LAR index. For each unit increase in LAR, the odds ratio (OR) for in-hospital mortality was 5.76, and the OR for ICU mortality was 5.38. Compared to those in the lowest tertile, individuals in the highest tertile had a 4.90-fold higher risk of in-hospital mortality and a 3.57-fold higher risk of ICU mortality. After adjusting for confounding factors, this association remained robust. In the fully adjusted Model 3, each unit increase in LAR was associated with an OR of 3.64 for in-hospital mortality and 3.17 for ICU mortality. Additionally, those in the highest tertile had a 4.53-fold higher risk of in-hospital mortality and a 3.34-fold higher risk of ICU mortality compared to the lowest tertile. There was a clear trend of increasing mortality risk with rising LAR tertiles (P for trend < 0.05).
Furthermore, pearson correlation analysis demonstrated a significant relationship between LAR and factors such as LOS-H, LOS-ICU, and SOFA scores (Table S4). The ROC curve indicated that the LAR index had good predictive value for mortality in AKI patients following cardiac surgery (in-hospital mortality AUC: 0.742, 95% CI: 0.641–0.842; ICU mortality AUC: 0.712, 95% CI: 0.603–0.820, Fig. 3, Table S5).
Overall, these findings suggest that elevated LAR is strongly associated with poor prognosis in post-surgery AKI patients, particularly in terms of in-hospital and ICU mortality.
Table 5
Logistic regression analyses for the association between the LAR index and mortality in patients with AKI after cardiac surgery
Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 |
OR(95%CI) | P value | OR(95%CI) | P value | OR(95%CI) | P value |
In-hospital mortality |
Per 1 Unit increase | 5.76(2.68–11.40) | <0.001 | 3.66(1.33–8.89) | 0.008 | 3.64(1.24–9.68) | 0.013 |
Tertile 1 | 1 reference | 1 reference | 1 reference |
Tertile 2 | 0.20(0.01–1.20) | 0.140 | 0.19(0.01–1.21) | 0.135 | 0.19(0.01–6.23) | 0.136 |
Tertile 3 | 4.90(2.03–14.58) | 0.001 | 4.23(1.73–12.67) | 0.004 | 4.53(1.74–14.31) | 0.004 |
P for trend | <0.001 | | <0.001 | | <0.001 | |
ICU mortality | | | | | | |
Per 1 Unit increase | 5.38(2.41–10.70) | <0.001 | 3.46(1.22–8.61) | 0.013 | 3.17(1.01–8.78) | 0.013 |
Tertile 1 | 1 reference | 1 reference | 1 reference |
Tertile 2 | 0.32(0.05–1.41) | 0.170 | 0.32(0.05–1.40) | 0.170 | 0.19(0.01–1.23) | 0.181 |
Tertile 3 | 3.57(1.52–9.74) | 0.006 | 3.10(1.31–8.52) | 0.016 | 3.34(1.32–9.76) | 0.016 |
P for trend | 0.001 | | 0.004 | | 0.004 | |
Model 1: unadjusted
Model 2: Adjusted for age, gender, HR and SpO2
Model 3: Adjusted for age, gender, HR, SpO2, SOFA, FBP, HbA1C, creatine, sodium, potassium, AG, Hb, PLT, BUN, CHF, CKD, T2DM, COPD, Hypertension, Stroke
Restricted Cubic Spline Analysis
To further illustrate the relationship between LAR and adverse outcomes, we employed restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis (Fig. 4). After adjusting for covariates in Model 3, we identified a nonlinear correlation between LAR and both in-hospital and ICU mortality. Threshold effect analysis revealed a turning point for ICU mortality at an LAR value of 0.6 and for in-hospital mortality at 0.46. The findings indicate that when LAR is below these thresholds, mortality risk remains relatively low, but once LAR exceeds these points, the risk increases sharply.
Subgroup Analysis
To assess the robustness of the association between LAR and in-hospital and ICU mortality across different subgroups, we further estimated the predictive role of LAR on mortality outcomes (Figs. 5 and 6). The results consistently showed that elevated LAR was associated with increased in-hospital and ICU mortality in elderly patients, females, and individuals without chronic kidney disease, diabetes, or chronic heart failure. Notably, a strong correlation between LAR and in-hospital mortality was observed in patients with chronic heart failure. However, no significant interactions were found across subgroups defined by age, gender, hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or chronic heart failure (P > 0.05).